Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -12.3 343
Results Rating -10.7 328
Consistency 0.17 302
Pace 62.3 336
Improvement +2.0 108

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 355 F+ D D- D+ D+
Defense D+ 271 D+ C- D+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 F 44% 365 -7.0 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 120 C- 36% 231 +0.9 128
Three Pointers 41% 181 C- 33% 237 -0.8 212
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 281 F+ -6.1 349
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 353
Second Chance D 26.1% 303 D 0.92 325 D 0.24 328
Opponents' Steals C- 10.2% 257
Other Turnovers F 9.7% 360
Turnovers D- 19.9% 336
Freethrows D+ 0.28 273 C- 71% 229 D+ 0.20 278
Total Offense F+ -9.0 355

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 116 F+ 14.8% 342
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 93 B 2.8% 39
Three Pointers D 77% 314 C- 1.1% 238
Total C 56% 163 D+ 6.3% 262

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 D 64% 325 +1.5 227
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 287 D+ 41% 278 -0.8 123
Three Pointers 45% 54 C 34% 210 +2.6 305
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 237 D+ +2.9 298
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 290
Second Chance C- 31.5% 235 C 1.04 197 C- 0.33 227
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.8% 344
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 61
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 280
Freethrows C 0.31 204 C 72% 175 C 0.22 201
Total Defense D+ -3.2 271

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 252 D 7.7% 314
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 307 C 4.7% 185
Three Pointers C 84% 192 C- 0.7% 208
Total D+ 60% 284 D 4.0% 312

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 335 17.1 152
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 304 0.19 237
Consistency 0.13 218 0.14 278
Improvement +0.2 183 +1.9 86

