Providence
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +9.1 60
Results Rating +6.6 88
Consistency 0.11 18
Pace 76.8 19
Improvement +2.6 83

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 23 B+ A- B B+ B
Defense C 179 C+ B- D B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 121 B+ 66% 34 +4.5 36
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 295 B- 42% 58 -1.6 264
Three Pointers 44% 112 B 37% 63 +3.7 63
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 70 B+ +5.5 30
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 25
Second Chance B 35.0% 52 A- 1.19 23 A- 0.42 29
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 149
Other Turnovers A- 5.5% 19
Turnovers B 14.6% 59
Freethrows B 0.35 53 B+ 77% 32 B+ 0.27 30
Total Offense A- +9.4 23

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 185 B+ 8.0% 38
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 268 D+ 6.5% 273
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 C+ 0.6% 119
Total C 55% 201 B 4.5% 59

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 226 B 53% 62 -2.6 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 73 C 38% 191 +1.3 294
Three Pointers 39% 250 C- 35% 233 -0.4 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 90 C+ -1.2 136
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 124
Second Chance C+ 28.5% 106 C+ 0.99 118 B- 0.28 91
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 282
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 302
Turnovers D 14.5% 319
Freethrows B- 0.28 91 B- 71% 107 B- 0.20 83
Total Defense C -0.3 179

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 103 B- 13.9% 70
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 148 D+ 3.0% 294
Three Pointers B+ 77% 28 D+ 0.3% 304
Total B- 50% 77 C+ 6.0% 144

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.4 28 17.5 219
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 28 0.16 125
Consistency 0.10 39 0.10 29
Improvement +2.2 80 +0.4 163

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 78 63 52
Results Rating Rank 110 83 67
Conference Record 6 - 14 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.2 11.7 12.8
.500 or above 19% 40% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 9% 1% 15%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 9
Quad 23 - 74 - 16
Quad 37 - 111 - 17
Quad 45 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 327 Holy Cross W 89 - 79 97% +10  84% 1 - 0 C- -4 D+ -2 D+ C C+ C- -2 D A- C
 Sat, Nov 8 56 Virginia Tech L 101 - 107 OT 47% -0  37% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +9 C+ B+ B D+ -3 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 11 166 Penn W 106 - 81 88% +10  93% 2 - 1 A +22 A+ +18 A+ A+ D- C+ +1 A C F+
 Fri, Nov 14 66 @Colorado L 88 - 97 40% -4  1% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B +7 C+ C- A D+ -3 B- F C
 Tue, Nov 18 346 New Hampshire W 98 - 66 98% +13  95% 3 - 2 A- +16 A+ +18 A+ C- B+ C- -2 B F B-
 Sat, Nov 22 117 Penn St. W 77 - 65 72% +3  68% 4 - 2 A- +15 C +0 F B+ A+ A+ +15 A+ B C+
 Thu, Nov 27 30 Wisconsin L 83 - 104 30% -14  0% 4 - 3 D+ -6 C +0 B B D+ D+ -4 C C D
 Fri, Nov 28 4 Florida L 78 - 90 9% -9  1% 4 - 4 B+ +12 A +11 A D+ A- C+ +1 A+ C- F
 Tue, Dec 2 339 Fairleigh Dickinson W 94 - 64 98% +23  99% 5 - 4 A- +15 A+ +17 A+ A- C C -0 C- C A+
 Sat, Dec 6 131 Rhode Island W 90 - 71 83% +5  72% 6 - 4 A +18 A+ +16 A+ B+ C C+ +2 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 9 277 Brown W 86 - 79 95% +6  94% 7 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 C+ C C- D -6 C C+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 76 @Butler L 110 - 113 2OT 44% +0  42% 7 - 5 0 - 1 B- +8 A+ +18 A- B A+ F+ -10 C- D+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 54 Seton Hall L 67 - 72 58% -3  10% 7 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +2 C +1 C+ D- A C+ +1 C B- B
