LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +10.6 53
Results Rating +9.0 65
Consistency 0.17 283
Pace 67.4 215
Improvement -6.5 361

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 43 B A- B B+ C+
Defense B- 101 B- B D+ C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 53 B 64% 50 +5.7 19
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 207 C 39% 152 -0.4 201
Three Pointers 37% 271 B- 36% 108 -1.2 223
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 116 B +3.7 70
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 63
Second Chance B 34.5% 67 A- 1.21 16 A- 0.42 25
Opponents' Steals B 8.0% 51
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 69
Turnovers B 14.3% 42
Freethrows B 0.35 44 B+ 77% 24 B+ 0.27 22
Total Offense B+ +7.8 43

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 111 A- 6.5% 15
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 184 C+ 4.7% 165
Three Pointers B 90% 50 C 1.0% 221
Total C+ 58% 122 B+ 4.1% 31

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 B 53% 63 -3.1 79
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 109 B 34% 49 -0.2 176
Three Pointers 41% 164 C- 35% 217 +0.6 214
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 105 B- -2.3 85
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 91
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 128 B+ 0.91 32 B 0.26 61
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 182
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 330
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 251
Freethrows C 0.30 188 A 67% 10 C+ 0.20 118
Total Defense B- +2.7 101

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 76 B- 14.2% 61
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 161 A- 9.8% 16
Three Pointers A 73% 7 D+ 0.5% 259
Total B 50% 67 B 7.6% 50

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 92 18.5 331
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 78 0.12 33
Consistency 0.14 301 0.11 77
Improvement -2.2 299 -4.3 349

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 60 53 46
Results Rating Rank 82 65 53
Conference Record 3 - 15 4 - 14 6 - 12
Conference Finish 16 14 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 2% 0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 11.3
.500 or above 84% 100% 60%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 29% 11% 55%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Oklahoma (Home) - 59.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 11
Quad 24 - 26 - 13
Quad 32 - 28 - 15
Quad 49 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 223 Tarleton St. W 96 - 60 93% +19  96% 1 - 0 A+ +30 A+ +23 A+ A+ C A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 193 New Orleans W 93 - 58 92% +17  99% 2 - 0 A+ +30 A- +10 B C+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A- F
 Thu, Nov 13 203 Florida International W 98 - 81 92% +10  90% 3 - 0 B+ +12 A- +11 C- A+ B C -1 B- C F
 Tue, Nov 18 345 Alcorn St. W 107 - 81 98% +7  67% 4 - 0 B +10 A+ +20 D A+ B+ F -10 D- F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 255 Nebraska Omaha W 99 - 73 95% +16  99% 5 - 0 A +18 B+ +8 A+ D- C A- +7 C+ A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 189 Drake W 71 - 62 87% +9  96% 6 - 0 B- +7 D -5 C F A A+ +12 A A+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 89 DePaul W 96 - 63 66% +23  99% 7 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +27 A+ A+ D+ A+ +12 B- A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 136 @Boston College W 78 - 69 OT 72% +4  76% 8 - 0 B+ +13 C+ +2 D B B A +11 B- A- A-
 Sun, Dec 7 12 Texas Tech L 58 - 82 21% -18  0% 8 - 1 D+ -5 F -10 F D+ A B+ +5 C+ A A
