North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#282
Pace66.6#264
Improvement-0.2#198

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#225
First Shot-5.7#336
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#19
Layup/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
Freethrows-1.2#255
Improvement+0.0#184

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#260
First Shot-2.8#271
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#190
Layups/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#286
Freethrows+1.3#104
Improvement-0.3#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.1% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 34.4% 50.0% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.3% 75.6% 62.8%
Conference Champion 9.3% 12.7% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.5% 4.3%
First Four2.3% 1.8% 2.5%
First Round6.9% 9.2% 5.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 411 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 84 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 10%     0 - 1 -14.2 -8.1 -5.6
  Tue, Nov 11 285 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 69%     1 - 1 -5.7 +2.4 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 15 137 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 38%     1 - 2 -5.4 +2.8 -8.4
  Mon, Nov 17 38 @Clemson L 61-81 4%     1 - 3 -4.9 +2.2 -9.4
  Sat, Nov 22 188 @Chattanooga L 57-71 29%     1 - 4 -12.8 -8.1 -7.0
  Mon, Dec 1 222 @Jacksonville St. L 64-68 35%    
  Wed, Dec 3 77 @San Francisco L 65-80 8%    
  Mon, Dec 15 293 @Alabama A&M L 71-72 49%    
  Fri, Dec 19 114 @Loyola Marymount L 64-75 15%    
  Thu, Jan 1 344 Stetson W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 3 164 Florida Gulf Coast L 74-75 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 258 @Eastern Kentucky L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 294 @Bellarmine L 74-75 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 341 North Florida W 84-75 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 269 Jacksonville W 71-67 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 210 @Queens L 74-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 317 Central Arkansas W 75-68 73%    
  Thu, Jan 29 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 344 @Stetson W 74-70 63%    
  Wed, Feb 4 317 @Central Arkansas W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 165 @Austin Peay L 67-74 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 311 West Georgia W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 Eastern Kentucky W 77-73 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 210 Queens W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 176 @Lipscomb L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Feb 25 294 Bellarmine W 77-71 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 311 @West Georgia W 72-71 52%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.0 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.5 2.2 0.3 12.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 5.6 2.6 0.3 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 0.8 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 3.7 6.1 8.5 10.7 12.5 13.0 13.0 10.6 8.0 5.2 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.2% 1.4    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 80.5% 2.5    1.8 0.7 0.1
14-4 52.8% 2.7    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 20.9% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 48.1% 48.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 35.6% 35.6% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.2% 29.2% 29.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 2.2
14-4 5.2% 21.2% 21.2% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 4.1
13-5 8.0% 14.2% 14.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 6.9
12-6 10.6% 13.0% 13.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.2
11-7 13.0% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 11.9
10-8 13.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.4
9-9 12.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.0
8-10 10.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.5
7-11 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-12 6.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.1 92.1 0.0%