 Sat, Jan 3 21 @St. John's W 77 - 71 15% -5  8% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +26 B+ +8 D- A+ A A+ +18 A+ C+ B
 Wed, Jan 7 9 Connecticut L 98 - 103 OT 20% +5  79% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +17 A+ A+ C- C- -3 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 86 @Xavier L 84 - 97 48% -11  1% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C- -3 C +2 C- C+ A+ D+ -3 D+ B+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 32 Villanova L 82 - 88 41% -7  6% 8 - 9 1 - 5 B- +5 A +12 A+ A B D- -7 F A C
 Fri, Jan 16 70 Creighton W 93 - 88 64% +1  53% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +10 A- +11 C A+ B+ C -1 A F+ D+
 Mon, Jan 19 83 @Marquette L 104 - 105 OT 46% -3  15% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B +9 A+ +19 A+ A+ C F -10 D F+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 82 Georgetown L 78 - 81 68% +9  86% 9 - 11 2 - 7 C +1 A- +11 B+ B A F -10 F A- D-
 Tue, Jan 27 9 @Connecticut L 81 - 87 9% -4  6% 9 - 12 2 - 8 A +18 A+ +15 A A A B- +3 B B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 30 32 @Villanova L 73 - 87 21% -10  5% 9 - 13 2 - 9 C+ +3 B +7 A- C C+ D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 76 Butler W 97 - 87 2OT 67% -0  37% 10 - 13 3 - 9 A- +15 A- +11 A- B- A B- +2 B- A- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 89 DePaul W 90 - 72 72% +14  98% 11 - 13 4 - 9 A +21 A+ +17 A+ A+ D B +4 B+ C- D-
 Wed, Feb 11 54 @Seton Hall L 80 - 87 35% +1  59% 11 - 14 4 - 10 B- +6 A+ +19 A+ B- D- F -13 D- C F
 Sat, Feb 14 21 St. John's L 69 - 79 31% -7  7% 11 - 15 4 - 11 C+ +4 D+ -3 F+ C B A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 89 @DePaul W 71 - 68 50% +3  74% 12 - 15 5 - 11 B+ +12 B +6 B A+ F B+ +7 A- A- F
 Wed, Feb 25 86 Xavier W 94 - 84 70% +12  94% 13 - 15 6 - 11 B+ +14 A+ +20 A A A+ D -6 C- B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 70 @Creighton L 84 - 86 42%
 Wed, Mar 4 83 Marquette W 88 - 83 68%
 Sat, Mar 7 82 @Georgetown L 82 - 83 46%
Totals 15 - 16 8 - 12 +9 A- +9 D+ B+ B C +0 B B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ B- B B+ 41% 28% 44% B B+ B A- A- B B B+ B+ C B C C- C+ 37% 24% 39% B- C+ C+ C+ B- D B- B- B-
1.22 66% 42% 37% +5 +1 1.15 35% 1.2 .42 15% .35 77% .27 1.09 53% 38% 35% -1 0 0.99 29% 1.0 .28 14% .28 71% .25
Nov
3		 Holy Cross D+ A+ F+ F D+ 41% 17% 43% C+ D+ D- A+ C C+ A+ C+ A+ C- F+ D+ C- D- 24% 27% 49% B- D C A+ A- C D- A+ C-
1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29 1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22
Nov
8		 Virginia Tech B+ C- B+ C B- 32% 26% 41% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ D+ C- F+ D+ 38% 26% 36% B C- B+ F C- D B- B+ B+
1.13 55% 44% 32% -1 -1 0.99 29% 1.3 .38 16% .33 88% .29 1.20 65% 39% 40% +6 -1 1.13 28% 1.4 .40 12% .28 68% .19
Nov
11		 Penn A+ A F A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F A 23% 36% 41% A+ A A- F C F+ C- F D-
1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33 1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27
Nov
14		 Colorado B A- C+ F C 43% 17% 40% A- C+ D+ B- C- A A+ B+ A+ D+ B- D+ C+ B+ 60% 13% 27% F B- D+ F F C F+ F F
1.11 65% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.1 .25 13% .45 77% .35 1.22 58% 43% 33% 0 +3 1.07 34% 1.3 .43 14% .40 85% .34
Nov
