Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#222
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#203
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 15.2% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 66.4% 75.3% 49.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 81.4% 67.3%
Conference Champion 17.4% 20.7% 11.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.5% 4.1%
First Four2.1% 2.0% 2.3%
First Round13.1% 15.5% 8.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 65.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 416 - 818 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 250   Bryant W 78-74 65%    
  Nov 07, 2025 168   @ Brown L 65-70 30%    
  Nov 12, 2025 120   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-71 21%    
  Nov 17, 2025 216   Colgate W 72-69 59%    
  Nov 21, 2025 302   Albany W 76-68 75%    
  Nov 24, 2025 352   @ Holy Cross W 73-67 70%    
  Nov 28, 2025 204   Longwood L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 29, 2025 303   @ American W 67-65 55%    
  Nov 30, 2025 290   Maine W 69-65 62%    
  Dec 05, 2025 335   Niagara W 73-63 80%    
  Dec 07, 2025 346   Canisius W 75-64 83%    
  Dec 17, 2025 205   @ Vermont L 62-66 37%    
  Dec 22, 2025 34   @ Indiana L 62-82 4%    
  Jan 02, 2026 199   @ Iona L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 04, 2026 313   @ Rider W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 09, 2026 257   Merrimack W 67-62 65%    
  Jan 11, 2026 269   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 14, 2026 254   Sacred Heart W 78-73 65%    
  Jan 17, 2026 260   @ Manhattan L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 19, 2026 319   Fairfield W 73-64 76%    
  Jan 22, 2026 237   Marist W 65-61 62%    
  Jan 30, 2026 335   @ Niagara W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 01, 2026 346   @ Canisius W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 05, 2026 199   Iona W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 07, 2026 297   @ St. Peter's W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 13, 2026 215   Quinnipiac W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2026 237   @ Marist L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 20, 2026 257   @ Merrimack L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 22, 2026 297   St. Peter's W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 27, 2026 319   @ Fairfield W 70-67 58%    
  Mar 01, 2026 313   Rider W 72-64 74%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 4.2 4.2 3.1 1.5 0.4 17.4 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 3.9 4.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.5 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.7 1.2 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.3 1.0 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 0.9 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.7 4.0 5.8 7.4 8.6 9.9 10.6 10.9 10.3 9.1 7.2 4.9 3.2 1.5 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 99.7% 1.5    1.5 0.0
18-2 96.4% 3.1    2.7 0.3
17-3 84.9% 4.2    3.2 0.9 0.1
16-4 58.0% 4.2    2.4 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.9% 2.8    1.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.9% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.4% 17.4 11.5 4.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 55.4% 55.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.5% 43.8% 43.8% 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
18-2 3.2% 40.7% 40.7% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9
17-3 4.9% 32.1% 32.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.3
16-4 7.2% 29.2% 29.2% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 5.1
15-5 9.1% 22.0% 22.0% 16.2 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 7.1
14-6 10.3% 17.7% 17.7% 17.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 8.5
13-7 10.9% 11.4% 11.4% 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 9.6
12-8 10.6% 10.1% 10.1% 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5
11-9 9.9% 4.8% 4.8% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.4
10-10 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 18.0 0.0 0.3 8.4
9-11 7.4% 2.1% 2.1% 17.7 0.0 0.2 7.2
8-12 5.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.9 0.1 5.7
7-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
6-14 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.0 4.2 87.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 8.1 95.3 2.3 2.3
Lose Out 0.0%