Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.9 #313
Expected Predictive Rating -10.9 #327
Pace 67.8 #222
Improvement -0.3 #201

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #319 C- D- D C- D-
Defense #273 C- D- C D- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #329 1.12 #227 -4.4 #321
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #84 0.80 #118 +2.4 #63
Three Pointers 42% #155 0.99 #209 +0.3 #168
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #223 -1.7 #222
Freethrows 16.1 #253 72% #200 11.6 #239
Second Chance 24.0% #335 1.00 #246 0.24 #330
Turnovers 18.6% #296
Total Offense -5.7 #319

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #68 1.11 #117 -1.4 #230
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #45 0.89 #337 -3.7 #357
Three Pointers 31% #359 1.07 #262 +4.0 #46
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #220 -1.2 #220
Freethrows 20.1 #305 74% #255 14.9 #46
Second Chance 36.0% #339 1.07 #220 0.38 #315
Turnovers 16.8% #170
Total Defense -3.2 #273

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.2% #313 -0.7% #108
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.1% #192 3.0% #241
Possession Length 17.7 #218 16.8 #101
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #100 0.19 #241
Improvement -0.7 #227 +0.4 #157

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 6.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.2% 9.6% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 41.9% 62.4% 34.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 5.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 4.3% 13.9%
First Four3.7% 5.4% 3.1%
First Round2.5% 4.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +6 -1 C- D B+ +7 A D A+
 Sun, Nov 9 59 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 4% -18  0 - 2 -10 -15 C- F F +4 B- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 124 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  0 - 3 -7 +2 C+ F A+ -9 F D- C-
 Tue, Nov 18 360 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 81% +9  1 - 3 -1 -5 D+ D+ D- +3 B+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 163 Columbia L 67 - 82 30% -9  1 - 4 -19 -6 C D- C -12 D F C
 Tue, Nov 25 129 @Marist L 55 - 78 10% -13  1 - 5 -18 -8 F C A+ -11 F B- F
 Fri, Nov 28 181 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 24% +1  1 - 6 -4 +0 D D+ D- -4 A+ C F
 Sat, Nov 29 261 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 38% -1  2 - 6 -2 +3 A+ F C -5 C- C- C+
 Tue, Dec 2 359 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 62% -1  2 - 7 -21 -9 F F F -12 F A D
 Sat, Dec 6 219 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 39% -7  2 - 8 -11 +2 C A+ F -13 C F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 185 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 17% -7  2 - 9 -13 -6 A- F F -7 F A A+
 Wed, Dec 31 330 Army L 78 - 85 OT 67% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -10 D+ F C+ -10 D+ F A
 Sat, Jan 3 318 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 40% +8  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -11 F C F -2 A+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 310 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 61% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -4 -6 C D- F +3 B+ A- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 215 @Colgate W 78 - 77 20% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 B+ D A -9 C D+ C
 Wed, Jan 14 256 @Boston University L 69 - 75 27%
 Sat, Jan 17 200 Navy L 67 - 71 37%
 Mon, Jan 19 336 Loyola Maryland W 76 - 71 68%
 Sat, Jan 24 326 Lafayette W 73 - 69 65%
 Wed, Jan 28 330 @Army L 73 - 74 45%
 Sat, Jan 31 215 Colgate L 70 - 73 39%
 Wed, Feb 4 336 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 74 47%
 Sat, Feb 7 310 @Holy Cross L 68 - 71 39%
 Wed, Feb 11 239 American L 70 - 72 45%
 Sat, Feb 14 326 @Lafayette L 70 - 72 44%
 Wed, Feb 18 200 @Navy L 64 - 74 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 256 Boston University L 71 - 72 48%
 Wed, Feb 25 239 @American L 67 - 75 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 318 Bucknell W 70 - 67 62%
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 10 -9 -6 C- D- D -3 C- D- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.0 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.0 1.7 0.2 12.1 4th
5th 0.4 4.4 7.8 2.7 0.2 15.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.6 8.5 3.4 0.2 16.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.7 7.6 4.1 0.2 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.4 4.0 0.4 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.5 10th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.3 7.4 12.2 16.2 17.8 15.8 12.2 7.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 80.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-5 52.4% 0.9    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 18.5% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 22.6% 22.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.7% 20.1% 20.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.4
12-6 3.9% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.4
11-7 7.6% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.7 7.0
10-8 12.2% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.9 11.3
9-9 15.8% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.8 15.0
8-10 17.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 17.4
7-11 16.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.9
6-12 12.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 7.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-14 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 16.0 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%