South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#286
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#246
Pace79.7#16
Improvement-1.1#271

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#201
First Shot-3.5#277
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#70
Layup/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#277
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+0.7#112

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#339
First Shot-4.2#315
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#271
Layups/Dunks-8.8#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#34
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement-1.8#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 27.0% 35.6% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 42.6% 47.8% 35.8%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.0% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 11.8% 18.2%
First Four2.2% 2.5% 1.7%
First Round3.5% 4.7% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Neutral) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 281 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 60%     0 - 1 -11.5 -8.3 -2.9
  Wed, Nov 5 45 @Creighton L 76-92 4%     0 - 2 -1.9 +6.4 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 12 314 Southern Indiana W 89-74 66%     1 - 2 +3.8 -1.9 +3.2
  Sun, Nov 16 243 Western Michigan W 83-78 53%     2 - 2 -2.7 +7.9 -10.6
  Thu, Nov 20 33 @Missouri L 68-102 3%     2 - 3 -17.8 -3.0 -12.9
  Sun, Nov 23 347 South Carolina St. W 82-81 77%     3 - 3 -13.6 +3.2 -16.8
  Sat, Nov 29 323 Air Force W 76-74 57%    
  Wed, Dec 3 156 Portland St. L 79-83 37%    
  Sat, Dec 6 145 @Northern Colorado L 77-87 17%    
  Tue, Dec 9 117 @Wyoming L 75-88 12%    
  Sat, Dec 13 332 Prairie View W 85-79 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 54 @Kansas St. L 79-99 4%    
  Wed, Dec 31 155 @North Dakota St. L 75-85 19%    
  Wed, Jan 7 158 @St. Thomas L 76-85 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 300 Denver W 85-81 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 335 UMKC W 85-78 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @North Dakota L 80-81 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 256 @Nebraska Omaha L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 158 St. Thomas L 79-82 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 296 Oral Roberts W 87-83 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 155 North Dakota St. L 78-82 38%    
  Wed, Feb 4 335 @UMKC W 82-81 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 150 @South Dakota St. L 75-85 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 319 North Dakota W 83-78 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 300 @Denver L 82-84 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 296 @Oral Roberts L 84-86 41%    
  Wed, Feb 25 256 Nebraska Omaha W 85-84 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 South Dakota St. L 78-82 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.1 1.4 0.2 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.5 1.4 0.1 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 6.2 5.9 1.4 0.1 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 6.4 6.1 1.3 0.1 15.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 5.4 5.2 1.2 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.6 4.0 1.2 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 2.2 2.8 1.8 0.4 8.2 9th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.0 8.3 11.4 14.2 15.1 13.6 11.3 8.1 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 96.3% 0.5    0.5 0.0
13-3 78.7% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
12-4 51.5% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 18.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 27.0% 27.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 27.4% 27.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.2% 20.2% 20.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.7% 14.9% 14.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
11-5 5.1% 12.2% 12.2% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.5
10-6 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 7.3
9-7 11.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 10.4
8-8 13.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 12.9
7-9 15.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 14.6
6-10 14.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.9
5-11 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-12 8.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.3
3-13 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-14 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 95.3 0.0%