Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -7.8 293
Results Rating -7.9 291
Consistency 0.17 274
Pace 72.1 86
Improvement -0.2 199

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 300 C D D- C+ B-
Defense D+ 263 C C- D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 134 C+ 59% 136 +1.4 124
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 224 C- 37% 208 -1.5 257
Three Pointers 43% 140 C- 33% 221 +0.4 159
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 106 C -0.2 176
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 157
Second Chance D- 24.3% 332 C- 1.00 237 D 0.24 324
Opponents' Steals D- 11.7% 339
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 314
Turnovers D- 20.1% 340
Freethrows B- 0.33 109 C- 71% 242 C+ 0.23 136
Total Offense D -4.9 300

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 208 C 11.3% 201
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 215 C- 6.1% 260
Three Pointers B- 89% 79 C- 1.2% 273
Total C+ 57% 146 C- 6.1% 235

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 185 B- 55% 100 -1.2 128
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 263 A+ 28% 2 -2.8 11
Three Pointers 43% 100 D- 37% 320 +3.6 330
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 235 C -0.6 160
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 165
Second Chance C- 31.4% 233 C- 1.08 258 C- 0.34 252
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 302
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 279
Turnovers D 14.3% 322
Freethrows C- 0.31 213 D+ 74% 278 C- 0.23 239
Total Defense D+ -2.9 263

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 240 C- 10.0% 211
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 121 B- 6.6% 74
Three Pointers D+ 87% 274 D+ 0.4% 276
Total D 61% 310 C- 5.2% 199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 124 16.8 95
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 165 0.20 290
Consistency 0.14 319 0.14 311
Improvement -4.6 349 +4.4 19

