College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#172
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Pace66.0#274
Improvement+2.0#63

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#155
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#86
Layup/Dunks-1.2#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#213
Freethrows+1.8#83
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#88
Layups/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#345
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#305
Freethrows+2.3#55
Improvement+2.2#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.3% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 46.6% 54.9% 30.9%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 67.3% 56.3%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.4% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.6% 4.1%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round6.2% 7.1% 4.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 65.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 5
Quad 35 - 85 - 13
Quad 410 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 108 @Liberty L 75-90 23%     0 - 1 -8.2 +13.3 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 8 118 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 34%     0 - 2 -13.8 +6.7 -21.1
  Fri, Nov 14 360 South Carolina St. W 88-61 93%     1 - 2 +9.4 +11.4 -0.9
  Mon, Nov 17 135 Drake L 62-71 51%     1 - 3 -10.3 -11.7 +1.2
  Fri, Nov 21 152 Massachusetts W 69-65 44%     2 - 3 +4.5 -0.4 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 23 79 Yale L 63-74 21%     2 - 4 -3.6 -6.3 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 276 Evansville W 78-59 69%     3 - 4 +13.0 +3.8 +9.1
  Sun, Nov 30 85 Belmont L 73-96 33%     3 - 5 -19.4 +0.3 -19.5
  Wed, Dec 10 86 @South Florida L 75-81 16%     3 - 6 +3.5 +7.7 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 14 195 Charlotte W 71-67 66%    
  Wed, Dec 17 361 The Citadel W 79-62 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 194 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 43%    
  Mon, Dec 29 271 Drexel W 73-65 76%    
  Wed, Dec 31 192 @Elon L 76-78 42%    
  Mon, Jan 5 121 William & Mary L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 230 Hampton W 72-66 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 139 @Towson L 65-70 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 197 @Stony Brook L 69-71 45%    
  Thu, Jan 22 226 Campbell W 78-72 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 192 Elon W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 115 @Hofstra L 67-74 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 211 @Northeastern L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Feb 5 311 N.C. A&T W 79-68 83%    
  Mon, Feb 9 109 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 115 Hofstra L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 226 @Campbell L 75-76 49%    
  Thu, Feb 19 311 @N.C. A&T W 76-71 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 206 Monmouth W 75-70 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 230 @Hampton L 69-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 109 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 5.7 3.5 0.3 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.6 1.0 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.7 9.9 12.6 14.0 14.0 12.3 10.0 6.6 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 83.8% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.1
14-4 51.2% 2.0    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.5% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 33.7% 33.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.8% 22.5% 22.5% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.8% 18.8% 18.8% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 3.1
13-5 6.6% 15.8% 15.8% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6
12-6 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 8.8
11-7 12.3% 8.3% 8.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 11.3
10-8 14.0% 4.9% 4.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.3
9-9 14.0% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.6
8-10 12.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 12.4
7-11 9.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.7
6-12 6.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 1.8 0.7 93.7 0.0%