 Sat, Dec 13 31 SMU W 89 - 77 35% +7  86% 9 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +25 A+ A+ C B- +3 C+ B- C+
 Fri, Dec 19 290 SE Louisiana W 78 - 65 96% +12  98% 10 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ F+ A+ D- -7 C+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 331 Prairie View W 104 - 90 98% +2  64% 11 - 1 C +0 A+ +16 C A+ A- F -16 F B- C-
 Mon, Dec 29 226 Southern Miss W 90 - 62 94% +14  96% 12 - 1 A +21 A +13 B- A- A+ A- +8 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 34 @Texas A&M L 72 - 75 26% -4  9% 12 - 2 0 - 1 B+ +14 C +2 C+ B D- A+ +13 B- A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 91 South Carolina L 68 - 78 77% -16  0% 12 - 3 0 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 C C F F+ -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 16 @Vanderbilt L 73 - 84 15% -11  0% 12 - 4 0 - 3 B +11 B +6 B+ C+ C B+ +5 B A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 23 Kentucky L 74 - 75 42% +8  89% 12 - 5 0 - 4 B+ +12 B+ +8 A+ B C- B- +3 B+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 47 Missouri W 78 - 70 59% +7  99% 13 - 5 1 - 4 A- +16 A+ +14 C- A+ A+ B- +3 A+ D+ B-
 Tue, Jan 20 4 @Florida L 61 - 79 7% -10  7% 13 - 6 1 - 5 B +9 C+ +3 C- A+ C+ B+ +6 A C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 15 @Arkansas L 81 - 85 15% +1  66% 13 - 7 1 - 6 A +18 A +14 C A+ A B +4 F A+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 81 Mississippi St. L 66 - 80 73% -18  0% 13 - 8 1 - 7 D -10 D -5 C C A- D -5 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 91 @South Carolina W 92 - 87 OT 56% +3  70% 14 - 8 2 - 7 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ C B- C- -2 A F F
 Sat, Feb 7 29 Georgia L 71 - 83 46% -1  45% 14 - 9 2 - 8 C -0 C+ +2 D+ A D D+ -4 D- F+ B
 Tue, Feb 10 15 Arkansas L 62 - 91 31% -18  0% 14 - 10 2 - 9 D- -13 F -13 F D C- B- +2 B- A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 19 @Tennessee L 63 - 73 16% -5  9% 14 - 11 2 - 10 B+ +11 A +12 B F+ A+ C- -2 A+ F D
 Tue, Feb 17 28 @Texas L 85 - 88 25% -6  18% 14 - 12 2 - 11 A- +15 A+ +15 A F+ A+ C -0 C- D- D-
 Sat, Feb 21 17 Alabama L 83 - 90 31% -6  10% 14 - 13 2 - 12 B +9 A- +10 C+ A+ C+ C -1 A- C+ D+
 Wed, Feb 25 79 @Mississippi W 106 - 99 2OT 51% -2  16% 15 - 13 3 - 12 A- +17 A+ +18 B+ A+ A C- -2 C B F
 Sat, Feb 28 51 Oklahoma W 81 - 78 60%
 Tue, Mar 3 38 @Auburn L 77 - 83 27%
 Sat, Mar 7 34 Texas A&M L 81 - 82 47%
Totals 16 - 15 4 - 14 +11 B+ +8 C B C+ B- +3 B- B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B C B- B 43% 36% 37% C+ B B A- A- B B B+ B+ B- B B C- B- 36% 22% 41% C+ B- C+ B+ B D+ C A C+
1.20 64% 39% 36% +4 0 1.11 34% 1.2 .42 14% .35 77% .27 1.05 53% 34% 35% -2 0 0.97 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 67% .24
Nov
5		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A A+ A+ 54% 10% 37% A A+ A A A+ C A+ B- A+ A- A A+ A- A+ 43% 17% 40% F+ A+ B A- B+ F C+ B- B-
1.41 95% 50% 47% +28 +3 1.63 44% 1.3 .56 22% .55 76% .41 0.88 43% 11% 29% -14 +1 0.75 27% 0.8 .23 13% .30 72% .22
Nov
10		 New Orleans A- B F A B- 46% 11% 44% B+ B A- D C+ A+ A- C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C A+ A+ D+ A- F A B+ A+
1.28 62% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.09 43% 0.9 .38 10% .43 75% .32 0.80 40% 8% 25% -19 -1 0.63 24% 1.1 .26 12% .27 71% .19
Nov
13		 Florida International A- A D+ F C 43% 25% 31% D C- B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C B F A+ B+ 48% 13% 38% F+ B- C+ C C F C A- B-
1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47 1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19
Nov
18		 Alcorn St. A+ C- F F+ 61% 0% 39% A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A- F D- F 27% 27% 46% B+ D- F F F C- A- A+ A+
