Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.6#363
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#307
Pace77.8#32
Improvement-1.1#266

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#354
First Shot-6.4#345
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#289
Layup/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#321
Freethrows-0.2#183
Improvement+0.0#188

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#358
First Shot-6.8#353
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#234
Layups/Dunks+0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#350
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement-1.1#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.7% 16.7% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 9.2% 16.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 46 - 116 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 48 @Washington L 50-94 1%     0 - 1 -30.4 -18.7 -9.8
  Thu, Nov 6 274 @Portland L 74-83 13%     0 - 2 -12.2 -11.3 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 8 114 @Loyola Marymount L 72-94 3%     0 - 3 -15.8 +4.1 -19.6
  Tue, Nov 11 52 @Oklahoma L 69-95 1%     0 - 4 -12.8 +0.1 -12.9
  Sat, Nov 15 19 @Vanderbilt L 75-104 0.5%    0 - 5 -10.0 +4.6 -12.9
  Tue, Nov 18 42 @SMU L 60-106 1%     0 - 6 -31.1 -14.2 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 20 183 @Marshall L 70-98 7%     0 - 7 -26.7 -7.8 -16.4
  Sun, Nov 23 121 @Miami (OH) L 84-111 3%     0 - 8 -21.2 +1.3 -18.6
  Wed, Dec 3 174 @Illinois-Chicago L 71-88 5%    
  Sat, Dec 6 109 @DePaul L 66-88 2%    
  Wed, Dec 10 91 @Tulsa L 65-89 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 293 Alabama A&M L 74-79 32%    
  Mon, Jan 5 266 Alabama St. L 75-82 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 307 @Texas Southern L 74-85 17%    
  Mon, Jan 12 332 @Prairie View L 75-83 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 Florida A&M L 77-78 49%    
  Mon, Jan 19 217 Bethune-Cookman L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 197 @Southern L 72-88 8%    
  Mon, Jan 26 290 @Grambling St. L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 338 Alcorn St. L 75-77 44%    
  Mon, Feb 9 326 Jackson St. L 77-80 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 266 @Alabama St. L 72-85 12%    
  Mon, Feb 16 293 @Alabama A&M L 71-82 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 307 Texas Southern L 77-82 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 332 Prairie View L 78-80 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley W 82-73 80%    
  Tue, Mar 3 326 @Jackson St. L 74-83 21%    
  Thu, Mar 5 338 @Alcorn St. L 72-80 25%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 0.3 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 3.4 4.8 1.7 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.7 6.7 2.8 0.2 15.4 9th
10th 0.2 2.1 6.6 8.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 21.3 10th
11th 0.4 4.0 8.1 8.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 25.2 11th
12th 0.7 2.6 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 9.3 12th
Total 0.7 3.0 7.5 12.4 16.3 17.3 15.0 11.2 7.8 4.4 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 45.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.5% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.5
9-9 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.4
8-10 7.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.8
7-11 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 17.3% 17.3
4-14 16.3% 16.3
3-15 12.4% 12.4
2-16 7.5% 7.5
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%