Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -4.9 247
Results Rating -6.5 268
Consistency 0.19 338
Pace 66.6 237
Improvement -4.3 330

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 305 D+ D+ C- D D
Defense C 160 C+ C+ C- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 191 C 59% 157 +0.0 184
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 30 D 34% 312 +1.8 86
Three Pointers 33% 331 C 34% 197 -4.1 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 312 C- -1.2 223
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 252
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 273 C- 0.99 244 D+ 0.27 278
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 221
Other Turnovers C- 7.9% 258
Turnovers C- 17.7% 246
Freethrows D- 0.26 327 C+ 73% 173 D 0.19 309
Total Offense D -5.2 305

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 189 D 13.4% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 166 D+ 6.9% 297
Three Pointers C- 82% 225 C 0.8% 172
Total D+ 52% 266 D- 7.3% 334

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 92 C+ 56% 116 +1.1 217
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 158 D+ 41% 286 +0.8 254
Three Pointers 37% 300 C+ 33% 108 -2.9 62
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 204 C+ -1.1 139
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 144
Second Chance C 29.7% 157 C+ 1.01 147 C+ 0.30 150
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 257
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 174
Turnovers C- 15.8% 239
Freethrows C 0.31 208 C- 73% 212 C 0.23 216
Total Defense C +0.3 160

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 285 C 11.1% 167
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 9 B+ 8.4% 37
Three Pointers D+ 87% 279 C- 0.7% 206
Total C 55% 162 B- 6.7% 91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 302 16.9 114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 228 0.22 324
Consistency 0.13 210 0.15 344
Improvement -2.9 317 -1.4 260