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 348 343 334
Results Rating Rank 338 330 317
Conference Record 5 - 15 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 12 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 77 @Dayton L 48 - 88 3% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -29 F -15 F C+ F F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 133 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 7% -10  11% 0 - 2 D- -14 C +1 B+ F+ C F -17 C+ F F
 Wed, Nov 12 289 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 43% +3  70% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -14 C- F D- B+ +7 C+ B+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 94 @High Point L 50 - 93 4% -25  2% 1 - 3 F -34 F -21 F C+ F F -16 F D- F
 Fri, Nov 21 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 66% +3  87% 2 - 3 D- -14 F+ -9 C- B- D- D+ -4 C D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 358 Binghamton W 75 - 66 75% +3  74% 3 - 3 D -10 C +0 D A+ D+ F+ -9 C F F
 Sat, Nov 29 206 Buffalo L 53 - 71 26% -8  21% 3 - 4 F -24 F -23 F C- C- C- -2 B- C- D
 Fri, Dec 5 238 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 15% -6  10% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 F D C- C- -2 A F D
 Sun, Dec 7 201 @Siena L 52 - 74 12% -14  4% 3 - 6 0 - 2 F -21 F -19 F D- F D -5 D A- F
 Sat, Dec 13 340 @Maine W 70 - 43 37% +16  88% 4 - 6 A +18 C +1 B- C- F+ A+ +19 A+ C- A
 Tue, Dec 16 131 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 6% -3  44% 4 - 7 D- -12 F -21 F F F A- +8 B A B-
 Mon, Dec 22 119 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 5% -22  2% 4 - 8 F -38 F -15 D D+ F F -21 F D F+
 Fri, Jan 2 245 Fairfield W 85 - 81 33% +4  87% 5 - 8 1 - 2 C- -4 B+ +8 C+ B A+ F -12 C- D- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 284 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 41% -4  8% 6 - 8 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 D- B+ D D- -7 D C- C-
 Fri, Jan 9 324 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 32% -1  39% 7 - 8 3 - 2 C -1 F+ -9 F F+ B- A- +8 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 11 242 @Iona L 48 - 74 16% -8  13% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -28 F -20 F D A+ F -11 F F+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 335 Niagara L 54 - 59 59% -3  14% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -20 F -17 F F+ F+ D+ -4 C- A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 286 Mount St. Mary's L 68 - 78 42% -1  50% 7 - 11 3 - 5 F -20 D- -7 B- F C- F -14 F C- C
 Thu, Jan 22 284 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 69 22% +2  58% 7 - 12 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 C- F D B+ +6 D A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 245 @Fairfield L 55 - 61 16% -7  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 D+ -8 F -15 F C- F B+ +6 C- B- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 183 Marist L 86 - 88 OT 23% +1  41% 7 - 14 3 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +9 A B C+ F -16 F B+ C
 Sun, Feb 1 201 Siena L 63 - 78 26% -8  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 F -20 D -4 C- C- F F -19 F F D+
 Tue, Feb 3 335 @Niagara L 56 - 65 36% -8  0% 7 - 16 3 - 10 F+ -18 F -11 F F C+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Thu, Feb 5 211 @Quinnipiac L 60 - 75 13% -13  1% 7 - 17 3 - 11 F+ -15 F -16 F C F+ C+ +2 D+ F A
 Fri, Feb 13 242 Iona L 63 - 69 32% -3  27% 7 - 18 3 - 12 D- -14 F+ -10 C F F D+ -4 B- C+ C-
 Sun, Feb 15 324 Manhattan L 65 - 69 54% -6  18% 7 - 19 3 - 13 F+ -17 F -15 F F B- C- -3 B- F D+
 Fri, Feb 20 356 @Rider W 72 - 66 50% +6  95% 8 - 19 4 - 13 D+ -6 D -6 C- F F C +0 D A+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 47 - 68 22% -6  38% 8 - 20 4 - 14 F -25 F -22 F B- F D -5 B+ F D+
 Fri, Feb 27 172 Merrimack W 67 - 62 21% -2  20% 9 - 20 5 - 14 C +1 C +1 B- C C- C+ +1 C+ B+ F+
 Sun, Mar 1 211 Quinnipiac L 65 - 71 28%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -12 F+ -9 A F+ D+ D+ -3 C- C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F C- C- F+ 35% 42% 41% D+ F+ D D D D- D+ C- D+ D+ D D+ C D+ 37% 17% 45% C- D+ C- C C- D+ C C C
0.96 44% 36% 33% -6 -1 0.88 26% 0.9 .24 20% .28 71% .20 1.13 64% 41% 34% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.0 .33 15% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Dayton F F A D F 36% 26% 38% C F B D+ C+ F D- F F F F A+ A+ D- 48% 11% 41% D+ D- F F+ F F F A F
0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11 1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47
Nov
8		 St. Bonaventure C B- A+ A+ A 29% 31% 40% F B+ D F F+ C B F+ C+ F C- D C C+ 33% 24% 43% C+ C+ F D F F D- C- D-
1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23 1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25
Nov
12		 Mercyhurst F D+ A+ F C 47% 21% 32% C- C- F F F D- A+ F B B+ B F A+ C 17% 33% 50% B+ C+ B+ B B+ B B+ D+ B
0.94 56% 63% 25% 0 +1 1.03 19% 0.8 .15 21% .54 58% .31 0.89 50% 63% 21% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
17		 High Point F F F+ F F 38% 25% 38% D- F A- D- C+ F A+ F A+ F F F D F 37% 11% 53% C F A- F D- F A+ D- A+
0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35 1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13
Nov
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F D- A+ C 30% 23% 48% D- C- D A+ B- D- F D F D+ A+ C D- D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C D D D- D D+ B+ C-
1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15 0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17
Nov
23		 Binghamton C F+ F A+ D 41% 20% 39% D+ D F A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ F F A+ C- 26% 24% 50% B C F F F F F D+ F
1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34 1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48
Nov
29		 Buffalo F F B+ F F 40% 23% 36% D F F A+ C- C- C- D C- C- B- C- C+ B- 23% 10% 67% C+ B- A F C- D B F C
