Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.0 295
Results Rating -7.2 277
Consistency 0.12 29
Pace 67.5 213
Improvement +2.9 66

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 295 C F+ D+ D+ D+
Defense D+ 274 C- D+ C- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 295 C- 56% 210 -2.9 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 110 C 39% 159 +1.6 90
Three Pointers 41% 183 C+ 35% 119 +0.8 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 290 C +0.3 158
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 187
Second Chance F+ 21.5% 353 D 0.93 317 F+ 0.20 357
Opponents' Steals F 12.8% 361
Other Turnovers A- 5.5% 20
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 283
Freethrows D+ 0.27 283 C 73% 185 D+ 0.20 272
Total Offense D+ -4.7 295

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 159 D 13.2% 311
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 272 C+ 4.3% 134
Three Pointers B- 88% 101 C- 1.0% 230
Total C 56% 182 C- 6.1% 231

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 43 C+ 56% 128 +2.4 263
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 92 D- 44% 341 +2.3 340
Three Pointers 33% 358 D+ 36% 257 -3.2 53
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 175 C- +1.3 234
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 230
Second Chance D 34.4% 324 C+ 1.00 129 D+ 0.34 264
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.1% 209
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 274
Turnovers C- 15.7% 246
Freethrows C 0.31 207 C- 73% 242 C- 0.23 218
Total Defense D+ -3.3 274

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 148 D+ 8.7% 260
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 26 D+ 2.9% 302
Three Pointers C+ 81% 100 D- 0.0% 348
Total B 49% 49 D+ 4.5% 261

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 243 16.9 100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 147 0.20 274
Consistency 0.11 89 0.09 4
Improvement +2.1 84 +0.9 138

