South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.8 #282
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 #255
Pace 77.3 #28
Improvement -0.5 #212

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #207 C- C- D A- C
Defense #333 D F C- C F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #49 1.07 #282 +1.2 #132
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #151 0.76 #157 +0.7 #147
Three Pointers 34% #312 1.02 #173 -3.3 #292
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #210 -1.4 #211
Freethrows 21.0 #24 74% #157 15.4 #31
Second Chance 32.9% #122 0.92 #314 0.30 #210
Turnovers 18.2% #280
Total Offense -1.5 #207

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 56% #1 1.23 #267 -12.2 #365
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #356 0.84 #304 +2.2 #40
Three Pointers 30% #363 0.94 #98 +6.5 #8
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #293 -3.6 #291
Freethrows 16.6 #144 77% #343 12.8 #168
Second Chance 34.1% #304 1.27 #354 0.43 #354
Turnovers 15.8% #228
Total Defense -5.4 #333

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #156 4.5% #365
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.3% #226 2.4% #228
Possession Length 16.9 #140 16.2 #32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #258 0.22 #321
Improvement +0.2 #166 -0.7 #228

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 20.7% 24.4% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 49.1% 22.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 5.6% 23.8%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
First Round2.6% 2.9% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 232 Utah Tech L 79 - 81 OT 50% -2  0 - 1 -9 -9 F D+ C- +1 C B+ C
 Wed, Nov 5 43 @Creighton L 76 - 92 3% -12  0 - 2 -1 +6 B- D+ F -6 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 343 Southern Indiana W 89 - 74 76% +9  1 - 2 +1 -4 F A- F +2 A+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 250 Western Michigan W 83 - 78 55% -3  2 - 2 -3 +6 C- C A+ -9 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 53 @Missouri L 68 - 102 4% -14  2 - 3 -21 -4 D A F -15 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 361 South Carolina St. W 82 - 81 86% +8  3 - 3 -17 +1 C+ F F -18 F F F
 Sat, Nov 29 342 Air Force W 80 - 63 67% +11  4 - 3 +6 +6 B C F -0 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 145 Portland St. L 71 - 77 32% -5  4 - 4 -8 -7 F A F -1 C A- D
 Sat, Dec 6 174 @Northern Colorado L 87 - 89 OT 20% -2  4 - 5 -0 +7 B+ C F -6 F D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 9 96 @Wyoming L 79 - 106 8% -15  4 - 6 -19 +4 D+ A D+ -21 F F D
 Sat, Dec 13 317 Prairie View W 97 - 85 70% +9  5 - 6 -0 +8 C- B B+ -10 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 20 74 @Kansas St. L 76 - 106 6% -22  5 - 7 -19 +2 C- D A- -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 148 @North Dakota St. L 61 - 84 16% -10  5 - 8 0 - 1 -19 -5 D- D- F -17 F F F
 Wed, Jan 7 128 @St. Thomas L 86 - 99 14% -15  5 - 9 0 - 2 -8 +10 A+ C- F -18 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 280 Denver W 82 - 72 61% +2  6 - 9 1 - 2 +0 -1 B+ F C+ +2 A+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 15 346 UMKC W 84 - 76 78%
 Sat, Jan 17 319 @North Dakota L 82 - 83 49%
 Wed, Jan 21 258 @Nebraska Omaha L 80 - 84 34%
 Sat, Jan 24 128 St. Thomas L 79 - 85 30%
 Thu, Jan 29 298 Oral Roberts W 81 - 77 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 148 North Dakota St. L 77 - 81 33%
 Wed, Feb 4 346 @UMKC W 81 - 79 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 176 @South Dakota St. L 78 - 87 21%
 Wed, Feb 11 319 North Dakota W 85 - 79 70%
 Thu, Feb 19 280 @Denver L 85 - 88 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 298 @Oral Roberts L 78 - 80 44%
 Wed, Feb 25 258 Nebraska Omaha W 83 - 81 56%
 Sat, Feb 28 176 South Dakota St. L 81 - 84 40%
Totals 12 - 16 7 - 9 -7 -1 C- C- D -5 D F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.8 5.1 1.7 0.2 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 3.4 9.2 7.3 1.5 0.1 21.6 4th
5th 0.0 3.0 9.9 5.4 0.8 0.0 19.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 8.2 5.2 0.6 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.8 4.9 0.4 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.6 0.5 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.8 0.3 4.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.4 11.4 16.8 19.0 16.8 13.1 7.9 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 62.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 29.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.3% 20.7% 20.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.4% 13.3% 13.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-5 3.7% 9.0% 9.0% 15.5 0.2 0.2 3.4
10-6 7.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.2 0.4 7.4
9-7 13.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 12.4
8-8 16.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 16.1
7-9 19.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 18.5
6-10 16.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.5
5-11 11.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-12 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-13 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.8 96.6 0.0%