Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.9 265
Results Rating -8.4 299
Consistency 0.10 4
Pace 69.7 140
Improvement +0.5 172

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 257 C- C- C- D+ F+
Defense D+ 251 D+ D C D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 303 B- 61% 95 -1.3 231
2 Pt. Jumpers 54% 35 C- 36% 233 +3.4 36
Three Pointers 35% 310 D+ 32% 260 -4.1 316
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.6 341 C -0.4 187
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 237
Second Chance D+ 26.3% 296 C+ 1.07 120 C- 0.28 251
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 167
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 284
Turnovers C- 17.5% 228
Freethrows D 0.27 289 B- 74% 124 D+ 0.20 259
Total Offense D+ -3.4 257

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 198 C+ 10.5% 145
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 84 C 5.5% 217
Three Pointers C- 81% 251 B- 0.6% 116
Total D+ 52% 257 C 5.5% 181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 D+ 61% 263 +3.5 299
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 D 42% 306 +0.9 260
Three Pointers 37% 299 C 34% 167 -2.3 84
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 210 D+ +1.9 252
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 248
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 121 F 1.25 363 D 0.36 299
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 222
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 87
Turnovers C 17.0% 170
Freethrows D 0.35 307 D 75% 327 D- 0.26 324
Total Defense D+ -2.5 251

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 232 C- 9.3% 238
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 184 C 4.7% 180
Three Pointers D- 89% 335 D+ 0.5% 241
Total C 56% 194 C- 5.1% 208

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 206 16.8 79
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 281 0.19 250
Consistency 0.12 140 0.10 26
Improvement -1.9 289 +2.4 61

