Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -20.3 #364
Expected Predictive Rating -17.6 #354
Pace 70.7 #137
Improvement -0.6 #224

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #363 F D+ F D+ D-
Defense #363 F D- D D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #246 0.98 #344 -4.7 #327
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #54 0.61 #335 +0.7 #144
Three Pointers 37% #274 0.95 #263 -3.5 #296
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #352 -7.5 #352
Freethrows 16.5 #238 67% #322 11.0 #278
Second Chance 26.3% #303 1.06 #165 0.28 #266
Turnovers 21.4% #361
Total Offense -11.1 #363

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #246 1.34 #344 -1.9 #251
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #330 0.92 #349 +1.1 #115
Three Pointers 49% #21 1.23 #363 -9.3 #362
1st FG Attempt 1.22 #365 -10.1 #365
Freethrows 20.1 #304 75% #288 15.1 #44
Second Chance 35.3% #326 1.08 #245 0.38 #311
Turnovers 14.9% #286
Total Defense -9.2 #363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #307 1.1% #275
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.9% #351 19.0% #365
Possession Length 18.2 #269 15.5 #8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #248 0.28 #363
Improvement +1.0 #123 -1.6 #285

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 8.1% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 66.3% 43.8% 68.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 44 - 154 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 Maryland L 61 - 83 2% -13  0 - 1 -18 -7 C- A F -12 F D+ C
 Wed, Nov 5 208 @La Salle L 59 - 87 4% -22  0 - 2 -28 -16 F F F -10 F A+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 213 @James Madison L 70 - 84 4% -13  0 - 3 -14 -5 D- A+ F -9 F A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 75 @South Florida L 50 - 100 1% -28  0 - 4 -39 -17 F B F -23 F F D-
 Fri, Nov 14 325 Central Michigan L 59 - 82 17% -13  0 - 5 -33 -20 F C D- -13 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 190 South Alabama L 62 - 72 5% -5  0 - 6 -12 -7 F A D- -5 D+ C C-
 Sat, Nov 22 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 58 - 101 1% -23  0 - 7 -29 -13 D- F F -14 F A F
 Tue, Nov 25 348 @Rider W 68 - 65 16% -5  1 - 7 -7 -8 F C+ F +1 C+ A+ B
 Sun, Nov 30 336 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 95 13% -7  1 - 8 -19 +5 B+ F F -24 F F B
 Wed, Dec 3 59 @West Virginia L 49 - 91 1% -14  1 - 9 -30 -17 F D- F -13 D+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 95 @Liberty L 50 - 92 1% -34  1 - 10 -33 -19 F F F -16 F F B+
 Tue, Dec 9 175 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 87 3% -14  1 - 11 -20 -2 C+ F C- -18 F D+ D
 Sun, Dec 14 254 @Radford L 77 - 107 6% -12  1 - 12 -32 -7 C+ F F -23 F F B-
 Fri, Dec 19 200 @Navy L 55 - 88 4% -12  1 - 13 -32 -13 F F F -21 F F C
 Mon, Dec 22 100 @Georgetown L 67 - 97 1% -22  1 - 14 -22 -5 D+ C D- -16 F B D-
 Mon, Dec 29 277 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59 - 93 16% -18  1 - 15 -44 -22 F F F -21 F F D
 Sat, Jan 3 356 @Delaware St. W 53 - 51 18% -1  2 - 15 1 - 0 -9 -16 F B F +8 C C+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 338 NC Central L 77 - 88 28% +3  2 - 16 1 - 1 -25 +3 A+ F D -28 F F F
 Mon, Jan 12 361 South Carolina St. L 72 - 74 42% -4  2 - 17 1 - 2 -20 -3 F C F -17 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 324 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 61 - 74 10%
 Sat, Jan 24 289 @Norfolk St. L 62 - 78 7%
 Mon, Jan 26 275 Howard L 66 - 77 16%
 Sat, Jan 31 363 Morgan St. L 75 - 76 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 356 Delaware St. L 66 - 70 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 338 @NC Central L 67 - 79 13%
 Mon, Feb 16 361 @South Carolina St. L 70 - 78 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 324 Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 71 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 289 Norfolk St. L 65 - 75 18%
 Mon, Mar 2 275 @Howard L 63 - 80 6%
 Thu, Mar 5 363 @Morgan St. L 72 - 79 27%
Totals 4 - 26 3 - 11 -20 -11 F D+ F -9 F D- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.7 5.5 6.7 1.6 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 11.6 11.9 2.8 0.1 28.9 7th
8th 9.4 20.3 15.2 3.5 0.2 48.5 8th
Total 9.5 22.7 27.6 21.1 11.9 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
9-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0% 0.0
9-5 0.1% 0.1
8-6 0.5% 0.5
7-7 1.7% 1.7
6-8 5.0% 5.0
5-9 11.9% 11.9
4-10 21.1% 21.1
3-11 27.6% 27.6
2-12 22.7% 22.7
1-13 9.5% 9.5
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.5%