SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.6 241
Expected Predictive Rating -4.7 237
Pace 62.9 327
Improvement +2.8 73

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #329 D D+ D+ D+ F+
Defense C+ #120 B C- D+ D+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 314 53% 294 -4.7 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 19 33% 320 +2.6 60
Three Pointers 36% 297 34% 173 -2.7 278
1st FG Attempt 0.92 320 -4.7 319
Second Chance 27.6% 262 0.98 249 0.27 268
Turnovers 18.3% 272
Freethrows 0.28 261 69% 302 0.19 286
Total Offense -6.3 329

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 53% 64 +3.8 60
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 102 39% 200 -0.9 261
Three Pointers 42% 133 32% 79 +0.8 146
1st FG Attempt 0.95 61 +3.6 60
Second Chance 34.0% 313 0.95 79 0.32 217
Turnovers 15.7% 247
Freethrows 0.33 246 74% 281 0.24 264
Total Defense +1.7 120

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.7 347 -0.5 86
Shot Type Accuracy -3.0 289 -3.0 61
Possession Length 18.6 314 17.7 257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 350 0.19 254
Improvement +0.7 #142 +2.1 #75

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 18.9% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 98.7% 99.9% 97.1%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 100.0% 99.6%
Conference Champion 16.5% 25.0% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.1% 5.5% 4.5%
First Round12.9% 16.3% 8.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 23 - 3
Quad 415 - 918 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 348 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 68% +3  60% 1 - 0 B- +8 D -5 F+ B+ F+ A +12 A A F
 Mon, Nov 10 198 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 54% -6  4% 1 - 1 F+ -14 F -23 F F F A- +9 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 177 @Drake W 61 - 59 27% +5  73% 2 - 1 C+ +4 D -6 D+ D- C A +10 A+ F C-
 Mon, Nov 17 38 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 3% -12  3% 2 - 2 D -8 B- +4 C B+ C- F -14 D+ C F
 Fri, Nov 21 350 @Air Force L 63 - 77 68% -8  1% 2 - 3 F -23 F -13 F D F+ F+ -11 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 316 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 68% +2  45% 3 - 3 B- +5 B+ +9 C- C A+ C- -2 A- D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 347 @North Florida W 72 - 63 68% +1  54% 4 - 3 C -0 F+ -8 D- D D+ A- +9 A C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 288 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 71% -8  0% 4 - 4 F -20 D- -8 D- D- A+ F -13 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 317 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 58% -0  42% 4 - 5 0 - 1 D -11 D+ -3 B F C- D -7 F F+ B+
 Mon, Dec 22 362 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 82% -3  23% 5 - 5 1 - 1 D -9 F -16 F A+ F B+ +6 D+ C+ C+
 Thu, Jan 1 343 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 83% +6  99% 6 - 5 2 - 1 D -11 F -16 F B- F B +6 B- D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 292 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 72% +2  54% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D- -12 D+ -3 C- C C+ D- -9 F B- A
 Tue, Jan 6 243 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 62% +2  71% 7 - 6 3 - 2 C- -4 F -11 F+ D F+ B+ +8 A+ F+ C-
 Thu, Jan 8 301 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 73% +6  92% 7 - 7 3 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 D A- F F -12 C D F
 Thu, Jan 15 218 @Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 33% -3  8% 7 - 8 3 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 F D+ A+ C +0 B+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 229 @Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 55 35% +16  94% 8 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +12 C +0 C C C+ A+ +13 A+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 22 234 Tennessee St. W 74 - 66 60% +2  52% 9 - 8 5 - 4 C +1 C+ +2 B+ D- D C -0 A D- F
