Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.4 #255
Expected Predictive Rating -10.9 #329
Pace 70.7 #133
Improvement -0.3 #202

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #181 C+ C D+ C- C-
Defense #322 F D- C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #194 1.14 #202 -0.8 #210
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #129 0.83 #77 +1.8 #85
Three Pointers 39% #216 1.07 #112 +0.2 #170
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #145 +1.3 #146
Freethrows 15.7 #269 74% #153 11.6 #249
Second Chance 30.9% #176 0.99 #252 0.30 #207
Turnovers 18.1% #273
Total Offense -0.5 #181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #85 1.26 #303 -4.3 #313
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #273 0.92 #350 -0.1 #189
Three Pointers 41% #204 1.17 #345 -3.0 #300
1st FG Attempt 1.17 #355 -7.4 #355
Freethrows 18.2 #225 73% #194 13.2 #134
Second Chance 33.9% #297 1.13 #283 0.38 #309
Turnovers 17.4% #121
Total Defense -4.9 #322

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #232 1.4% #291
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.3% #132 13.1% #356
Possession Length 17.3 #172 16.8 #105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.22 #319
Improvement -1.3 #261 +1.0 #124

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.4% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 27.5% 45.9% 20.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.2% 5.6% 16.1%
First Four2.7% 3.7% 2.3%
First Round2.0% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 102 - 16
Quad 47 - 69 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 38 @UCLA L 74 - 80 3% -7  0 - 1 +10 +8 A+ F D +2 C C+ F
 Wed, Nov 5 130 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 17% -1  0 - 2 -3 -7 C+ F F +3 B+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 8 73 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 7% -1  0 - 3 +6 +17 A+ D- B -11 D- C D-
 Wed, Nov 12 121 @Seattle L 67 - 94 15% -15  0 - 4 -22 -2 C+ F C -18 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 265 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 40% -20  0 - 5 -30 -11 D- C F -18 F B+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 137 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 18% -2  0 - 6 -4 +2 C D+ C+ -6 B- F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 280 @Denver L 89 - 93 43% -0  0 - 7 -8 +10 A+ D+ F -18 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 346 UMKC W 90 - 66 81% +15  1 - 7 +9 +4 F A+ D +3 C F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 157 California Baptist L 83 - 88 40% -5  1 - 8 -8 +9 B+ A+ C -17 F F A
 Wed, Dec 17 136 Washington St. L 63 - 78 26% -12  1 - 9 -14 -10 F F D -4 F C+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 113 @Utah L 77 - 101 13% -11  1 - 10 -17 +5 D C- B- -22 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 11 @BYU L 81 - 109 1% -9  1 - 11 -5 +13 A+ A C- -16 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 194 @Idaho L 81 - 84 27% -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +7 F A+ F -9 F F A
 Thu, Jan 8 161 Montana St. L 64 - 68 41% +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -7 -5 F D+ C -2 C- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 186 Montana W 66 - 65 47% -2  2 - 13 1 - 2 -4 -2 C+ D- C -1 B C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 197 @Weber St. L 76 - 82 28%
 Sat, Jan 17 196 @Idaho St. L 73 - 79 28%
 Thu, Jan 22 145 Portland St. L 74 - 77 38%
 Sat, Jan 24 307 Sacramento St. W 85 - 79 71%
 Thu, Jan 29 296 @Northern Arizona L 75 - 76 47%
 Sat, Jan 31 174 @Northern Colorado L 76 - 83 24%
 Thu, Feb 5 186 @Montana L 76 - 83 26%
 Sat, Feb 7 161 @Montana St. L 71 - 79 22%
 Thu, Feb 12 196 Idaho St. L 76 - 77 50%
 Sat, Feb 14 197 Weber St. L 79 - 80 50%
 Thu, Feb 19 307 @Sacramento St. W 83 - 82 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 145 @Portland St. L 71 - 80 19%
 Thu, Feb 26 174 Northern Colorado L 79 - 80 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 296 Northern Arizona W 78 - 73 69%
 Mon, Mar 2 194 Idaho L 77 - 78 49%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 11 -5 -1 C+ C D+ -5 F D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.3 0.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 6.1 4.3 0.4 12.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 8.0 5.9 0.9 0.0 17.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.5 9.4 7.3 1.6 0.1 23.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.1 6.2 4.0 0.7 0.0 16.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 7.0 10th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 7.1 12.1 15.8 17.6 15.3 12.0 7.8 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 88.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 54.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 18.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 16.6% 16.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
12-6 2.0% 10.7% 10.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8
11-7 4.6% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.4 4.2
10-8 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 7.2
9-9 12.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 11.4
8-10 15.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 14.9
7-11 17.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 17.4
6-12 15.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 15.7
5-13 12.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 12.0
4-14 7.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.1
3-15 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%