Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#297
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#251
Pace74.5#54
Improvement+0.0#177

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#297
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#238
Layup/Dunks-2.5#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#282
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#263
First Shot-4.1#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#82
Layups/Dunks+2.6#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#324
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement+0.1#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 6.4% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 7.6% 33.5% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 52.7% 32.8%
Conference Champion 1.4% 5.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 5.4% 9.7%
First Four1.1% 2.0% 1.1%
First Round1.6% 5.4% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 13
Quad 49 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 78 @Cincinnati L 63-94 6%     0 - 1 -20.5 -7.0 -9.7
  Sat, Nov 8 2 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -15.3 -10.1 -1.7
  Sun, Nov 16 347 Stetson W 76-65 76%     1 - 2 -3.8 -7.2 +2.9
  Wed, Nov 19 223 UNC Asheville W 80-73 47%     2 - 2 +0.4 +10.0 -9.0
  Sat, Nov 22 141 @Lipscomb L 62-83 14%     2 - 3 -16.8 -11.3 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 105 @High Point L 73-93 10%     2 - 4 -12.9 -3.6 -8.1
  Sat, Dec 6 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-78 32%     2 - 5 -13.5 -7.6 -5.6
  Thu, Dec 11 64 @Virginia Tech L 74-96 5%     2 - 6 -10.3 +3.5 -13.0
  Thu, Dec 18 19 @Georgia L 71-97 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 225 Wofford L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 151 @Furman L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 238 @Samford L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 359 @The Citadel W 75-71 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 123 East Tennessee St. L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 226 Chattanooga L 75-76 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 167 @Mercer L 75-85 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 330 VMI W 79-73 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 123 @East Tennessee St. L 68-81 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 238 Samford L 76-77 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 293 @UNC Greensboro L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 225 @Wofford L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 359 The Citadel W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 14 226 @Chattanooga L 72-79 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 293 UNC Greensboro W 77-74 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 @VMI W 76-75 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 167 Mercer L 78-82 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 151 Furman L 72-77 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 2.4 0.4 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.7 4.1 0.5 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.5 7.3 4.1 0.7 0.0 17.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.3 6.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 17.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.5 4.0 1.7 0.2 13.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 7.5 10.6 13.6 14.7 14.0 11.9 8.7 6.0 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 60.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.7% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 16.1% 16.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.7% 12.2% 12.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
12-6 3.5% 8.9% 8.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.2
11-7 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 5.7
10-8 8.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
9-9 11.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.6
8-10 14.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.7
7-11 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.5
6-12 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 97.9 0.0%