Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#45
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#67
Pace67.8#240
Improvement+0.7#121

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#50
First Shot+3.6#76
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#42
Layup/Dunks+3.0#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#76
Freethrows-0.8#225
Improvement-0.8#264

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#52
First Shot+5.5#38
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#251
Layups/Dunks-5.6#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#14
Freethrows+6.4#1
Improvement+1.5#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 9.3% 9.4% 3.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.0% 46.6% 26.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.5% 43.0% 24.3%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 76.8% 77.5% 52.2%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 67.2% 52.1%
Conference Champion 5.1% 5.1% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 3.0% 6.0%
First Four7.8% 7.8% 6.8%
First Round42.0% 42.6% 23.7%
Second Round22.4% 22.8% 9.8%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 6.8% 3.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.3% 1.3%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 1.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 97.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 26 - 310 - 13
Quad 34 - 114 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 286 South Dakota W 92-76 96%     1 - 0 +6.2 +8.6 -3.1
  Tue, Nov 11 6 @Gonzaga L 63-90 14%     1 - 1 -4.4 -1.5 -1.9
  Fri, Nov 14 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-45 98%     2 - 1 +25.1 +14.6 +13.7
  Wed, Nov 19 319 North Dakota W 75-60 97%     3 - 1 +3.5 +4.0 +0.8
  Mon, Nov 24 28 Baylor L 74-81 39%     3 - 2 +6.9 +7.7 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 4 Iowa St. L 60-78 20%     3 - 3 +1.9 -1.1 +2.4
  Thu, Nov 27 80 Oregon W 76-66 65%     4 - 3 +17.2 +9.5 +8.1
  Tue, Dec 2 270 Nicholls St. W 81-61 97%    
  Sun, Dec 7 43 @Nebraska L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Dec 13 54 Kansas St. W 83-79 66%    
  Wed, Dec 17 85 @Xavier W 74-73 56%    
  Sat, Dec 20 73 Marquette W 79-73 72%    
  Mon, Dec 22 281 Utah Tech W 81-60 97%    
  Tue, Dec 30 47 Butler W 78-75 63%    
  Sun, Jan 4 76 @Seton Hall W 68-67 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 41 @Villanova L 67-71 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 15 St. John's L 77-81 38%    
  Tue, Jan 13 79 Georgetown W 78-71 73%    
  Fri, Jan 16 75 @Providence W 82-81 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 85 Xavier W 77-70 75%    
  Tue, Jan 27 73 @Marquette W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 8 Connecticut L 70-75 33%    
  Wed, Feb 4 79 @Georgetown W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 76 Seton Hall W 71-64 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 109 @DePaul W 75-71 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 41 Villanova W 70-68 57%    
  Wed, Feb 18 8 @Connecticut L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 15 @St. John's L 74-84 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 109 DePaul W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 28 75 Providence W 85-79 72%    
  Wed, Mar 4 47 @Butler L 75-78 42%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.3 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.3 5.9 3.8 1.3 0.1 17.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.8 1.4 0.2 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.1 0.9 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.5 2.7 0.6 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.0 6.0 8.9 10.7 12.2 13.1 12.0 10.4 8.0 5.4 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 93.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 74.4% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 47.0% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
15-5 19.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 34.0% 66.0% 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 30.3% 69.7% 3.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.6% 100.0% 28.7% 71.3% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.3% 99.5% 20.2% 79.3% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
15-5 5.4% 98.0% 16.9% 81.1% 6.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
14-6 8.0% 93.9% 12.6% 81.4% 7.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.5 93.1%
13-7 10.4% 86.7% 8.7% 78.0% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 0.7 1.4 85.5%
12-8 12.0% 70.0% 5.9% 64.1% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.7 1.6 0.0 3.6 68.2%
11-9 13.1% 46.7% 4.4% 42.3% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 2.2 0.2 7.0 44.2%
10-10 12.2% 25.1% 2.5% 22.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 0.2 9.1 23.2%
9-11 10.7% 7.2% 2.6% 4.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 9.9 4.8%
8-12 8.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.8% 11.3 0.1 0.0 8.8 0.8%
7-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
6-14 4.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 4.0
5-15 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 46.0% 6.2% 39.9% 8.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.4 4.3 5.5 7.6 7.7 8.5 6.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.0 42.5%