Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#171
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#151
Pace65.7#281
Improvement-2.6#331

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
First Shot-2.6#246
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#118
Layup/Dunks+0.7#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.9#354
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-1.9#314

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#134
First Shot+0.5#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#176
Layups/Dunks-4.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#31
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement-0.7#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 24.2% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 98.2% 99.9% 98.1%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 98.6% 95.4%
Conference Champion 25.0% 31.9% 24.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
First Round18.0% 24.2% 17.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 419 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 299 Bryant W 82-66 81%     1 - 0 +5.6 +9.8 -3.3
  Fri, Nov 7 222 @Brown W 62-46 49%     2 - 0 +15.4 -4.2 +20.4
  Wed, Nov 12 111 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 24%     2 - 1 -2.5 +2.5 -5.8
  Mon, Nov 17 178 Colgate L 69-72 63%     2 - 2 -7.3 -0.7 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 21 306 Albany W 73-63 83%     3 - 2 -1.2 +6.1 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 24 311 @Holy Cross W 73-69 68%     4 - 2 -1.8 +2.1 -3.6
  Fri, Nov 28 293 Longwood W 70-63 73%     5 - 2 -0.2 -4.1 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 248 @American W 59-55 54%     6 - 2 +2.0 -13.8 +15.8
  Sun, Nov 30 335 Maine W 64-60 82%     7 - 2 -6.8 +0.8 -6.9
  Fri, Dec 5 353 Niagara W 83-54 92%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +12.9 +9.3 +5.6
  Sun, Dec 7 342 Canisius W 74-52 89%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +7.8 +3.5 +6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 175 @Vermont L 69-83 39%     9 - 3 -12.1 -5.4 -6.7
  Mon, Dec 22 26 @Indiana L 61-80 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 172 @Iona L 72-75 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 348 @Rider W 68-60 77%    
  Fri, Jan 9 266 Merrimack W 70-62 77%    
  Sun, Jan 11 302 @Mount St. Mary's W 71-67 63%    
  Wed, Jan 14 268 Sacred Heart W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @Manhattan W 77-71 69%    
  Mon, Jan 19 301 Fairfield W 75-65 81%    
  Thu, Jan 22 163 Marist W 67-65 59%    
  Fri, Jan 30 353 @Niagara W 71-62 80%    
  Sun, Feb 1 342 @Canisius W 67-60 74%    
  Thu, Feb 5 172 Iona W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 290 @St. Peter's W 67-64 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 157 Quinnipiac W 74-72 57%    
  Sun, Feb 15 163 @Marist L 64-68 37%    
  Fri, Feb 20 266 @Merrimack W 67-65 56%    
  Sun, Feb 22 290 St. Peter's W 70-61 79%    
  Fri, Feb 27 301 @Fairfield W 72-68 62%    
  Sun, Mar 1 348 Rider W 71-57 89%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.5 7.1 4.7 1.9 0.4 25.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.1 7.4 5.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 21.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.1 6.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.1 3.6 1.4 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.6 7.4 10.4 13.5 15.3 15.3 12.9 8.7 4.9 1.9 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 99.3% 1.9    1.9 0.1
18-2 95.3% 4.7    4.2 0.5 0.0
17-3 82.0% 7.1    5.1 1.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 50.6% 6.5    3.2 2.7 0.6 0.0
15-5 22.9% 3.5    1.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.1% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 25.0% 25.0 15.8 7.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 43.2% 43.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.9% 38.4% 38.4% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
18-2 4.9% 35.6% 35.6% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 3.2
17-3 8.7% 30.4% 30.4% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.0 6.0
16-4 12.9% 26.2% 26.2% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.3 0.1 9.5
15-5 15.3% 22.2% 22.2% 14.6 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.2 11.9
14-6 15.3% 16.6% 16.6% 14.8 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.3 12.8
13-7 13.5% 12.7% 12.7% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 11.8
12-8 10.4% 9.1% 9.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 9.5
11-9 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 6.8
10-10 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.4
9-11 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 2.4
8-12 1.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
7-13 0.5% 0.5
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.4 7.3 2.0 81.8 0.0%