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 304 293 283
Results Rating Rank 300 290 277
Conference Record 10 - 6 10 - 6 11 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 50% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: New Haven (Away) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 86 @Xavier L 69 - 74 6% -4  25% 0 - 1 C+ +5 C- -2 A+ F F B+ +6 C- A A-
 Sun, Nov 9 177 @Bowling Green L 60 - 83 18% -6  17% 0 - 2 F -21 F -13 D D+ F D- -8 D+ A F
 Thu, Nov 13 190 @Massachusetts L 80 - 94 20% -11  1% 0 - 3 D- -13 D+ -2 D+ C- A- F+ -9 F D C-
 Mon, Nov 17 335 Niagara W 74 - 68 74% +4  88% 1 - 3 D -9 D -5 B- F F D+ -4 D+ C D
 Sat, Nov 22 245 Fairfield L 83 - 97 50% -12  2% 1 - 4 F -22 C+ +2 D+ A+ F F -23 F F+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 323 @Lafayette W 76 - 63 48% +1  54% 2 - 4 B- +6 C- -1 D A+ D- A- +7 B+ C B
 Sat, Nov 29 187 Monmouth W 83 - 79 28% +1  58% 3 - 4 C+ +2 A- +10 A C D+ D- -8 A F F
 Sun, Nov 30 313 Ball St. L 85 - 96 55% -0  48% 3 - 5 F -20 A +11 A+ F A- F -32 D F C
 Sat, Dec 6 358 @Binghamton W 78 - 63 70% +10  98% 4 - 5 C+ +2 C +0 B D+ F+ B- +2 B+ C- D
 Tue, Dec 16 28 @Texas L 53 - 95 2% -18  0% 4 - 6 F -24 F -22 F C- D- C -0 B- F+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 133 @St. Bonaventure L 81 - 92 13% -2  25% 4 - 7 D+ -6 B +7 D+ A C+ F -14 D F+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 136 @Boston College L 64 - 72 13% -2  15% 4 - 8 C- -4 F+ -8 C- D+ F B+ +5 D+ A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 58 66% +9  72% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B+ +14 B- +5 A- B+ D- A +10 A- A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 289 @Mercyhurst L 60 - 74 38% -8  8% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -19 F -11 F C+ C- F+ -9 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 329 New Haven W 73 - 47 72% +16  94% 6 - 9 2 - 1 B+ +12 B- +4 B C B+ A+ +12 A B- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 302 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 69 63% -6  6% 6 - 10 2 - 2 F -21 F -24 F D F B- +3 A C C
 Sat, Jan 17 347 @Chicago St. W 72 - 57 59% -0  27% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B- +5 D- -7 D C D+ A+ +12 D+ A+ A
 Mon, Jan 19 218 LIU Brooklyn W 83 - 77 44% +4  79% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C -0 B- +5 A+ F D+ D -5 A- F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 320 Wagner W 69 - 67 70% -2  26% 9 - 10 5 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 F A- C+ F+ -8 F B- C+
 Mon, Jan 26 339 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 87 - 74 54% +13  97% 10 - 10 6 - 2 C+ +4 A +12 A+ F D- D- -7 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 61 - 83 24% -11  2% 10 - 11 6 - 3 F -22 F -17 F F D- D+ -3 D B- C-
 Sat, Jan 31 337 Stonehill L 54 - 65 74% -5  2% 10 - 12 6 - 4 F -26 F -24 F F F C -1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 320 @Wagner L 78 - 79 48% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 5 D -8 C +1 A F+ F F+ -9 F F+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 86 - 84 83% -3  25% 11 - 13 7 - 5 F+ -16 D- -7 A+ F F F+ -9 D F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 289 Mercyhurst W 58 - 57 61% +1  53% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -10 F -21 D+ F F A+ +11 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 347 Chicago St. W 81 - 63 78% +6  83% 13 - 13 9 - 5 C+ +2 C- -1 B+ F B+ B- +3 B+ D+ D-
 Thu, Feb 19 302 @Central Connecticut St. L 77 - 78 40% -8  0% 13 - 14 9 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 A- F F C- -3 F+ A F+
 Sat, Feb 21 337 @Stonehill L 68 - 77 53% -5  20% 13 - 15 9 - 7 F+ -18 D- -6 D D F F -11 D C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 339 Fairleigh Dickinson W 76 - 59 75% +4  72% 14 - 15 10 - 7 C+ +2 C +0 B+ F+ C- B +4 A- D+ C-
 Sat, Feb 28 329 @New Haven L 67 - 68 50%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -8 D -5 C C B- D+ -3 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C+ C- C- C 40% 34% 43% B- C D- C- D D- B- C- C+ D+ B- A+ D- C 39% 18% 43% C- C C- C- C- D C- D+ C-
1.02 59% 37% 33% 0 +1 1.03 24% 1.0 .24 20% .33 71% .23 1.13 55% 28% 37% -1 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 14% .31 74% .24
Nov
6		 Xavier C- A+ B A A+ 45% 14% 41% A- A+ D- F F F D F F+ B+ A A+ F C- 31% 25% 44% C C- C+ A+ A A- D+ B C
1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14 1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19
Nov
9		 Bowling Green F D- A+ F+ D 35% 11% 54% B- D B+ F D+ F F+ A+ C D- A+ F F C- 57% 10% 33% F+ D+ C A+ A F B+ F D+
0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24 1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25
Nov
13		 Massachusetts D+ C- F D D- 46% 9% 46% A- D+ D- A C- A- B F C- F+ D D- F F 41% 20% 39% C- F F B D C- C+ F D
1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27 1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26
Nov
17		 Niagara D C+ F A+ B 29% 22% 49% D+ B- F F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ F D 29% 20% 51% A- D+ B F+ C D C- F D
1.10 62% 30% 45% +8 -1 1.16 23% 0.3 .07 19% .41 91% .37 1.01 33% 20% 50% +1 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
22		 Fairfield C+ D+ F B+ D 49% 11% 40% B- D+ A A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F C+ F F 47% 25% 28% C- F F D+ F+ F F F F
1.18 55% 0% 39% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .66 21% .54 67% .36 1.37 68% 38% 47% +10 0 1.23 41% 1.0 .41 10% .36 87% .31
Nov
28		 Lafayette C- B+ D F D 41% 29% 29% D+ D B A+ A+ D- B+ C B+ A- B- A+ D+ B 29% 20% 51% A- B+ B- D C B D+ F D-
1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25 0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23
Nov
29		 Monmouth A- A A+ B- A 40% 9% 51% B A D- A+ C D+ A+ A- A+ D- B B A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C+ A F+ F F F F+ D F
