Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.9 211
Results Rating -2.2 202
Consistency 0.16 233
Pace 74.4 39
Improvement -2.9 294

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 266 D+ C+ C D+ C-
Defense C 146 C D+ C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 167 D+ 54% 281 -1.2 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 108 D- 31% 346 -0.3 192
Three Pointers 37% 266 C 34% 165 -1.9 249
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 240 D+ -2.9 285
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 286
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 144 C 1.03 172 C+ 0.33 132
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 219
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 121
Turnovers C 16.6% 171
Freethrows C- 0.29 232 D 69% 300 D+ 0.20 264
Total Offense D+ -3.7 266

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 168 F 16.0% 358
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 173 C- 5.8% 237
Three Pointers D 77% 322 B 0.4% 71
Total C- 53% 230 F+ 7.8% 346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 88 C+ 57% 147 +1.8 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 187 B+ 33% 22 -1.2 86
Three Pointers 37% 281 D 36% 292 -0.4 169
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 232 C -0.2 171
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 181
Second Chance D 33.4% 302 C 1.03 179 D+ 0.34 268
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 74
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 323
Turnovers C 17.1% 161
Freethrows C+ 0.29 135 C- 73% 215 C+ 0.21 136
Total Defense C +0.8 146

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 228 C+ 12.2% 120
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 110 C+ 5.9% 106
Three Pointers D+ 87% 265 C+ 1.1% 114
Total C- 57% 219 B- 6.8% 89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 62 17.6 238
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 90 0.17 170
Consistency 0.12 156 0.13 243
Improvement -1.9 283 -1.0 246

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 231 211 183
Results Rating Rank 229 204 141
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 13% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round12% 13% 9%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 72.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 35 - 7
Quad 414 - 719 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 21 @St. John's L 74 - 108 3% -22  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 C- -2 C C- F D- -7 F C B+
 Thu, Nov 6 302 Central Connecticut St. W 71 - 49 79% +12  90% 1 - 1 B +11 F -11 D+ F A+ A+ +22 A+ C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 88 Yale L 60 - 97 27% -18  17% 1 - 2 F -34 F -19 F C+ F F -14 F F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 340 @Maine W 70 - 64 72% -2  40% 2 - 2 C- -3 D -5 F B- B- B- +2 D A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 101 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 75 16% +5  87% 3 - 2 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- F B- +3 D+ D+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 45 @Central Florida L 91 - 102 6% -2  39% 3 - 3 C+ +4 A- +11 A F A- D -6 C- C D
 Sun, Nov 30 337 Stonehill W 76 - 62 86% +8  76% 4 - 3 C -1 C -0 A F D C -0 B- F B-
 Fri, Dec 5 242 @Iona W 89 - 68 45% +7  89% 5 - 3 1 - 0 A +19 A- +10 C+ A+ C- A +9 A+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 356 Rider W 72 - 58 92% +15  99% 6 - 3 2 - 0 C- -4 F -10 F B B+ B+ +6 C- C B-
