Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 243
Results Rating -3.3 224
Consistency 0.16 228
Pace 69.2 155
Improvement -1.3 235

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 164 C- D+ B C+ B
Defense D 310 D+ D+ D+ D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 115 D+ 54% 277 -0.1 188
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 271 C- 36% 242 -2.4 294
Three Pointers 44% 119 C- 33% 225 +1.0 149
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 73 D+ -2.4 265
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 229
Second Chance C- 28.0% 247 C- 0.99 252 D+ 0.28 260
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 117
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 39
Turnovers B 14.7% 67
Freethrows C+ 0.32 129 C- 71% 247 C+ 0.23 145
Total Offense C +0.0 164

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 191 C- 11.8% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 256 C+ 4.2% 127
Three Pointers C- 81% 259 D- 1.7% 336
Total C 55% 180 C- 6.2% 257


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 C 57% 158 +4.3 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 291 C- 40% 251 -1.0 112
Three Pointers 36% 312 D- 38% 337 -0.2 169
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 343 D+ +1.9 258
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 279
Second Chance C 30.1% 175 D- 1.14 323 D+ 0.34 268
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 282
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 200
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 273
Freethrows C 0.31 214 F 77% 359 D+ 0.24 268
Total Defense D -4.9 310

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 161 D+ 9.1% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 291 F+ 1.0% 353
Three Pointers D+ 86% 255 B+ 1.9% 35
Total C 56% 199 C- 5.1% 205

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 233 16.6 55
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 294 0.18 231
Consistency 0.13 252 0.14 300
Improvement +1.9 91 -3.2 321

