Oregon
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#66
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#111
Pace69.3#192
Improvement+2.5#43

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#67
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#10
Layup/Dunks-4.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#114
Freethrows+2.8#39
Improvement+3.7#9

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#76
First Shot+4.3#49
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#256
Layups/Dunks+3.0#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#121
Freethrows+2.1#67
Improvement-1.2#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 7.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.4% 7.7% 1.9%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.9
.500 or above 24.6% 25.6% 7.2%
.500 or above in Conference 12.4% 12.8% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 9.0% 15.9%
First Four2.5% 2.6% 0.9%
First Round6.2% 6.5% 1.6%
Second Round2.8% 2.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 94.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 13
Quad 23 - 45 - 17
Quad 34 - 19 - 18
Quad 45 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 111 Hawaii W 60-59 77%     1 - 0 +1.5 -13.1 +14.5
  Fri, Nov 7 210 Rice W 67-63 91%     2 - 0 -2.1 -5.7 +3.8
  Wed, Nov 12 158 South Dakota St. W 83-69 85%     3 - 0 +11.1 +9.1 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 17 157 Oregon St. W 87-75 85%     4 - 0 +9.1 +15.2 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 24 28 Auburn L 73-84 28%     4 - 1 +3.4 +4.5 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 25 52 San Diego St. L 80-97 42%     4 - 2 -6.6 +11.3 -17.9
  Thu, Nov 27 59 Creighton L 66-76 46%     4 - 3 -0.7 -1.0 -0.1
  Tue, Dec 2 34 USC L 77-82 44%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +5.0 +8.9 -4.0
  Sat, Dec 6 30 @UCLA L 63-74 21%     4 - 5 0 - 2 +5.9 +7.2 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 13 201 UC Davis W 104-62 90%     5 - 5 +36.4 +26.5 +8.5
  Wed, Dec 17 269 Portland W 84-67 95%    
  Sun, Dec 21 5 Gonzaga L 72-85 11%    
  Sun, Dec 28 235 Nebraska Omaha W 83-68 93%    
  Fri, Jan 2 94 @Maryland L 76-77 49%    
  Mon, Jan 5 133 @Rutgers W 75-71 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 31 Ohio St. L 76-78 42%    
  Tue, Jan 13 26 @Nebraska L 71-81 19%    
  Sun, Jan 18 1 Michigan L 70-86 8%    
  Tue, Jan 20 12 Michigan St. L 67-74 28%    
  Sun, Jan 25 47 @Washington L 73-79 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 30 UCLA L 71-74 41%    
  Sun, Feb 1 23 Iowa L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 7 @Purdue L 67-82 8%    
  Mon, Feb 9 27 @Indiana L 70-79 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 104 Penn St. W 82-75 74%    
  Tue, Feb 17 103 Minnesota W 73-66 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 34 @USC L 75-83 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 40 Wisconsin L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 58 @Northwestern L 74-78 36%    
  Tue, Mar 3 14 @Illinois L 72-84 13%    
  Sat, Mar 7 47 Washington W 76-75 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.4 1.4 0.1 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.1 0.4 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.8 1.3 0.1 10.2 12th
13th 0.2 3.1 6.0 2.7 0.2 12.2 13th
14th 0.2 2.6 6.7 4.1 0.5 0.0 14.1 14th
15th 0.1 1.9 5.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 13.3 15th
16th 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.0 0.9 0.1 10.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.9 3.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.2 17th
18th 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.9 10.0 13.7 15.9 15.5 13.2 9.9 6.1 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 98.6% 6.8% 91.8% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
13-7 0.7% 96.3% 1.8% 94.5% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.3%
12-8 1.8% 87.5% 0.8% 86.8% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 87.4%
11-9 3.5% 61.4% 0.3% 61.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 61.3%
10-10 6.1% 31.4% 0.2% 31.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.1 4.2 31.2%
9-11 9.9% 7.6% 7.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.1 7.6%
8-12 13.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.8%
7-13 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 15.5 0.0%
6-14 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 15.9
5-15 13.7% 13.7
4-16 10.0% 10.0
3-17 5.9% 5.9
2-18 2.6% 2.6
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.5% 0.1% 7.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 92.5 7.4%