 Sat, Dec 13 306 Umass Lowell W 75 - 71 80% -1  30% 7 - 3 D+ -8 F -11 F B C B- +3 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 187 @Monmouth W 85 - 75 35% +15  99% 8 - 3 B +11 A- +9 B+ B- A- C+ +1 C- A C+
 Sun, Dec 21 104 @Hofstra L 66 - 74 17% -2  19% 8 - 4 C -1 D+ -4 F A B+ B- +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 183 Marist W 64 - 58 57% +3  79% 9 - 4 3 - 0 C +1 D- -7 F A D- A +8 A D A
 Fri, Jan 2 324 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 67% +8  91% 9 - 5 3 - 1 D -8 D -5 F A+ F D+ -3 F A C
 Sun, Jan 4 286 Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 69 76% +6  87% 10 - 5 4 - 1 C +1 C +1 A- D+ D+ C -1 A- F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 284 @Sacred Heart W 70 - 60 54% +0  49% 11 - 5 5 - 1 B- +6 D+ -4 D F+ B+ A +11 B C- A
 Wed, Jan 14 238 St. Peter's L 70 - 74 66% -4  22% 11 - 6 5 - 2 D -11 D- -7 C- C- A D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 172 @Merrimack L 71 - 83 32% -12  2% 11 - 7 5 - 3 D -10 C +1 D- C A+ F -11 F F B
 Mon, Jan 19 324 Manhattan W 98 - 92 OT 84% -1  49% 12 - 7 6 - 3 D+ -7 C +0 C- A+ D+ F+ -9 D D- D
 Thu, Jan 22 286 @Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 62 55% +12  92% 13 - 7 7 - 3 B +11 C+ +2 B F B- A +9 D+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 183 @Marist L 64 - 71 34% -8  3% 13 - 8 7 - 4 D+ -6 C- -2 D+ D- A+ D+ -4 F C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 284 Sacred Heart L 91 - 98 75% -1  39% 13 - 9 7 - 5 F+ -17 C +2 D B+ B F -18 F B- F
 Sun, Feb 1 245 @Fairfield W 72 - 65 46% -2  27% 14 - 9 8 - 5 B- +5 D -4 C- B F+ A +10 A C+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 343 Canisius W 75 - 60 87% +13  97% 15 - 9 9 - 5 C -0 F+ -9 D A F A- +8 A- F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 335 Niagara W 56 - 55 86% +5  81% 16 - 9 10 - 5 D- -14 F -16 F F F B- +2 C+ F A+
 Fri, Feb 13 201 @Siena W 74 - 62 37% +6  94% 17 - 9 11 - 5 B+ +13 C+ +2 C- C+ A+ A +11 A+ C- D+
 Sun, Feb 15 172 Merrimack L 49 - 56 54% -0  35% 17 - 10 11 - 6 D -11 F -24 F B- F A+ +12 A- A B-
 Sun, Feb 22 245 Fairfield L 79 - 85 68% -2  22% 17 - 11 11 - 7 D- -14 C +0 C- B B F -14 D- F C
 Fri, Feb 27 335 @Niagara L 76 - 78 OT 71% +1  62% 17 - 12 11 - 8 D -11 C- -1 F+ C+ A F+ -9 D F F
 Sun, Mar 1 343 @Canisius W 71 - 65 72%
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 8 -3 D+ -4 C D+ C- C +1 C D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D- C D+ 39% 44% 37% C- D+ C+ C C+ C C- D D+ C C+ B+ D C 42% 20% 37% C- C D C D+ C C+ C- C+
1.03 54% 31% 34% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.0 .33 17% .29 69% .20 1.07 57% 33% 36% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.0 .34 17% .29 73% .21
Nov
3		 St. John's C- D- B C- C+ 42% 30% 28% D+ C B F C- F B- D C+ D- D- A+ F F 64% 7% 29% F F D- A- C B+ F A D+
0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21 1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32
Nov
6		 Central Connecticut St. F D- C B- D+ 47% 17% 37% C D+ D F F A+ F F F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 34% 40% B- A+ C- C C- F+ B- A+ B+
1.03 50% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 26% 0.6 .16 7% .11 71% .08 0.71 36% 28% 19% -18 -3 0.60 28% 1.0 .28 13% .23 64% .15
Nov
11		 Yale F B+ F F F 35% 23% 42% C- F B+ D- C+ F D- F F+ F D F F F 48% 19% 33% D+ F F D+ F B+ A C- A-
0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13 1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19
Nov
