Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -12.0 341
Results Rating -10.8 329
Consistency 0.13 81
Pace 67.7 207
Improvement -1.0 232

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 308 D+ D+ D+ D- B
Defense D- 341 D D D D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 299 D+ 53% 294 -4.0 317
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 350 F 26% 364 -5.3 362
Three Pointers 56% 2 D+ 32% 275 +5.6 27
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 48 D -4.5 323
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 294
Second Chance C- 28.9% 222 D+ 0.95 300 D+ 0.27 263
Opponents' Steals D 11.0% 314
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 146
Turnovers D+ 17.9% 263
Freethrows D- 0.25 340 C- 71% 237 D- 0.18 333
Total Offense D -5.3 308

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 288 D- 14.2% 335
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 107 F+ 8.9% 345
Three Pointers C+ 85% 158 D 1.5% 321
Total B- 61% 68 D+ 6.6% 290

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 146 D 64% 324 +3.1 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 199 C 38% 166 -0.4 165
Three Pointers 40% 197 D 37% 313 +1.7 271
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 207 D- +4.1 325
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 322
Second Chance C- 31.5% 234 F+ 1.19 353 D 0.37 322
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.9% 339
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 110
Turnovers D 14.7% 300
Freethrows D 0.36 319 D+ 74% 285 D- 0.26 326
Total Defense D- -6.7 341

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 123 F 3.7% 362
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 210 D- 1.9% 330
Three Pointers D+ 86% 260 D- 0.0% 353
Total C 55% 179 F 1.9% 365

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 244 16.8 90
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 318 0.20 284
Consistency 0.11 112 0.12 165
Improvement -0.9 233 -0.1 193

