South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -15.3 #361
Expected Predictive Rating -16.4 #349
Pace 71.5 #107
Improvement +0.9 #134

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #358 F C F D- F
Defense #344 D- F D+ F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #363 0.98 #345 -9.0 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% #4 0.68 #267 +5.2 #10
Three Pointers 35% #303 0.97 #231 -3.7 #302
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #353 -7.6 #353
Freethrows 17.4 #185 60% #364 10.5 #304
Second Chance 31.0% #171 1.03 #196 0.32 #166
Turnovers 21.3% #360
Total Offense -9.1 #358

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #52 1.32 #337 -6.5 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #344 0.83 #299 +1.8 #63
Three Pointers 42% #143 0.98 #142 +0.0 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #317 -4.6 #317
Freethrows 22.2 #350 72% #145 16.0 #21
Second Chance 39.8% #363 1.21 #333 0.48 #364
Turnovers 15.3% #256
Total Defense -6.2 #344

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -6.0% #363 2.4% #352
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.5% #324 6.4% #298
Possession Length 18.8 #324 15.6 #11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #312 0.23 #335
Improvement +0.3 #163 +0.5 #149

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.7% 63.1% 32.9%
Conference Champion 2.7% 6.3% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 2.5% 9.5%
First Four2.6% 3.8% 2.0%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 19 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0 - 1 -40 -27 F C- F -5 C F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 240 @Samford L 72 - 82 10% -1  0 - 2 -12 -5 F C F -6 C F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 302 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 17% -14  0 - 3 -28 -21 F F F -4 D C- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 155 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 5% -14  0 - 4 -24 -8 F D F -17 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 267 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 27% -8  0 - 5 -21 -14 F A+ B- -6 C- F B
 Sun, Nov 23 282 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 14% -8  0 - 6 -5 +4 D- B+ D- -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 53 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0 - 7 -19 -2 F C C+ -16 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 143 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 5% -14  0 - 8 -18 +3 B- C D -20 F F A
 Fri, Dec 5 272 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 13% -12  0 - 9 -24 -12 F D F -14 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 217 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 9% -15  0 - 10 -40 -27 F F F -14 F C C
 Fri, Dec 12 202 @Queens L 78 - 102 8% -19  0 - 11 -23 -1 D- A+ F -22 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 299 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 34% -6  0 - 12 -17 -2 C+ C F -16 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 69 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0 - 13 -14 +2 C+ C C- -16 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 20 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0 - 14 -32 -7 F C+ A -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 275 Howard W 58 - 57 29% +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -9 -16 D- B F +7 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 363 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 42% +2  1 - 15 1 - 1 -18 -9 F B F -9 D- D F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 58% +4  2 - 15 2 - 1 -15 -1 C C- F -14 C- F C
 Sat, Jan 17 289 Norfolk St. L 68 - 73 32%
 Sat, Jan 24 324 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 69 41%
 Mon, Jan 26 356 Delaware St. W 69 - 68 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 338 NC Central L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 275 @Howard L 65 - 77 14%
 Sat, Feb 14 363 Morgan St. W 78 - 74 64%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 78 - 70 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 289 @Norfolk St. L 65 - 76 15%
 Sat, Feb 28 324 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 72 22%
 Mon, Mar 2 356 @Delaware St. L 66 - 71 33%
 Thu, Mar 5 338 @NC Central L 69 - 76 25%
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -15 -9 F C F -6 D- F D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 5.7 2.4 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 8.8 5.4 0.2 16.8 4th
5th 0.5 5.5 14.3 8.9 0.7 29.9 5th
6th 0.2 4.5 10.8 6.0 0.4 21.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.5 2.7 0.2 10.6 7th
8th 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.7 8th
Total 0.7 3.8 11.1 19.0 22.8 19.6 13.1 6.7 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 96.4% 0.1    0.1
11-3 85.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 53.6% 1.3    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 10.3% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.6% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.1 0.5
10-4 2.5% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.3 2.2
9-5 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 6.3
8-6 13.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 12.6
7-7 19.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.5 19.1
6-8 22.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 22.4
5-9 19.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 18.7
4-10 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.9
3-11 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-12 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%