Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#321
Expected Predictive Rating-16.7#355
Pace65.3#288
Improvement-0.8#243

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#360
First Shot-2.9#261
After Offensive Rebound-5.9#364
Layup/Dunks-0.6#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#262
Freethrows-0.5#203
Improvement+0.5#129

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#162
First Shot+3.4#77
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#334
Layups/Dunks-6.4#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.1#2
Freethrows-0.1#197
Improvement-1.3#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 10.8% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.3% 23.0% 8.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 70.3% 57.9%
Conference Champion 9.3% 12.6% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 4.9% 9.4%
First Four7.4% 9.2% 6.6%
First Round4.7% 6.4% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 411 - 1212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 62 @George Washington L 47-67 4%     0 - 1 -8.2 -21.5 +12.4
  Sat, Nov 8 251 @Stony Brook L 60-71 26%     0 - 2 -12.9 -14.4 +1.5
  Mon, Nov 10 120 @Rutgers L 60-72 9%     0 - 3 -6.1 -3.4 -3.8
  Sun, Nov 16 193 Quinnipiac L 64-70 36%     0 - 4 -10.9 -10.4 -0.6
  Wed, Nov 19 255 @Merrimack L 65-72 27%     0 - 5 -9.1 +0.2 -10.2
  Sun, Nov 23 254 Brown L 53-58 48%     0 - 6 -13.1 -16.9 +3.5
  Fri, Nov 28 283 @American L 66-71 32%    
  Sat, Nov 29 260 Longwood L 68-71 38%    
  Sun, Nov 30 177 Siena L 61-68 25%    
  Wed, Dec 3 207 @Ohio L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Dec 6 121 @Miami (OH) L 63-77 9%    
  Wed, Dec 10 227 @Boston University L 62-70 24%    
  Sat, Dec 13 348 Canisius W 66-60 71%    
  Sun, Dec 21 262 @Drexel L 60-66 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 302 Bryant W 66-64 57%    
  Thu, Jan 8 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-70 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 349 @NJIT W 67-66 50%    
  Thu, Jan 15 171 @Vermont L 62-72 18%    
  Mon, Jan 19 354 New Hampshire W 68-61 74%    
  Thu, Jan 22 325 Albany W 67-64 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 352 Binghamton W 68-61 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 309 Umass Lowell W 70-68 59%    
  Thu, Feb 5 171 Vermont L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Feb 7 302 @Bryant L 63-67 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-67 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 349 NJIT W 69-63 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 354 @New Hampshire W 65-64 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 325 @Albany L 64-67 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 352 @Binghamton W 65-64 52%    
  Tue, Mar 3 309 Umass Lowell W 70-68 58%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.4 5.4 3.1 0.8 0.1 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 6.1 6.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.1 6.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.1 5.5 1.1 0.1 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.6 2.8 0.8 0.1 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 4.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.6 7.5 10.3 12.4 14.2 14.4 12.6 9.3 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 92.8% 1.3    1.1 0.2
13-3 75.5% 2.5    1.6 0.9 0.0
12-4 45.7% 2.8    1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 19.1% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1
10-6 3.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.0 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 38.2% 38.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.3% 28.5% 28.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0
13-3 3.4% 24.7% 24.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5
12-4 6.1% 19.8% 19.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 4.9
11-5 9.3% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4 7.8
10-6 12.6% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 1.3 11.3
9-7 14.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 1.3 13.1
8-8 14.2% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.8 13.4
7-9 12.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.0
6-10 10.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.1
5-11 7.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.4
4-12 4.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-13 2.2% 2.2
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.0 91.8 0.0%