Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.7 227
Results Rating -1.8 194
Consistency 0.17 294
Pace 60.8 351
Improvement +2.3 96

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 126 C+ D C+ B+ C+
Defense D 318 D+ D+ D- D C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 D+ 55% 257 +0.7 148
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 215 B- 41% 74 -0.3 193
Three Pointers 40% 210 B- 36% 87 +0.8 152
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 109 C+ +0.7 139
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 137
Second Chance D- 23.8% 339 C+ 1.07 110 D 0.26 308
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 153
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 151
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 141
Freethrows B 0.35 43 B 76% 72 B+ 0.27 34
Total Offense C+ +1.5 126

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 181 C 10.9% 172
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 298 D+ 7.0% 302
Three Pointers C+ 85% 159 D 1.6% 326
Total C 55% 194 D+ 6.5% 279

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 D 62% 301 -0.3 168
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 181 B- 36% 106 -0.5 150
Three Pointers 44% 81 D+ 36% 274 +3.1 318
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 130 D+ +2.4 277
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 253
Second Chance C 30.7% 202 D- 1.16 343 D+ 0.36 294
Turnovers from Steals D- 7.0% 335
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 224
Turnovers D- 14.0% 334
Freethrows D 0.34 297 D 75% 316 D 0.26 316
Total Defense D -5.2 318

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 195 D+ 8.4% 280
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 162 B- 7.1% 58
Three Pointers D 89% 316 D+ 0.5% 246
Total D+ 59% 259 D+ 4.7% 247

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.7 359 17.1 146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 297 0.16 139
Consistency 0.12 127 0.15 350
Improvement +2.1 85 +0.2 170

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 245 224 197
Results Rating Rank 226 195 141
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 11% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 68% 100% 25%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 11% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 18 @Kansas L 51 - 94 2% -23  1% 0 - 1 F -22 D- -8 D+ F B+ F -17 F A F
 Fri, Nov 7 206 @Buffalo L 76 - 83 34% -3  11% 0 - 2 D+ -7 B- +5 A F C+ F -12 D- F+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 115 @St. Thomas L 61 - 80 18% -19  0% 0 - 3 D- -13 F -13 D- D- F C+ +1 C- A+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 58 @Minnesota L 65 - 72 OT 8% -1  30% 0 - 4 B- +5 D -5 D+ D C- A +11 B+ A F
 Fri, Nov 21 88 Yale L 67 - 73 17% -6  4% 0 - 5 C +0 C -0 F A+ B- C -0 C+ C C
 Sat, Nov 22 190 Massachusetts W 79 - 75 43% +4  76% 1 - 5 C+ +2 B- +5 C+ D- A C- -3 A F F+
 Mon, Nov 24 242 Iona W 80 - 75 53% -0  49% 2 - 5 C +0 B +6 F+ A A+ D -5 C+ F+ F
 Thu, Dec 4 161 Robert Morris L 78 - 80 49% +1  47% 2 - 6 0 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 A F C F+ -8 D- C D+
 Sun, Dec 7 162 @Wright St. L 58 - 86 27% -12  0% 2 - 7 0 - 2 F -25 F -15 F C- F F -11 C F F
