LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#40
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#87
Pace73.2#98
Improvement-2.2#336

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#41
First Shot+7.1#27
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks+5.7#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
Freethrows+2.4#55
Improvement-0.9#266

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#56
First Shot+4.2#60
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#161
Layups/Dunks+2.3#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#221
Freethrows+3.2#25
Improvement-1.3#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 5.0% 5.5% 1.8%
Top 6 Seed 13.9% 15.2% 5.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.9% 50.5% 32.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.6% 49.1% 30.9%
Average Seed 7.7 7.6 8.3
.500 or above 88.6% 91.2% 72.3%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 52.6% 39.4%
Conference Champion 3.5% 3.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 5.0% 9.1%
First Four5.7% 5.9% 4.7%
First Round45.2% 47.7% 30.0%
Second Round26.8% 28.4% 16.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.4% 10.1% 5.0%
Elite Eight3.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Final Four1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Neutral) - 86.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 29 - 11
Quad 34 - 112 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 195 Tarleton St. W 96-60 94%     1 - 0 +30.8 +23.2 +8.5
  Mon, Nov 10 205 New Orleans W 93-58 94%     2 - 0 +29.1 +14.1 +13.7
  Thu, Nov 13 215 Florida International W 98-81 95%     3 - 0 +10.6 +13.4 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 18 338 Alcorn St. W 107-81 98%     4 - 0 +12.2 +24.0 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 21 256 Nebraska Omaha W 99-73 96%     5 - 0 +17.8 +10.3 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 28 143 Drake W 76-65 86%    
  Wed, Dec 3 127 @Boston College W 76-69 74%    
  Sun, Dec 7 24 Texas Tech L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Dec 13 42 SMU W 82-81 50%    
  Fri, Dec 19 250 SE Louisiana W 83-63 97%    
  Mon, Dec 22 332 Prairie View W 91-66 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 237 Southern Miss W 86-67 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 60 @Texas A&M L 81-82 49%    
  Tue, Jan 6 88 South Carolina W 80-71 78%    
  Sat, Jan 10 19 @Vanderbilt L 79-86 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 16 Kentucky L 79-82 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 33 Missouri W 81-79 56%    
  Tue, Jan 20 17 @Florida L 77-85 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 25 @Arkansas L 77-82 32%    
  Wed, Jan 28 84 Mississippi St. W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 88 @South Carolina W 77-74 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 34 Georgia W 87-85 57%    
  Tue, Feb 10 25 Arkansas W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 14 @Tennessee L 73-82 21%    
  Tue, Feb 17 36 @Texas L 76-80 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 10 Alabama L 86-90 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 49 @Mississippi L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 52 Oklahoma W 83-78 66%    
  Tue, Mar 3 23 @Auburn L 77-83 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 60 Texas A&M W 85-79 69%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.5 3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.1 1.6 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.7 3.7 0.3 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.7 1.2 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.3 2.9 0.2 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 2.6 4.3 0.7 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.6 2.1 0.1 8.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.4 0.3 0.0 7.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 0.8 0.0 6.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 16th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.6 6.7 9.5 12.1 13.0 13.3 11.9 9.5 7.2 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.8% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 72.9% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 14.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 23.1% 76.9% 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 2.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.4% 100.0% 19.1% 80.9% 3.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.4% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.3% 99.5% 9.7% 89.9% 5.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 7.2% 98.5% 6.5% 92.0% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.4%
11-7 9.5% 92.5% 2.9% 89.6% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.2 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 92.3%
10-8 11.9% 81.4% 2.5% 78.9% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.5 2.5 1.8 0.6 2.2 80.9%
9-9 13.3% 60.3% 1.4% 58.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.0 5.3 59.8%
8-10 13.0% 30.3% 1.0% 29.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.7 0.1 9.0 29.6%
7-11 12.1% 11.1% 0.2% 10.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.1 10.8 10.9%
6-12 9.5% 2.1% 0.1% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 2.0%
5-13 6.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.1%
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 47.9% 2.5% 45.4% 7.7 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.7 8.0 7.3 6.7 5.1 0.2 52.1 46.6%