Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#93
Pace70.6#165
Improvement+1.1#89

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#321
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#309
Layup/Dunks-4.3#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#127
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#228
First Shot+0.7#141
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#316
Layups/Dunks-7.6#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#15
Freethrows+0.4#162
Improvement+0.6#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 15.6% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 52.8% 83.8% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 72.6% 89.2% 72.3%
Conference Champion 12.6% 25.6% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four4.2% 1.7% 4.3%
First Round7.3% 14.1% 7.2%
Second Round0.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 815 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 22 @Indiana L 51-98 2%     0 - 1 -28.9 -13.1 -15.5
  Thu, Nov 13 282 Charleston Southern W 68-64 58%     1 - 1 -5.5 -8.7 +3.2
  Sun, Nov 16 306 Lindenwood W 74-65 64%     2 - 1 -1.9 +0.3 -1.9
  Fri, Nov 28 38 @Clemson L 58-80 2%    
  Sun, Nov 30 253 @Coastal Carolina L 70-75 31%    
  Wed, Dec 3 224 Tennessee St. L 75-76 48%    
  Sun, Dec 7 176 @Lipscomb L 66-75 21%    
  Mon, Dec 15 242 North Alabama W 72-71 51%    
  Wed, Dec 17 49 Mississippi L 63-81 5%    
  Sun, Dec 21 188 Chattanooga L 72-74 40%    
  Sat, Jan 3 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-74 68%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 10 338 Alcorn St. W 74-68 72%    
  Mon, Jan 12 326 Jackson St. W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 266 @Alabama St. L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 307 @Texas Southern L 73-75 42%    
  Mon, Jan 26 332 @Prairie View L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 351 Florida A&M W 76-68 76%    
  Mon, Feb 2 217 Bethune-Cookman L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 197 @Southern L 71-79 24%    
  Mon, Feb 9 290 @Grambling St. L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-63 94%    
  Mon, Feb 16 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-71 83%    
  Thu, Feb 19 351 @Florida A&M W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 217 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-76 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 266 Alabama St. W 74-73 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 290 Grambling St. W 72-69 60%    
  Thu, Mar 5 197 Southern L 74-76 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.9 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 12.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.3 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.1 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.9 5.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.0 5.2 1.4 0.1 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.1 1.5 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.7 1.6 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.7 0.2 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.5 0.2 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.3 3.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 5.0 7.3 10.0 11.8 13.3 13.2 11.6 9.4 6.6 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 92.6% 1.8    1.6 0.2
15-3 80.0% 3.1    2.4 0.7 0.0
14-4 58.9% 3.9    2.0 1.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 24.0% 2.3    0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
12-6 5.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.6% 12.6 7.7 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 41.9% 41.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 42.7% 42.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.9% 36.1% 36.1% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.2
15-3 3.9% 24.1% 24.1% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.0
14-4 6.6% 23.7% 23.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 5.0
13-5 9.4% 17.1% 17.1% 15.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.8
12-6 11.6% 12.7% 12.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 10.1
11-7 13.2% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.1 1.2 11.9
10-8 13.3% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 12.4
9-9 11.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.3
8-10 10.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 9.6
7-11 7.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.2
6-12 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-13 2.8% 2.8
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.3 6.6 90.3 0.0%