Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#340
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#326
Pace71.0#149
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#303
First Shot-5.5#331
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#131
Layup/Dunks-4.8#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.8#358
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement-0.1#194

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#349
First Shot-6.1#345
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#307
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement-0.2#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.3% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.7% 10.4% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.4% 68.2% 55.9%
Conference Champion 6.9% 11.3% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 7.0% 10.9%
First Four5.9% 8.0% 5.6%
First Round3.0% 4.1% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 49 - 1210 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 109 @DePaul L 62-92 6%     0 - 1 -23.4 -8.8 -13.4
  Thu, Nov 6 50 @Saint Louis L 86-108 2%     0 - 2 -8.7 +4.7 -9.4
  Tue, Nov 11 47 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -18.4 -3.8 -13.1
  Sat, Nov 15 174 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 26%     0 - 4 -8.2 -5.9 -2.7
  Tue, Nov 18 103 @Minnesota L 54-66 5%     0 - 5 -4.5 -8.5 +2.6
  Thu, Nov 20 21 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -20.8 -2.7 -23.8
  Tue, Nov 25 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 18%     0 - 7 -14.4 +4.2 -19.0
  Fri, Nov 28 189 @Youngstown St. L 69-81 13%    
  Mon, Dec 1 347 South Carolina St. W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Dec 6 102 @Illinois St. L 64-83 4%    
  Sun, Dec 14 265 @Loyola Chicago L 69-77 22%    
  Tue, Dec 16 140 @Bowling Green L 66-81 8%    
  Sat, Dec 20 22 @Indiana L 61-90 0.4%   
  Fri, Jan 2 292 Wagner L 72-73 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 232 LIU Brooklyn L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Jan 8 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 334 @Stonehill L 69-73 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 336 Le Moyne W 79-76 59%    
  Mon, Jan 19 345 New Haven W 71-68 62%    
  Fri, Jan 23 359 @St. Francis (PA) L 74-75 50%    
  Sun, Jan 25 320 @Mercyhurst L 67-73 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 359 St. Francis (PA) W 78-72 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 320 Mercyhurst W 70-69 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 345 @New Haven L 68-71 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 334 Stonehill W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 336 @Le Moyne L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 244 Central Connecticut St. L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 232 @LIU Brooklyn L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 292 @Wagner L 69-76 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 6.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.5 1.0 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.3 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.8 1.1 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.2 1.2 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 3.2 3.1 1.0 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.2 3.0 6.0 8.2 10.9 12.7 13.3 12.8 10.7 8.5 5.6 3.7 1.7 0.8 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 97.4% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-1 93.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-2 82.4% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 58.3% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-4 29.3% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.5% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 28.2% 28.2% 16.0 0.1 0.2
15-1 0.8% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
14-2 1.7% 22.4% 22.4% 16.0 0.4 1.4
13-3 3.7% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.8 3.0
12-4 5.6% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.8 4.7
11-5 8.5% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 1.0 7.5
10-6 10.7% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.9 9.7
9-7 12.8% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.7 12.2
8-8 13.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.8
7-9 12.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.3
6-10 10.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.7
5-11 8.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.1
4-12 6.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.9
3-13 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%