Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -4.9 250
Results Rating -4.3 239
Consistency 0.13 85
Pace 67.4 214
Improvement -3.9 323

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 208 C+ D C+ D+ D+
Defense D+ 276 C- C D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 C- 56% 222 -1.6 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 116 B 43% 49 +3.2 43
Three Pointers 37% 255 B- 36% 96 -0.7 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 288 C+ +1.8 113
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 142
Second Chance D+ 26.3% 297 D+ 0.98 263 D 0.26 304
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 163
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 95
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 119
Freethrows D 0.27 294 C 73% 175 D+ 0.20 273
Total Offense C- -1.5 208

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 199 C+ 10.2% 128
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 164 B 2.8% 37
Three Pointers B- 89% 80 C+ 0.7% 140
Total C- 54% 204 B- 4.8% 84

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 130 C- 59% 214 +1.7 233
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 205 B- 35% 88 -0.9 119
Three Pointers 40% 215 C- 35% 232 +0.1 190
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 218 C- +0.7 210
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 210
Second Chance C 30.6% 192 C+ 1.00 139 C 0.31 171
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 292
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 259
Turnovers D 14.7% 304
Freethrows C- 0.31 214 C 72% 168 C 0.23 214
Total Defense D+ -3.4 276

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 199 D 7.8% 310
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 264 C 4.7% 186
Three Pointers B- 80% 82 C- 0.6% 221
Total C 56% 188 D+ 4.3% 280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 189 17.4 211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 186 0.14 77
Consistency 0.10 19 0.12 129
Improvement -1.8 282 -2.1 291

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 264 246 220
Results Rating Rank 253 234 208
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17% 21% 16%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 1% 6%
First Round14% 20% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Navy (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 414 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Michigan St. L 69 - 80 1% -6  3% 0 - 1 B+ +12 B +7 A+ D+ D+ B +4 A+ D D
 Fri, Nov 7 288 Northeastern L 65 - 68 71% +1  65% 0 - 2 D- -14 F -15 F F C+ C+ +1 B A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 215 Drexel W 90 - 83 54% +7  81% 1 - 2 C +1 A+ +15 A+ D+ D- F -14 F C- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 5 @Illinois L 65 - 84 1% -11  1% 1 - 3 B- +6 C +1 B- D+ A+ B +4 A+ C D
 Mon, Nov 17 201 @Siena W 72 - 69 30% +0  46% 2 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 B D+ C+ C+ +1 C+ D- C-
 Thu, Nov 20 165 @Cornell L 94 - 95 2OT 23% +0  43% 2 - 4 C+ +2 F+ -8 D- D+ C A +10 B- A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 322 Albany W 69 - 67 70% -2  29% 3 - 4 D -8 D- -6 B- F C+ C- -2 F+ A- D+
 Sun, Nov 30 153 Fordham W 72 - 62 31% +9  93% 4 - 4 B +10 B +7 A D- C+ B +4 B- B- C+
 Wed, Dec 10 133 @St. Bonaventure L 77 - 85 19% +3  62% 4 - 5 C- -3 C +1 D- A- A+ D+ -5 C+ C C