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 348 342 330
Results Rating Rank 340 329 315
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 6 - 12
Conference Finish 10 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 87% 60% 100%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1110 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 115 @St. Thomas L 76 - 83 5% -11  1% 0 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 B- D- B- D+ -4 B+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 2 Duke L 59 - 114 0% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -32 F+ -10 D+ C D F -17 F D- D
 Sat, Nov 15 149 Harvard L 52 - 75 18% -9  0% 0 - 3 F -25 F -18 F D+ F F -10 F C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 165 @Cornell L 73 - 86 9% -6  9% 0 - 4 D -10 F -15 F F+ B- B+ +6 C B+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 183 @Marist L 65 - 76 11% -4  21% 0 - 5 D -10 C- -1 C+ F C+ F+ -9 D+ F F+
 Tue, Nov 25 308 East Texas A&M L 67 - 84 38% -10  22% 0 - 6 F -26 F+ -9 D- F D F -17 F D+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 339 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81 - 73 38% +2  66% 1 - 6 C -1 B- +5 D C+ B+ D -5 A- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 324 Manhattan W 81 - 78 OT 55% +3  79% 2 - 6 D -10 F+ -9 C- F F C- -2 B F D
 Tue, Dec 2 78 George Washington L 70 - 84 7% -5  13% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -4 B+ F B- D- -6 A F D+
 Fri, Dec 12 235 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63 - 60 15% +5  82% 3 - 7 C+ +2 F+ -9 F D- D A +11 B- B+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 358 Binghamton W 95 - 85 OT 75% +4  90% 4 - 7 D -9 C -0 B+ C- F+ F -10 D- B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 295 @Lehigh W 85 - 78 OT 25% +3  81% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C+ +2 C -0 D+ A F C+ +2 C D F
 Sat, Jan 3 250 Colgate L 69 - 76 34% -3  10% 5 - 8 1 - 1 F+ -15 C- -1 C- A- B- F -15 D- D F
 Wed, Jan 7 319 Loyola Maryland L 76 - 84 OT 54% -3  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 F -21 F+ -10 F D+ A F -11 C F D
 Sat, Jan 10 258 @Boston University L 91 - 100 18% -8  7% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -11 A +12 B- B- B F -24 F D- D
 Wed, Jan 14 327 @Holy Cross L 75 - 82 33% -7  2% 5 - 11 1 - 4 D- -15 C- -2 D+ D- C F -13 F A F
 Sun, Jan 18 251 American L 67 - 78 35% -7  0% 5 - 12 1 - 5 F -19 D -5 C- D B F -15 F+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 21 334 @Bucknell W 87 - 84 OT 37% +2  52% 6 - 12 2 - 5 D+ -6 A- +10 B D+ C F -15 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 146 @Navy L 56 - 84 8% -12  2% 6 - 13 2 - 6 F -24 F+ -9 C F D- F -18 F F B
 Wed, Jan 28 295 Lehigh W 67 - 64 46% +3  78% 7 - 13 3 - 6 D+ -8 F -11 D+ D- D B- +3 B C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 327 Holy Cross W 69 - 68 56% +1  55% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -13 F -11 F A+ F C -1 A- F+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 250 @Colgate L 55 - 69 17% -8  31% 8 - 14 4 - 7 F+ -16 F -17 F F+ F C+ +0 C- D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 323 Lafayette L 60 - 63 55% -4  13% 8 - 15 4 - 8 F+ -16 F -19 F D- F B- +2 C+ C- B+
 Wed, Feb 11 258 Boston University L 68 - 85 36% -10  6% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F -25 D- -8 F B+ B- F -20 F A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 251 @American L 63 - 75 17% -6  24% 8 - 17 4 - 10 D- -14 F+ -9 F+ B- F D -6 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 18 319 @Loyola Maryland W 87 - 77 32% +10  93% 9 - 17 5 - 10 C+ +3 B+ +8 D A A- D -5 D+ F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 146 Navy L 63 - 81 18% -11  4% 9 - 18 5 - 11 F -20 D -5 C D D+ F -17 C F D+
 Wed, Feb 25 334 Bucknell L 73 - 75 60% -9  2% 9 - 19 5 - 12 F+ -17 F+ -10 D+ D- F D- -7 F C- B
 Sat, Feb 28 323 @Lafayette L 70 - 75 33%
Totals 9 - 20 5 - 13 -12 D -5 A- D B D- -7 D+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ F D+ D 34% 18% 56% B D+ C- D+ D+ D+ D- C- D- D- D C D D- 40% 20% 40% C- D C- F+ D D D D+ D-
1.01 53% 26% 32% -4 +1 0.95 29% 0.9 .27 18% .25 71% .18 1.18 64% 38% 37% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.2 .37 15% .36 74% .19
Nov
8		 St. Thomas C+ C- A+ C B- 41% 9% 50% B- B- C+ F D- B- D+ B C- D+ F B- A+ A 53% 6% 42% F+ B+ F F F F F D+ F
1.11 59% 60% 33% +2 +2 1.09 31% 0.8 .25 16% .24 79% .19 1.21 75% 33% 18% -1 +3 1.06 29% 1.4 .40 10% .40 72% .29
Nov
11		 Duke F+ A+ F F D 17% 10% 73% B D+ C C+ C D F B- F+ F F A+ F+ F 36% 5% 59% C+ F D D D- D F F F
0.77 70% 17% 23% -12 0 0.78 22% 0.8 .18 22% .12 71% .08 1.48 90% 0% 40% +15 +2 1.36 43% 1.3 .57 13% .43 83% .36
Nov
15		 Harvard F C+ A F F 38% 13% 49% C+ F B- F+ D+ F C- F D- F F D- F F 35% 26% 40% B+ F C+ B- C+ C+ F C- F
0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15 1.18 73% 45% 41% +11 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35
Nov
18		 Cornell F C C+ F F 43% 9% 48% B F F C+ F+ B- B- A B+ B+ C+ A+ F C 49% 9% 42% D C A+ D B+ B- F A+ D-
0.93 60% 40% 18% -11 +2 0.84 20% 1.1 .22 13% .35 79% .28 1.10 58% 20% 45% +5 +2 1.17 22% 1.3 .28 19% .44 57% .25
Nov
21		 Marist C- A C D- C+ 30% 17% 53% B- C+ B F F C+ D+ A C+ F+ D- D- A D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ F C+ F F+ B F C
0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26 1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19
Nov
25		 East Texas A&M F+ C- F F+ F 42% 2% 56% A- D- D F F D B C- B- F F A F F 32% 8% 60% D F B F D+ C- F F F
0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25 1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32
Nov
