Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#249
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#207
Pace69.7#180
Improvement-0.9#246

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#221
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#312
Layup/Dunks+1.7#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#216
Freethrows-1.7#287
Improvement+1.4#75

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#286
First Shot+0.7#144
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#356
Layups/Dunks+3.0#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#355
Freethrows+1.6#86
Improvement-2.4#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 15.9% 22.6% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.6% 32.5% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 6.5% 18.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 53.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 241 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 60%     1 - 0 -2.7 -4.3 +1.3
  Sun, Nov 9 229 @Campbell L 82-91 35%     1 - 1 -10.1 -1.2 -7.7
  Wed, Nov 12 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 56%     2 - 1 +5.4 -1.6 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 16 274 @South Dakota L 78-83 42%     2 - 2 -8.1 +2.9 -11.1
  Thu, Nov 20 31 @Ohio St. L 58-91 3%     2 - 3 -16.3 -9.9 -5.2
  Sun, Nov 23 302 Mount St. Mary's W 83-60 70%     3 - 3 +12.6 +8.3 +5.0
  Sat, Nov 29 211 @Valparaiso L 55-84 32%     3 - 4 -29.3 -12.1 -19.4
  Wed, Dec 3 318 Southern Indiana W 88-74 75%     4 - 4 +1.8 +8.1 -6.8
  Sat, Dec 6 234 @SIU Edwardsville W 83-73 35%     5 - 4 +8.9 +14.3 -5.2
  Sun, Dec 14 22 @Iowa L 51-91 2%     5 - 5 -21.5 -8.5 -16.5
  Sat, Dec 20 209 Buffalo W 77-76 54%    
  Tue, Dec 30 167 @Toledo L 76-83 24%    
  Tue, Jan 6 103 @Miami (OH) L 72-85 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 224 Eastern Michigan W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Jan 13 154 Massachusetts L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 66 @Akron L 76-93 6%    
  Tue, Jan 20 125 Bowling Green L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 326 Central Michigan W 78-70 76%    
  Tue, Jan 27 323 @Northern Illinois W 78-76 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 177 @Ohio L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 167 Toledo L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 224 @Eastern Michigan L 70-74 35%    
  Tue, Feb 17 66 Akron L 79-90 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 326 @Central Michigan W 75-73 57%    
  Tue, Feb 24 125 @Bowling Green L 68-79 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 103 Miami (OH) L 75-82 27%    
  Tue, Mar 3 307 Ball St. W 73-67 71%    
  Fri, Mar 6 132 @Kent St. L 77-87 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.2 1.9 0.2 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.7 3.6 0.4 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.9 5.0 0.9 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.3 1.8 0.1 13.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 4.3 7.0 2.7 0.1 14.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 13.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.5 2.3 0.3 10.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.1 6.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.7 5.6 9.3 13.6 15.7 15.5 13.1 10.4 6.3 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 26.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 8.3% 8.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 12.8% 12.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 4.8% 4.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.8% 4.4% 4.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 4.0% 2.6% 2.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
10-8 6.3% 1.8% 1.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.2
9-9 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.3
8-10 13.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.0
7-11 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.4
6-12 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.7
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 9.3% 9.3
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%