 Thu, Dec 11 326 @IU Indianapolis W 85 - 75 65% +1  45% 3 - 7 1 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 C- F+ C C+ +1 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 17 142 UC Santa Barbara W 67 - 64 43% +8  99% 4 - 7 C +1 B- +4 A F A C- -2 F+ D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 23 196 @Campbell L 79 - 102 33% -9  16% 4 - 8 F -22 B +7 A D+ D F -31 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 72 - 54 45% +10  99% 5 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 B- +5 C+ D B- A+ +13 B C B
 Mon, Jan 5 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79 - 76 69% +8  82% 6 - 8 3 - 2 D+ -6 B +6 A+ F A- F -12 F A C
 Fri, Jan 9 326 IU Indianapolis W 75 - 59 82% +9  76% 7 - 8 4 - 2 C+ +3 F -11 D- F D- A+ +13 A+ B F+
 Sun, Jan 11 191 Northern Kentucky W 80 - 78 55% +13  99% 8 - 8 5 - 2 C- -3 A+ +16 A+ D+ A F -19 D- B+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 316 @Cleveland St. W 88 - 73 62% +2  42% 9 - 8 6 - 2 B +8 A+ +17 A A- B D -6 D- B- D-
 Sun, Jan 18 163 Oakland L 63 - 88 49% -11  13% 9 - 9 6 - 3 F -28 F -12 D F D+ F -19 F F C
 Thu, Jan 22 204 @Youngstown St. L 81 - 88 34% -8  1% 9 - 10 6 - 4 D+ -6 A +11 A F+ C F -18 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 161 @Robert Morris W 71 - 67 27% +5  89% 10 - 10 7 - 4 B- +7 B- +5 C A+ C B- +2 C- B D+
 Fri, Jan 30 316 Cleveland St. L 82 - 89 81% -5  14% 10 - 11 7 - 5 F -20 C +1 D+ D+ B+ F -21 F F C-
 Sun, Feb 1 162 Wright St. L 75 - 83 49% -9  0% 10 - 12 7 - 6 D -11 B- +5 C B- B- F -17 D+ D+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 191 @Northern Kentucky W 87 - 84 OT 32% +3  70% 11 - 12 8 - 6 C+ +4 B +7 C A+ D- C- -3 F+ A F
 Sat, Feb 7 254 Detroit Mercy W 76 - 63 67% +9  94% 12 - 12 9 - 6 B- +5 C- -0 F+ B B B+ +6 B- B B+
 Thu, Feb 12 259 Purdue Fort Wayne W 76 - 59 68% +16  99% 13 - 12 10 - 6 B +9 A- +11 C+ A- A C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Sun, Feb 15 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 75 46% +3  88% 13 - 13 10 - 7 D+ -6 B- +4 A F D+ F -10 D A F
 Fri, Feb 20 163 @Oakland W 73 - 68 27% +3  79% 14 - 13 11 - 7 B- +8 C+ +3 C- D+ B+ B +5 A+ F B+
 Sun, Feb 22 254 @Detroit Mercy L 70 - 74 44% -1  30% 14 - 14 11 - 8 D+ -6 D- -6 B- F F C+ +0 C- B- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 204 Youngstown St. W 73 - 71 57%
Totals 15 - 14 12 - 8 -4 C+ +2 A C+ C+ D -5 B- B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ B- B- C+ 42% 35% 40% C+ C+ D- C+ D C+ B B B+ D D B- D+ D+ 35% 20% 44% C+ D+ C D- D+ D- D D D
1.11 55% 41% 36% +1 +1 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 16% .35 76% .27 1.16 62% 36% 36% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .36 14% .34 75% .26
Nov
3		 Kansas D- C+ F D D+ 22% 22% 56% C- D+ F F F B+ A+ D- A- F F F F F 37% 16% 47% D F C A+ A F F B D-
0.79 55% 9% 29% -12 -1 0.76 17% 0.3 .05 12% .32 61% .19 1.46 84% 50% 42% +17 +1 1.37 32% 0.9 .29 5% .39 75% .29
Nov
7		 Buffalo B- A- A A A 38% 4% 58% B+ A F F F C+ A+ A- A+ F D C- F+ D- 49% 13% 38% F+ D- C- F F+ F F A F
1.18 71% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.31 15% 0.5 .08 17% .39 81% .32 1.29 63% 40% 40% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.3 .38 11% .72 66% .47
Nov
13		 St. Thomas F C- F F+ F+ 49% 14% 37% B- D- D- C- D- F C- F F+ C+ C- B- D C 45% 5% 50% D C- A+ A+ A+ D A+ F A-
0.87 58% 14% 28% -7 +2 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 21% .25 57% .14 1.14 65% 33% 38% +6 +2 1.19 10% 0.7 .06 13% .16 90% .15
Nov
15		 Minnesota D C F F D- 41% 16% 43% A- D+ F+ C D C- A+ F A+ A D- A- A- B+ 35% 21% 44% B+ B+ B- A+ A F F A+ F
