UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#257
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#218
Pace67.5#243
Improvement+1.9#47

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#246
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#341
Layup/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#113
Freethrows-0.5#200
Improvement+1.3#61

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot-3.5#296
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#116
Layups/Dunks-6.1#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#87
Freethrows+1.9#81
Improvement+0.6#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 15.9% 24.5% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 35.5% 24.6%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.6% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 10.4% 17.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Away) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 319 @North Dakota W 74-70 51%     1 - 0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5
  Tue, Nov 11 101 @New Mexico L 68-82 12%     1 - 1 -6.3 +3.5 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 15 319 North Dakota L 74-76 73%     1 - 2 -13.5 -7.7 -5.7
  Tue, Nov 18 136 @California Baptist L 57-80 18%     1 - 3 -18.4 -16.2 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 21 247 @San Diego W 85-71 37%     2 - 3 +12.2 +13.0 -0.4
  Mon, Nov 24 290 Grambling St. W 83-74 69%     3 - 3 -1.2 +7.2 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 29 281 @Utah Tech L 68-70 44%    
  Thu, Dec 4 133 @UC Irvine L 63-73 17%    
  Sat, Dec 6 245 @Cal Poly L 78-81 37%    
  Sat, Dec 13 7 @BYU L 60-88 1%    
  Sat, Dec 20 158 @St. Thomas L 68-76 23%    
  Tue, Dec 23 32 @UCLA L 58-80 2%    
  Thu, Jan 1 110 Hawaii L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Jan 8 271 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 96 UC San Diego L 69-77 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 298 @Long Beach St. L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 83-77 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 133 UC Irvine L 66-70 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 178 @UC Davis L 66-73 27%    
  Thu, Jan 29 298 Long Beach St. W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 245 Cal Poly W 81-78 59%    
  Thu, Feb 5 324 @Cal St. Fullerton W 80-79 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 220 @Cal St. Northridge L 75-80 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 141 UC Santa Barbara L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 96 @UC San Diego L 66-80 11%    
  Thu, Feb 19 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-71 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 178 UC Davis L 69-70 47%    
  Thu, Feb 26 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 220 Cal St. Northridge W 78-77 56%    
  Fri, Mar 6 110 @Hawaii L 65-77 15%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.0 0.9 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.7 3.5 1.0 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 4.0 1.1 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.8 4.2 1.0 0.1 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.6 4.5 1.0 0.1 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.0 5.1 3.7 0.9 0.1 13.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 3.2 4.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.2 9.1 11.6 12.6 13.5 11.6 9.8 7.8 4.7 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0
17-3 82.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 64.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 36.0% 36.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 18.2% 18.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.1% 20.4% 20.4% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-6 1.9% 11.2% 11.2% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-7 3.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
12-8 4.7% 3.9% 3.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-9 7.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.6
10-10 9.8% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.7
9-11 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 11.5
8-12 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
7-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
6-14 11.6% 11.6
5-15 9.1% 9.1
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 3.6% 3.6
2-18 1.7% 1.7
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%