Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#198
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#130
Pace70.8#156
Improvement+2.9#15

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#200
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#100
Layup/Dunks-0.3#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-1.4#262
Improvement+2.6#16

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#195
First Shot-3.5#295
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#46
Layups/Dunks-0.7#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
Freethrows-3.9#348
Improvement+0.3#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 12.2% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 75.0% 81.9% 61.1%
.500 or above in Conference 72.4% 76.1% 65.0%
Conference Champion 11.6% 13.4% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.3% 2.8%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round10.3% 12.0% 6.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 414 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 14 @Tennessee L 56-95 3%     0 - 1 -18.1 -7.0 -11.4
  Wed, Nov 12 137 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 25%     0 - 2 -7.4 -9.0 +1.9
  Thu, Nov 20 305 @Central Michigan W 90-66 59%     1 - 2 +19.1 +17.0 +2.7
  Mon, Nov 24 258 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 71%     2 - 2 +2.7 +2.0 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 225 Wofford W 93-83 67%     3 - 2 +3.2 +9.9 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 29 227 Boston University W 75-70 67%    
  Wed, Dec 3 303 Cleveland St. W 85-77 78%    
  Sat, Dec 6 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Dec 13 294 @Bellarmine W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Dec 17 138 Oakland L 79-80 48%    
  Sun, Dec 21 151 College of Charleston W 74-73 52%    
  Mon, Dec 29 185 @Robert Morris L 72-76 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 355 IU Indianapolis W 97-83 89%    
  Sun, Jan 4 189 Youngstown St. W 75-73 59%    
  Fri, Jan 9 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-77 42%    
  Sun, Jan 11 267 @Green Bay W 72-71 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 328 Detroit Mercy W 82-72 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 185 Robert Morris W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 146 @Wright St. L 69-75 31%    
  Fri, Jan 30 328 @Detroit Mercy W 79-75 64%    
  Sun, Feb 1 138 @Oakland L 76-83 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 267 Green Bay W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-74 63%    
  Thu, Feb 12 355 @IU Indianapolis W 94-86 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 189 @Youngstown St. L 72-76 37%    
  Wed, Feb 25 303 @Cleveland St. W 82-80 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 146 Wright St. W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 11.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.5 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.3 4.9 2.2 0.2 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.1 1.7 0.3 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.2 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.0 4.8 7.1 9.7 11.1 12.3 12.9 11.2 9.4 7.1 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 99.1% 1.2    1.1 0.0
17-3 90.2% 2.1    1.8 0.4 0.0
16-4 72.6% 3.3    2.1 1.0 0.1
15-5 42.0% 3.0    1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0
14-6 14.8% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
13-7 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.6% 11.6 7.1 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 36.4% 36.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 38.5% 38.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
18-2 1.2% 44.9% 44.9% 12.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.4% 29.4% 29.4% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.7
16-4 4.5% 29.8% 29.8% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2
15-5 7.1% 20.2% 20.2% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 5.7
14-6 9.4% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 7.7
13-7 11.2% 14.1% 14.1% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 9.6
12-8 12.9% 10.1% 10.1% 14.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 11.6
11-9 12.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 11.4
10-10 11.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.7
9-11 9.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.4
8-12 7.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.0
7-13 4.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.7
6-14 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.4 1.6 89.4 0.0%