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 243 243 243
Results Rating Rank 224 224 224
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 414 - 617 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 99 @George Mason L 46 - 70 11% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -22 F D- F B +5 B+ D B
 Sat, Nov 8 270 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 66% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- D+ C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 39 @Auburn L 62 - 93 3% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -14 F+ -10 F+ D- C D+ -4 C- D- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 282 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 47% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B +8 A+ F D+ D+ -4 C- D- F
 Wed, Nov 19 339 North Florida W 86 - 78 84% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 D- A- D+ C- -3 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 186 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 26% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -8 C+ +3 D- F+ A F -11 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 298 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 51% +8  91% 4 - 3 C +1 C- -1 F D A+ C+ +2 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 3 266 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 65% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -9 F D- A+ A- +8 A+ D- C
 Sat, Dec 6 242 Elon L 52 - 73 61% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -29 F -22 F F B- F -10 F A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 361 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 83% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- A-
 Wed, Dec 17 82 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 8% -7  0% 6 - 5 C -1 B+ +8 C A- B+ F+ -9 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 225 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 34% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +4 C -0 C C- D B +4 B+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 3 341 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 67% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 A+ +18 A+ F C F -19 F F B
 Wed, Jan 7 297 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 72% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 189 @Mercer L 97 - 109 27% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -11 A +12 B- B B- F -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 295 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 72% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -20 F -14 F+ F B+ D -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 17 182 @Furman W 74 - 70 26% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B +7 B- B- B- C -1 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 207 Samford W 88 - 78 52% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 C+ +5 A +14 A+ C- B F+ -9 D- D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 189 Mercer W 80 - 77 49% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -2 C +0 C B+ B- C- -2 C- A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 295 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 50% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +21 B +6 C C- A A+ +17 A+ B C
 Sun, Feb 1 165 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 42% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -17 C +0 C- B- B+ F -19 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @VMI W 81 - 67 80% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +0 C- -0 C+ F A C+ +1 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 225 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 57% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +4 C- -2 B- F F+ B+ +7 A D+ C-
 Wed, Feb 11 207 @Samford L 80 - 97 29% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +0 C- F+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 297 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 51% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B+ +8 C+ A C- F -23 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 359 VMI W 82 - 76 91% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -14 D+ -4 B D C F -10 D+ D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 182 Furman L 67 - 76 47% -4  24% 16 - 11 10 - 6 D- -13 D+ -4 C- D- A- F -10 F B+ D-
 Wed, Feb 25 165 @East Tennessee St. W 72 - 69 22% -0  41% 17 - 11 11 - 6 B- +6 C +2 F+ B- A+ B +5 D- B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 28 341 The Citadel L 90 - 93 OT 84% -3  18% 17 - 12 11 - 7 F -19 C +1 C+ A D- F -19 F F+ D
 Sat, Mar 7 297 UNC Greensboro L 72 - 75 62% -1  37% 17 - 13 D -11 D -6 D- F A+ D -6 C D- D
Totals 17 - 13 11 - 7 -5 C +0 B D+ B D -5 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C- C- D+ 41% 30% 44% B C- C- C- D+ B C+ C- C+ D C C- D- D+ 47% 17% 36% D- D+ C D- D+ D+ C F D+
1.09 54% 36% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 15% .32 71% .23 1.16 57% 40% 38% +2 +1 1.08 30% 1.1 .34 15% .31 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B F F F 19% 19% 62% D+ F C- F D- F A F B B C+ B B- B+ 42% 25% 33% C+ B+ B+ F D B B+ D+ B-
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D- B- F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F+ C- C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D F+ D- C F A F D+ B- F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A- C- F B D- B- A A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% D- C- F B- D- F F C- F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D C- A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C- A+ A- D+ A+ F A- C- C A+ F F+ 36% 12% 53% C- D- A+ F+ A+ D- A+ B A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D- D- C- F F+ A A+ B A+ F F+ A- C F+ 55% 22% 24% C D- C F F F F F+ F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C- C- D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ D D A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ B- A+ A- A+ 28% 20% 52% D+ A D F F F+ C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D F 39% 10% 51% B- F B F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A+ D- D+ D- C C+ A- B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F B- C F D F C+ F F F 52% 9% 39% D F F A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F+ 39% 20% 41% D+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ B+ 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ C- A- A- D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D A+ F D+ 37% 18% 45% A- C A+ C A- B+ A+ B- A+ F+ F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C F A- F+ C D F C F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C F A+ B+ C 32% 12% 56% B- C D+ B C- D A D B+ B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B F B- F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D- A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B F F C A- A- A F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F B D F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A+ B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D- C+ B B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C- A+ B B- A C A- F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C F+ F F F B+ B+ F C+ D C F F F 38% 14% 48% F+ F A A+ A C- D- B- D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B B+ A D B- 44% 16% 40% B B- D+ A+ B- B- C- A- C C A+ F A+ A- 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C F D
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D 41% 12% 47% F D- D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +4 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C B- A- B+ B- C- B C C- C+ D- C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% F C- A A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B D+ F+ B+ D+ 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F C- A C- F D A+ B B- A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D A+ D A+ B C F A+ C
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ F+ D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- B+ C- A C+ F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C- A+ F A B- 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A+ C+ A+ C+ C C+ C- D- 42% 17% 40% C- D- B+ A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina C- A- B D+ B- 49% 17% 34% B+ B- F C- F F+ F A+ D B+ A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D+ B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C- D D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B+ A- A+ D- C+ 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C+ A C- A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F B+ C+ B F F F+ F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B B- 31% 4% 64% A- B F+ B- D C A+ D+ A+ F C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F D- C- F+ F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
21		 Furman D+ C+ A+ F D 48% 8% 44% A C- D- D- D- A- A F C F B- A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A C- B+ D- D+ F D-
1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18 1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +3 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24
Feb
25		 East Tennessee St. C C- F F+ F 39% 17% 44% C F+ D+ A+ B- A+ C- B C B F C+ A+ D 55% 18% 27% D- D- C+ A+ B+ B- F A+ C
1.08 57% 22% 29% -6 +1 0.91 26% 1.3 .34 9% .30 78% .23 1.04 79% 38% 17% +4 +1 1.14 26% 0.9 .22 18% .40 59% .24
Feb
28		 The Citadel C B F B+ C 45% 5% 50% B+ C+ B A+ A D- F+ C D- F D- B- F F 47% 6% 47% F F C+ F F+ D F F F
1.22 68% 0% 39% +6 +2 1.20 38% 1.3 .50 18% .21 69% .15 1.26 63% 33% 42% +7 +3 1.22 26% 1.3 .34 15% .45 75% .33
Mar
7		 UNC Greensboro D C- F B F 47% 14% 40% A- D- F D F A+ B- F F D A+ F D+ C+ 30% 14% 57% D C D+ F D- D F D F
1.10 59% 0% 39% -2 +1 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 3% .30 32% .09 1.14 38% 50% 36% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.2 .35 14% .53 73% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%