Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.9 #211
Expected Predictive Rating -2.1 #201
Pace 66.4 #253
Improvement -0.6 #221

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #267 C- D C C- C-
Defense #145 B- C+ C- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #85 1.08 #276 +0.4 #160
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #92 0.73 #212 +1.3 #102
Three Pointers 33% #329 1.07 #104 -3.1 #289
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #209 -1.4 #210
Freethrows 16.8 #225 71% #238 11.9 #224
Second Chance 27.2% #273 0.94 #300 0.25 #302
Turnovers 17.0% #205
Total Offense -3.5 #267

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #76 1.11 #119 -1.2 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #113 0.76 #182 -0.7 #232
Three Pointers 35% #321 0.95 #104 +4.0 #43
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #108 +2.1 #110
Freethrows 15.6 #96 74% #261 11.6 #250
Second Chance 28.8% #114 1.05 #196 0.30 #142
Turnovers 16.1% #205
Total Defense +0.6 #145

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #227 0.2% #176
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.2% #208 -4.3% #97
Possession Length 18.4 #284 17.1 #157
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #230 0.21 #293
Improvement -0.4 #211 -0.1 #194

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 20.7% 38.0% 15.2%
.500 or above in Conference 40.2% 62.7% 33.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.0% 1.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 24.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 75 - 13
Quad 48 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 290 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 76% +8  1 - 0 +12 -3 F A D +15 A+ A A+
 Mon, Nov 10 88 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 13% -11  1 - 1 -2 -3 F D+ B+ +0 B C+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 353 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 89% -3  1 - 2 -23 -9 F D+ B+ -14 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 273 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 52% -1  2 - 2 +7 -4 C F F +10 A+ B- C+
 Fri, Nov 21 135 Oakland W 97 - 91 45% +1  3 - 2 +4 +13 A+ F D+ -9 D- D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 19 @Louisville L 46 - 87 3% -20  3 - 3 -22 -17 F D D -6 D- B F
 Wed, Nov 26 56 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 8% +9  4 - 3 +21 +7 C- A+ F +14 A+ A B+
 Fri, Nov 28 352 NJIT W 73 - 55 89% +3  5 - 3 +2 -2 B+ D- F +5 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 58 @Butler L 68 - 84 9% -7  5 - 4 -4 +5 C C D -9 D F C+
 Wed, Dec 10 237 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 44% -12  5 - 5 -16 -5 C F A- -12 B F C-
 Fri, Dec 19 67 @Akron L 72 - 93 10% -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -10 -0 F C A+ -9 B- D+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 142 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 25% -1  5 - 7 -2 -5 D F B- +3 C+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 168 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 54% +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +3 C- D+ A+ -1 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 178 Ohio L 67 - 68 56% +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -5 -5 B- F C -0 C- A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 303 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 59% +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +15 A+ A F +7 B- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 250 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 47% -1  7 - 9 2 - 3 -19 -10 C F F -10 F D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 331 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 84% +3  8 - 9 3 - 3 +4 -4 D+ F A +8 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 131 @Bowling Green L 67 - 74 24%
 Sat, Jan 24 146 Kent St. L 76 - 77 47%
 Tue, Jan 27 325 @Central Michigan W 72 - 68 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Massachusetts L 71 - 76 32%
 Tue, Feb 3 67 Akron L 74 - 82 23%
 Sat, Feb 7 223 @Appalachian St. L 63 - 65 40%
 Wed, Feb 11 146 @Kent St. L 73 - 80 26%
 Sat, Feb 14 250 Western Michigan W 75 - 70 69%
 Tue, Feb 17 325 Central Michigan W 75 - 65 82%
 Sat, Feb 21 164 @Toledo L 72 - 77 31%
 Tue, Feb 24 84 Miami (OH) L 71 - 78 27%
 Tue, Mar 3 199 @Buffalo L 71 - 74 38%
 Fri, Mar 6 131 Bowling Green L 70 - 71 45%
Totals 13 - 17 8 - 10 -3 -3 C- D C +1 B- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 5.4 1.4 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 6.9 3.4 0.2 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.5 6.6 0.7 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 7.1 9.0 1.9 0.0 18.9 8th
9th 0.6 5.2 8.3 2.7 0.1 16.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 5.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.9 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.2 13th
Total 0.2 1.7 5.7 12.5 18.5 21.2 18.1 12.1 6.6 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 27.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.8% 8.0% 8.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 2.5% 5.5% 5.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3
11-7 6.6% 3.6% 3.6% 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.4
10-8 12.1% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.7
9-9 18.1% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 17.6
8-10 21.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 21.0
7-11 18.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 18.5
6-12 12.5% 12.5
5-13 5.7% 5.7
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%