Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 #341
Expected Predictive Rating -15.8 #347
Pace 64.0 #318
Improvement -2.4 #300

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #361 D- D- F D D+
Defense #199 C D- C+ C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #218 1.06 #293 -2.6 #274
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #106 0.76 #160 +1.5 #97
Three Pointers 39% #228 0.87 #330 -3.9 #307
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #316 -5.1 #318
Freethrows 17.1 #201 63% #360 10.8 #289
Second Chance 22.5% #352 1.09 #125 0.25 #315
Turnovers 22.2% #363
Total Offense -10.4 #361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #84 1.24 #276 -3.7 #306
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #115 0.71 #123 -0.2 #197
Three Pointers 36% #318 0.94 #92 +4.1 #41
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #176 +0.1 #176
Freethrows 18.9 #261 72% #159 13.6 #115
Second Chance 38.9% #361 0.99 #114 0.39 #319
Turnovers 17.3% #130
Total Defense -0.9 #199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #260 0.1% #174
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.9% #314 -0.2% #179
Possession Length 18.4 #281 17.9 #276
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #228 0.18 #192
Improvement -1.0 #238 -1.5 #280

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 37.8% 63.9% 34.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 4.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 4.0% 11.9%
First Four4.0% 6.1% 3.7%
First Round1.8% 2.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 12.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 48 - 148 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 60 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3% -7  0 - 1 -8 -21 F F F +12 A+ D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 274 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 23% -6  0 - 2 -14 -13 F F C -1 C A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 124 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 7% -11  0 - 3 -7 -4 A- F F -4 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 156 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 21% +2  0 - 4 -9 -8 C+ F C+ -1 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 241 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 18% -3  0 - 5 -9 +1 F A F -10 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 248 Brown L 53 - 58 37% -8  0 - 6 -13 -16 C F F +3 A F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 239 @American L 61 - 74 18% -12  0 - 7 -14 -9 C F F -6 D B+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 270 Longwood L 61 - 65 32% -3  0 - 8 -10 -10 F B+ F -1 F B A+
 Sun, Nov 30 177 Siena L 60 - 64 18% -8  0 - 9 -5 -3 B- C- C -3 D A- C-
 Wed, Dec 3 178 @Ohio L 57 - 79 12% -12  0 - 10 -20 -12 F D- F -10 C F C
 Sat, Dec 6 84 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4% -21  0 - 11 -22 -9 D+ C+ F -12 C+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 10 256 @Boston University W 69 - 59 20% +7  1 - 11 +8 -1 A- F F +10 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 337 Canisius L 43 - 70 61% -16  1 - 12 -41 -31 F C- F -12 F F A
 Sun, Dec 21 238 @Drexel L 56 - 74 18% -9  1 - 13 -19 -3 F A F -20 F D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 329 Bryant L 51 - 56 59% -5  1 - 14 0 - 1 -18 -25 F F F +6 A+ D+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 277 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 24% -6  1 - 15 0 - 2 -11 -9 F C C- -3 C B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 352 @NJIT W 74 - 70 46% +3  2 - 15 1 - 2 -6 +5 A+ F F -11 C- C F
 Thu, Jan 15 195 @Vermont L 59 - 71 13%
 Mon, Jan 19 335 New Hampshire W 66 - 63 61%
 Thu, Jan 22 309 Albany W 68 - 67 52%
 Sat, Jan 24 359 Binghamton W 68 - 61 74%
 Sat, Jan 31 284 Umass Lowell L 68 - 69 46%
 Thu, Feb 5 195 Vermont L 62 - 68 29%
 Sat, Feb 7 329 @Bryant L 60 - 64 36%
 Thu, Feb 12 277 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 68 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 352 NJIT W 68 - 63 68%
 Sat, Feb 21 335 @New Hampshire L 63 - 66 39%
 Thu, Feb 26 309 @Albany L 64 - 70 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 359 @Binghamton W 65 - 64 53%
 Tue, Mar 3 284 Umass Lowell L 68 - 69 45%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 9 -11 -10 D- D- F -1 C D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.9 5.3 0.9 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 8.4 6.4 1.3 0.0 17.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.9 7.5 1.4 0.0 18.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 6.5 6.7 1.3 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.6 5.0 1.1 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.2 7.7 13.6 17.6 19.1 16.2 11.6 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 91.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 48.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
11-5 19.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.2% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.8% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.1 0.7
11-5 2.8% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 0.3 2.5
10-6 6.2% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.6 5.6
9-7 11.6% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.8 10.8
8-8 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.8 15.5
7-9 19.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.7 18.4
6-10 17.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 17.1
5-11 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.4
4-12 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 7.7
3-13 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.0 96.0 0.0%