Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#238
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#265
Pace68.2#230
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#249
First Shot-2.0#227
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#228
Layup/Dunks-6.1#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#90
Freethrows+0.1#166
Improvement+0.7#103

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#218
First Shot-3.4#291
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#77
Layups/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-1.0#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.3% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 9.4% 15.8% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 38.9% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 17.3% 22.9%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round2.2% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Neutral) - 38.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 83 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 58 @Akron L 69-104 7%     0 - 1 -22.6 -7.8 -11.6
  Tue, Nov 11 284 Bucknell W 73-63 69%     1 - 1 +0.3 -1.9 +2.5
  Sat, Nov 15 18 @Kansas L 57-76 2%     1 - 2 +0.3 -5.9 +6.4
  Tue, Nov 18 167 @Iona L 69-89 27%     1 - 3 -18.0 -9.8 -6.3
  Thu, Nov 20 200 Northeastern W 70-57 53%     2 - 3 +7.6 -0.7 +8.8
  Mon, Nov 24 112 Bradley L 64-88 23%     2 - 4 -20.7 -7.0 -13.8
  Tue, Nov 25 148 Temple L 75-79 33%     2 - 5 -4.0 +1.7 -5.8
  Wed, Nov 26 171 Vermont L 74-79 37%     2 - 6 -6.2 +4.6 -11.3
  Sun, Nov 30 175 Saint Joseph's L 73-76 38%    
  Wed, Dec 3 201 @Monmouth L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Dec 6 265 @Loyola Chicago L 69-71 43%    
  Wed, Dec 10 255 Merrimack W 70-66 63%    
  Mon, Dec 22 148 @Temple L 72-80 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 171 Vermont L 72-73 48%    
  Mon, Jan 5 223 Penn W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 69 Yale L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 179 @Harvard L 67-73 29%    
  Mon, Jan 19 299 @Dartmouth W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 254 Brown W 69-65 63%    
  Fri, Jan 30 161 @Cornell L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 134 @Columbia L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 223 @Penn L 73-77 37%    
  Fri, Feb 13 161 Cornell L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 134 Columbia L 72-75 39%    
  Fri, Feb 20 254 @Brown L 66-68 41%    
  Fri, Feb 27 179 Harvard L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 299 Dartmouth W 78-72 70%    
  Sat, Mar 7 69 @Yale L 68-84 9%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.1 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.4 5.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.0 7.1 2.7 0.2 14.3 4th
5th 0.4 5.1 8.8 3.0 0.2 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.2 9.0 2.9 0.2 18.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.6 7.5 2.7 0.1 17.2 7th
8th 0.5 2.0 4.4 3.8 1.3 0.1 12.1 8th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.7 10.1 14.4 17.3 16.1 13.8 9.7 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 80.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
11-3 52.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 22.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.4% 25.5% 25.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-3 1.1% 19.2% 19.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
10-4 3.1% 14.8% 14.8% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.6
9-5 5.6% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.1
8-6 9.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.1
7-7 13.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.4
6-8 16.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.0
5-9 17.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.3
4-10 14.4% 14.4
3-11 10.1% 10.1
2-12 5.7% 5.7
1-13 2.1% 2.1
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 97.5 0.0%