 Sun, Dec 21 4 @Florida L 60 - 90 1% -17  4% 4 - 6 C- -3 B- +4 A+ D D- F+ -9 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 28 149 Harvard L 69 - 78 41% -2  30% 4 - 7 D- -11 D -5 C- D+ C- D- -7 F B+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 323 @Lafayette W 85 - 77 59% +1  61% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 B F B- C- -3 C F+ C
 Sat, Jan 3 341 @Army W 76 - 69 66% +3  70% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -2 B +7 C+ D B+ D- -8 D+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 251 American W 64 - 62 62% -5  9% 7 - 7 3 - 0 D+ -6 D+ -4 D C- B- C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 295 Lehigh L 77 - 78 72% -2  26% 7 - 8 3 - 1 D- -12 C+ +3 B- D C F -15 F+ D+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 319 @Loyola Maryland W 86 - 80 59% +3  83% 8 - 8 4 - 1 C -1 C+ +4 C- D+ B- D -5 D+ B F
 Sat, Jan 17 334 Bucknell W 95 - 76 82% +14  97% 9 - 8 5 - 1 C+ +4 A +13 A+ A A- F+ -9 D+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 251 @American L 66 - 70 39% -1  44% 9 - 9 5 - 2 D+ -6 D- -7 D F D+ C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 258 Boston University W 80 - 79 OT 63% -3  10% 10 - 9 6 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 C B- F C -1 D A+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 327 Holy Cross W 79 - 74 80% -0  38% 11 - 9 7 - 2 D -9 C +1 D+ C+ A F+ -9 F B F
 Sat, Jan 31 295 @Lehigh L 76 - 77 OT 50% -1  30% 11 - 10 7 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ A F+ D+ -3 F D A+
 Wed, Feb 4 341 Army W 69 - 55 83% +8  57% 12 - 10 8 - 3 C -1 F+ -8 C- D F A +9 B+ B+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 334 @Bucknell W 78 - 59 64% +14  99% 13 - 10 9 - 3 B +10 D+ -3 D D- A- A+ +13 A+ B- D
 Wed, Feb 11 327 @Holy Cross W 74 - 70 60% +5  77% 14 - 10 10 - 3 C- -4 D+ -4 F C+ B- C +0 A- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 146 Navy L 80 - 84 OT 39% -5  7% 14 - 11 10 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 A- C+ C+ F -10 F A F
 Mon, Feb 16 258 @Boston University L 58 - 85 40% -14  0% 14 - 12 10 - 5 F -29 F -10 F B- B F -25 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 319 Loyola Maryland W 101 - 98 OT 78% +5  86% 15 - 12 11 - 5 D -10 C- -2 C- F B+ F+ -9 D+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 323 Lafayette L 69 - 70 79% -3  17% 15 - 13 11 - 6 D- -14 D+ -4 C F A+ F -11 D+ C- F
 Sat, Feb 28 146 @Navy L 65 - 74 21%
Totals 15 - 14 11 - 7 -5 C- -2 A+ C+ D+ D+ -3 B- C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B B- C+ 37% 43% 37% D+ C+ D+ D+ D C+ D C D+ D+ C- B- C- C- 41% 20% 40% C- C- C C+ C D C- C C
1.06 56% 43% 36% +2 -1 1.04 26% 1.0 .26 16% .27 73% .20 1.13 59% 35% 35% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 15% .31 72% .19
Nov
3		 Michigan St. B A+ A A A+ 24% 24% 52% D+ A+ F A D+ D+ F D F B D- A+ A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% B+ A+ F+ C+ D D F A+ F
1.00 69% 46% 39% +9 -1 1.17 10% 1.0 .10 19% .11 67% .07 1.16 69% 20% 25% -7 -2 0.85 46% 1.1 .49 14% .62 65% .41
Nov
7		 Northeastern F D A+ F F 41% 24% 35% D F C- F F C+ F+ A D+ C+ D- A+ A+ A- 51% 12% 37% F+ B C- A+ A+ F F D F
0.97 55% 58% 24% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 16% .28 81% .23 1.01 65% 17% 21% -6 +2 0.94 28% 0.4 .10 10% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Drexel A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% D A+ F A+ D+ D- A+ A+ A+ F B- F F F 39% 4% 57% F F F A- C- F+ C+ A+ B+
1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42 1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14
Nov
