Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.8 #243
Expected Predictive Rating -0.7 #177
Pace 61.7 #349
Improvement +2.7 #53

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #170 C+ D- B- B+ B-
Defense #321 D+ C- F C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #88 1.15 #187 +2.0 #110
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #230 0.80 #117 -0.7 #214
Three Pointers 40% #198 1.04 #149 +0.1 #175
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #141 +1.4 #141
Freethrows 21.1 #20 72% #208 15.2 #43
Second Chance 24.1% #332 1.00 #245 0.24 #326
Turnovers 15.4% #106
Total Offense -0.1 #170

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #269 1.27 #310 -0.1 #178
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #205 0.75 #165 +0.4 #166
Three Pointers 45% #65 1.03 #212 -2.5 #286
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #255 -2.1 #256
Freethrows 18.3 #230 70% #87 12.8 #167
Second Chance 27.6% #79 1.23 #343 0.34 #237
Turnovers 12.8% #348
Total Defense -4.7 #321

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #101 -0.2% #150
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.5% #155 4.5% #269
Possession Length 19.8 #358 17.0 #131
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #334 0.17 #171
Improvement +2.5 #50 +0.3 #168

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.4% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 42.7% 53.3% 26.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.7% 84.0% 60.4%
Conference Champion 3.7% 5.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round4.5% 5.2% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 85 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 18 @Kansas L 51 - 94 2% -23  0 - 1 -23 -7 D+ F B+ -20 F A+ F
 Fri, Nov 7 199 @Buffalo L 76 - 83 30% -3  0 - 2 -6 +7 A+ F C -14 F D F
 Thu, Nov 13 128 @St. Thomas L 61 - 80 18% -19  0 - 3 -14 -11 F F D -3 D A+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 76 @Minnesota L 65 - 72 OT 8% -1  0 - 4 +4 -4 C- D+ D+ +7 B A+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 94 Yale L 67 - 73 16% -6  0 - 5 -0 +2 F A+ A- -3 C- B C
 Sat, Nov 22 168 Massachusetts W 79 - 75 35% +4  1 - 5 +3 +9 B- D A+ -6 A+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 198 Iona W 80 - 75 41% -0  2 - 5 +3 +10 D- A+ A+ -7 C+ F F
 Thu, Dec 4 214 Robert Morris L 78 - 80 55% +1  2 - 6 0 - 1 -8 +4 A+ F C -12 F C D+
 Sun, Dec 7 142 @Wright St. L 58 - 86 20% -12  2 - 7 0 - 2 -24 -11 F C F -14 C+ F F
 Thu, Dec 11 353 @IU Indianapolis W 85 - 75 71% +1  3 - 7 1 - 2 -0 +2 C- F C -3 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 17 181 UC Santa Barbara W 67 - 64 49% +8  4 - 7 -2 +5 A+ F A+ -6 F D C+
 Tue, Dec 23 191 @Campbell L 79 - 102 29% -9  4 - 8 -22 +10 A+ D D- -33 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 237 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 72 - 54 37% +10  5 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +8 C+ C B +11 B+ B- B
 Mon, Jan 5 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79 - 76 57% +8  6 - 8 3 - 2 -4 +9 A+ F B+ -12 F A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 9 353 IU Indianapolis W 75 - 59 86% +9  7 - 8 4 - 2 -0 -10 F F F +9 A+ A F
 Sun, Jan 11 179 Northern Kentucky W 80 - 78 49% +13  8 - 8 5 - 2 -2 +17 A+ C- A+ -19 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 328 @Cleveland St. W 77 - 74 60%
 Sun, Jan 18 135 Oakland L 78 - 81 39%
 Thu, Jan 22 209 @Youngstown St. L 68 - 73 33%
 Sat, Jan 24 214 @Robert Morris L 69 - 74 33%
 Fri, Jan 30 328 Cleveland St. W 80 - 71 78%
 Sun, Feb 1 142 Wright St. L 70 - 73 40%
 Wed, Feb 4 179 @Northern Kentucky L 70 - 76 28%
 Sat, Feb 7 273 Detroit Mercy W 77 - 72 67%
 Thu, Feb 12 237 Purdue Fort Wayne W 74 - 72 59%
 Sun, Feb 15 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 76 35%
 Fri, Feb 20 135 @Oakland L 75 - 84 20%
 Sun, Feb 22 273 @Detroit Mercy L 74 - 75 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 209 Youngstown St. W 71 - 70 54%
Totals 14 - 15 11 - 9 -5 +0 C+ D- B- -5 D+ C- F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.6 6.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.7 5.5 7.4 2.1 0.1 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.1 8.2 2.5 0.2 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.6 3.7 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.9 4.4 0.5 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.1 0.6 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.2 7.9 13.3 17.4 18.9 16.3 11.7 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 74.4% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
15-5 49.3% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 17.1% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.0% 14.5% 14.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.9% 12.1% 12.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.5
14-6 6.3% 10.2% 10.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 5.6
13-7 11.7% 8.3% 8.3% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 10.7
12-8 16.3% 6.5% 6.5% 15.2 0.0 0.8 0.3 15.2
11-9 18.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.4 0.4 18.1
10-10 17.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 16.8
9-11 13.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.1
8-12 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
7-13 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.1 95.3 0.0%