American
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.0 251
Results Rating -5.8 253
Consistency 0.16 235
Pace 67.0 226
Improvement -2.0 262

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 246 C D- C D+ B-
Defense C- 241 D+ C- B- D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 C- 56% 231 -1.6 240
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 315 C- 36% 247 -2.9 313
Three Pointers 49% 31 C 34% 176 +4.2 49
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 83 C- -1.1 211
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 184
Second Chance D 25.3% 320 D 0.93 320 D- 0.23 336
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 200
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 139
Turnovers C 16.5% 164
Freethrows D 0.26 312 B- 75% 93 D+ 0.20 266
Total Offense C- -2.7 246

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 328 D+ 12.6% 284
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 10% 354 C- 6.0% 250
Three Pointers C 84% 196 D 1.5% 319
Total C- 52% 247 C- 6.3% 260

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 D+ 62% 287 +4.3 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 161 D 42% 301 +0.9 263
Three Pointers 36% 318 C- 35% 239 -1.9 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 216 D +3.0 305
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 293
Second Chance C- 31.6% 242 C 1.02 160 C- 0.32 219
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 166
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 62
Turnovers B- 18.1% 95
Freethrows F+ 0.38 350 C+ 72% 139 D- 0.27 336
Total Defense C- -2.3 241

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 291 F 3.6% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 22 D 2.4% 316
Three Pointers D+ 88% 295 D 0.3% 308
Total C 56% 185 F 2.2% 362

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 269 16.7 78
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 163 0.17 191
Consistency 0.12 154 0.12 193
Improvement -0.2 196 -1.8 279