0.91 57% 25% 27% -7 +1 0.90 19% 0.9 .16 20% .42 63% .26 1.01 71% 30% 29% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.7 .20 11% .61 51% .32
Nov
21		 Yale C F A+ F F 29% 16% 56% C F B A+ A+ B- A+ F A+ C B F D- C+ 41% 26% 33% B C+ B F C C D B D+
1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28 1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27
Nov
22		 Massachusetts B- B C- F C+ 56% 19% 26% B C+ D+ F D- A A+ A A+ C- D- A A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% D A D+ F F F+ F F F
1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47 1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38
Nov
24		 Iona B F B C- F 42% 13% 45% B F+ D+ A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D A A F C+ 38% 13% 48% D C+ F C- F+ F F+ D F+
1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32 1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23
Dec
4		 Robert Morris C+ C A+ C- A 50% 16% 34% B A F F F C A+ B+ A+ F+ F F+ C F 25% 38% 38% A+ D- F+ A- C D+ F B- D-
1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44 1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21
Dec
7		 Wright St. F D F F F 58% 16% 27% A- F F+ A+ C- F B+ C B+ F F A+ A+ B- 39% 8% 53% F C C F F F F F+ F
0.86 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.87 23% 1.3 .30 27% .36 72% .26 1.27 80% 25% 22% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.9 .59 12% .42 80% .33
Dec
11		 IU Indianapolis C D A- A C+ 36% 20% 43% F+ C- F B- F+ C A+ A+ A+ C+ B B- A+ A+ 28% 26% 46% B A B+ F F F+ F F+ F
1.16 56% 44% 42% +6 0 1.14 26% 1.3 .32 19% .53 84% .44 1.03 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.81 23% 1.8 .40 12% .41 77% .31
Dec
17		 UC Santa Barbara B- D- F A+ A 49% 2% 49% A+ A F F F A A+ F C- C- F C- C D- 48% 12% 40% F F+ A+ F D+ B- A+ B+ A+
1.18 52% 0% 52% +10 +3 1.28 11% 0.3 .04 12% .46 52% .24 1.13 75% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 19% .15 71% .11
Dec
23		 Campbell B B+ A+ B- A+ 36% 39% 25% F A C F+ D+ D A+ F A- F D+ F+ F F 43% 15% 43% C+ F F F F F F B+ D
1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28 1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31
Jan
1		 Purdue Fort Wayne B- B- B- B- C+ 41% 12% 46% C+ C+ D+ D+ D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C B+ 28% 11% 62% C+ B A- F C B A A+ A+
1.16 65% 40% 37% +5 +1 1.15 30% 1.0 .30 18% .49 92% .45 0.87 46% 20% 34% -5 +1 0.94 15% 1.4 .21 18% .16 38% .06
Jan
5		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B A+ C- C- A+ 60% 19% 21% B A+ F A- F A- A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F C+ A+ A C D- D+ D-
1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36 1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22
Jan
9		 IU Indianapolis F C- B+ D- D- 49% 16% 36% C D- F+ F+ F D- A- A- A+ A+ A A A+ A+ 25% 23% 52% B A+ A- D+ B F+ B- C C+
1.04 59% 43% 31% 0 +1 1.04 29% 1.0 .29 22% .46 81% .37 0.82 47% 29% 23% -14 -1 0.72 21% 1.1 .23 12% .16 70% .11
Jan
11		 Northern Kentucky A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% B A+ B- F D+ A D- D D- F C+ B- F+ D- 41% 12% 47% D+ D- B B+ B+ F D- F F
1.33 71% 33% 53% +17 +2 1.39 36% 0.9 .32 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .24 5% .35 80% .28
Jan
15		 Cleveland St. A+ A A A+ A+ 26% 13% 61% C- A F A+ A- B C A+ B+ D F D D F+ 24% 12% 63% C D- A+ F B- D- F D F
1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28 1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36
Jan