14		 Illinois C A+ B- F+ B+ 19% 49% 32% F B- F+ B D+ A+ C- A+ C+ B C+ A+ A A+ 25% 15% 60% B+ A+ D B C D F F F
0.97 73% 39% 28% +1 -5 0.93 17% 1.0 .17 7% .15 89% .13 1.26 62% 25% 28% -6 0 0.89 45% 1.2 .52 10% .40 88% .35
Nov
17		 Siena C+ B- A+ D- B- 55% 23% 21% B B F A D+ C+ B- B+ B C+ B- F+ A C+ 36% 32% 32% B- C+ F C D- C- D F F+
1.12 62% 55% 30% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.2 .26 16% .31 76% .24 1.07 56% 50% 25% -1 -2 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 16% .33 83% .28
Nov
20		 Cornell F+ B D F D- 43% 27% 30% D D- D- B D+ C F A- F A D+ A+ C B 40% 11% 49% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ B- F F+ F
1.02 66% 35% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.2 .29 14% .17 77% .13 1.04 64% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.10 20% 0.3 .05 20% .41 80% .33
Nov
28		 Albany D- B- C- A- B 31% 21% 48% D B- F+ F F C+ F F F C- C+ D- F F 43% 21% 36% C F+ B+ A A- D+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05 1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02
Nov
30		 Fordham B B+ A+ B A+ 29% 22% 49% C A A F D- C+ F+ A+ C- B C+ A- A B 45% 24% 31% C- B- B+ C- B- C+ A+ F A-
1.12 64% 55% 38% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.5 .18 16% .20 82% .17 0.96 57% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .13 86% .11
Dec
10		 St. Bonaventure C B- B- F D 37% 30% 33% D- D- A- B- A- A+ C+ F F+ D+ F C A+ C 38% 33% 29% B C+ F A C C F D+ F
1.10 62% 41% 26% -1 -1 0.96 37% 1.1 .41 9% .30 53% .16 1.22 75% 41% 27% +4 -2 1.08 43% 0.8 .35 17% .42 79% .33
Dec
21		 Florida B- F C A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% D+ A+ D+ F+ D D- F F F F+ D- F B C- 48% 10% 42% C- C- F C- F D+ F A- F
0.93 29% 35% 65% +5 -2 1.08 17% 0.5 .09 20% .15 38% .06 1.39 70% 60% 30% +5 +2 1.17 56% 1.1 .61 14% .48 67% .32
Dec
28		 Harvard D B+ F D- C- 48% 20% 31% C C- F A+ D+ C- F A- F+ D- C+ A+ F F 38% 20% 42% C+ F A+ F B+ F+ A+ D+ A+
1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14 1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09
Dec
31		 Lafayette C+ B+ A+ B- B+ 40% 23% 37% C B F+ F F B- A+ C- A+ C- C+ F A C 45% 16% 39% C- C A F F+ C F C F
1.16 67% 50% 37% +8 0 1.17 23% 0.4 .09 12% .51 73% .37 1.05 55% 50% 26% -4 +1 0.96 18% 1.8 .32 16% .46 68% .31
Jan
3		 Army B D C+ A+ B- 33% 20% 47% D+ C+ C+ F D B+ D- A+ C D- B+ B+ D- D+ 40% 9% 51% D+ D+ F+ F F F F A+ D
1.24 56% 40% 43% +6 0 1.14 33% 0.9 .30 11% .30 88% .26 1.13 47% 25% 38% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.2 .41 13% .38 55% .21
Jan
7		 American D+ D+ F B- D 50% 24% 26% C D B+ F C- B- A F C+ C- B B- F F 57% 6% 36% F F B+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+
1.08 57% 30% 36% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 17% .47 61% .28 1.04 52% 33% 53% +6 +3 1.21 21% 0.5 .10 19% .12 50% .06
Jan
10		 Lehigh C+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 27% 29% C- B- C+ F D C A- B- A F B+ A+ F F+ 45% 20% 35% F+ F+ F A+ D+ F F D F
1.18 45% 62% 43% +4 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .27 15% .38 76% .29 1.20 50% 20% 59% +6 0 1.14 37% 0.6 .24 11% .45 77% .34
Jan
14		 Loyola Maryland C+ B C- B C+ 29% 36% 35% F C- F A+ D+ B- B+ A A D D- C- C+ D 29% 19% 53% A- D+ C+ A- B F F B+ D-
1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28 1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 Bucknell A A+ A A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C A+ C+ A+ A A- B F+ C+ F+ F A A+ C- 41% 8% 51% F D+ A+ F C+ F F F F