1.47 61% 28% -2 +4 1.07 56% 1.6 .88 15% .63 79% .50 1.11 47% 53% 38% +4 -2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
21		 Nebraska Omaha B+ A- A A+ A+ 38% 7% 55% B+ A+ D- F+ D- C A- C+ B+ A- C+ F B+ C+ 28% 21% 52% B- C+ C A+ A+ D+ F A+ B
1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27 0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18
Nov
28		 Drake D C A+ F D- 62% 4% 35% A+ C F F F A A- F+ B- A+ A+ F A A+ 32% 14% 54% D A A+ A+ A+ F+ A F+ A-
1.04 59% 50% 28% -2 +4 1.06 15% 0.6 .09 10% .36 64% .23 0.91 44% 50% 27% -9 0 0.86 14% 0.8 .12 10% .21 77% .16
Nov
29		 DePaul A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 60% 13% 28% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A C+ 29% 27% 45% A- B- A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ C+
1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39 0.91 43% 69% 27% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21
Dec
3		 Boston College C+ C C F D+ 40% 33% 28% D D B+ B- B B C+ A+ A A B- A+ D+ B- 31% 27% 42% B- B- B A A- A- D- C- D-
1.03 57% 37% 19% -7 -1 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 13% .30 85% .26 0.91 53% 27% 35% -4 -1 0.91 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 67% .23
Dec
7		 Texas Tech F B- D F F+ 18% 44% 38% F F D C- D+ A B D C+ B+ B A+ F C+ 34% 19% 47% C- C+ C+ A+ A A D C+ D+
0.82 60% 33% 19% -10 -4 0.73 20% 0.9 .18 13% .31 63% .19 1.16 56% 30% 48% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.8 .27 20% .32 72% .23
Dec
13		 SMU A+ B A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ A+ C+ B- C+ D+ F C+ 41% 27% 33% C C+ F+ A+ B- C+ C- A+ B
1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19 1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18
Dec
19		 SE Louisiana A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C+ A+ F+ D- F+ A+ A+ D- A D- C F A+ C+ 33% 22% 45% C- C+ D+ F F D- B F+ C+
1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36 1.06 56% 45% 23% -7 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21
Dec
22		 Prairie View A+ D A+ F D+ 53% 9% 38% A C A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F D A+ F F 27% 31% 42% C+ F B- B- B- C- F F F
1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67 1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41
Dec
29		 Southern Miss A A+ A D+ A- 20% 35% 44% F B- C+ A+ A- A+ B- B- B A- C A+ A+ A 24% 49% 27% A+ A+ C A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.28 82% 47% 33% +8 -3 1.11 29% 1.4 .41 9% .39 72% .28 0.88 58% 25% 23% -11 -5 0.71 31% 0.5 .15 14% .48 72% .35
Jan
3		 Texas A&M C A+ F C B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ D- A+ B D- A- A- A A+ F A+ B B- 40% 16% 44% B+ B- F+ A+ A A+ D B D+
1.00 75% 21% 33% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 22% .36 80% .28 1.04 80% 13% 32% +3 +1 1.10 39% 0.5 .21 21% .37 71% .26
Jan
6		 South Carolina C F+ C B+ C 39% 22% 39% C+ C A+ F C F C+ A+ B+ F+ A+ D+ F F 36% 23% 40% B- F A- A+ A+ F D+ B C-
1.07 47% 36% 37% -3 0 0.96 43% 0.6 .28 22% .28 86% .24 1.22 47% 45% 58% +12 -1 1.26 22% 0.7 .16 9% .36 76% .28
Jan
10		 Vanderbilt B D A+ C+ B 46% 19% 35% A- B+ B- C- C+ C D D D B+ C- F A+ B+ 38% 15% 47% C- B C A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.02 50% 50% 33% -2 +1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 20% .30 71% .21 1.18 65% 75% 24% +1 +1 1.06 32% 0.6 .19 10% .45 79% .36
Jan
14		 Kentucky B+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 20% 43% B A+ C- A+ B C- A+ D- A+ B- A A F B+ 35% 22% 43% B B+ A+ F A- D+ D B+ C-
1.11 33% 63% 53% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.1 .28 18% .51 68% .35 1.12 50% 27% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .34 13% .38 68% .26
