Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#182
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#209
Pace67.4#245
Improvement-0.5#225

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#165
First Shot+2.2#111
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#314
Layup/Dunks+1.9#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#244
Freethrows-1.7#289
Improvement-1.1#282

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#211
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#228
Layups/Dunks+1.6#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#268
Freethrows-1.7#285
Improvement+0.6#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.0% 26.8% 19.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 76.5% 82.4% 58.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.6% 92.2% 85.8%
Conference Champion 33.9% 36.8% 25.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four3.0% 2.8% 3.6%
First Round23.7% 25.6% 18.0%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Neutral) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 33 - 7
Quad 415 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 12 @Michigan St. L 69-80 3%     0 - 1 +10.1 +8.9 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 200 Northeastern L 65-68 65%     0 - 2 -8.4 -6.1 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 11 262 Drexel W 90-83 75%     1 - 2 -1.5 +14.6 -16.0
  Fri, Nov 14 13 @Illinois L 65-84 3%     1 - 3 +2.0 +4.2 -3.1
  Mon, Nov 17 177 @Siena W 72-69 38%     2 - 3 +4.6 +5.8 -0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 161 @Cornell L 94-95 2OT 35%     2 - 4 +1.4 -1.8 +3.4
  Fri, Nov 28 325 Albany W 75-68 75%    
  Sun, Nov 30 212 Fordham W 69-67 57%    
  Wed, Dec 10 119 @St. Bonaventure L 66-74 24%    
  Sun, Dec 21 17 @Florida L 65-87 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 179 Harvard W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Dec 31 327 @Lafayette W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Jan 3 346 @Army W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Jan 7 283 American W 79-71 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 312 Lehigh W 77-67 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 301 @Loyola Maryland W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 17 284 Bucknell W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Jan 21 283 @American W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 227 Boston University W 74-69 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 330 Holy Cross W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 312 @Lehigh W 74-70 62%    
  Wed, Feb 4 346 Army W 80-67 87%    
  Sat, Feb 7 284 @Bucknell W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 330 @Holy Cross W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 14 159 Navy W 73-71 56%    
  Mon, Feb 16 227 @Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 301 Loyola Maryland W 76-67 79%    
  Wed, Feb 25 327 Lafayette W 78-67 83%    
  Sat, Feb 28 159 @Navy L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 8.1 8.9 6.3 3.2 0.8 33.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.6 6.8 7.8 5.2 1.5 0.1 24.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 5.8 4.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 4.2 3.0 0.6 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.2 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 4.4 6.6 9.3 11.8 14.1 14.3 13.6 10.4 6.4 3.2 0.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 100.0% 3.2    3.2 0.0
16-2 97.7% 6.3    5.9 0.4
15-3 85.6% 8.9    6.9 1.9 0.1
14-4 59.6% 8.1    5.0 2.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 33.8% 4.8    1.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 12.0% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 33.9% 33.9 23.9 8.0 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 63.0% 63.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 3.2% 53.9% 53.9% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.5
16-2 6.4% 45.7% 45.7% 14.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.5
15-3 10.4% 38.8% 38.8% 14.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.3 6.3
14-4 13.6% 33.6% 33.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 0.8 9.0
13-5 14.3% 27.4% 27.4% 15.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 10.4
12-6 14.1% 21.3% 21.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 11.1
11-7 11.8% 16.7% 16.7% 15.6 0.0 0.7 1.3 9.8
10-8 9.3% 13.8% 13.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 8.0
9-9 6.6% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 6.0
8-10 4.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.1
7-11 2.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 2.4
6-12 1.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 25.0% 25.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.0 8.8 7.5 75.0 0.0%