Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#298
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#345
Pace69.2#199
Improvement-0.3#205

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#278
First Shot-1.9#224
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#305
Layup/Dunks-3.6#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
Freethrows-0.9#227
Improvement+2.3#23

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#294
First Shot-3.8#302
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks-2.7#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#72
Freethrows-5.0#359
Improvement-2.6#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 1.7% 2.7% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 17.8% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 28.4% 23.6% 33.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 102 - 15
Quad 46 - 78 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 57 @San Diego St. L 45-77 4%     0 - 1 -19.5 -23.3 +4.4
  Sat, Nov 8 153 @Fresno St. L 62-82 16%     0 - 2 -17.1 -9.9 -6.8
  Wed, Nov 12 144 @Pacific L 66-69 15%     0 - 3 +0.5 -3.7 +4.2
  Sun, Nov 16 102 Illinois St. L 80-82 19%     0 - 4 -0.3 +9.8 -10.1
  Fri, Nov 21 186 Montana St. L 72-78 39%     0 - 5 -10.8 -1.5 -9.3
  Wed, Nov 26 274 @Portland L 73-93 33%     0 - 6 -23.2 -2.9 -19.8
  Sun, Nov 30 247 San Diego W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Dec 4 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Dec 6 96 UC San Diego L 69-79 18%    
  Tue, Dec 9 187 @San Jose St. L 66-75 21%    
  Thu, Dec 18 264 Pepperdine W 73-72 54%    
  Sun, Dec 21 4 @Iowa St. L 59-89 0.2%   
  Sat, Jan 3 245 Cal Poly W 81-80 51%    
  Thu, Jan 8 133 @UC Irvine L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 257 UC Riverside W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 220 @Cal St. Northridge L 75-82 27%    
  Thu, Jan 22 324 @Cal St. Fullerton L 80-82 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 141 UC Santa Barbara L 70-76 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 257 @UC Riverside L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 110 Hawaii L 68-76 23%    
  Thu, Feb 5 96 @UC San Diego L 66-82 8%    
  Thu, Feb 12 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 178 @UC Davis L 66-75 21%    
  Thu, Feb 19 133 UC Irvine L 66-72 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 220 Cal St. Northridge L 78-79 47%    
  Thu, Feb 26 245 @Cal Poly L 78-84 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 271 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Mar 5 178 UC Davis L 69-72 39%    
  Sun, Mar 8 110 @Hawaii L 65-79 11%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.1 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.1 6.2 3.9 0.8 0.1 16.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.7 6.3 3.5 0.8 0.1 19.0 10th
11th 0.5 1.9 4.2 5.9 4.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 19.1 11th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.7 8.2 11.3 12.7 13.3 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.2 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 56.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 47.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 12.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 23.3% 23.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 19.7% 19.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.6% 9.1% 9.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-8 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.1
11-9 3.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
10-10 6.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.1
9-11 8.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.7
8-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
7-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
6-14 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-15 12.7% 12.7
4-16 11.3% 11.3
3-17 8.2% 8.2
2-18 4.7% 4.7
1-19 1.9% 1.9
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%