1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24 1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36
Jan
21		 American D- B- C+ D C- 30% 36% 34% F D D- F F D+ B F+ C C+ D+ A+ C- C+ 45% 16% 39% C- C+ F F F A+ D+ F D-
0.98 64% 41% 31% +2 -3 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 19% .42 65% .28 1.04 60% 14% 35% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .48 28% .29 86% .25
Jan
24		 Boston University D- F C+ A+ C+ 41% 30% 30% D C B+ C- B- F F F F C F+ F A+ D+ 46% 15% 40% D- D A A+ A+ C F D+ F
1.10 45% 44% 56% +6 -1 1.13 36% 1.0 .36 19% .20 58% .12 1.09 68% 86% 26% +7 +1 1.19 18% 0.6 .11 18% .45 74% .33
Jan
28		 Holy Cross C F A A+ C 38% 32% 30% F D+ C- B+ C+ A F+ C+ D- F+ F F C F 35% 27% 38% C- F A+ F B F A+ A+ A+
1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15 1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lehigh D+ C A+ F D+ 46% 30% 24% D+ D+ C A+ A F+ B A+ A D+ B+ D F F 38% 15% 48% F F B F D A+ B- D C+
1.07 57% 67% 8% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.4 .48 20% .35 85% .30 1.08 50% 43% 52% +11 +1 1.25 18% 1.4 .25 25% .24 77% .19
Feb
4		 Army F+ B+ C+ D+ C 35% 33% 33% F C- A F D F B- C C+ A B B+ B B 22% 18% 60% A B+ B A- B+ B F B F+
1.07 69% 40% 33% +4 -2 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 22% .38 74% .28 0.86 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 25% 0.8 .19 20% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 Bucknell D+ C- A F+ D 36% 26% 38% D+ D D- D+ D- A- C+ F D+ A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% B+ A+ A F B- D F B- F
1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22 0.80 53% 36% 13% -17 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33
Feb
11		 Holy Cross D+ F+ C- F F 39% 28% 33% D- F F+ A+ C+ B- C+ A+ B C F+ B- A+ A- 22% 33% 45% A- A- F A+ D- C+ F F F
1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23 1.02 64% 38% 23% -7 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41
Feb
14		 Navy B- F D A+ A- 37% 20% 43% B A- D- A+ C+ C+ A+ F A+ F D- D+ F F 38% 23% 38% C- F A A- A F F B+ F
1.12 47% 33% 50% +5 0 1.13 24% 1.4 .32 17% .44 65% .29 1.17 65% 42% 40% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.9 .21 14% .47 69% .32
Feb
16		 Boston University F F D- A- F 34% 30% 36% F+ F C B B- B F A+ D F B+ A+ F F+ 33% 14% 53% C D- F F F F A+ A A+
1.01 19% 36% 41% -10 -1 0.79 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 90% .18 1.48 50% 14% 54% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.8 .71 12% .16 63% .10
Feb
21		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F+ D+ 48% 10% 42% A C- F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A- A D- C- 46% 6% 49% F D+ B+ A- B+ F D+ F D-
1.16 59% 83% 28% +1 +2 1.08 14% 1.0 .14 11% .45 89% .40 1.12 48% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.01 22% 0.8 .18 9% .29 78% .23
Feb
25		 Lafayette D+ C+ C- A- C 44% 27% 29% C C F F F A+ D B+ C- F C A+ C+ C 58% 6% 37% F D+ D- B- C- F C+ A B
1.11 61% 36% 40% +3 0 1.08 19% 0.8 .16 8% .24 79% .19 1.12 57% 0% 32% -4 +3 1.00 30% 0.8 .25 8% .26 60% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 79.2 20.8 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 79.2 20.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 20.8% 20.6% 20.6% 15.4 0.2 2.3 1.8 16.5
11-7 79.2% 16.3% 16.3% 15.8 0.0 2.4 10.5 66.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 15.7 82.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.3% 100.0% 15.4 4.6 54.6 40.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.8%
Lose Out 23.9%