18		 New Hampshire A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 54% 5% 41% A+ A+ A F C- B+ B F C- C- F B- A+ C+ 29% 25% 46% A+ B F F F B- A+ F B
1.41 73% 33% 43% +14 +3 1.36 41% 0.7 .29 12% .36 64% .23 0.95 67% 31% 21% -8 -1 0.83 35% 1.2 .43 20% .16 89% .14
Nov
22		 Penn St. C C- A+ F F 40% 7% 53% A- F B B B+ A+ A- B A A+ A+ D D A+ 40% 25% 36% B+ A+ D A+ B C+ B+ F+ B-
1.10 57% 50% 19% -12 +2 0.83 33% 1.4 .45 10% .30 79% .24 0.92 24% 46% 37% -10 0 0.81 33% 0.9 .30 16% .27 81% .22
Nov
27		 Wisconsin C F+ A+ A- B 38% 21% 41% B- B D A+ B D+ D A C- D+ D+ F C C+ 36% 9% 55% C- C C- C+ C D C A+ B
1.02 46% 54% 38% +1 0 1.05 19% 1.6 .31 17% .22 80% .18 1.27 65% 50% 34% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .37 10% .33 67% .22
Nov
28		 Florida A C- A- A+ A+ 38% 35% 27% C- A B- F D+ A- A+ A A+ C+ C A+ B- A 28% 21% 51% A+ A+ A+ F C- F F+ F F
1.06 50% 44% 43% +3 -2 1.04 24% 0.4 .11 14% .41 77% .31 1.22 63% 25% 31% -4 -1 0.93 32% 1.5 .49 11% .41 81% .34
Dec
2		 Fairleigh Dickinson A+ B B- A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% B A+ A C+ A- C F A+ F C A+ A+ F C 42% 12% 46% F C- F A+ C A+ B+ F C
1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16 0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19
Dec
6		 Rhode Island A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 13% 55% C A+ C+ A B+ C C- B- C C+ A- A F F 32% 14% 54% C+ F B+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+
1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26 1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13
Dec
9		 Brown C+ B+ F C C+ 42% 15% 44% B C+ B- D+ C C- C A+ B+ D B+ A D- C 47% 21% 33% C C A F C+ F D D- D-
1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29 1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23
Dec
13		 Butler A+ C+ A- A A- 39% 16% 46% B- A- A D+ B A+ C+ A B- F+ D- A+ C C 48% 15% 37% C- C- F B+ D+ F F C+ F
1.28 59% 45% 41% +6 +1 1.16 37% 0.9 .33 10% .23 78% .18 1.32 67% 22% 35% +2 +2 1.10 43% 1.0 .43 8% .48 71% .34
Dec
19		 Seton Hall C B+ C- F C- 44% 7% 49% A C+ F D+ D- A A+ A+ A+ C+ B D+ C C 46% 22% 33% C- C B C B- B F A F+
0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42 1.04 52% 40% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30
Jan
3		 St. John's B+ D+ F F F+ 52% 19% 29% B+ D- A- A+ A+ A A+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 18% 42% B A+ F A+ C+ B F A F
1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33 0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38
Jan
7		 Connecticut A+ C D- A+ A+ 44% 18% 39% B A+ B A+ A+ C- A B- A C- B+ B+ F F 29% 26% 45% A+ D- A+ B+ A+ C- B+ F C+
1.19 52% 30% 55% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .39 21% .41 74% .30 1.25 56% 38% 57% +15 -1 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 15% .25 83% .21
Jan
10		 Xavier C A B F C 33% 22% 44% C C- D- A+ C+ A+ C+ D+ C D+ B- D+ F C- 38% 20% 42% D- D+ A+ F B+ F B+ C B+
1.05 71% 43% 25% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.3 .25 11% .30 67% .20 1.21 58% 43% 41% +5 0 1.13 15% 1.3 .21 5% .20 73% .14
Jan
13		 Villanova A A+ A+ F A+ 41% 16% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A B A- C B+ D- F D+ F F 31% 24% 45% A- F F+ A+ A C C F+ D+
1.18 90% 50% 24% +8 +1 1.20 26% 1.6 .41 19% .30 71% .21 1.27 81% 42% 43% +15 -1 1.29 41% 0.6 .26 14% .30 78% .24
Jan
16		 Creighton A- B+ A+ F D+ 48% 14% 38% A C A+ A A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ C C+ A+ C+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C A F+ D F+ D+ F F F
1.22 63% 50% 19% -4 +2 0.96 45% 1.3 .57 13% .53 71% .38 1.15 60% 10% 33% -5 0 0.93 34% 1.1 .39 13% .44 83% .36
Jan
