Lafayette
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#327
Expected Predictive Rating-15.1#348
Pace67.9#237
Improvement+0.6#124

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#304
First Shot-4.9#316
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#171
Layup/Dunks-2.4#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#238
Freethrows-1.1#249
Improvement-0.3#213

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#329
First Shot-0.4#178
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#349
Layups/Dunks-3.8#305
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
Freethrows+3.3#20
Improvement+0.9#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.4% 11.4% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 35.9% 23.4%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.1% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 21.0% 17.5% 27.4%
First Four2.3% 2.7% 1.5%
First Round1.8% 2.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 65.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 175 @Saint Joseph's L 76-85 15%     0 - 1 -7.3 +4.3 -11.5
  Sat, Nov 8 36 @Texas L 60-97 2%     0 - 2 -21.5 -6.2 -15.8
  Thu, Nov 13 161 Cornell L 78-97 29%     0 - 3 -22.6 -4.0 -17.3
  Mon, Nov 17 71 @West Virginia L 59-81 4%     0 - 4 -11.2 -3.9 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 21 334 @Stonehill L 70-74 42%     0 - 5 -11.4 -4.7 -6.6
  Fri, Nov 28 336 Le Moyne W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Nov 29 277 Ball St. L 69-70 49%    
  Sun, Nov 30 201 Monmouth L 69-73 37%    
  Fri, Dec 5 320 Mercyhurst W 68-66 57%    
  Mon, Dec 8 223 @Penn L 71-80 22%    
  Thu, Dec 18 196 @Charlotte L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Dec 20 104 @Georgia Tech L 62-79 6%    
  Wed, Dec 31 182 Colgate L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 301 @Loyola Maryland L 68-73 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 227 Boston University L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 159 @Navy L 65-77 14%    
  Wed, Jan 14 284 @Bucknell L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 330 Holy Cross W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 227 @Boston University L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 312 @Lehigh L 69-73 35%    
  Mon, Jan 26 284 Bucknell W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 283 @American L 71-77 30%    
  Wed, Feb 4 159 Navy L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 346 @Army L 73-74 47%    
  Wed, Feb 11 301 Loyola Maryland W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 312 Lehigh W 72-70 56%    
  Wed, Feb 18 330 @Holy Cross L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 American W 75-74 51%    
  Wed, Feb 25 182 @Colgate L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 346 Army W 76-71 67%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.6 2.3 0.3 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.2 3.1 0.3 14.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 5.4 2.7 0.4 14.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 2.7 4.2 3.7 1.4 0.2 13.7 10th
Total 0.2 1.2 2.9 5.7 9.0 10.9 12.8 13.3 12.2 10.6 8.2 5.4 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 91.5% 0.4    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 38.6% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.6% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 35.9% 35.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 24.6% 24.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4
14-4 0.9% 18.0% 18.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8
13-5 2.0% 15.7% 15.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7
12-6 3.8% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 3.4
11-7 5.4% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.9
10-8 8.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.5 7.7
9-9 10.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.2
8-10 12.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.9
7-11 13.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 12.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.8
5-13 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-15 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-16 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.8 97.0 0.0%