 Sat, Jan 24 321 Tennessee Tech W 62 - 58 79% +9  99% 10 - 8 6 - 4 D -9 D- -8 F C- B- C -0 A- C F
 Thu, Jan 29 292 @Morehead St. L 65 - 67 50% +2  65% 10 - 9 6 - 5 D+ -7 F+ -9 C F D C+ +2 C- A- F
 Sat, Jan 31 343 @Southern Indiana W 58 - 46 66% +0  37% 11 - 9 7 - 5 C+ +3 F+ -8 D- C+ F A+ +14 A B- B
 Tue, Feb 3 243 @Lindenwood W 78 - 72 39% -4  15% 12 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +4 C +0 B D D- B- +4 C+ B C
 Sat, Feb 7 301 @Arkansas Little Rock W 71 - 61 52% +9  98% 13 - 9 9 - 5 B- +5 D+ -4 D- F B+ A- +9 A- A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 229 Southeast Missouri St. W 69 - 67 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 218 Tennessee Martin W 62 - 61 56%
 Thu, Feb 19 321 @Tennessee Tech W 69 - 67 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 234 @Tennessee St. L 69 - 72 38%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 Western Illinois W 72 - 56 93%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 Eastern Illinois W 65 - 57 77%
Totals 17 - 11 13 - 7 -5 D -6 D D+ D+ C+ +2 B C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ D C D+ 33% 31% 36% F+ D D+ C- D+ D+ D+ D D+ C+ B C B- B 35% 23% 42% B- B D B- C- D+ C- D+ D+
1.00 53% 33% 34% -3 -2 0.92 28% 1.0 .27 18% .28 69% .19 1.06 53% 39% 32% -3 -1 0.95 34% 1.0 .32 16% .33 74% .21
Nov
7		 Texas San Antonio D F C- A D- 46% 29% 25% D- F+ D A+ B+ F+ A+ F A- A A+ F A- A 33% 21% 46% C+ A D+ A+ A F F+ A+ D+
1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26 0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20
Nov
10		 Indiana St. F C F F F 29% 45% 25% F F C F F F C- F D A- A+ F A A+ 37% 8% 55% B- A+ F A D+ A D- F F
0.77 56% 28% 21% -10 -4 0.75 33% 0.4 .14 21% .23 62% .14 0.90 44% 50% 26% -11 +1 0.84 35% 0.9 .30 24% .31 76% .24
Nov
14		 Drake D A+ B F C 18% 31% 51% F D+ C+ F D- C F F F A A+ A A- A+ 29% 20% 51% C A+ D+ F F C- A+ A+ A+
1.00 89% 40% 28% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .18 15% .17 56% .10 0.97 43% 30% 28% -10 -1 0.80 28% 1.5 .41 13% .15 50% .08
Nov
17		 Wisconsin B- F A- B+ C 41% 27% 31% C C C+ A+ B+ C- D- A+ C- F C C+ F D 28% 9% 63% B- D+ F A C F D F F
1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18 1.42 60% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34
Nov
21		 Air Force F C C- F F+ 32% 34% 34% F F D- B- D F+ A+ D A F+ A+ F B A- 40% 14% 47% C A- F F F F F F F
0.92 60% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 19% .43 67% .29 1.12 35% 50% 30% -10 +1 0.84 33% 1.4 .47 15% .56 73% .41
Nov
23		 Alabama St. B+ A+ F B+ C+ 33% 31% 37% F C- B+ F+ C A+ A+ F A C- A F A+ A 35% 22% 43% C- A- F B- D+ F F F F
1.25 75% 27% 39% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .38 12% .51 67% .34 1.02 44% 50% 20% -11 0 0.78 39% 0.8 .29 14% .54 81% .43
Dec
2		 North Florida F+ F C B F+ 45% 15% 40% C+ D- B F D D+ A- F B- A- A D+ B A 35% 14% 51% C A C D- C- C A F A-
1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21 0.97 44% 43% 31% -6 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Western Michigan D- C- B- F D- 34% 21% 45% D D- F+ B- D- A+ D+ F F+ F B- F F F 27% 30% 43% A F D+ F F A+ F F F
1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16 1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35
Dec
18		 Eastern Illinois D+ D+ F A+ B+ 32% 22% 46% D- B F F F C- D- B D D F+ F+ C+ F 34% 28% 38% C- F F+ D F+ B+ D+ C- D+
1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23 1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23
Dec
22		 Western Illinois F F F+ D F 27% 38% 36% F F D- A+ A+ F A+ B A+ B+ C+ C+ C+ D+ 39% 33% 28% C+ D+ A+ F C+ C+ F C- F+
0.93 50% 29% 31% -7 -3 0.82 28% 2.1 .60 24% .43 78% .34 0.86 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 14% 1.5 .21 18% .38 68% .26
Jan
1		 Southern Indiana F F D+ A F 40% 33% 27% F F B+ C B- F A+ F A- B A- A A B+ 44% 19% 37% F+ B- F C- D- A+ F A+ F
0.89 28% 33% 42% -11 -2 0.78 38% 0.9 .36 23% .51 58% .29 0.83 42% 25% 25% -14 +1 0.74 34% 0.9 .29 26% .51 52% .26
Jan
3		 Morehead St. D+ D A+ C- C 38% 20% 42% D+ C- B- D+ C C+ D B+ C- D- F F B- F 43% 19% 38% F F B C B- A F D F