18		 Oakland F A+ A- F D+ 28% 26% 47% D- D F F F D+ B- A+ A- F F+ B F F 52% 26% 22% C+ F F B- F C F A+ F+
0.98 77% 50% 23% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.6 .16 17% .26 86% .23 1.38 67% 33% 50% +8 0 1.20 53% 1.1 .56 14% .47 62% .29
Jan
22		 Youngstown St. A B A- A+ A- 53% 18% 29% B+ A D+ F F+ C C+ A+ B+ F C- F F F 18% 11% 71% B+ F D- F F F+ F F F
1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29 1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Robert Morris B- B B F C 47% 15% 38% B C D A+ A+ C F C+ F B- C A+ F+ C- 30% 15% 54% D+ C- A- C B D+ C+ A+ B
1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19 1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Cleveland St. C F C A+ D 40% 10% 50% B D+ D C D+ B+ B- A A- F B+ D F F 23% 23% 53% A F F F F C- F D- F
1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30 1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39
Feb
1		 Wright St. B- F C A+ C 48% 23% 30% C+ C C- A B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C D 33% 20% 47% C+ D+ D+ C- D+ F F F F
1.18 48% 40% 46% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.3 .37 16% .49 85% .41 1.31 80% 22% 33% +4 0 1.09 33% 1.1 .37 8% .48 89% .43
Feb
4		 Northern Kentucky B C- F B C- 47% 13% 40% B C B+ A+ A+ D- B B- B C- C+ F D+ F+ 40% 9% 51% D F+ B+ A+ A F D+ A- C
1.15 56% 29% 38% 0 +2 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 23% .38 73% .27 1.11 57% 80% 34% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 11% .33 64% .21
Feb
7		 Detroit Mercy C- F F+ B- F 50% 15% 35% B- F+ B C+ B B B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B F C+ 20% 39% 41% A- B- B- B B B+ D- D- F+
1.14 42% 29% 35% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.2 .43 12% .39 87% .34 0.95 33% 33% 42% -2 -4 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 20% .32 82% .26
Feb
12		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- C- A+ B- C+ 62% 18% 21% B C+ F A+ A- A A+ A A+ C+ C+ D- B C+ 47% 18% 34% C- C+ F C F A+ F F F
1.29 58% 57% 38% +5 +2 1.15 24% 2.0 .48 15% .56 82% .46 1.00 56% 43% 31% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .36 22% .39 83% .33
Feb
15		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B- F+ A+ A+ A 48% 14% 38% B- A D- F F D+ B- B B F D- A+ F D 38% 26% 36% C+ D A B A F F F F
1.17 50% 83% 50% +12 +1 1.29 23% 0.7 .15 18% .36 78% .28 1.22 63% 9% 47% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 10% .67 81% .54
Feb
20		 Oakland C+ F B- A+ C 35% 23% 42% C- C- F A- D+ B+ B A+ A B A+ D+ A+ A+ 19% 36% 45% A+ A+ F F F B+ C F F
1.16 41% 45% 45% +3 -1 1.06 26% 1.1 .29 13% .27 87% .24 1.08 33% 41% 19% -14 -3 0.68 45% 1.4 .63 17% .33 100% .33
Feb
22		 Detroit Mercy D- C- F A+ B- 46% 18% 36% C B- F F F F D+ A+ B C+ D A+ D- C 42% 32% 26% F+ C- B C+ B- B- F F F
1.01 57% 22% 44% +2 +1 1.08 17% 0.8 .13 19% .32 89% .29 1.07 62% 25% 38% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 17% .39 95% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 1.6 1.6 2nd
3rd 16.9 16.9 3rd
4th 33.2 38.3 71.5 4th
5th 10.0 10.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 43.2 56.8 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 56.8% 10.7% 10.7% 15.0 0.7 4.9 0.5 50.8
11-9 43.2% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.0 1.5 1.2 40.5
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.1 91.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.1% 100.0% 15.0 11.4 80.2 8.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.0%
Lose Out 15.2%