Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#336
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#335
Pace70.9#152
Improvement-2.0#331

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#254
First Shot-2.2#239
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#231
Layup/Dunks-2.5#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#91
Freethrows-0.4#191
Improvement+0.3#146

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#357
First Shot-9.1#363
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#91
Layups/Dunks-0.4#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#363
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement-2.4#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 12.9% 23.8% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 43.0% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 19.3% 13.7% 22.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 34.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 49 - 109 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 85 @Xavier L 69-74 4%     0 - 1 +4.7 +2.9 +1.6
  Sun, Nov 9 140 @Bowling Green L 60-83 9%     0 - 2 -18.8 -9.0 -9.7
  Thu, Nov 13 181 @Massachusetts L 80-94 13%     0 - 3 -12.5 +2.7 -14.0
  Mon, Nov 17 333 Niagara W 74-68 60%     1 - 3 -7.3 -0.6 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 22 288 Fairfield L 83-97 47%     1 - 4 -23.9 +3.8 -27.6
  Fri, Nov 28 327 @Lafayette L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Nov 29 201 Monmouth L 70-78 23%    
  Sun, Nov 30 277 Ball St. L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Dec 6 352 @Binghamton L 73-74 46%    
  Tue, Dec 16 36 @Texas L 65-91 1%    
  Sat, Dec 20 119 @St. Bonaventure L 65-82 6%    
  Sun, Dec 28 127 @Boston College L 64-80 8%    
  Fri, Jan 2 359 @St. Francis (PA) W 77-76 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 320 @Mercyhurst L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Jan 8 345 New Haven W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 244 Central Connecticut St. L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 340 @Chicago St. L 76-79 41%    
  Fri, Jan 23 292 Wagner L 73-74 48%    
  Sun, Jan 25 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-78 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 334 Stonehill W 74-71 59%    
  Thu, Feb 5 292 @Wagner L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 340 Chicago St. W 79-76 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 334 @Stonehill L 71-74 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-75 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 345 @New Haven L 70-72 43%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.2 0.2 5.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 5.5 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 6.0 5.0 0.7 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.2 5.9 1.2 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 5.8 6.1 1.5 0.0 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 4.8 1.7 0.1 15.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 2.8 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 11.6 10th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.7 10.0 13.0 15.6 15.2 13.4 10.0 6.3 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 95.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 69.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 35.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 9.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.5% 0.5
12-4 1.5% 1.5
11-5 3.3% 3.3
10-6 6.3% 6.3
9-7 10.0% 10.0
8-8 13.4% 13.4
7-9 15.2% 15.2
6-10 15.6% 15.6
5-11 13.0% 13.0
4-12 10.0% 10.0
3-13 6.7% 6.7
2-14 3.3% 3.3
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%