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 308 294 275
Results Rating Rank 306 280 235
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 3 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 7% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5% 7% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four7% 7% 6%
First Round4% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Bucknell (Home) - 74.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 412 - 914 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 6 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0% 0 - 1 B- +6 D -5 C- D+ C+ A +11 A C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 57 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 4% -18  0% 0 - 2 D -9 F -15 D+ F F B +4 C+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 113 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  19% 0 - 3 D+ -6 C- -1 C- D- A D+ -5 D- D- C-
 Tue, Nov 18 355 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 83% +9  93% 1 - 3 C -1 F -10 D D+ D- A +8 A- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 188 Columbia L 67 - 82 38% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -20 F+ -10 C- D- C+ F -10 D- F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 183 @Marist L 55 - 78 19% -13  14% 1 - 5 F -22 F -13 F C- A+ F+ -10 F C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 142 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 20% +1  48% 1 - 6 C -1 C- -1 D+ C- D C -0 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 234 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 35% -1  32% 2 - 6 C -0 C+ +2 A F C C- -2 C D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 358 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 69% -1  30% 2 - 7 F -22 F -13 F D- F+ F+ -9 F A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 218 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 43% -7  1% 2 - 8 D -11 C+ +2 C A+ F F -13 C- F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 187 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 19% -7  1% 2 - 9 D- -13 F+ -9 B+ F F D+ -5 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 341 Army L 78 - 85 OT 75% -3  8% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -22 F -13 D F B+ F+ -8 D+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 334 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 53% +3  62% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -15 F C- F C +0 A F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 327 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 71% +5  86% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D+ -6 F+ -10 C F F B +5 B B D
 Sat, Jan 10 250 @Colgate W 78 - 77 28% +2  64% 4 - 11 2 - 2 C -1 B +7 B D A- D- -7 D+ C- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 258 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 29% +6  88% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C -0 C+ +4 C- F+ A D+ -4 D A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 146 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 29% +0  45% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -2 D+ F A+ C- -3 B- F B
 Mon, Jan 19 319 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 69% -2  30% 6 - 12 4 - 3 D+ -6 B+ +8 A- D C+ F -14 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 323 Lafayette W 64 - 59 70% +7  81% 7 - 12 5 - 3 D -8 F -13 F+ C- F B +5 A- C D
 Wed, Jan 28 341 @Army L 64 - 67 54% -3  10% 7 - 13 5 - 4 D- -12 F -14 F F D- B- +2 C- C+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 250 Colgate W 77 - 76 OT 50% +1  53% 8 - 13 6 - 4 D+ -7 D -5 A+ D F C- -2 B- F A-
 Wed, Feb 4 319 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 89 2OT 47% -4  25% 8 - 14 6 - 5 D- -12 D- -7 C- F D D -5 D- B- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 327 @Holy Cross L 67 - 76 48% +0  52% 8 - 15 6 - 6 F+ -17 D- -7 D+ F B+ F -10 F+ B F
 Wed, Feb 11 251 American W 90 - 82 50% +11  92% 9 - 15 7 - 6 C +0 B +6 A+ D- D D -6 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 14 323 @Lafayette W 78 - 69 48% +0  35% 10 - 15 8 - 6 C+ +2 B +7 A F B- D+ -4 F A- A-
 Wed, Feb 18 146 @Navy L 49 - 72 14% -11  1% 10 - 16 8 - 7 F -19 F -18 F F D+ D+ -3 D A D-
 Sun, Feb 22 258 Boston University W 70 - 67 52% -3  25% 11 - 16 9 - 7 D+ -5 C- -0 B F F D+ -4 D+ B F
 Wed, Feb 25 251 @American W 78 - 73 28% +3  63% 12 - 16 10 - 7 C+ +3 B +6 B F B+ C- -3 B+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 334 Bucknell W 74 - 67 74%
Totals 13 - 16 11 - 7 -8 D+ -5 D- C D+ D+ -3 C+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C+ C 35% 44% 41% D+ C F+ D F+ D+ D+ C D+ D+ C+ D- D+ C- 44% 23% 33% C C- D C+ D+ C- C C- C-
1.02 56% 39% 35% 0 -1 1.01 21% 0.9 .20 18% .27 73% .20 1.13 56% 44% 36% +1 0 1.05 34% 1.0 .34 16% .31 73% .20
Nov
3		 Houston D F B- C- C+ 27% 43% 30% F C- C- D- D+ C+ A+ D+ A- A A+ F A- A- 22% 43% 35% A+ A D B+ C+ A+ F C- F
0.84 42% 37% 31% -6 -4 0.82 24% 0.8 .19 22% .43 65% .28 1.10 36% 52% 29% -1 -4 0.92 42% 0.9 .39 19% .36 80% .29
Nov
9		 West Virginia F A F C- C 20% 33% 47% F D+ F F F F D+ C D+ B A+ F F+ C 36% 21% 43% B+ C+ B F C- A- F B F
0.73 67% 20% 33% -5 -3 0.87 9% 0.0 .00 25% .23 73% .16 1.07 40% 56% 39% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 20% .48 64% .31
Nov
14		 Rutgers C- C- B C- C 29% 27% 44% D- C- F A- D- A C+ D- C- D+ C- F A+ D- 45% 31% 24% D- D- F B- D- C- F B- F+
1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18 1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32
Nov
18		 St. Francis (PA) F C- A+ C- D 43% 16% 41% C D C D D+ D- A F+ B A A+ F C A 43% 27% 31% C- A- C- F F A+ B- C B-
1.08 62% 50% 35% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 20% .45 65% .29 0.85 33% 46% 33% -9 0 0.84 28% 1.3 .36 25% .24 69% .16
Nov
21		 Columbia F+ C+ A- D C+ 23% 33% 44% F C- F C+ D- C+ B F D- F F A+ D D- 49% 14% 37% D+ D- F F F C+ F A D
0.98 58% 47% 30% +1 -3 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 13% .35 52% .18 1.20 71% 14% 39% +6 +2 1.16 50% 1.2 .60 22% .36 63% .22
Nov
25		 Marist F D- C F F 38% 30% 32% D+ F F A+ C- A+ D F F+ F+ C- F D- F 33% 25% 42% C F D A C+ F+ D B- D