0.82 47% 45% 12% -15 0 0.72 23% 1.3 .29 19% .27 71% .19 1.10 55% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.7 .31 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
5		 St. Peter's F F F F F 40% 17% 43% C F B- F D C- A+ F B+ C- A+ F A+ A+ 42% 12% 47% F A C+ F F D F F+ F
0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35 1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39
Dec
7		 Siena F F C- F F 42% 18% 40% B F C- F D- F A B- A D F A+ C- D 27% 15% 58% D- D B- A+ A- F D+ A+ B-
0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28 1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19
Dec
13		 Maine C F A+ A+ B- 38% 22% 40% D+ B- C C- C- F+ B- D- C A+ A+ B A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C- A+ F A C- A B- A+ A-
1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22 0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14
Dec
16		 Rhode Island F F C- C- F 43% 29% 29% D F D F F F D C+ D+ A- B A+ B- B+ 37% 8% 56% D B F A+ A B- A+ F B+
0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23 0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22
Dec
22		 Duquesne F D- C B- C 22% 47% 31% F D F A+ D+ F C F F+ F F F F F 38% 4% 58% D+ F B+ F D F+ A D B+
0.81 50% 38% 36% -1 -5 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 29% .35 56% .19 1.41 76% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.47 25% 1.4 .36 14% .27 76% .21
Jan
2		 Fairfield B+ F F A+ B- 34% 16% 50% D C+ C- A+ B A+ A+ C A+ F D+ A B- C 43% 20% 37% D C- F C D- F+ F D F
1.27 35% 25% 52% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 74% .33 1.21 59% 30% 32% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.9 .38 12% .39 74% .29
Jan
4		 Sacred Heart C A+ D F D- 35% 23% 43% D- D- F A+ B+ D A+ A+ A+ D- F D B+ D 27% 11% 61% D+ D B+ F C- C- F F F
1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54 1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43
Jan
9		 Manhattan F+ D C F F 42% 29% 29% D F C- F F+ B- A- A A A- F+ A+ D- D+ 36% 28% 36% B C- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26 0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
11		 Iona F F F B- F 48% 25% 27% C F F B+ D A+ F B F F C- F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D F F+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11 1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06
Jan
14		 Niagara F F B- F F 25% 16% 59% C- F A- F F+ F+ B D+ B- D+ C A D+ C- 56% 17% 27% D C- D- A+ A- D+ F F+ F
0.93 45% 43% 23% -12 0 0.77 41% 0.6 .26 19% .34 75% .25 1.02 57% 29% 36% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 17% .37 78% .29
Jan
17		 Mount St. Mary's D- D D+ A B 25% 20% 55% C- B- F F F C- F A+ F F F F F F 32% 28% 40% A+ F C D C- C D+ D D
1.01 50% 36% 40% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.5 .08 15% .12 100% .12 1.16 73% 46% 42% +12 -1 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 22% .33 71% .23
Jan
22		 Sacred Heart F F A+ A+ D+ 45% 9% 45% B C- F F F D F F F B+ A- A+ F D+ 39% 6% 56% F D A A+ A+ C- A- A+ A+
0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07 1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11
Jan
24		 Fairfield F F F F F 58% 8% 34% A- F A+ F C- F F F F B+ C D- B D+ 43% 26% 31% C C- F A+ B- A- F+ A+ C-
0.90 45% 25% 24% -14 +3 0.80 45% 0.7 .30 23% .17 38% .06 1.00 56% 45% 31% -1 0 1.00 41% 0.7 .27 20% .33 56% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Marist B+ B B B+ A 38% 13% 48% A- A B- B B C+ A F B- F F F C- F 44% 25% 31% D F D A+ B+ C F D F
1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26 1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38
Feb
1		 Siena D F F A+ B- 9% 33% 58% F C- A+ F C- F F+ C- D- F F F+ F+ F 38% 24% 38% D F F D- F D+ F A- F
1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15 1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30
Feb
3		 Niagara F C- A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F F A+ F C+ F A+ F F+ F F F F 50% 5% 45% F F C- B- C B- B- F+ C+
0.97 58% 63% 19% -6 +1 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 14% .16 88% .14 1.13 70% 50% 44% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.8 .18 21% .20 78% .15
Feb
5		 Quinnipiac F F F A F 41% 24% 35% D+ F F+ A+ C F+ A+ F B+ C+ A- F D+ D+ 30% 20% 50% C+ D+ C F F A F D F
0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26 1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37
Feb
13		 Iona F+ B+ D B C+ 24% 31% 45% F C C- F F F F+ F F D+ A+ C- F+ B 45% 12% 43% F+ B- B D- C+ C- F F F
0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12 1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41
Feb
15		 Manhattan F A+ F F F 33% 27% 39% D- F F F F B- B- A+ A C- A B+ F+ B- 46% 26% 28% C- B- D F F D+ F A+ D+
1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25 1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25
Feb
20		 Rider D D A+ B D+ 51% 7% 42% B C- B F F F A+ A+ A+ C C+ C B- D+ 47% 24% 29% F D A- A+ A+ F C- A C+
1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37 0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18
Feb
22		 Mount St. Mary's F F C F F 20% 37% 44% F F D- A+ B- F D+ B C D C A+ B+ B+ 44% 13% 44% C- B+ D- F F D+ C+ F D+
0.75 38% 40% 22% -11 -3 0.73 23% 1.6 .35 27% .31 79% .24 1.09 57% 0% 29% -9 +1 0.88 34% 1.5 .53 21% .28 79% .22
Feb
27		 Merrimack C F C+ A+ B 43% 27% 30% C- B- F A+ C C- C A+ A C+ F B A+ B- 38% 6% 55% D C+ B A- B+ F+ F B F+
1.10 37% 42% 54% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.4 .41 20% .35 94% .33 1.02 67% 33% 23% -6 +2 0.94 20% 0.8 .17 12% .45 75% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 55.0 27.7 82.8 11th
12th 17.2 17.2 12th
13th 13th
Total 72.3 27.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 27.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 27.7
5-15 72.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 72.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 61.0%