Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#209
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#126
Pace67.0#260
Improvement+1.6#63

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#238
First Shot-2.2#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#191
Layup/Dunks+0.3#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#325
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement+1.8#43

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#182
First Shot-0.2#174
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#211
Layups/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#135
Freethrows+2.5#50
Improvement-0.2#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.3% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 39.4% 42.6% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.1% 44.1% 29.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 8.2% 13.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round2.2% 2.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 337 Georgia St. W 71-49 84%     1 - 0 +8.3 -4.7 +13.5
  Mon, Nov 10 99 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 15%     1 - 1 -4.0 -2.4 -1.7
  Fri, Nov 14 355 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 88%     1 - 2 -23.0 -8.9 -13.4
  Tue, Nov 18 328 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 63%     2 - 2 +3.6 -3.6 +7.2
  Fri, Nov 21 138 Oakland W 97-91 45%     3 - 2 +4.4 +14.2 -10.2
  Mon, Nov 24 9 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -18.9 -16.0 -4.8
  Wed, Nov 26 65 @Cincinnati W 64-56 9%     4 - 3 +19.5 +6.5 +13.6
  Fri, Nov 28 349 NJIT W 77-65 86%    
  Tue, Dec 2 47 @Butler L 65-82 6%    
  Wed, Dec 10 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-75 44%    
  Fri, Dec 19 58 @Akron L 71-86 8%    
  Mon, Dec 22 146 @Wright St. L 66-72 28%    
  Tue, Dec 30 181 Massachusetts W 74-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 3 207 Ohio W 76-73 61%    
  Tue, Jan 6 277 @Ball St. W 69-68 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 243 @Western Michigan L 72-73 45%    
  Tue, Jan 13 280 Northern Illinois W 75-69 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 140 @Bowling Green L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 124 Kent St. L 76-79 41%    
  Tue, Jan 27 305 @Central Michigan W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 181 @Massachusetts L 71-76 34%    
  Tue, Feb 3 58 Akron L 74-83 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 124 @Kent St. L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 243 Western Michigan W 75-70 66%    
  Tue, Feb 17 305 Central Michigan W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 173 @Toledo L 72-77 33%    
  Tue, Feb 24 121 Miami (OH) L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Mar 3 228 @Buffalo L 72-74 43%    
  Fri, Mar 6 140 Bowling Green L 70-71 46%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.6 1.1 0.1 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.4 1.5 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 5.4 2.3 0.2 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.2 3.4 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.5 4.7 0.7 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.0 1.4 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 2.3 0.2 9.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 3.9 2.5 0.2 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.1 0.4 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.1 5.6 8.6 11.3 13.5 13.8 12.8 10.9 8.2 5.1 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 72.2% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 29.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 18.9% 18.9% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.5% 12.9% 12.9% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
13-5 2.9% 10.2% 10.2% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.6
12-6 5.1% 6.1% 6.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.8
11-7 8.2% 5.0% 5.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 7.8
10-8 10.9% 3.4% 3.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.5
9-9 12.8% 2.5% 2.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.5
8-10 13.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 11.3% 11.3
5-13 8.6% 8.6
4-14 5.6% 5.6
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 97.8 0.0%