Jan
17		 Missouri A+ B+ F C+ C 28% 28% 43% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B- C A+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% B+ A+ B F D+ B- F F F
1.26 62% 23% 35% -3 -2 0.93 43% 1.3 .57 11% .42 78% .33 1.13 63% 22% 27% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 19% .60 80% .48
Jan
20		 Florida C+ B+ F+ F C+ 35% 43% 22% F+ C- C A+ A+ C+ C D+ C- B+ F A+ A A- 34% 22% 44% A+ A F A C+ C- F A+ C+
0.91 59% 29% 27% -6 -3 0.84 21% 1.4 .30 16% .27 67% .18 1.18 76% 18% 27% -3 0 0.96 51% 0.9 .45 15% .47 52% .25
Jan
24		 Arkansas A C+ B+ F B- 33% 40% 27% F C A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B F F F F 38% 24% 38% B F A+ A+ A+ C B- A+ A+
1.18 59% 43% 21% -3 -3 0.90 39% 1.5 .61 13% .42 88% .37 1.24 79% 67% 42% +19 0 1.40 26% 1.0 .26 12% .30 39% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Mississippi St. D C- A+ F D+ 44% 22% 34% A- C D A C A- A+ F C+ D D A+ F F 38% 19% 43% D F F A D+ A+ F D+ F
0.97 55% 55% 18% -6 0 0.90 21% 1.3 .26 10% .38 52% .20 1.18 67% 22% 50% +10 0 1.23 45% 0.8 .38 24% .39 70% .27
Jan
31		 South Carolina A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% C+ A+ C+ D C B- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B F+ A 34% 29% 38% A A F+ F F F F A F+
1.23 86% 8% 45% +11 0 1.24 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 84% .33 1.16 37% 38% 38% -5 -1 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 8% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Georgia C+ A F F D 39% 17% 43% B- D+ A B+ A D A+ A+ A+ D+ D C+ F D- 40% 11% 49% C D- F C- F+ B F A+ C+
1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39 1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24
Feb
10		 Arkansas F F+ F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F A+ F D C- A+ D- A+ B- D+ B A+ B+ 64% 16% 20% F B- A C+ A B- D- C+ D
0.83 46% 25% 11% -20 +2 0.65 43% 0.6 .27 19% .45 63% .28 1.22 69% 33% 27% +4 +2 1.15 27% 1.3 .33 13% .37 75% .28
Feb
14		 Tennessee A C- F A+ B 36% 21% 43% C+ B C- F F+ A+ B+ B- B+ C- A B- B+ A+ 40% 28% 33% A- A+ D F F D F D F
1.08 53% 20% 40% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 5% .34 68% .23 1.25 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 50% 1.4 .69 15% .46 74% .34
Feb
17		 Texas A+ D+ A+ A+ A 53% 29% 17% B- A D+ F F+ A+ D+ A+ B- C C+ A- F D+ 44% 27% 29% B C- A+ F D- D- F A F
1.24 52% 59% 50% +7 0 1.16 21% 0.6 .12 7% .30 84% .25 1.28 60% 33% 54% +8 0 1.18 29% 1.9 .54 12% .56 68% .38
Feb
21		 Alabama A- B- F A C+ 38% 30% 32% C- C+ A+ A A+ C+ A A- A+ C A+ D+ D+ A 35% 8% 56% C A- D A- C+ D+ F D F
1.17 57% 18% 39% -4 -1 0.91 41% 1.2 .48 14% .36 73% .26 1.27 47% 50% 37% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.0 .38 11% .59 81% .48
Feb
25		 Mississippi A+ A- F A+ A- 36% 33% 31% D+ B+ C A+ A+ A A A+ A+ C- F B C C- 37% 40% 23% C+ C C- A+ B F F+ C F+
1.26 64% 25% 47% +4 -2 1.07 29% 2.2 .63 13% .40 86% .34 1.17 75% 35% 33% +5 -3 1.06 32% 0.9 .27 7% .37 76% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 1.1 1.1 11th
12th 8.6 6.4 15.0 12th
13th 4.4 18.8 1.2 24.3 13th
14th 24.7 5.9 30.6 14th
15th 11.2 12.2 0.2 23.6 15th
16th 5.1 0.4 5.5 16th
Total 16.3 41.6 33.5 8.6 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 8.6% 8.7% 0.2% 8.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.9 8.5%
5-13 33.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 11.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 33.2 0.7%
4-14 41.6% 41.6
3-15 16.3% 16.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 0.1% 1.0% 11.2 99.0 1.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 34.1% 11.0 2.2 30.8 1.1
Lose Out 16.3%