Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.8 #94
Expected Predictive Rating +2.3 #125
Pace 63.1 #323
Improvement +0.7 #149

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #81 C+ B- B- D+ C+
Defense #115 C+ B+ C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #169 1.18 #147 +0.6 #152
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #230 0.83 #70 -0.3 #191
Three Pointers 43% #140 1.05 #133 +1.8 #118
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #120 +2.2 #118
Freethrows 0.29 #235 67% #325 0.19 #270
Second Chance 35.9% #41 1.02 #207 0.37 #78
Turnovers 15.0% #99
Total Offense +4.1 #81

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #130 1.10 #95 +0.1 #169
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #169 0.78 #217 -0.3 #209
Three Pointers 39% #247 1.01 #174 +1.2 #138
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #142 +1.1 #143
Freethrows 0.29 #144 76% #341 0.22 #190
Second Chance 25.8% #36 0.96 #66 0.25 #32
Turnovers 16.6% #166
Total Defense +1.7 #115

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #139 0.2% #185
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.4% #119 -2.3% #139
Possession Length 18.5 #287 17.8 #247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #125 0.16 #139
Improvement +1.3 #120 -0.6 #222

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.9 11.0 10.8
.500 or above 2.0% 6.7% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.2% 4.8% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 9.6% 29.7%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 12
Quad 23 - 45 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 18
Quad 45 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 224 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 87% +3  1 - 0 +8 +3 D+ A+ F +6 C A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 261 Longwood W 78 - 60 91% +5  2 - 0 +9 +1 C- C+ D +8 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 240 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 89% +11  3 - 0 +5 +4 C C+ A +1 A- B- D
 Thu, Nov 13 57 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 25% -9  3 - 1 -9 -10 C+ F D -1 B B+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 322 Bucknell W 84 - 50 95% +20  4 - 1 +21 +13 A+ B+ F +11 A A- A+
 Thu, Nov 20 50 Central Florida L 67 - 77 32% -5  4 - 2 +1 +5 D+ B D+ -6 B F B
 Sun, Nov 23 190 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 85% -5  4 - 3 -13 +2 B B- F -15 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 36 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 31% +4  5 - 3 +12 +2 C F A+ +10 A+ B+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 30 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 29% -4  5 - 4 +4 +11 C+ A+ A- -8 B C- C-
 Sun, Dec 7 135 Hofstra L 73 - 80 76% -7  5 - 5 -9 +8 A+ F+ D -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 33 @Villanova L 61 - 79 14% -6  5 - 6 -1 +8 D A+ C- -13 D+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 362 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  6 - 6 +21 +19 A+ F+ F+ +1 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 116 Penn St. W 80 - 46 61% +16  7 - 6 +37 +12 A- C- A +27 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 40 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 17% +1  7 - 7 0 - 1 +9 +8 C- B+ A+ +1 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 3 32 Clemson L 68 - 73 30% -2  7 - 8 0 - 2 +6 +6 B- C+ B- +0 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 76 Syracuse L 72 - 83 55% -11  7 - 9 0 - 3 -6 +5 B- C+ C+ -12 F C- B-
 Wed, Jan 14 110 @Georgia Tech W 89 - 66 47% +15  8 - 9 1 - 3 +29 +24 A+ A+ B +6 B+ C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 17 18 Louisville L 59 - 100 20% -27  8 - 10 1 - 4 -26 -4 C- C B -25 F F D-
 Wed, Jan 21 131 @Boston College L 62 - 65 55% -1  8 - 11 1 - 5 +2 +2 D+ B+ A -0 D+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 25 North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 25% +1  8 - 12 1 - 6 +4 +7 F+ A+ C+ -3 B A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 69 Wake Forest W 80 - 76 OT 52% -3  9 - 12 2 - 6 +9 +8 D A A+ +1 B- A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 31 32 @Clemson L 62 - 73 14%
 Tue, Feb 3 22 @Virginia L 64 - 78 10%
 Sat, Feb 7 37 SMU L 74 - 79 32%
 Tue, Feb 10 3 Duke L 64 - 79 9%
 Sat, Feb 14 28 @North Carolina L 70 - 82 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 80 Notre Dame W 70 - 68 56%
 Wed, Feb 25 83 @Stanford L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Feb 28 68 @California L 68 - 74 31%
 Wed, Mar 4 105 Florida St. W 78 - 74 66%
 Sat, Mar 7 76 @Syracuse L 70 - 75 32%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +6 +4 C+ B- B- +2 C+ B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.7 3.8 0.9 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.2 4.2 3.3 0.1 7.8 12th
13th 1.8 7.8 1.1 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.3 6.9 5.4 0.2 12.8 14th
15th 0.0 2.9 10.3 1.4 0.0 14.6 15th
16th 0.0 1.3 9.3 6.0 0.2 16.7 16th
17th 0.3 4.9 8.8 1.0 0.0 15.1 17th
18th 2.6 6.1 2.3 0.1 11.0 18th
Total 2.9 12.4 23.5 26.2 19.6 10.0 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.2% 6.7% 6.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.7%
9-9 1.1% 2.4% 0.5% 1.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.9%
8-10 4.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 4.1 0.5%
7-11 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 19.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 19.6
5-13 26.2% 26.2
4-14 23.5% 23.5
3-15 12.4% 12.4
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.9 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.9%