Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.3 #198
Expected Predictive Rating +1.3 #147
Pace 76.1 #35
Improvement -5.5 #360

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #237 C D C- D- C
Defense #157 C+ C- D+ A D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #192 1.15 #199 -0.7 #207
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #207 0.78 #138 -0.3 #191
Three Pointers 44% #131 1.05 #140 +2.1 #114
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #155 +1.1 #150
Freethrows 14.7 #312 70% #269 10.2 #311
Second Chance 24.2% #331 1.08 #140 0.26 #292
Turnovers 17.6% #246
Total Offense -2.6 #237

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #102 1.19 #218 -2.3 #265
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #230 0.62 #25 +1.3 #97
Three Pointers 40% #217 0.94 #87 +2.1 #105
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #122 +1.0 #147
Freethrows 13.7 #31 67% #23 9.3 #346
Second Chance 32.6% #260 1.04 #172 0.34 #232
Turnovers 15.2% #264
Total Defense +0.2 #157

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #161 1.0% #254
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.4% #158 -4.2% #100
Possession Length 16.7 #121 16.4 #47
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #154 0.21 #297
Improvement -6.0 #364 +0.5 #150

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 12.2% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 99.7% 99.9% 99.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 97.5% 89.4%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.9% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round11.1% 12.1% 7.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 76.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 44 - 6
Quad 418 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 110 Hofstra W 81 - 73 37% +14  1 - 0 +9 +4 B+ D+ F +5 C A+ A-
 Tue, Nov 11 346 @UMKC W 105 - 91 74% +9  2 - 0 +5 +10 A+ F F -7 D- F C
 Fri, Nov 14 183 Fordham W 76 - 71 59% -0  3 - 0 +0 +2 A+ F A+ -2 A+ F D
 Tue, Nov 18 221 Princeton W 89 - 69 65% +18  4 - 0 +14 +7 A+ C C +5 A A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 67 Akron L 75 - 96 16% -18  4 - 1 -13 -5 D- C F -6 D C C
 Sat, Nov 22 189 Oregon St. W 91 - 84 2OT 48% -5  5 - 1 +5 +0 C D C +4 C A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 24 243 Green Bay L 75 - 80 59% +0  5 - 2 -10 +0 D+ C C+ -10 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 1 271 @Delaware W 89 - 66 54% +7  6 - 2 +20 +16 A+ F C +3 C+ D+ C-
 Fri, Dec 5 156 Quinnipiac L 68 - 89 52% -7  6 - 3 0 - 1 -24 -7 F C+ C -16 D- F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 285 @Sacred Heart W 81 - 69 57% +4  7 - 3 1 - 1 +8 +4 D C- B- +4 F B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 329 Bryant W 69 - 63 85% +5  8 - 3 -7 -4 D D- B- -3 F B- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 15 @St. John's L 64 - 91 3% -8  8 - 4 -7 -4 D- D+ A+ -0 F B- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 195 @Vermont W 83 - 78 38% +0  9 - 4 +6 +11 C A+ A+ -5 C+ C F
 Mon, Dec 29 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 59 - 66 60% +2  9 - 5 1 - 2 -12 -17 F C- F +6 C A C
 Fri, Jan 2 177 Siena W 75 - 72 58% +4  10 - 5 2 - 2 -1 -1 A+ F F -1 C+ B+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 129 @Marist L 38 - 83 25% -21  10 - 6 2 - 3 -40 -27 F F F -12 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 9 355 Niagara W 71 - 53 90% +16  11 - 6 3 - 3 +1 +0 C- D- C +4 A C+ F
 Sun, Jan 11 337 Canisius W 74 - 48 86% +8  12 - 6 4 - 3 +12 +7 A+ C+ F +9 A+ D F
 Wed, Jan 14 348 @Rider W 74 - 67 76%
 Mon, Jan 19 246 @St. Peter's L 70 - 71 48%
 Thu, Jan 22 241 Merrimack W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Jan 24 312 Manhattan W 85 - 75 81%
 Fri, Jan 30 281 Fairfield W 81 - 74 76%
 Thu, Feb 5 177 @Siena L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Feb 7 297 Mount St. Mary's W 79 - 70 79%
 Fri, Feb 13 337 @Canisius W 73 - 67 70%
 Sun, Feb 15 355 @Niagara W 75 - 67 77%
 Fri, Feb 20 246 St. Peter's W 74 - 68 69%
 Sun, Feb 22 241 @Merrimack L 71 - 72 47%
 Fri, Feb 27 348 Rider W 77 - 64 89%
 Sun, Mar 1 312 @Manhattan W 82 - 78 63%
Totals 21 - 10 13 - 7 -2 -3 C D C- +0 C+ C- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.9 0.9 7.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.9 6.2 2.2 0.2 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 7.7 9.5 2.8 0.2 0.0 21.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.7 9.4 2.6 0.1 20.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.8 7.9 2.5 0.1 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.0 2.0 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.0 6.9 12.3 18.2 21.1 18.9 11.8 5.3 1.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 80.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 54.0% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0
15-5 22.4% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1
14-6 4.3% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 2.4 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 1.2% 24.8% 24.8% 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 5.3% 22.4% 22.4% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 4.1
15-5 11.8% 16.9% 16.9% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.6 9.8
14-6 18.9% 15.5% 15.5% 14.5 0.1 1.3 1.5 0.1 16.0
13-7 21.1% 10.5% 10.5% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.2 18.9
12-8 18.2% 8.0% 8.0% 15.1 0.1 1.0 0.3 16.8
11-9 12.3% 6.0% 6.0% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 11.6
10-10 6.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.6
9-11 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.9
8-12 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
7-13 0.3% 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 14.5 88.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 12.7 33.3 59.6 7.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%