Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#74
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#62
Pace71.4#134
Improvement-5.8#364

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#63
First Shot+1.2#141
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#15
Layup/Dunks+3.8#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#102
Freethrows-4.2#353
Improvement-2.7#348

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#95
First Shot+4.0#56
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#286
Layups/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#18
Freethrows-2.2#312
Improvement-3.1#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 10.3% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.3% 6.4% 2.3%
Average Seed 10.4 10.4 10.7
.500 or above 97.8% 98.9% 94.9%
.500 or above in Conference 88.9% 90.2% 85.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.4% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four3.3% 3.9% 1.6%
First Round7.2% 8.2% 4.6%
Second Round2.5% 3.0% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Neutral) - 73.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 35 - 8
Quad 39 - 214 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 70 McNeese St. W 79-67 61%     1 - 0 +16.9 +12.8 +4.6
  Mon, Nov 10 76 @Xavier W 87-68 39%     2 - 0 +29.7 +18.0 +11.3
  Sat, Nov 15 98 Nevada W 98-83 71%     3 - 0 +17.0 +24.8 -7.9
  Tue, Nov 18 163 Idaho St. W 64-55 85%     4 - 0 +5.9 -4.2 +10.9
  Fri, Nov 21 325 Louisiana W 80-43 96%     5 - 0 +24.3 +8.1 +18.2
  Thu, Nov 27 43 Saint Louis L 70-71 35%     5 - 1 +10.7 +2.1 +8.6
  Fri, Nov 28 96 Minnesota W 86-75 60%     6 - 1 +16.3 +20.5 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 264 Utah Tech W 90-80 93%     7 - 1 +1.5 +6.4 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 6 71 @New Mexico L 71-98 38%     7 - 2 -16.1 +2.5 -18.0
  Sat, Dec 13 61 Arizona St. L 79-82 45%     7 - 3 +6.1 +6.1 +0.1
  Wed, Dec 17 145 North Texas W 72-65 74%    
  Sat, Dec 20 287 Loyola Chicago W 83-68 92%    
  Sun, Dec 28 159 @Oregon St. W 75-70 67%    
  Tue, Dec 30 243 @Portland W 82-73 81%    
  Fri, Jan 2 292 Pepperdine W 81-63 95%    
  Sun, Jan 4 248 San Diego W 88-72 93%    
  Thu, Jan 8 5 @Gonzaga L 71-88 6%    
  Sat, Jan 10 134 Loyola Marymount W 77-68 79%    
  Wed, Jan 14 128 Pacific W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 39 St. Mary's L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 248 @San Diego W 85-75 81%    
  Wed, Jan 28 95 San Francisco W 77-72 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 134 @Loyola Marymount W 74-71 61%    
  Wed, Feb 4 128 @Pacific W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Feb 7 155 @Washington St. W 80-75 66%    
  Wed, Feb 11 118 Seattle W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 5 Gonzaga L 74-85 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 95 @San Francisco L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 39 @St. Mary's L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 159 Oregon St. W 78-67 83%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.1 7.3 4.0 0.9 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.6 10.1 7.7 2.3 0.2 27.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.1 8.1 4.0 0.6 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.4 6.1 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.2 1.8 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.4 0.1 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.8 10.0 14.2 16.6 16.7 14.5 9.9 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-2 50.9% 0.9    0.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 13.6% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.1
14-4 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 84.6% 16.5% 68.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.6%
16-2 1.8% 59.2% 14.7% 44.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 52.1%
15-3 4.9% 38.4% 11.6% 26.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 3.0 30.4%
14-4 9.9% 23.2% 8.9% 14.3% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.1 7.6 15.7%
13-5 14.5% 12.4% 5.7% 6.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.1 12.7 7.1%
12-6 16.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 15.9 1.6%
11-7 16.6% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 16.1 0.7%
10-8 14.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0 0.2%
9-9 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.0%
8-10 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 5.8
7-11 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 3.1
6-12 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 3.8% 5.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 5.1 0.5 0.0 91.1 5.3%