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 268 249 226
Results Rating Rank 283 254 206
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 11% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 68% 100% 15%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 4% 7%
First Round7% 9% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 414 - 815 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 71 @Wake Forest L 74 - 88 7% -9  2% 0 - 1 C- -3 D+ -2 C B- F+ C+ +1 B+ F C
 Sun, Nov 9 166 Penn W 84 - 78 44% +3  76% 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +0 B D C- B- +2 C B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 78 @George Washington L 67 - 107 8% -20  0% 1 - 2 F -30 F -11 C F D- F -15 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 113 @Rutgers L 71 - 80 15% -1  44% 1 - 3 C- -3 D+ -2 F+ D- A+ C -0 C+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 28 340 Maine W 74 - 61 83% +12  98% 2 - 3 C- -2 C -0 B- F A+ C -1 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 201 Siena L 55 - 59 52% -1  24% 2 - 4 D -9 F -23 F F+ F A+ +14 B+ A A+
 Sun, Nov 30 262 Longwood W 92 - 66 64% +8  73% 3 - 4 A- +17 A- +11 B- B- B B+ +6 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 215 Drexel W 75 - 73 54% -1  42% 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 B+ F A+ D- -7 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78 - 60 86% +10  71% 5 - 4 C +1 B +7 A- F+ B- C- -3 F A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 83 - 105 5% -12  2% 5 - 5 D+ -8 A +13 B+ D A F -20 F+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 20 @Virginia L 51 - 95 2% -22  0% 5 - 6 F -23 F+ -9 D C- B- F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 319 Loyola Maryland W 84 - 69 78% +10  86% 6 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +5 A F+ C+ C- -2 F B A+
 Sat, Jan 3 258 @Boston University W 64 - 62 40% +5  77% 7 - 6 2 - 0 C -0 D -5 C F D+ B +5 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 250 @Colgate L 62 - 64 38% +5  84% 7 - 7 2 - 1 C- -4 D+ -4 A F F+ C -0 B- D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 327 Holy Cross L 73 - 84 79% -3  44% 7 - 8 2 - 2 F -25 F -10 F D+ C- F -14 F D D
 Mon, Jan 12 146 Navy W 65 - 51 39% +11  98% 8 - 8 3 - 2 B+ +12 C- -1 C- F+ A+ A+ +15 A+ A A-
 Sun, Jan 18 341 @Army W 78 - 67 65% +7  93% 9 - 8 4 - 2 C+ +2 B +6 C+ A+ F C- -3 D- C+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 250 Colgate W 70 - 66 61% +1  53% 10 - 8 5 - 2 C- -4 D- -7 C- A+ F B +4 B- B B+
 Sat, Jan 24 327 @Holy Cross W 76 - 67 60% +8  96% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 C D- B+ C -1 F B A
 Wed, Jan 28 319 @Loyola Maryland L 68 - 77 58% -8  8% 11 - 9 6 - 3 F+ -16 F -16 D F D C +0 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 323 Lafayette L 65 - 67 79% +1  62% 11 - 10 6 - 4 F+ -15 F+ -9 F+ C- D- D -6 F B+ C+
 Wed, Feb 4 334 Bucknell L 59 - 60 82% +2  63% 11 - 11 6 - 5 F+ -16 F -11 F D- D+ D -5 D+ F+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 146 @Navy L 73 - 82 20% -3  14% 11 - 12 6 - 6 D+ -5 B+ +8 B+ D+ D+ F -14 F C- F
 Wed, Feb 11 295 @Lehigh L 82 - 90 50% -11  5% 11 - 13 6 - 7 D- -13 C +0 D+ C+ A- F -13 F D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 341 Army W 75 - 63 83% +6  73% 12 - 13 7 - 7 C- -3 D+ -4 A F D C+ +2 C+ F+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 334 @Bucknell W 75 - 57 64% +6  80% 13 - 13 8 - 7 B +9 B- +4 D- D- A+ A- +7 C- C- B+
 Sun, Feb 22 323 @Lafayette W 75 - 61 59% +5  82% 14 - 13 9 - 7 B- +7 A- +11 B+ C+ B C- -2 D C+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 295 Lehigh L 73 - 78 72% -3  34% 14 - 14 9 - 8 F+ -16 D+ -3 F+ B- A+ F -13 F C D-
 Sat, Feb 28 258 Boston University W 74 - 71 63%
Totals 15 - 14 10 - 8 -5 C- -3 C+ C- B- C- -2 C B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C- 37% 25% 49% B- C D D D- C D B- D+ C- D+ D C- D 43% 21% 36% C- D+ C- C C- B- F+ C+ D-
1.05 56% 36% 34% -1 +1 1.01 25% 0.9 .23 17% .26 75% .20 1.12 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.0 .32 18% .38 72% .19
Nov
3		 Wake Forest D+ A D F C- 38% 6% 56% A- C D A+ B- F+ C+ A+ A- C+ F A+ A+ A 53% 12% 35% F B+ C- F F C D- D+ D-
0.98 68% 33% 25% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.3 .34 24% .31 89% .28 1.17 70% 14% 20% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 15% .37 79% .29
Nov
9		 Penn C D+ A+ C- B- 41% 9% 50% B+ B D+ D- D C- A+ C A B- D A+ F C- 31% 27% 42% C+ C A C- B+ A+ F F F
1.09 57% 100% 32% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23 1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42
Nov
12		 George Washington F A+ C+ F C 34% 19% 47% C C F C- F D- F F F F C+ F F F 46% 6% 48% C- F F F F C- F D- F
0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07 1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41
Nov
18		 Rutgers D+ F F B- F 39% 15% 46% B F+ D- D+ D- A+ D+ B C- C D+ A+ C B- 44% 29% 27% D- C+ B F F C+ F F+ F
1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18 1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40
Nov
28		 Maine C C+ C B+ B 33% 17% 50% C- B- F F F A+ A D+ A- C F F C+ F 41% 26% 33% C+ F F+ A+ C+ A+ F A+ F
1.11 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 12% .41 67% .27 0.92 69% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 24% 0.7 .17 27% .60 52% .31
Nov
29		 Siena F C- F F F 39% 32% 29% D F F+ D F+ F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B 37% 39% 24% A- B+ F+ A+ A A+ F A+ F
0.79 56% 23% 17% -13 -1 0.73 24% 0.9 .21 27% .41 76% .31 0.85 43% 53% 22% -4 -3 0.89 35% 0.5 .18 29% .70 60% .42
Nov
30		 Longwood A- B+ D A- B 33% 12% 55% C B- D A+ B- B A+ A+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ A+ 45% 19% 36% D- A+ B- A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.28 71% 33% 39% +8 +1 1.20 25% 1.3 .32 17% .50 90% .45 0.92 57% 11% 12% -18 +1 0.68 30% 0.5 .15 14% .68 76% .52
