Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#98
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#189
Pace72.2#107
Improvement-2.5#325

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#117
First Shot+2.7#100
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#221
Layup/Dunks+5.6#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#361
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#211
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-1.1#274

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#79
First Shot+1.2#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#55
Layups/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
Freethrows+2.0#68
Improvement-1.4#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.2 11.7
.500 or above 5.4% 13.8% 3.8%
.500 or above in Conference 9.4% 22.4% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.7% 14.7% 32.6%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 23 - 65 - 18
Quad 32 - 37 - 21
Quad 45 - 012 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 306 Albany W 80-53 93%     1 - 0 +15.8 -5.2 +18.7
  Wed, Nov 5 204 Southern W 100-82 85%     2 - 0 +12.1 +14.3 -4.2
  Sun, Nov 9 26 Indiana L 77-100 18%     2 - 1 -8.2 +5.9 -12.5
  Wed, Nov 12 309 Arkansas Little Rock W 89-49 93%     3 - 1 +28.4 +15.4 +15.0
  Sat, Nov 15 95 Maryland L 82-89 60%     3 - 2 -4.5 +2.9 -6.7
  Wed, Nov 19 61 Dayton L 71-77 OT 47%     3 - 3 -0.1 -7.2 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 22 326 Central Michigan W 85-71 94%     4 - 3 +1.2 +3.9 -2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 47 Oklahoma L 74-75 28%     4 - 4 +10.0 +11.7 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 2 213 Valparaiso W 75-72 OT 86%     5 - 4 -3.3 -6.0 +2.4
  Sat, Dec 6 43 @Wisconsin L 76-96 18%     5 - 5 -5.2 +1.7 -4.8
  Sat, Dec 13 7 @Purdue L 59-79 5%     5 - 6 +3.6 -0.5 +2.6
  Wed, Dec 17 90 Georgetown L 69-78 58%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -6.0 +2.8 -9.6
  Sat, Dec 20 39 @Creighton L 69-79 16%    
  Tue, Dec 30 57 Seton Hall L 69-71 44%    
  Sun, Jan 4 6 @Connecticut L 61-80 4%    
  Wed, Jan 7 101 Xavier W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 38 Villanova L 69-73 34%    
  Tue, Jan 13 18 @St. John's L 70-85 8%    
  Fri, Jan 16 111 @DePaul L 71-73 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 73 Providence W 83-82 51%    
  Fri, Jan 23 58 @Butler L 75-83 24%    
  Tue, Jan 27 39 Creighton L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 57 @Seton Hall L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 58 Butler L 78-80 44%    
  Tue, Feb 10 38 @Villanova L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 101 @Xavier L 74-77 40%    
  Wed, Feb 18 18 St. John's L 73-82 20%    
  Tue, Feb 24 90 @Georgetown L 74-78 36%    
  Sun, Mar 1 111 DePaul W 74-70 66%    
  Wed, Mar 4 73 @Providence L 79-85 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 6 Connecticut L 64-77 12%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.1 0.1 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.9 7.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 18.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.0 7.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 20.2 10th
11th 0.3 1.6 4.3 5.9 5.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 19.5 11th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.5 8.1 12.3 15.3 15.5 14.4 11.3 7.5 4.7 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 59.7% 3.2% 56.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 58.3%
13-7 0.5% 37.1% 5.0% 32.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 33.8%
12-8 1.2% 13.9% 2.0% 11.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 12.2%
11-9 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6 1.2%
10-10 4.7% 1.5% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6
9-11 7.5% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
8-12 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-13 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 14.3
6-14 15.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 15.5
5-15 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-16 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-17 8.1% 8.1
2-18 4.5% 4.5
1-19 1.6% 1.6
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.1 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%