Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#64
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#94
Pace69.7#182
Improvement-1.9#320

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#72
First Shot+2.2#113
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#69
Layup/Dunks+5.5#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement-0.2#203

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#63
First Shot+6.9#22
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#319
Layups/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#97
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement-1.6#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 2.5% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 25.9% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.4% 24.8% 10.4%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 67.1% 82.4% 61.1%
.500 or above in Conference 40.7% 50.3% 37.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 3.6% 6.2%
First Four4.4% 6.5% 3.6%
First Round12.8% 22.6% 9.0%
Second Round5.9% 10.5% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Home) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 33 - 110 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 352 Binghamton W 85-47 98%     1 - 0 +22.6 +5.6 +17.5
  Sat, Nov 8 357 Delaware St. W 83-43 98%     2 - 0 +23.6 +2.4 +20.3
  Sat, Nov 15 262 Drexel W 80-50 90%     3 - 0 +24.5 +12.4 +14.8
  Tue, Nov 18 201 Monmouth W 78-73 90%     4 - 0 -0.7 +2.7 -3.4
  Mon, Nov 24 5 Houston L 74-78 OT 15%     4 - 1 +15.7 +6.8 +9.1
  Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60-71 23%     4 - 2 +5.3 +0.8 +3.7
  Wed, Nov 26 4 Iowa St. L 64-95 15%     4 - 3 -11.1 -0.7 -9.6
  Tue, Dec 2 14 Tennessee L 71-77 28%    
  Thu, Dec 11 175 Saint Joseph's W 82-69 89%    
  Sat, Dec 13 162 Hofstra W 78-66 87%    
  Wed, Dec 17 320 Mercyhurst W 78-58 97%    
  Sat, Dec 20 200 Northeastern W 80-66 90%    
  Mon, Dec 22 334 Stonehill W 81-59 98%    
  Wed, Dec 31 38 Clemson L 70-71 48%    
  Tue, Jan 6 104 @Georgia Tech W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 99 @Pittsburgh W 71-70 53%    
  Tue, Jan 13 55 Florida St. W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 127 @Boston College W 71-68 62%    
  Wed, Jan 21 63 Virginia Tech W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 44 Miami (FL) L 75-76 49%    
  Tue, Jan 27 29 @North Carolina St. L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 66 Notre Dame W 72-69 60%    
  Mon, Feb 2 26 @North Carolina L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 39 @Virginia L 70-77 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 67 California W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 SMU L 78-79 49%    
  Mon, Feb 16 2 @Duke L 66-83 6%    
  Sat, Feb 21 26 North Carolina L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 37 @Wake Forest L 72-79 28%    
  Tue, Mar 3 9 @Louisville L 71-85 12%    
  Sat, Mar 7 99 Pittsburgh W 74-67 72%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.0 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.4 2.7 2.3 0.3 5.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 3.8 0.7 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 2.2 0.1 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.9 4.9 2.0 0.1 7.9 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 4.2 0.4 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.8 1.7 0.1 7.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.7 0.2 7.8 13th
14th 0.2 2.0 4.2 0.9 0.0 7.4 14th
15th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.1 0.1 7.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.0 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.9 9.1 11.6 13.9 14.2 13.5 10.5 7.6 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 59.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 12.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 94.8% 5.2% 89.7% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 94.6%
13-5 2.6% 88.7% 5.8% 82.9% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 88.0%
12-6 4.8% 70.4% 3.3% 67.1% 9.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 69.4%
11-7 7.6% 44.8% 1.4% 43.4% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.0 4.2 44.0%
10-8 10.5% 25.0% 0.7% 24.3% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.1 7.9 24.5%
9-9 13.5% 9.8% 0.5% 9.4% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.1 12.2 9.4%
8-10 14.2% 2.5% 0.3% 2.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.9 2.2%
7-11 13.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.2%
6-12 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 9.1% 9.1
4-14 5.9% 5.9
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.1% 0.7% 14.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.9 3.7 3.9 0.2 84.9 14.4%