Dec
3		 Drexel C+ D A+ A B+ 37% 16% 47% B- B+ D F F A+ A+ F A D- F B+ F F 54% 19% 27% F+ F B- A+ A+ D- C A B-
1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30 1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16
Dec
6		 Maryland Eastern Shore B F A+ A+ B+ 47% 4% 49% A A- C+ F F+ B- F C+ F C- F D F F 45% 35% 20% B F A+ D A+ A+ A B+ A
1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11 0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09
Dec
18		 Virginia Commonwealth A D F A+ B+ 37% 11% 52% B B+ C- F+ D A A- A+ A+ F F C- D F 43% 13% 44% C F+ F F F C- A F C
1.18 50% 17% 43% +2 +1 1.07 28% 0.8 .23 13% .36 86% .31 1.49 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 50% 1.5 .77 14% .30 94% .28
Dec
22		 Virginia F+ B+ F F D- 19% 23% 58% C- D C- C+ C- B- F A+ F F F F D F 52% 4% 44% F F F F F C- D+ A+ B+
0.80 60% 25% 23% -12 -2 0.75 24% 0.9 .22 16% .11 83% .09 1.49 72% 100% 38% +13 +3 1.33 52% 1.5 .78 14% .33 56% .18
Dec
31		 Loyola Maryland B- B A+ A+ A 51% 18% 31% B A F A F+ C+ F F F C- A+ F F F 38% 10% 52% D+ F F A+ B A+ F F F
1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10 1.03 44% 75% 41% +3 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37
Jan
3		 Boston University D F A+ A C 39% 20% 41% C C F F F D+ D A+ C- B C A+ B- A+ 27% 18% 55% B A+ D+ F F F D- C+ D
1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20 1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24
Jan
7		 Colgate D+ D- D+ A+ B+ 57% 6% 36% A+ A F F F F+ F F F C C A D+ B 50% 24% 26% D- B- F A D+ C+ F A+ F
1.04 52% 33% 53% +6 +3 1.21 21% 0.5 .10 19% .12 50% .06 1.08 57% 30% 36% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 17% .47 61% .28
Jan
10		 Holy Cross F A A F F 37% 20% 43% C- F C- D+ D+ C- A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 32% 34% 34% B F C F D D F B- F
1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39
Jan
12		 Navy C- B+ A+ F D 35% 6% 59% A+ C- B+ F F+ A+ F B F A+ A- B A+ A+ 38% 23% 40% C- A+ B+ A+ A A- F B- F
1.04 68% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13 0.82 47% 33% 19% -14 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35
Jan
18		 Army B C B B+ C+ 30% 16% 53% C- C+ B A+ A+ F A- B- A C- D+ F B D- 51% 8% 41% F+ D- F+ A C+ D A F B-
1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33 1.06 60% 50% 30% 0 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15
Jan
21		 Colgate D- C+ F C+ D+ 45% 16% 39% B- C- A- A+ A+ F D+ A+ B- B D- C B C 30% 36% 34% A B- C+ A B B+ F A F
1.04 60% 14% 35% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .48 28% .29 86% .25 0.98 64% 41% 31% +2 -3 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 19% .42 65% .28
Jan
24		 Holy Cross C+ B- C+ D- C- 49% 13% 38% B+ C D+ F+ D- B+ D- A+ D+ C B C F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F D+ A+ B A C F D
1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17 1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24
Jan
28		 Loyola Maryland F F F A F+ 43% 13% 45% B+ D F F F D D C D+ C A+ F A A- 39% 22% 39% B+ A- C+ F F C- F F F
0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19 1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lafayette F+ A+ F F F+ 33% 23% 44% C- F+ B- F C- D- C C C D D+ F D+ F 38% 13% 49% C- F F A+ B+ C+ F A+ D+
1.02 75% 27% 24% -4 -1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 17% .29 73% .21 1.05 61% 50% 35% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.4 .15 17% .36 58% .21
Feb
4		 Bucknell F F C D F 23% 11% 66% B- F B F D- D+ F F F D A- F C- D+ 38% 18% 45% C D+ B F F+ A- F F F
1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15 1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33
Feb
7		 Navy B+ A B+ B- A- 21% 17% 62% C B+ B- F D+ D+ D F F+ F D+ F F F 45% 25% 30% D+ F C D C- F F B+ F
1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13 1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36
Feb
11		 Lehigh C D F C+ D- 42% 10% 47% A- D+ D- A+ C+ A- C+ B- B- F D F F F 34% 23% 43% C F B F D+ B- F B F
1.11 52% 17% 36% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25 1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30
Feb
14		 Army D+ A A+ B- A 39% 20% 41% C A F F F D B- B- B C+ A+ A+ F C+ 41% 9% 50% D+ C+ D- D- F+ A F B F+
1.14 72% 67% 37% +13 0 1.28 20% 0.4 .08 17% .38 76% .29 0.96 42% 0% 39% -6 +2 0.93 33% 1.1 .36 23% .35 67% .24
Feb
18		 Bucknell B- D- F B F 38% 16% 47% B D- F C+ D- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C F A+ D+ 37% 26% 37% B+ C- D B- C- B+ C B+ C+
1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43 0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20
Feb
22		 Lafayette A- C- F A+ B+ 35% 21% 44% C B+ D A+ C+ B F+ C- F+ C- D F A+ D+ 60% 13% 27% F D A F C+ F D+ C D+
1.27 59% 20% 52% +9 0 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 12% .21 73% .15 1.04 63% 50% 17% -2 +2 1.02 17% 1.2 .21 12% .31 69% .21
Feb
25		 Lehigh D+ F A+ F F 42% 4% 55% A F+ D+ A+ B- A+ B+ F C F F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D- F B- D+ C D- F C+ F
1.10 45% 100% 28% -8 +2 0.91 31% 1.3 .38 8% .36 64% .23 1.18 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 19% 1.0 .19 15% .50 71% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 16.7 16.7 3rd
4th 46.2 46.2 4th
5th 37.0 37.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 37.0 63.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 63.0% 10.7% 10.7% 15.8 1.2 5.6 56.2
9-9 37.0% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 3.2 33.8
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 15.9 90.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.7% 100.0% 15.8 17.1 82.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.2%
Lose Out 19.4%