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 264 248 229
Results Rating Rank 286 261 239
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 6 - 12
Conference Finish 13 11 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 52% 17% 67%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 296 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 72% +8  81% 1 - 0 B +11 D- -6 F A D- A+ +18 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 101 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 12% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -6 F D+ B C+ +1 C+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 326 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 79% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -20 F+ -10 F C+ B F -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 254 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 39% -1  45% 2 - 2 B- +8 D -5 C D- F A+ +13 A+ D+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 163 Oakland W 97 - 91 44% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +3 A- +11 A+ F C- F+ -8 F C+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 14 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -19 F -18 F D+ D+ C- -3 D+ B+ F+
 Wed, Nov 26 42 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 4% +9  98% 4 - 3 A+ +23 B- +5 C A+ F A+ +19 A+ A B
 Fri, Nov 28 315 NJIT W 73 - 55 77% +3  52% 5 - 3 B- +5 D+ -3 A- D- F A +9 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 76 @Butler L 68 - 84 8% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -5 C +0 C- C C- D -6 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 41% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -17 D- -8 C+ F B+ F -11 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 72 @Akron L 72 - 93 8% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -2 F C+ A D- -8 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 162 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 23% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -3 F+ -9 D- F C+ B+ +6 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 190 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 50% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 210 Ohio L 67 - 68 53% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -7 F+ -8 B- F C C+ +2 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 313 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 55% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 A+ A F B+ +6 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 272 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 44% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -20 F -14 D+ F F+ D- -8 F D A
 Tue, Jan 13 321 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 79% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 C+ +5 D -5 D+ F B+ A +9 B A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 177 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 26% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -4 A- +11 A D+ A F -15 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 159 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 43% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -4 F -11 F D A A- +7 C- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 266 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 42% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -38 F -17 D+ F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 190 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 28% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 C F+ F C+ +1 B A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 72 Akron L 64 - 66 17% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F -11 C C- F A+ +14 A+ B B
 Sat, Feb 7 170 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 25% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -3 D- -8 F A+ A B +4 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 159 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 23% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -1 A+ +16 A+ C- D F -17 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 272 Western Michigan L 62 - 76 67% +2  69% 8 - 17 3 - 10 F -23 F -15 D F+ C+ F+ -10 B+ F F
 Tue, Feb 17 266 Central Michigan W 66 - 54 65% +9  95% 9 - 17 4 - 10 C+ +3 F -11 C+ D+ F A+ +15 A+ A- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 164 @Toledo L 75 - 94 24% -17  0% 9 - 18 4 - 11 F+ -16 D+ -3 F A- C F -13 F A D-
 Tue, Feb 24 87 Miami (OH) L 64 - 74 21% -12  0% 9 - 19 4 - 12 D+ -7 F -13 F C- B B+ +6 A+ D- F
 Tue, Mar 3 206 @Buffalo L 70 - 75 31%
 Fri, Mar 6 177 Bowling Green L 69 - 70 47%
Totals 10 - 20 5 - 13 -5 D -5 A- C- D C +0 C C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C D C C- 38% 56% 33% D D+ D+ C- D+ C- D- C+ D C C+ D+ C+ C+ 42% 21% 37% C- C+ C C+ C+ C- C C- C
1.01 59% 34% 34% -1 -1 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 18% .26 73% .19 1.08 56% 41% 33% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 73% .19
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D- F C- F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D- F F F A+ A+ B C+ A+ 36% 26% 38% D- A D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D- D+ B A A+ A+ C+ A- F A+ C+ 48% 22% 30% C+ C+ A+ F B- F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F+ F+ F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D+ C+ B F+ B- D- F D+ B F F 48% 16% 36% F F C- F F A+ D+ F+ D
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +7 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D B- D- B- C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C C- F D- F A F C+ A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ C+ F+ D+ C+ D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A- A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F C+ F C- C A+ B F+ C F F F 51% 12% 37% F F B D C+ D- B- B+ B
1.31 73% 82% 45% +21 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% F+ F C+ F D+ D+ B C B C- B F F D+ 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B+ B+ F+ C A+ B
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C 26% 24% 50% D+ C C A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ C A B C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% F+ A- D+ F+ D- F F D- F A A+ C- A+ A 27% 29% 44% B+ A D- F F A+ A F B-
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C C- C+ A+ A D A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D D F F B B- F C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F B+ C F F F C- B+ A+ A- 59% 20% 20% D B D F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ F+ F 55% 13% 32% A- F C+ C+ C+ A A+ F A D- D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C- F F B F C+
1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ F+ F A- F 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F C+ D+ D D B+ D C A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C- A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts C- D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C- D- D+ A A+ D+ A+ B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 31% 39% A A+ A D+ B F B+ C B
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F C A+ F+ A+ C+ F C- B- D- 28% 26% 46% B D C A+ A+ A B D+ C+
1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A+ C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% C+ A+ A+ C- A F F B F B+ A C+ C+ C+ 43% 20% 36% C- C+ B+ A+ A+ F C- F F+
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D+ F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ F F F F+ F F F D- F B+ F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F C+ D A F C- F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D A+ C F C+ 36% 36% 28% F D+ F D+ F B+ F A D- A F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B- B A A+ A+ D C A B-
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A- B A+ B A 38% 24% 38% D+ A B F D+ A F A+ D F C B- F F 51% 24% 24% B F D- F+ F+ D+ D- D F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A+ F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F D A F A+ D+ A- C- C+ D+ D+ 32% 26% 42% A C- B+ A+ A+ A F D- F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D+ D+ F A+ F F C+ D C F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ A- F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D- F F+ F D A+ B C+ D+ F A+ A 55% 16% 30% F B B- A A- F F D- F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F A+ F A B- 32% 32% 36% F C C+ D- C- F B- F C- A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% C- A+ A D- B B B- C B-
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F C+ F F 30% 37% 33% F F D- A+ A+ A F D F B B- F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ C- A+ A+ F F A+ F+
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B- A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C- D F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47
Feb
14		 Western Michigan F C F A+ D+ 38% 28% 34% F+ D F A F+ C+ F F F F+ A+ A+ F A 54% 19% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09 1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 Central Michigan F A+ B- C- B 36% 36% 29% F C+ C- D+ D+ F D A+ C A+ C- C+ A+ A 31% 38% 31% A A+ D A+ A- B+ F A+ C
1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25 0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19
Feb
21		 Toledo D+ A F F F+ 40% 26% 34% D- F F A+ A- C B A+ A+ F F F F F 54% 19% 27% F F A+ C A D- F+ A+ C-
1.05 71% 14% 28% -4 -1 0.92 24% 1.9 .45 18% .29 88% .26 1.32 79% 70% 43% +21 +1 1.46 17% 1.0 .17 13% .35 64% .22
Feb
24		 Miami (OH) F C- F C+ F 26% 37% 37% F F D B C- B A F B B+ C+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 27% 44% A A+ C- F D- F B A A-
0.90 57% 15% 35% -8 -3 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 15% .38 65% .25 1.04 61% 47% 19% -7 -2 0.85 25% 1.4 .34 6% .28 68% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 3.5 3.5 8th
9th 3.5 9.3 12.8 9th
10th 26.2 1.9 28.1 10th
11th 3.0 16.1 0.0 19.1 11th
12th 23.0 1.9 24.9 12th
13th 11.5 0.0 11.5 13th
Total 37.4 47.6 14.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 14.9% 14.9
5-13 47.6% 47.6
4-14 37.4% 37.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.4%
Lose Out 37.4%