Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.1 #61
Expected Predictive Rating +10.4 #59
Pace 69.7 #164
Improvement +0.5 #155

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #75 B+ B- B C C+
Defense #64 A+ D B+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #84 1.29 #63 +4.8 #41
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #199 0.74 #186 -0.6 #206
Three Pointers 39% #234 1.09 #78 +0.3 #167
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #59 +4.6 #60
Freethrows 19.4 #83 65% #350 12.6 #180
Second Chance 33.5% #105 1.06 #161 0.36 #101
Turnovers 14.7% #67
Total Offense +4.7 #75

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 0.99 #21 +2.3 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #110 0.55 #5 +1.5 #80
Three Pointers 37% #289 0.89 #43 +4.4 #31
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #9 +8.3 #9
Freethrows 15.0 #70 73% #221 11.0 #286
Second Chance 31.1% #200 1.18 #323 0.37 #292
Turnovers 19.1% #56
Total Defense +4.4 #64

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #131 -0.2% #153
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.1% #63 -16.0% #5
Possession Length 16.4 #96 18.1 #305
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #44 0.15 #116
Improvement +2.2 #59 -1.8 #294

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 21.3% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.1% 20.8% 11.6%
Average Seed 9.8 9.8 10.0
.500 or above 88.7% 93.4% 77.4%
.500 or above in Conference 55.0% 63.4% 34.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four7.3% 8.1% 5.3%
First Round14.4% 16.8% 8.8%
Second Round5.2% 6.1% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 27 - 13
Quad 34 - 211 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 359 Binghamton W 85 - 47 99% +19  1 - 0 +20 +5 D+ A- A+ +16 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 356 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 98% +23  2 - 0 +23 +5 A C C+ +17 A+ D B-
 Sat, Nov 15 238 Drexel W 80 - 50 89% +10  3 - 0 +26 +14 A- B A+ +14 A+ B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 185 Monmouth W 78 - 73 89% +5  4 - 0 +0 +4 B- B C+ -4 C+ C+ C+
 Mon, Nov 24 5 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 13% -2  4 - 1 +17 +8 A+ D+ A+ +10 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60 - 71 23% -7  4 - 2 +6 +0 F A- A+ +5 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 6 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 14% -11  4 - 3 -10 +1 B D- D- -10 F B+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 20 Tennessee W 62 - 60 34% +2  5 - 3 +15 -2 B D+ F +17 A+ A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 11 175 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 89% +2  6 - 3 +4 -1 C C+ B +5 A+ C- A-
 Sat, Dec 13 110 Hofstra L 69 - 70 78% -0  6 - 4 +0 +11 A A- C -11 F F C
 Wed, Dec 17 308 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 96% +13  7 - 4 +2 -2 C A+ F +4 B- D- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 236 Northeastern W 91 - 83 93% +7  8 - 4 +1 +13 A+ C+ B+ -12 C- F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 344 Stonehill W 77 - 48 98% +12  9 - 4 +14 +10 A- C A +9 A+ F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 33 Clemson L 61 - 64 42% -4  9 - 5 0 - 1 +8 -2 B- F F +10 B+ A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 111 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 58% +9  10 - 5 1 - 1 +17 +9 C A+ F +8 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 88 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 72 48% +11  11 - 5 2 - 1 +21 +18 A+ A+ C +3 A+ D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 117 Florida St. W 94 - 86 81% +1  12 - 5 3 - 1 +8 +15 A+ B B+ -8 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 151 @Boston College W 73 - 67 71%
 Wed, Jan 21 64 Virginia Tech W 77 - 74 62%
 Sat, Jan 24 35 Miami (FL) L 76 - 78 43%
 Tue, Jan 27 24 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 82 19%
 Sat, Jan 31 71 Notre Dame W 72 - 68 65%
 Mon, Feb 2 29 @North Carolina L 71 - 80 21%
 Sat, Feb 7 17 @Virginia L 67 - 78 15%
 Wed, Feb 11 81 California W 77 - 72 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 30 SMU L 77 - 80 40%
 Mon, Feb 16 7 @Duke L 68 - 83 9%
 Sat, Feb 21 29 North Carolina L 74 - 77 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 57 @Wake Forest L 75 - 78 38%
 Tue, Mar 3 19 @Louisville L 74 - 84 17%
 Sat, Mar 7 88 Pittsburgh W 75 - 70 69%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +9 +5 B+ B- B +4 A+ D B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.7 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.5 0.9 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 6.0 2.5 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 6.1 5.5 0.5 12.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.9 8.0 1.7 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 7.1 3.9 0.2 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.2 5.3 0.7 0.0 10.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 5.0 1.6 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.5 0.2 6.1 13th
14th 0.0 1.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 3.9 14th
15th 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.2 7.9 14.1 18.9 20.3 16.0 10.5 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 40.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 14.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 94.5% 3.6% 90.9% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.3%
13-5 2.1% 87.3% 3.6% 83.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 86.8%
12-6 5.3% 70.4% 2.2% 68.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.6 69.8%
11-7 10.5% 49.8% 1.2% 48.6% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.0 5.3 49.2%
10-8 16.0% 27.7% 0.4% 27.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.4 0.1 11.6 27.4%
9-9 20.3% 10.3% 0.3% 10.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 0.1 18.2 10.0%
8-10 18.9% 2.1% 0.1% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 18.5 2.0%
7-11 14.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.3%
6-12 7.9% 7.9
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.5% 0.5% 18.0% 9.8 81.5 18.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%