0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19 1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22
Nov
28		 UC Santa Barbara C- C+ F A C- 20% 20% 61% D- D+ D A C- D A A+ A+ C A C- A+ A+ 54% 22% 24% D A+ F A C F+ F F F
1.09 63% 13% 40% +1 -1 1.02 21% 1.3 .29 19% .44 91% .40 1.12 48% 40% 18% -11 +1 0.83 41% 0.8 .32 14% .58 88% .51
Nov
29		 Texas St. C+ D A- A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% C A D- F F C F F F C- B+ D- C- D 33% 54% 13% A+ C F A- D+ C+ F D+ F
1.11 52% 44% 57% +13 +1 1.30 23% 0.3 .06 18% .21 58% .12 1.05 50% 46% 33% +2 -5 0.96 44% 0.8 .33 20% .41 78% .32
Dec
2		 Binghamton F F+ B F F 36% 16% 48% C- F D D- D- F+ F D- F F+ F D+ F F 47% 33% 21% B- F B+ A+ A- C- F A F
0.99 50% 44% 30% -5 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .26 15% .20 67% .13 1.12 80% 43% 44% +15 -1 1.30 15% 0.5 .07 20% .57 67% .38
Dec
6		 LIU Brooklyn C+ B C+ F+ C- 45% 11% 45% B C B+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F B- D+ F C- 50% 27% 23% C- C- F D F D+ D- D D-
1.12 62% 40% 29% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.3 .53 26% .50 74% .37 1.19 54% 43% 42% +2 0 1.06 53% 1.1 .55 19% .34 70% .24
Dec
21		 Monmouth F+ C+ A+ B A- 32% 17% 51% C- B+ C- F F F F F F D+ C D- F F 40% 35% 25% B F D A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 60% 63% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04 1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11
Dec
31		 Army F A+ F F D 43% 23% 33% C- D F A+ F B+ C- F F+ F+ F A+ A- C- 49% 11% 40% D D+ F F F B+ F C F
1.01 77% 21% 25% 0 0 1.02 11% 2.3 .25 12% .34 61% .21 1.10 68% 0% 28% -3 +2 1.00 39% 1.2 .47 21% .60 70% .42
Jan
3		 Bucknell F F+ A+ F F+ 33% 33% 33% F+ F F A+ C- F A A A+ C A+ A C- A 39% 22% 39% B- A D- F F F+ C- F F
0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33 0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28
Jan
7		 Holy Cross F+ C C- A+ B- 38% 32% 30% F+ C F+ F+ F F F A+ D- B F+ A+ A+ B 42% 33% 25% C- B B+ B+ B D A A- A
1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16 0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13
Jan
10		 Colgate B F+ F A+ B+ 45% 20% 35% C+ B B+ F D A- A+ B+ A+ D- A F F D+ 45% 27% 29% D+ D+ F A+ C- C- F D F
1.20 50% 20% 59% +6 0 1.14 37% 0.6 .24 11% .45 77% .34 1.18 45% 62% 43% +4 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .27 15% .38 76% .29
Jan
14		 Boston University C+ F+ A- A+ C 35% 27% 38% D C- F A+ F+ A B A+ A D+ C F D- D+ 58% 16% 26% F D A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28 1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32
Jan
17		 Navy C- A A F C 22% 35% 43% F D+ F C+ F A+ D+ A- C C- A+ F F B 49% 19% 32% F B- F C+ F B C B B-
1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19 1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23
Jan
19		 Loyola Maryland B+ A A+ B A 38% 25% 37% D+ A- F A+ D C+ B A+ A+ F F+ A+ F F 35% 10% 56% C- F D+ B C F C A B-
1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32 1.19 67% 20% 41% +7 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17
Jan
24		 Lafayette F F F A+ F 48% 20% 33% B F+ D+ C C- F D+ A+ B B B- D+ A+ A 43% 16% 41% C A- D B C D D- B+ D+
0.98 45% 11% 47% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.1 .32 24% .26 92% .24 0.90 52% 38% 20% -11 +1 0.82 29% 0.8 .24 14% .34 63% .21
Jan
28		 Army F F D- A F 40% 26% 34% D+ F F+ F F D- D- F F B- C- A+ D- D 35% 20% 44% A- C- C+ C+ C+ C A+ A A+
0.95 45% 31% 41% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 18% .31 65% .20 0.99 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.9 .25 18% .14 63% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colgate D F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 15% 48% C+ A+ F A+ D F F+ B+ D C- C F A+ B 46% 30% 24% C B- F F F A- F F F
1.08 50% 43% 52% +11 +1 1.25 18% 1.4 .25 25% .24 77% .19 1.07 57% 67% 8% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.4 .48 20% .35 85% .30
Feb
4		 Loyola Maryland D- A- C- C- C 30% 25% 46% D C- F+ F F D C+ F F+ D C- C F F 33% 28% 39% A+ D- F+ A+ B- F+ C F D
1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16 1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22
Feb
7		 Holy Cross D- A+ F F D+ 46% 19% 35% C+ D+ F F+ F B+ F F F F C- D F D- 48% 27% 25% F+ F+ C+ A+ B F F F+ F
1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10 1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32
Feb
11		 American B C+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% D A+ F A D- D B+ D+ B D B A+ D+ B- 42% 10% 47% D C+ D+ F F F D- C- D-
1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30 1.11 52% 17% 36% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25
Feb
14		 Lafayette B A B+ A+ A+ 35% 38% 27% F A D- F F B- D- D D- D+ F F+ A- F 46% 15% 39% C- F C+ A+ A- A- F D- F
1.21 72% 45% 50% +14 -3 1.25 25% 0.6 .14 12% .23 69% .16 1.07 71% 43% 28% +3 +1 1.11 24% 0.6 .14 20% .37 74% .27
Feb
18		 Navy F C- F F F 35% 33% 33% D+ F D F F D+ F+ B+ D D+ B- F F+ D 45% 20% 35% D- D D A+ A D- A F B+
0.76 59% 25% 19% -11 -2 0.76 26% 0.4 .10 19% .19 80% .15 1.12 52% 50% 39% +2 +1 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 16% .24 85% .20
Feb
22		 Boston University C- C- C+ A+ B 44% 20% 36% C+ B C F F F C- A+ B+ D+ D D D D+ 45% 18% 37% D+ D+ C A- B F A+ F A+
1.19 55% 44% 50% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.5 .15 17% .27 92% .25 1.14 64% 44% 39% +6 +1 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 14% .10 80% .08
Feb
25		 American B A- C B B 43% 22% 35% C B F C- F B+ A+ C A+ C- A F A A 42% 4% 55% F B+ F+ F F F F A+ D
1.18 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 19% 1.0 .19 15% .50 71% .35 1.10 45% 100% 28% -8 +2 0.91 31% 1.3 .38 8% .36 64% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 58.5 58.5 2nd
3rd 26.0 15.5 41.5 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 26.0 74.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 74.0% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5 68.5
10-8 26.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 1.6 24.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 16.0 92.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.5% 100.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 25.3%
Lose Out 11.0%