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 284 264 244
Results Rating Rank 321 292 272
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 10 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 8% 0% 19%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 121 - 18
Quad 46 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 44 @San Diego St. L 45 - 77 4% -13  7% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -21 F D F B +4 B+ F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 129 @Fresno St. L 62 - 82 15% -10  13% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -11 F+ F+ F+ D+ -4 F A- A
 Wed, Nov 12 118 @Pacific L 66 - 69 13% +3  64% 0 - 3 C+ +3 D -4 D- B+ F A- +7 A+ F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 98 Illinois St. L 80 - 82 23% -4  8% 0 - 4 C +0 B+ +9 A- C+ A+ F+ -9 C+ B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 152 Montana St. L 72 - 78 38% -3  5% 0 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C- D C D -5 C+ F+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 224 @Portland L 73 - 93 30% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -21 D+ -3 D D+ C- F -17 F C- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 233 San Diego W 76 - 72 54% -1  26% 1 - 6 C- -3 B- +4 C A+ A+ D- -7 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 4 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 77 - 84 OT 17% -1  25% 1 - 7 0 - 1 C- -3 D+ -3 F A+ D+ C+ +0 C A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 132 UC San Diego L 74 - 80 33% -4  13% 1 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -7 C+ +2 B D B+ F -10 F A C
 Tue, Dec 9 221 @San Jose St. L 83 - 89 OT 30% -1  28% 1 - 9 D+ -6 C+ +3 D+ A- F+ F+ -10 F F B-
 Thu, Dec 18 280 Pepperdine W 81 - 78 65% -2  28% 2 - 9 D+ -7 C +0 B D- B+ D- -7 F F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 8 @Iowa St. L 60 - 91 1% -29  0% 2 - 10 D+ -7 D -5 D+ F A- C -0 C- C- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 222 Cal Poly W 74 - 66 52% +10  95% 3 - 10 1 - 2 C +2 D- -7 C- D C- A +8 A+ D F
 Thu, Jan 8 123 @UC Irvine L 64 - 74 14% -7  17% 3 - 11 1 - 3 C- -4 D -4 B- F C C+ +0 B- A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 75 79% +5  71% 4 - 11 2 - 3 D -8 D- -7 C C- F+ C -1 F+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 281 UC Riverside W 88 - 73 65% +10  92% 5 - 11 3 - 3 B- +5 A +12 A+ C A- D- -7 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 157 @Cal St. Northridge W 87 - 80 20% +0  54% 6 - 11 4 - 3 B +10 B- +4 B+ D- C B+ +5 A+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 22 205 @Cal St. Fullerton L 61 - 71 27% -11  0% 6 - 12 4 - 4 D -9 F -13 F+ F F B- +3 F+ A- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 142 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 35% -8  0% 6 - 13 4 - 5 C- -5 C +0 B F A- D -6 C D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 281 @UC Riverside L 61 - 71 42% -0  47% 6 - 14 4 - 6 D- -14 F -14 F C+ F C -0 C+ F C
 Sat, Jan 31 116 Hawaii L 82 - 89 28% -4  28% 6 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -7 B+ +8 D+ A+ C+ F -15 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 5 132 @UC San Diego L 74 - 77 16% +1  52% 6 - 16 4 - 8 C +2 C- -2 B F C B +4 C+ D- A+
 Thu, Feb 12 205 Cal St. Fullerton L 82 - 86 48% +4  71% 6 - 17 4 - 9 D -9 C- -1 A- F D F+ -8 C F D
 Sat, Feb 14 175 @UC Davis L 54 - 71 23% -11  0% 6 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -15 F -21 F C- F+ B+ +6 D+ C- B+
 Thu, Feb 19 123 UC Irvine L 58 - 69 29% -7  0% 6 - 19 4 - 11 D -11 F -15 F A- F+ B +4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 157 Cal St. Northridge L 76 - 78 39% -8  7% 6 - 20 4 - 12 D+ -5 C- -2 B- C+ D C- -3 A F F
 Thu, Feb 26 222 @Cal Poly L 92 - 102 30% -7  9% 6 - 21 4 - 13 D -10 C+ +3 D D+ A+ F -12 C F F
 Sat, Feb 28 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 77 - 75 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 175 UC Davis L 74 - 76 43%
 Sun, Mar 8 116 @Hawaii L 67 - 79 13%
Totals 7 - 23 5 - 15 -6 D+ -3 B C F+ D+ -3 D+ B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ B- C- D+ C 34% 54% 35% F+ C- D+ C+ C- C- D B- D+ D+ D+ D C D+ 42% 21% 37% C- D+ C+ F D C D D D-
1.04 61% 36% 32% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.1 .28 17% .27 74% .20 1.12 61% 42% 34% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.2 .36 17% .35 75% .20
Nov
4		 San Diego St. F D D- F F 37% 22% 41% C+ F B F D F F F F B A A+ F A 43% 20% 37% F B+ C- F F A- C- B- C
0.63 50% 27% 20% -14 0 0.73 32% 0.6 .18 29% .10 40% .04 1.08 50% 0% 47% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.5 .51 21% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Fresno St. F D+ B- F F+ 30% 26% 43% D F+ D- F F+ F+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F F F F 40% 9% 51% F+ F F+ A+ A- A F C F
0.87 57% 42% 20% -8 -1 0.83 22% 0.9 .19 22% .41 78% .32 1.15 71% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.28 36% 0.6 .21 22% .50 75% .38
Nov
12		 Pacific D D+ D F+ D 27% 31% 43% D+ D- B- A+ B+ F B+ F C- A- D+ A- A+ A+ 47% 14% 40% F+ A+ C F F B+ F B- F
0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22 1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42
Nov
16		 Illinois St. B+ A D A+ A 29% 35% 36% D- A- C+ C+ C+ A+ C- F D- F+ D+ F+ A B- 43% 24% 33% C- C+ A+ F B+ F F F F
1.18 69% 32% 45% +7 -2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 9% .29 56% .16 1.21 65% 45% 27% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.4 .23 9% .63 79% .50
Nov
21		 Montana St. D+ A- D+ B- B 28% 46% 26% F C- C- F D C B- C B- D F B+ B C 32% 32% 36% B C+ A- F F+ D D- C D-
1.04 67% 36% 36% +2 -4 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.13 71% 35% 32% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 13% .32 74% .23
Nov
26		 Portland D+ B- C- F D 34% 17% 49% C D D C+ D+ C- B D B- F F F F F 70% 11% 19% F F A+ F C- C+ D+ F F