19		 Marquette A+ B C+ A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F D- A+ D- 56% 15% 30% C+ D C F F+ F F B+ D-
1.28 63% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.21 45% 1.2 .55 21% .51 88% .45 1.29 74% 44% 22% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.3 .41 7% .40 63% .25
Jan
24		 Georgetown A- B+ F A- B 44% 19% 38% A- B+ B+ C B A A A+ A+ F D- F C- F 33% 25% 42% B F B+ B A- D- A+ B- A+
1.21 62% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .35 12% .37 86% .32 1.25 67% 64% 35% +10 -1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 11% .19 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Connecticut A+ C- A+ B+ A- 57% 13% 30% A+ A B- A+ A A A+ A- A+ B- C- A+ F+ B 39% 22% 39% B+ B C A B+ D+ F A F
1.12 50% 50% 36% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 65% 27% 40% +4 0 1.10 37% 0.9 .34 14% .45 64% .29
Jan
30		 Villanova B C+ A+ B- A- 34% 26% 40% C A- B D- C C+ C+ F+ C D+ C F F F 30% 19% 52% B D- A+ C+ A+ F D A C
1.06 59% 54% 35% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .28 20% .26 64% .16 1.27 63% 60% 43% +12 0 1.26 15% 1.0 .15 7% .35 64% .22
Feb
4		 Butler A- A+ A- C+ A 33% 20% 47% C A- A+ F B- A A+ D A+ B- A F C+ B- 47% 21% 32% B- B- A C+ A- D+ F B F
1.23 72% 45% 35% +7 0 1.15 40% 0.8 .30 13% .57 67% .38 1.10 48% 58% 33% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 13% .49 68% .33
Feb
7		 DePaul A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 35% B+ A+ A+ A A+ D A+ F A- B C+ F A+ A 48% 17% 34% F+ B+ C- C+ C- D- A+ A- A+
1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27 1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11
Feb
11		 Seton Hall A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 10% 67% C+ A+ B C B- D- C- A+ A F A+ F C F 40% 31% 29% A- D- A+ F C F D- D- F+
1.17 60% 75% 46% +16 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32 1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30
Feb
14		 St. John's D+ C- F F D- 33% 33% 35% F+ F+ B+ F C B A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% A+ A+ A+ F B+ F D+ B C-
0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32 1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30
Feb
21		 DePaul B A+ F B- B 43% 30% 28% C B A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ B+ C+ B+ A A- 36% 23% 42% C+ A- D+ A+ A- F F A+ B-
1.06 71% 25% 36% +2 -1 1.05 41% 1.6 .67 27% .43 62% .26 1.01 58% 33% 27% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.8 .27 10% .40 50% .20
Feb
25		 Xavier A+ D+ A+ A+ A- 52% 17% 31% A- A C A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D D- F A+ C- 38% 31% 31% C+ C- C B+ B- F B- C C+
1.35 54% 56% 47% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.5 .39 6% .38 76% .29 1.21 68% 61% 22% +6 -1 1.10 28% 0.9 .25 7% .23 73% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 3.9 3.9 4th
5th 8.1 9.6 17.7 5th
6th 2.6 21.0 0.7 24.3 6th
7th 0.2 24.6 9.7 34.5 7th
8th 1.5 8.1 9.6 8th
9th 4.4 0.7 5.1 9th
10th 4.5 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.4 0.4 11th
Total 11.0 36.0 38.8 14.2 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 14.2% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.8 0.5%
8-12 38.8% 0.8% 0.8% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 38.5
7-13 36.0% 1.1% 1.1% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 35.6
6-14 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.1% 12.2 98.9 0.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 11.2 6.5 62.9 30.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9% 5.7% 11.5 2.9 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.9% 0.6% 11.2 0.5 0.1
Lose Out 5.2%