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- B F C D- 38% 10% 52% B D C B+ C+ B+ A+ C A+ D D+ D- A+ A- 29% 17% 54% C A- D+ F F F F C+ F
1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41 1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28
Nov
29		 Manhattan F+ F F A+ D+ 45% 9% 47% A- C- F+ D F F F A+ F C- D A+ A B 34% 22% 44% C B B+ F F D B- F C
1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10 1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 -1 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23
Dec
2		 George Washington D+ D F A+ B+ 25% 8% 68% B- B+ F C- F B- F D- F D- C A+ B A 28% 9% 63% A- A C+ F F D+ F F F
1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07 1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48
Dec
12		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F F B- F 55% 4% 40% A+ F C- F D- D A+ A+ A+ A D- B+ A- B- 28% 25% 47% B B- B- A+ B+ D- C A+ A+
0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29 0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10
Dec
23		 Binghamton C D- A+ A+ B+ 41% 10% 49% B- B+ F+ A+ C- F+ A+ F A- F F D A+ D 53% 15% 32% F D- A F B- F B D+ B-
1.21 52% 60% 48% +10 +2 1.25 25% 1.3 .33 15% .45 63% .29 1.08 71% 44% 21% +1 +2 1.08 11% 1.0 .11 11% .32 77% .25
Dec
31		 Lehigh C A F F D 49% 11% 40% A- D+ B A A F A+ D+ A+ C+ F A+ A+ C 43% 23% 33% D C A+ F D F F+ A+ C-
1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42 1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21
Jan
3		 Colgate C- F F B D 40% 9% 51% B+ C- B A- A- B- A- F D+ F C C F D- 33% 20% 47% C- D- F B- D F D+ F F
1.13 47% 25% 38% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.2 .41 13% .38 55% .21 1.24 56% 40% 43% +6 0 1.14 33% 0.9 .30 11% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 Loyola Maryland F+ C+ F F F 28% 15% 57% C F D+ C+ D+ A F F F F C+ A B+ B- 47% 8% 45% F+ C F D+ F D F C+ F
1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11 1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26
Jan
10		 Boston University A D- C+ A+ B- 31% 16% 53% C B- C B+ B- B D A+ C+ F D- F F F 44% 8% 48% F F B F D- D F F F
1.33 50% 44% 45% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21 1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30
Jan
14		 Holy Cross C- D+ A+ D- D- 48% 5% 47% A D+ B+ F D- C F C F+ F B C+ F F 30% 28% 42% C F A A+ A F C- F D-
1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14 1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25
Jan
18		 American D C A D- D 51% 8% 41% A C- B- F D B F A+ F F D+ D- F+ F 30% 16% 53% B F+ F F F A+ F C- F
1.06 60% 50% 30% 0 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15 1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33
Jan
21		 Bucknell A- B- F A B- 37% 8% 56% A- B B F D+ C B A+ A+ F F D+ D- F 44% 15% 41% D F D- A C F F D+ F
1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33 1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30
Jan
24		 Navy F+ C+ B+ C- C+ 17% 20% 63% C- C F+ F F D- C- F D- F D+ F F F 24% 33% 43% A+ F F F F B F+ C- F+
0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14 1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30
Jan
28		 Lehigh F C F B D+ 35% 20% 44% C- D+ D- D D- D F F F B- A A- F B 40% 26% 34% C- B D+ A- C+ C- D A C
0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09 0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Holy Cross F F A C- F 33% 4% 63% B+ F A A+ A+ F B F F C A+ B- F A 41% 25% 33% D- A- D- F+ F+ D- D- F F
1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11 1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27
Feb
4		 Colgate F F+ F D- F 22% 18% 60% D F D F F+ F B D- C+ C+ F C C+ D+ 35% 33% 33% B+ C- F A D A+ F C- F
0.86 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 25% 0.8 .19 20% .35 67% .23 1.07 69% 40% 33% +4 -2 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 22% .38 74% .28
Feb
7		 Lafayette F D+ F F F 43% 7% 50% A F B F D- F F B F B- B- C+ B C+ 45% 19% 36% C+ C+ F B+ C- B+ F A- F
0.89 57% 25% 22% -10 +2 0.85 36% 0.7 .26 19% .17 78% .13 0.94 52% 33% 29% -6 +1 0.91 33% 0.8 .25 19% .48 62% .29
Feb
11		 Boston University D- F A+ F+ F 27% 6% 67% B F D+ A+ B+ B- C+ C+ C+ F F F F F 40% 19% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ F+ F C- F
1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22 1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36
Feb
14		 American F+ F F A- F 41% 9% 50% B+ F+ C+ B- B- F D+ D- D D F F D F 39% 20% 41% B- F B+ A+ A+ C F C- F
0.96 42% 0% 39% -6 +2 0.93 33% 1.1 .36 23% .35 67% .24 1.14 72% 67% 37% +13 0 1.28 20% 0.4 .08 17% .38 76% .29
Feb
18		 Loyola Maryland B+ A C- F D- 38% 19% 43% C D B- A+ A A- C+ A+ B+ D F A+ A C- 49% 6% 45% F D+ C+ F F D- F F F
1.26 75% 40% 22% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.5 .51 10% .31 84% .26 1.12 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.6 .41 14% .39 78% .31
Feb
21		 Navy D A+ F D C- 26% 7% 67% A- C D D+ D D+ A- B- A- F B+ C- F+ C- 38% 27% 35% C+ C F F F D+ F F+ F
0.98 75% 0% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 19% .33 76% .25 1.26 50% 40% 38% 0 -1 1.00 40% 1.4 .56 17% .75 80% .60
Feb
25		 Bucknell F+ C+ A D+ D 24% 4% 72% B+ D+ D+ F+ D- F F D F D- B- D+ F F 42% 16% 42% D+ F B F C- B F+ B- D
1.01 62% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.9 .28 22% .18 70% .12 1.04 52% 38% 43% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 22% .34 74% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 24.4 24.4 8th
9th 26.9 8.5 35.4 9th
10th 40.2 40.2 10th
Total 67.1 32.9 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 32.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.2 32.7
5-13 67.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.4 66.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 37.2%