1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24 1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30
Nov
30		 San Diego B- B- B+ C C+ 34% 30% 36% F C B A+ A+ A+ F F F D- F F+ B D 35% 24% 41% C+ D F F F A+ A F B+
1.21 65% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09 1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12
Dec
4		 UC Santa Barbara D+ D+ F C- F 16% 40% 44% F F A+ A A+ D+ B A- A- C+ C+ F D- D- 15% 43% 43% A+ C B A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 56% 23% 33% -7 -4 0.80 39% 1.3 .50 18% .40 79% .31 1.14 57% 50% 40% +9 -5 1.11 28% 0.4 .13 19% .64 84% .54
Dec
6		 UC San Diego C+ B A- C B+ 29% 23% 48% D B D+ F+ D B+ F C F F D- B- F F 45% 13% 43% C- F A A+ A C F F F
1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12 1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33
Dec
9		 San Jose St. C+ B- C F D+ 40% 25% 35% D D+ A+ D- A- F+ D A+ C F+ C+ F F F 36% 28% 36% D+ F A F F B- F C+ F
1.17 67% 38% 28% 0 0 1.02 50% 1.1 .53 21% .25 86% .21 1.25 56% 64% 44% +12 -1 1.24 26% 1.9 .48 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 Pepperdine C B- F A+ A- 50% 33% 17% F+ B F A+ D- B+ B A A- D- F F C F 29% 29% 43% A- F B+ F F A+ A D A
1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25 1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15
Dec
21		 Iowa St. D A+ B F C- 28% 35% 37% D- D+ F+ F F A- F+ C D- C F A- F D- 35% 31% 35% A+ C- C D+ C- B- B A+ A+
0.81 75% 40% 14% -5 -3 0.86 18% 0.6 .10 19% .17 70% .12 1.24 74% 29% 53% +12 -2 1.24 38% 1.2 .44 16% .29 44% .13
Jan
3		 Cal Poly D- A+ F F C 47% 26% 26% D+ C- F A D C- C D+ C- A A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 8% 56% C+ A+ A F D F F A- F+
1.04 76% 29% 21% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 71% .20 0.93 35% 0% 30% -15 +1 0.75 22% 1.6 .36 15% .42 72% .30
Jan
8		 UC Irvine D C- A- C B+ 37% 41% 22% F B- F F F C D+ B+ C- C+ C D A+ B- 46% 32% 22% C+ B- A C+ A- F F F F
0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17 1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35
Jan
10		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C F+ A+ C+ 35% 31% 33% F+ C F A+ C- F+ A+ B A+ C F A+ C- D- 45% 26% 28% F F+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- F C-
1.07 59% 33% 44% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.6 .37 21% .49 76% .37 0.99 71% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 19% .32 85% .28
Jan
15		 UC Riverside A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% F+ A+ C- C+ C A- C- C C- D- C A+ A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% C- A F+ F F F F D- F
1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23 1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 0 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31
Jan
17		 Cal St. Northridge B- A+ C- C+ A- 26% 20% 54% D+ B+ F A- D- C A+ A A+ B+ A- B- A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% F+ A+ D F F B- F F F
1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35 1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33
Jan
22		 Cal St. Fullerton F B D- F+ F+ 27% 20% 53% D F+ D+ F F F B- B+ B B- F F A+ F 34% 27% 39% B+ F+ A- A A- B+ D+ F D-
0.90 67% 33% 29% -3 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .14 25% .33 76% .25 1.04 73% 75% 24% +9 -1 1.18 19% 0.8 .15 19% .35 79% .27
Jan
24		 UC Santa Barbara C B B+ B B 38% 23% 40% C- B F D F A- D- A+ C D B+ B F C+ 52% 19% 29% D- C C+ F D+ F B- A B+
1.13 67% 45% 37% +7 0 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 13% .29 88% .26 1.18 52% 33% 50% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.2 .37 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
29		 UC Riverside F F+ A F F 48% 26% 26% C- F B- D+ C+ F B- F C- C F D+ A+ C+ 37% 20% 43% C C+ F D+ F C F A F
0.88 50% 50% 17% -8 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23 1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Hawaii B+ B- F+ D- C- 31% 36% 33% F D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F 40% 30% 30% A+ F A+ F C C- F F+ F
1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26 1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39
Feb
5		 UC San Diego C- A+ D- B+ A- 28% 36% 36% F B F A+ F C B+ A+ A+ B A+ D+ F B- 47% 11% 43% D C+ F+ D+ D- A+ F D F
0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27 1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37
Feb
12		 Cal St. Fullerton C- A+ A+ C- A 33% 24% 43% D- A- F A+ F D A B- A F+ C- A+ D- C+ 45% 18% 38% D C F+ F F D D+ F F+
1.11 81% 58% 33% +12 -1 1.24 12% 1.3 .15 20% .39 74% .29 1.16 60% 20% 38% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.5 .46 13% .34 82% .28
Feb
14		 UC Davis F D- F F F 40% 36% 24% F F D- B+ C- F+ F D F B+ F A C D+ 38% 22% 40% C D+ D+ C C- B+ A+ F A+
0.77 50% 28% 25% -10 -2 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 69% .17 1.01 74% 27% 35% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 21% .18 90% .16
Feb
19		 UC Irvine F F F F F 36% 36% 28% F+ F C A+ A- F+ B A+ A- B D- F F F 55% 23% 23% F F B A+ A+ A+ F B- F
0.79 37% 26% 7% -23 -2 0.51 33% 1.3 .42 22% .29 82% .24 0.94 64% 67% 44% +13 +1 1.30 27% 0.3 .08 30% .50 65% .33
Feb
21		 Cal St. Northridge C- D+ D A+ B 25% 29% 45% F B- C B- C+ D B- C- C+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ 68% 16% 16% F A D- F F F C+ A+ A-
1.06 54% 33% 43% +4 -2 1.06 27% 1.2 .33 18% .32 74% .24 1.09 50% 22% 22% -11 +3 0.86 37% 1.5 .55 13% .29 50% .14
Feb
26		 Cal Poly C+ C+ B+ D- C 27% 36% 36% F D F A+ D+ A+ D- A+ C F B+ F C- C 41% 6% 53% C- C B- F F F C F D-
1.15 61% 46% 29% +1 -3 0.98 23% 1.3 .30 10% .24 88% .21 1.27 50% 50% 35% -1 +2 1.03 28% 2.0 .55 10% .30 95% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 11.2 44.6 29.2 3.5 88.6 9th
10th 9.1 1.9 11.1 10th
11th 0.4 0.4 11th
Total 20.8 46.5 29.2 3.5 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 3.5% 3.5
6-14 29.2% 29.2
5-15 46.5% 46.5
4-16 20.8% 20.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.5%
Lose Out 20.8%