Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.0 #193
Expected Predictive Rating -4.7 #240
Pace 81.1 #9
Improvement -2.3 #297

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #65 A+ C+ D C A-
Defense #354 F D- D D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #223 1.25 #90 +0.8 #147
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #352 0.84 #72 -4.3 #349
Three Pointers 54% #10 1.19 #8 +11.2 #1
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #18 +7.7 #19
Freethrows 16.4 #240 74% #151 12.1 #206
Second Chance 30.7% #183 1.16 #58 0.36 #102
Turnovers 18.4% #291
Total Offense +5.5 #65

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #72 1.26 #302 -4.6 #322
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #170 0.82 #282 -0.8 #238
Three Pointers 37% #293 1.21 #359 -1.4 #245
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #349 -6.8 #349
Freethrows 19.4 #283 71% #131 13.8 #98
Second Chance 31.5% #215 1.24 #347 0.39 #327
Turnovers 14.5% #307
Total Defense -7.5 #354

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.7% #34 0.6% #219
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 13.0% #23 12.7% #352
Possession Length 14.4 #6 17.7 #256
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #68 0.21 #296
Improvement +1.9 #78 -4.2 #351

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 10.0% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.7
.500 or above 16.4% 37.2% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.8% 55.7% 25.5%
Conference Champion 2.5% 9.7% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 30.3% 14.0% 33.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round4.3% 10.0% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 411 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 146 @Kent St. L 102 - 110 28% -8  0 - 1 -4 +17 A+ A F -20 F F F
 Sun, Nov 9 91 @Illinois St. L 65 - 76 15% -4  0 - 2 -2 -5 F B- B +3 B- C A
 Thu, Nov 13 326 @Lafayette W 97 - 78 69% +7  1 - 2 +12 +15 A- A D -4 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 330 Army W 86 - 73 86% +6  2 - 2 -1 -4 B+ F F +2 A- B- F
 Thu, Nov 20 215 Colgate W 95 - 94 2OT 65% -0  3 - 2 -5 -5 C+ F F -1 A F D
 Sun, Nov 30 318 @Bucknell W 101 - 72 66% +21  4 - 2 +23 +23 A+ A+ F -2 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 86 @George Mason L 81 - 99 14% -5  4 - 3 -8 +9 A+ C- D -16 F B+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 166 @Towson L 80 - 93 34% -3  4 - 4 -11 +11 A+ F D- -22 F F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 240 @Samford L 90 - 93 48% +3  4 - 5 -5 +7 D- A+ C+ -11 F F B-
 Sun, Dec 21 309 @Albany W 83 - 75 64% -0  5 - 5 +2 +19 A+ A+ C+ -16 F D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 13 @Michigan St. L 97 - 114 2% -6  5 - 6 +5 +23 A+ C A -15 F B+ F
 Mon, Jan 5 163 Columbia L 99 - 104 56% -1  5 - 7 0 - 1 -9 +9 A- A+ D- -17 F B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 204 Dartmouth L 91 - 102 64% -8  5 - 8 0 - 2 -17 +9 B B- F -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 94 @Yale L 84 - 95 14%
 Mon, Jan 19 248 @Brown L 80 - 81 50%
 Sat, Jan 24 162 @Harvard L 79 - 84 33%
 Fri, Jan 30 221 Princeton W 85 - 81 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 206 Penn W 93 - 89 63%
 Sat, Feb 7 163 @Columbia L 86 - 90 33%
 Fri, Feb 13 221 @Princeton L 82 - 84 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 206 @Penn L 90 - 92 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 162 Harvard W 82 - 81 55%
 Fri, Feb 27 94 Yale L 87 - 92 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 248 Brown W 83 - 77 71%
 Sat, Mar 7 204 @Dartmouth L 90 - 92 41%
Totals 10 - 15 5 - 9 -2 +5 A+ C+ D -7 F D- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.3 2.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 6.9 1.5 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 9.2 3.2 0.1 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.2 9.3 5.4 0.2 17.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 8.8 6.4 0.5 19.4 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 4.6 7.0 4.6 0.6 18.9 8th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.1 10.3 15.8 18.8 18.4 14.3 8.9 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 92.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
10-4 63.7% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
9-5 21.0% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.4% 27.8% 27.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
10-4 1.5% 28.8% 28.8% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1
9-5 4.6% 24.7% 24.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.5
8-6 8.9% 18.8% 18.8% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.1 7.3
7-7 14.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 13.4
6-8 18.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 18.3
5-9 18.8% 18.8
4-10 15.8% 15.8
3-11 10.3% 10.3
2-12 5.1% 5.1
1-13 1.8% 1.8
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.6 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%