16		 Maine D F F F F 44% 26% 30% D+ F B+ C- B- B- A+ D+ A+ B- B- D- D D 45% 19% 36% D D D- A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.00 45% 23% 20% -16 0 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 17% .54 68% .36 0.92 52% 44% 35% -1 +1 1.02 24% 0.2 .05 16% .36 67% .24
Nov
23		 Pittsburgh A C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 26% 37% D A+ B A A- F A+ F A+ B- F A+ C+ D+ 39% 9% 52% D- D+ F B+ D+ A F A- D
1.21 56% 55% 63% +19 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30 1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22
Nov
25		 Central Florida A- C F A+ A+ 31% 24% 45% C- A F+ F F A- A+ A+ A+ D F A+ D C 50% 19% 31% F+ C- C- C+ C D F B- F
1.16 56% 25% 52% +9 -1 1.18 17% 0.7 .11 14% .52 83% .43 1.30 72% 18% 39% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.1 .43 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
30		 Stonehill C B+ F A+ A 51% 22% 27% C+ A D F F D F A+ D C A+ C- B C+ 26% 26% 48% A B- F F F B- A A+ A
1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17 0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07
Dec
5		 Iona A- A D D C+ 41% 20% 39% C C+ A+ B+ A+ C- D C D+ A A- B A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% D+ A+ F D F C- F B- F
1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16 0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25
Dec
7		 Rider F F D- C- F 59% 11% 30% B F C A B B+ F D+ F B+ A+ B- F D 26% 50% 24% A+ C- C+ C- C B- A+ A+ A+
1.05 45% 33% 35% -7 +3 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .15 67% .10 0.85 36% 33% 46% -4 -5 0.85 30% 0.9 .27 19% .14 50% .07
Dec
13		 Umass Lowell F B F F F 43% 29% 27% F+ F B- B- B C A+ F A+ B- B C+ F F 50% 15% 35% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A
1.00 64% 27% 21% -6 -1 0.88 34% 1.2 .42 13% .45 66% .29 0.95 50% 38% 56% +7 +2 1.19 22% 0.5 .11 25% .23 54% .13
Dec
17		 Monmouth A- A+ F B- B+ 44% 22% 35% C- B+ B- C B- A- C+ F+ C- C+ F A+ A+ C+ 57% 18% 24% F C- D- A+ A C+ F F F
1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20 1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32
Dec
21		 Hofstra D+ D- C F F 37% 21% 42% B- F D+ A+ A B+ B B- B B- A+ B- A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% F A+ F F F B+ F B- F
0.98 47% 36% 14% -17 0 0.67 27% 1.6 .44 12% .34 75% .25 1.10 42% 33% 24% -14 +1 0.76 48% 1.3 .64 19% .42 74% .31
Dec
29		 Marist D- F D- D F 31% 33% 35% D- F A B- A D- B- D C A B- A+ A+ A+ 50% 23% 27% F A F+ C+ D A A C+ A-
0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24 0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
2		 Manhattan D A F C+ F 26% 38% 36% F F C+ A+ A+ F F+ A+ C- D+ C- F D+ F 40% 23% 38% C- F C+ A+ A C B- F D+
1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18 1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25
Jan
4		 Mount St. Mary's C D A+ A+ A 34% 30% 36% D A- A F D+ D+ A+ B A+ C B- A+ C+ B+ 28% 20% 52% A A- F F F F+ A+ F A
1.13 50% 57% 41% +7 -1 1.13 41% 0.6 .26 16% .45 78% .35 0.97 53% 9% 32% -9 -1 0.83 39% 1.4 .53 18% .17 80% .14
Jan
11		 Sacred Heart D+ B- D- A- C- 37% 35% 28% F D D F F+ B+ C- F D+ A F+ A+ D+ B- 26% 20% 54% B- B D- B C- A C- A+ B+
1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16 0.93 67% 0% 36% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16
Jan
14		 St. Peter's D- D+ D- B+ C- 40% 27% 33% D- C- F+ A+ C- A C- F F+ D+ B- F+ F F 41% 25% 34% C F A- A+ A+ C+ F F+ F
1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25 1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37
Jan
17		 Merrimack C F+ D- F F+ 53% 24% 22% B- D- F A+ C A+ A+ C A F A A+ F F 37% 9% 53% C- F F+ F F B F B+ F