1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40 1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28
Nov
30		 Ball St. A A+ F A+ A+ 25% 15% 60% C A+ D- F F A- A- A- A F C- A+ D- D- 35% 16% 49% C- D F F F C F C- F
1.26 75% 29% 48% +16 0 1.33 28% 0.7 .20 15% .35 85% .30 1.42 56% 13% 36% -3 0 0.96 51% 1.5 .74 16% .50 71% .35
Dec
6		 Binghamton C D+ F A+ B- 64% 11% 26% A B D- B D+ F+ C D- C- B- A+ A+ D- A+ 52% 8% 40% F B+ F+ B+ C- D D+ C- D+
1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21 0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29
Dec
16		 Texas F F D- F F 29% 38% 33% F F C- D+ C- D- B+ C+ B+ C B- F B B+ 41% 6% 54% F B- F B- F+ B+ B- C+ B-
0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28 1.29 59% 100% 31% +1 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
20		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D D D 39% 12% 49% B D+ B- A+ A C+ A+ B- A+ F A A+ F D+ 40% 12% 49% F D D+ F+ F+ F F C F
1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33 1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45
Dec
28		 Boston College F+ C- F D+ D 44% 15% 42% B+ C- C+ F D+ F B F C B+ B- A+ F D+ 33% 27% 40% B- D+ B A+ A+ C F C F+
0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19 0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Francis (PA) B- C+ C A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A- B B B+ D- F F F A B+ A+ C B+ 24% 28% 48% A- A- C- A+ A F+ F A+ C-
1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15 0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19
Jan
4		 Mercyhurst F D C+ F F 46% 16% 38% C+ F C+ C+ C+ C- F F F F+ A D- D- C- 38% 32% 30% D+ C- F F+ F D+ F F F
0.94 52% 38% 16% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.1 .38 19% .27 57% .15 1.16 44% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.96 38% 1.2 .47 14% .35 84% .29
Jan
8		 New Haven B- A+ D F+ B 37% 14% 49% C B C C C B+ A+ F A A+ B+ A+ B+ A 33% 19% 49% C- A C A B- B+ F A+ C-
1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28 0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19
Jan
10		 Central Connecticut St. F F D- F F 51% 6% 43% A- F D- C- D F C+ A B B- C F A+ A 24% 39% 37% A- A F A+ C C F D F
0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24 0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36
Jan
17		 Chicago St. D- C+ A+ F F+ 42% 6% 52% B D F A+ C D+ B+ C+ B+ A+ A- A- F C 53% 20% 27% F D+ A+ D+ A+ A A A+ A+
1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31 0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ F A+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D C A+ B- B+ 41% 32% 27% B+ A- F F F F+ A A+ A+
1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38 1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10
Jan
23		 Wagner D+ F+ F F+ F 45% 14% 40% C+ F A- B- A- C+ A+ D+ A+ F+ D- D F F 45% 16% 39% F F C- B+ B- C+ B- A+ A-
1.13 47% 17% 29% -11 +1 0.83 38% 1.1 .44 13% .64 71% .45 1.10 60% 43% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 58% .14
Jan
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson A C A A+ A+ 44% 10% 46% A- A+ F C+ F D- A+ A- A+ D- B- A A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% F+ A+ F+ F F F F F F
1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40 1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 LIU Brooklyn F F D F F 53% 6% 41% A F F F F D- A+ F+ A- D+ D A+ D- D+ 43% 16% 41% D- D A+ F B- C- F F F
0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29 1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33
Jan
31		 Stonehill F F A F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F F F F F F+ F F C A+ F B- B- 45% 13% 42% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F D- F F
0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13 0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22
Feb
5		 Wagner C A A+ F A 54% 15% 30% B- A F D+ F+ F C- B- C F+ F C- D- F 43% 22% 35% D F B+ F F+ B- F F F
1.14 68% 86% 29% +10 +2 1.26 21% 1.0 .21 20% .37 75% .28 1.15 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .42 20% .37 80% .29
Feb
7		 St. Francis (PA) D- A+ D A+ A+ 55% 7% 38% A A+ F F F F A+ D A+ F+ A+ A F F+ 29% 29% 43% B+ D D+ F F+ D- F A- F
1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38 1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26
Feb
12		 Mercyhurst F A D+ F D 51% 19% 30% C+ D+ F+ F F F D+ F F A+ A- A A+ A+ 23% 33% 44% B- A+ A C- B+ F B F C+
0.84 71% 33% 14% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.4 .11 26% .35 56% .20 0.83 46% 32% 20% -14 -3 0.68 19% 1.1 .21 9% .17 82% .14
Feb
14		 Chicago St. C- A+ F A+ A- 35% 10% 55% C B+ F B+ F B+ B- D- C B- D- A+ A+ A- 31% 36% 34% C+ B+ B+ F D+ D- A A+ A+
1.18 76% 0% 44% +11 +1 1.27 14% 1.3 .17 16% .36 71% .26 0.91 61% 19% 25% -10 -3 0.76 23% 1.3 .30 13% .17 60% .10
Feb
19		 Central Connecticut St. D+ D- B+ A+ A 42% 21% 37% D A- F F F F B- D C+ C- F F C+ F 21% 32% 48% B- F+ A+ A- A F+ A+ F A+
1.09 50% 45% 53% +8 0 1.19 19% 0.7 .13 17% .29 76% .22 1.10 77% 55% 33% +9 -3 1.14 17% 0.8 .14 13% .02 100% .02
Feb
21		 Stonehill D- F+ A+ F D 33% 18% 49% C- D D D D F A+ D A+ F D- A- B D 43% 19% 39% C- D C- C C- F F C- F
0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28 1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26
Feb
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson C A+ B- F+ B+ 45% 14% 41% B B+ F+ F+ F+ C- D B- D+ B A+ A+ F A 40% 22% 38% C- A- C D D+ C- F D F
1.19 86% 43% 30% +11 +1 1.27 20% 0.8 .16 16% .30 75% .22 0.92 39% 0% 41% -12 0 0.78 32% 1.0 .32 17% .41 73% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 8.7 8.7 2nd
3rd 50.3 40.9 91.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 50.3 49.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 49.7% 49.7
10-6 50.3% 50.3
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 49.7%
Lose Out 50.3%