Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Pace62.5#343
Improvement+2.3#26

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#308
First Shot-4.7#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#182
Layup/Dunks+6.3#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-13.0#364
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement+1.8#41

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#94
First Shot+5.6#37
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#324
Layups/Dunks+3.1#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows+0.7#140
Improvement+0.5#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.2% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 51.7% 55.0% 30.3%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 52.8% 38.6%
Conference Champion 5.0% 5.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 8.4% 15.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.7% 5.1% 2.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 86.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 31 - 3
Quad 34 - 85 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 122 @Nevada L 50-77 22%     0 - 1 -21.2 -13.8 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 15 326 Jackson St. W 68-51 83%     1 - 1 +4.8 -8.8 +13.9
  Wed, Nov 19 166 @Indiana St. L 51-60 34%     1 - 2 -7.0 -20.4 +13.6
  Wed, Nov 26 166 Indiana St. W 75-73 57%     2 - 2 -2.0 +4.5 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 29 338 Alcorn St. W 71-59 87%    
  Wed, Dec 3 246 @Georgia Southern L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Dec 13 304 Louisiana W 67-58 79%    
  Wed, Dec 17 152 @Tulane L 65-70 32%    
  Mon, Dec 29 234 UTEP W 63-58 68%    
  Fri, Jan 2 149 @Middle Tennessee L 65-70 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 132 @Western Kentucky L 66-73 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 97 Liberty L 64-68 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 241 Delaware W 69-63 69%    
  Wed, Jan 14 149 Middle Tennessee W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 222 @Jacksonville St. L 60-61 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 163 Kennesaw St. W 73-71 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 234 @UTEP L 60-61 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 170 @Sam Houston St. L 66-70 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 108 New Mexico St. L 60-63 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 170 Sam Houston St. W 69-67 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 239 @Missouri St. L 61-62 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 215 @Florida International L 65-67 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 222 Jacksonville St. W 63-58 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Kennesaw St. L 70-74 36%    
  Thu, Feb 26 239 Missouri St. W 64-59 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 215 Florida International W 68-64 65%    
  Thu, Mar 5 97 @Liberty L 61-71 19%    
  Sat, Mar 7 241 @Delaware L 65-66 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 8.4 3rd
4th 0.7 3.0 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.8 0.4 9.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.4 7.3 8.8 10.2 11.3 11.8 10.5 8.9 7.1 5.4 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 87.7% 1.0    0.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 64.8% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
15-5 36.6% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.6% 0.7    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 26.1% 26.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 41.6% 41.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.2% 27.1% 27.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.2% 22.6% 22.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7
15-5 3.5% 17.3% 17.3% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.9
14-6 5.4% 13.6% 13.6% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 4.6
13-7 7.1% 8.8% 8.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.5
12-8 8.9% 8.1% 8.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.2
11-9 10.5% 4.5% 4.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.0
10-10 11.8% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.5
9-11 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
8-12 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.1
7-13 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
6-14 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
5-15 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-16 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 95.2 0.0%