Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#193
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#102
Pace77.3#36
Improvement+0.8#110

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#213
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#298
Layup/Dunks-2.4#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#132
Freethrows-0.7#215
Improvement+2.8#10

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#171
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#154
Layups/Dunks-4.0#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows+1.7#88
Improvement-2.0#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.5% 16.2% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 86.3% 88.7% 71.2%
.500 or above in Conference 88.5% 89.5% 82.2%
Conference Champion 19.4% 20.5% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round15.2% 15.9% 10.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 416 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 15 @St. John's L 74-108 3%     0 - 1 -13.3 -2.8 -5.0
  Thu, Nov 6 244 Central Connecticut St. W 71-49 71%     1 - 1 +14.3 -2.4 +17.0
  Tue, Nov 11 69 Yale L 60-97 25%     1 - 2 -32.0 -16.2 -15.0
  Sun, Nov 16 321 @Maine W 70-64 64%     2 - 2 +0.4 -0.9 +1.3
  Sun, Nov 23 99 @Pittsburgh W 83-75 18%     3 - 2 +16.0 +16.0 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 68 @Central Florida L 91-102 12%     3 - 3 +0.0 +11.2 -10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 334 Stonehill W 78-67 86%    
  Fri, Dec 5 167 @Iona L 81-85 36%    
  Sun, Dec 7 343 Rider W 81-68 88%    
  Sat, Dec 13 309 Umass Lowell W 84-75 81%    
  Wed, Dec 17 201 @Monmouth L 74-76 42%    
  Sun, Dec 21 162 @Hofstra L 73-77 35%    
  Mon, Dec 29 154 Marist W 68-67 54%    
  Fri, Jan 2 318 @Manhattan W 84-80 62%    
  Sun, Jan 4 297 Mount St. Mary's W 80-71 78%    
  Sun, Jan 11 261 @Sacred Heart W 83-82 52%    
  Wed, Jan 14 295 St. Peter's W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 255 @Merrimack W 73-72 50%    
  Mon, Jan 19 318 Manhattan W 87-77 81%    
  Thu, Jan 22 297 @Mount St. Mary's W 77-74 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 154 @Marist L 65-70 34%    
  Fri, Jan 30 261 Sacred Heart W 86-80 72%    
  Sun, Feb 1 288 @Fairfield W 79-77 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 348 Canisius W 78-65 87%    
  Sat, Feb 7 333 Niagara W 77-66 84%    
  Fri, Feb 13 177 @Siena L 72-76 39%    
  Sun, Feb 15 255 Merrimack W 75-69 70%    
  Sun, Feb 22 288 Fairfield W 82-74 76%    
  Fri, Feb 27 333 @Niagara W 74-69 69%    
  Sun, Mar 1 348 @Canisius W 75-68 72%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 5.1 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.2 19.4 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 5.2 6.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.5 5.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.4 1.6 0.2 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 0.9 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.2 4.9 7.9 10.0 12.3 13.2 13.6 12.0 9.0 6.2 2.9 1.2 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
18-2 97.5% 2.8    2.5 0.3 0.0
17-3 83.2% 5.1    3.7 1.3 0.1
16-4 57.0% 5.1    2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0
15-5 28.8% 3.4    1.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
14-6 8.7% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.4% 19.4 12.0 5.6 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 50.8% 50.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.2% 44.0% 44.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
18-2 2.9% 39.5% 39.5% 13.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.8
17-3 6.2% 33.4% 33.4% 13.7 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.1
16-4 9.0% 27.7% 27.7% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.0 6.5
15-5 12.0% 23.2% 23.2% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.1 9.2
14-6 13.6% 18.4% 18.4% 14.7 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.3 11.1
13-7 13.2% 13.4% 13.4% 15.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 11.4
12-8 12.3% 8.3% 8.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 11.3
11-9 10.0% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.5
10-10 7.9% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.6
9-11 4.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.8
8-12 3.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 3.1
7-13 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.3 5.0 2.1 84.5 0.0%