South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#347
Expected Predictive Rating-15.4#350
Pace73.4#96
Improvement+1.7#60

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#353
First Shot-9.9#364
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#71
Layup/Dunks-6.6#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#340
Freethrows+1.6#94
Improvement+1.5#54

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#306
First Shot+1.4#126
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#361
Layups/Dunks-3.6#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#19
Freethrows-2.8#320
Improvement+0.2#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 11.2% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 7.9% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.8% 54.6% 37.1%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.2% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 9.6% 15.7%
First Four7.3% 10.6% 7.1%
First Round3.0% 5.1% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 9 @Louisville L 45-104 1%     0 - 1 -36.9 -25.4 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 7 221 @Samford L 72-82 16%     0 - 2 -10.7 -4.6 -5.9
  Mon, Nov 10 313 @N.C. A&T L 62-85 27%     0 - 3 -28.2 -20.4 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 14 151 @College of Charleston L 61-88 9%     0 - 4 -24.1 -8.4 -16.8
  Wed, Nov 19 188 Chattanooga L 66-78 26%     0 - 5 -16.8 -13.3 -3.1
  Sun, Nov 23 286 @South Dakota L 81-82 23%     0 - 6 -4.8 +3.6 -8.4
  Tue, Nov 25 33 @Missouri L 66-98 1%     0 - 7 -15.8 -1.3 -14.5
  Sat, Nov 29 105 @Winthrop L 68-87 4%    
  Mon, Dec 1 340 @Chicago St. L 73-77 37%    
  Fri, Dec 5 217 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-79 15%    
  Fri, Dec 12 210 @Queens L 72-84 14%    
  Tue, Dec 16 316 South Carolina Upstate L 75-76 49%    
  Mon, Dec 22 88 @South Carolina L 62-83 3%    
  Tue, Dec 30 14 @Tennessee L 58-90 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 315 Howard L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 360 @Morgan St. L 76-77 48%    
  Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 233 Norfolk St. L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-64 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 350 NC Central W 74-70 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 315 @Howard L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Feb 14 360 Morgan St. W 79-74 68%    
  Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 233 @Norfolk St. L 62-72 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-67 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 350 @NC Central L 71-73 42%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.6 3.4 3.8 1.5 0.2 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.8 5.5 6.4 1.7 0.1 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 6.7 7.5 1.6 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 6.5 8.6 2.2 0.0 18.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.8 7.7 1.9 0.1 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.7 5.8 1.8 0.1 13.5 7th
8th 0.3 1.3 2.9 2.6 0.9 0.0 8.0 8th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.0 8.3 13.4 16.8 18.1 15.9 11.6 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 81.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
10-4 47.5% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
9-5 13.7% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
8-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 61.3% 61.3% 16.0 0.1 0.0
11-3 0.9% 30.2% 30.2% 16.0 0.3 0.6
10-4 2.9% 29.4% 29.4% 16.0 0.9 2.1
9-5 6.4% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 1.2 5.2
8-6 11.6% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 1.5 10.1
7-7 15.9% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 1.2 14.7
6-8 18.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.1 17.0
5-9 16.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.7 16.2
4-10 13.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.1
3-11 8.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 8.2
2-12 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.9
1-13 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 16.0 7.4 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%