1.06 46% 33% 27% -10 +1 0.84 29% 1.4 .42 13% .45 73% .33 1.24 44% 25% 52% +8 +1 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 18% .49 74% .36
Jan
19		 Manhattan C D C+ A+ C- 40% 22% 38% C- C- B+ A A+ D+ A+ F A+ F+ B+ A- F D 47% 22% 32% D D F+ C D- D D F F
1.22 55% 42% 43% +4 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31 1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30
Jan
22		 Mount St. Mary's C+ C F A+ B 45% 22% 33% B- B F D+ F B- C- F F A D- A+ D+ D+ 43% 13% 43% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D F
1.10 56% 17% 50% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.0 .19 13% .31 58% .18 0.89 65% 0% 35% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.4 .07 23% .39 71% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Marist C- D- F+ D D- 51% 18% 31% A- D+ C F D- A+ D B D+ D+ F+ D- C+ F 45% 28% 28% D+ F A+ F C+ C+ D- B D
0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22 1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22
Jan
30		 Sacred Heart C C A+ D- D 32% 12% 56% C- D B- B+ B+ B A+ C A F C F F F 29% 11% 60% D F A- F+ B- F F D F
1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26 1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36
Feb
1		 Fairfield D B- A- F D+ 62% 17% 21% B- C- C- A+ B F+ F F F A A+ B+ F A+ 52% 21% 27% D- A F+ A C+ F+ B A+ A-
1.05 63% 44% 18% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.3 .39 19% .16 67% .11 0.95 31% 33% 40% -13 +1 0.79 39% 0.8 .30 12% .21 54% .12
Feb
5		 Canisius F+ F B B- D 30% 20% 50% D D C A+ A F A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ F A 41% 24% 35% C- A- C F F C+ F A- F+
1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37 0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26
Feb
7		 Niagara F F F A- F 36% 18% 45% C+ F A- F F F B D+ B- B- D B B- C- 32% 22% 46% A- C+ F C+ F A+ C C+ C+
0.95 38% 13% 40% -8 0 0.86 42% 0.4 .18 20% .34 75% .25 0.93 62% 33% 32% -2 -1 0.98 35% 0.8 .29 25% .23 70% .16
Feb
13		 Siena C+ F C+ A- C- 30% 20% 50% C- C- C C+ C+ A+ A- F C A A+ A- A- A+ 47% 24% 29% F+ A+ C+ D C- D+ C F D
1.11 40% 40% 40% -1 -1 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 10% .35 57% .20 0.93 38% 33% 27% -14 0 0.75 28% 1.1 .31 15% .28 88% .25
Feb
15		 Merrimack F F+ F F F 30% 41% 30% F F A+ F+ B- F B C+ B A+ B C A+ A 48% 19% 33% C+ A- A+ C A B- C- F F+
0.75 46% 11% 8% -26 -3 0.43 52% 0.9 .45 25% .39 74% .28 0.86 50% 38% 21% -10 +1 0.83 11% 1.0 .11 17% .37 90% .33
Feb
22		 Fairfield C D+ D+ B- D+ 51% 12% 37% B- C- A+ D B B A+ F B- F D+ F A+ D- 49% 29% 22% C D- F F F C F F F
1.16 54% 33% 37% -1 +2 1.04 43% 0.9 .40 13% .45 52% .24 1.24 58% 64% 18% +2 0 1.06 42% 1.3 .54 16% .40 87% .35
Feb
27		 Niagara C- D+ D- D- F 36% 18% 46% C+ F+ D+ A C+ A A F+ B+ F+ D+ F C F+ 41% 26% 33% A- D F F F F B- B+ B-
1.11 56% 33% 30% -4 0 0.94 31% 1.3 .39 10% .39 71% .28 1.14 59% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.07 34% 1.2 .40 15% .20 67% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.6 1.6 3rd
4th 23.7 23.7 4th
5th 8.6 47.0 55.6 5th
6th 19.2 19.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 27.7 72.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 72.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.9 0.0 1.8 6.1 1.2 63.1
11-9 27.7% 9.7% 9.7% 15.6 0.1 1.1 1.6 25.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 15.1 88.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.1% 100.0% 14.9 0.4 19.9 66.5 13.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.8%
Lose Out 6.1%