1.13 53% 60% 33% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.8 .33 14% .29 75% .22 1.15 72% 50% 31% +7 +1 1.17 31% 0.9 .27 24% .45 77% .35
Jan
6		 Lindenwood F D F A D 32% 36% 32% F F+ D- B- D F+ A C+ A B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 23% 34% C A+ D D- F+ C- B+ C B
0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29 0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18
Jan
8		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ F B- A C- 23% 28% 49% F D A C+ A- F B+ D+ B- F D+ C+ C C- 29% 40% 31% A- C F A- D F F C- F
1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24 1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31
Jan
15		 Tennessee Martin D- F A+ F F+ 22% 41% 37% F F F+ B+ D+ A+ D F F C C F A B 15% 17% 67% B+ B+ D+ F+ D- F+ F C F
0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12 1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32
Jan
17		 Southeast Missouri St. C F B A+ C+ 43% 24% 33% D+ C C- B C C+ F D F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 24% 31% B- A+ A B- A B+ F B- F
1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23 0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30
Jan
22		 Tennessee St. C+ A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% D- B+ B- F D- D A+ F A- C B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% D- A F A- D- F F F F
1.17 76% 20% 50% +12 0 1.24 34% 0.7 .24 21% .50 68% .34 1.04 55% 25% 18% -13 0 0.76 46% 0.8 .37 11% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Tennessee Tech D- A F F F 37% 26% 37% D F B- D- C- B- C B+ C+ C C B+ A+ A- 38% 33% 29% A- A- D- B+ C F C C C
1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24 1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21
Jan
29		 Morehead St. F+ C F A C+ 33% 20% 47% D C F F F D F F F C+ D+ B C C- 45% 34% 20% C+ C- A B A- F F B- F
1.01 59% 30% 42% +4 0 1.10 23% 0.5 .11 17% .19 60% .11 1.04 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.8 .20 12% .42 71% .30
Jan
31		 Southern Indiana F+ D+ A F D- 49% 27% 24% D+ D- D- A+ C+ F B+ B A- A+ F A+ A+ B+ 17% 38% 46% A+ A C- A B- B B- F C-
0.96 55% 45% 20% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 22% .38 78% .30 0.76 63% 17% 23% -15 -4 0.65 28% 0.6 .18 20% .27 77% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Lindenwood C A F A+ B+ 47% 27% 27% D B D D+ D D- B D C+ B- B+ C- C C 40% 31% 29% A- C+ F A+ B C C A B-
1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24 0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19
Feb
7		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ A+ F B+ D 33% 27% 39% F D- F C+ F B+ D+ A+ B- A- D- A F B- 11% 54% 35% A+ A- D+ A+ A- F A- D B
1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23 0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1.0 9.7 5.9 16.5 1st
2nd 0.4 11.2 11.5 0.7 23.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.9 15.4 1.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 10.4 4.5 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 8.8 0.4 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 6.1 1.8 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 2.4 10.8 25.3 32.5 22.3 6.5 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 90.0% 5.9    3.7 2.0 0.2 0.0
14-6 43.6% 9.7    1.0 4.0 3.7 0.9 0.1
13-7 2.9% 1.0    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.5% 16.5 4.8 6.0 4.2 1.2 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 6.5% 33.1% 33.1% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.3 4.4
14-6 22.3% 26.1% 26.1% 15.8 0.0 1.3 4.5 16.5
13-7 32.5% 15.4% 15.4% 15.8 0.0 0.7 4.3 27.5
12-8 25.3% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.2 1.5 23.6
11-9 10.8% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 10.2
10-10 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.4
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 15.7 84.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.2% 100.0% 15.0 0.2 17.4 66.7 15.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%