UC San Diego
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +1.6 132
Results Rating +2.7 120
Consistency 0.15 177
Pace 68.4 184
Improvement -6.2 357

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 197 C+ D+ C+ D B
Defense B- 102 B- C+ C- B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 101 C+ 60% 119 +2.5 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 302 C- 36% 246 -2.9 314
Three Pointers 45% 100 C+ 34% 156 +2.3 100
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 C+ +0.7 137
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 117
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 294 C 1.03 183 D+ 0.27 271
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 169
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 143
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 152
Freethrows D+ 0.27 281 D 68% 308 D 0.19 315
Total Offense C- -1.1 197

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 285 C 10.9% 173
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 130 C 5.6% 232
Three Pointers B 89% 66 C 0.8% 165
Total C+ 57% 152 C 5.7% 198

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 B- 55% 88 -3.3 69
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 234 C 38% 195 -0.7 134
Three Pointers 46% 39 B 31% 71 +1.1 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 156 B- -2.8 67
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 85
Second Chance B- 28.4% 101 C 1.04 199 C+ 0.30 131
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 136
Other Turnovers D- 5.8% 349
Turnovers C- 15.9% 235
Freethrows B- 0.27 71 B- 70% 66 B 0.19 57
Total Defense B- +2.7 102

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 310 D+ 9.0% 247
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 33% 309 D 2.6% 312
Three Pointers C+ 82% 141 D+ 0.4% 289
Total D+ 61% 304 D 3.8% 318

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 103 17.9 272
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 128 0.18 226
Consistency 0.15 346 0.13 236
Improvement -8.4 365 +2.3 68

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 158 136 117
Results Rating Rank 149 126 102
Conference Record 10 - 10 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round10% 11% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 3
Quad 39 - 511 - 8
Quad 410 - 321 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 294 Houston Christian W 78 - 60 88% +13  76% 1 - 0 B- +7 D+ -2 B- F+ C A +10 C- A- A
 Wed, Nov 12 129 @Fresno St. W 78 - 73 37% +4  74% 2 - 0 B +10 B +6 A B- F B +4 C+ B B-
 Sat, Nov 15 179 Idaho W 75 - 67 71% -3  25% 3 - 0 C+ +4 D+ -2 B- D- C- B+ +6 A C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 156 Temple W 91 - 76 56% +9  88% 4 - 0 A- +15 A+ +16 A+ F A+ C -1 B+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 114 Bradley W 87 - 77 44% +3  68% 5 - 0 B+ +13 A +13 C+ A+ A+ C+ +0 B- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 174 Towson W 87 - 73 60% +13  96% 6 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +22 A+ C+ A D- -8 C+ D D
 Tue, Dec 2 73 @Nevada L 70 - 76 19% -4  7% 6 - 1 B- +5 B +6 F+ A- A+ C -1 D+ D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 265 @Long Beach St. W 80 - 74 67% +4  75% 7 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +3 B +6 A F C+ C- -3 D B F+
 Sat, Dec 13 180 Tulane W 93 - 67 61% +16  90% 8 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +8 A- C- B A+ +14 A A- A-
 Tue, Dec 16 148 @Loyola Marymount W 67 - 57 43% +3  65% 9 - 1 B+ +14 D -5 B- C F A+ +19 B A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 233 San Diego L 80 - 82 79% -7  6% 9 - 2 D -9 B+ +8 C+ C+ A F -17 C+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 222 @Cal Poly L 65 - 67 58% +2  77% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C- -2 F+ -9 F B C- B+ +6 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 116 Hawaii W 83 - 73 56% +7  72% 10 - 3 2 - 1 B +10 A+ +14 B+ A A D+ -4 B- F+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 205 Cal St. Fullerton L 71 - 88 75% -4  45% 10 - 4 2 - 2 F -22 D- -7 F A F F -16 F D F
 Sat, Jan 10 281 @UC Riverside W 69 - 66 70% -1  41% 11 - 4 3 - 2 C -1 C- -1 B- C- F+ C +0 A- F C+
 Thu, Jan 15 157 Cal St. Northridge L 79 - 84 68% -2  22% 11 - 5 3 - 3 D+ -8 C +0 D- B- A+ D- -8 B F F
 Sat, Jan 17 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 83 - 62 83% +13  89% 12 - 5 4 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 C- D A+ A +10 B- A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 22 175 @UC Davis W 80 - 74 49% +1  58% 13 - 5 5 - 3 B- +8 C +1 B D- D- B+ +7 A B D-
 Sat, Jan 24 123 UC Irvine L 59 - 61 57% -1  26% 13 - 6 5 - 4 C- -2 F -11 C+ F A A +9 A- A- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 142 UC Santa Barbara L 48 - 62 63% -9  4% 13 - 7 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -28 D F F A +11 A+ A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 157 @Cal St. Northridge L 64 - 81 45% -7  10% 13 - 8 5 - 6 D- -14 F -14 F D B- C+ +1 C- D- A-
 Thu, Feb 5 265 Long Beach St. W 77 - 74 84% -1  32% 14 - 8 6 - 6 D+ -6 D- -7 C- C F C+ +1 D+ A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 116 @Hawaii L 67 - 72 33% -4  22% 14 - 9 6 - 7 C +1 D -5 C+ F B- B+ +7 B B- C
 Thu, Feb 12 175 UC Davis W 68 - 51 71% +11  80% 15 - 9 7 - 7 B+ +13 F+ -10 A- F F A+ +22 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 281 UC Riverside W 72 - 66 86% +5  87% 16 - 9 8 - 7 C- -4 D- -7 D- F+ C+ B +4 A B- F+
 Sat, Feb 21 123 @UC Irvine W 71 - 69 34% +5  89% 17 - 9 9 - 7 B- +8 A +11 A+ C- A- D+ -3 C D F
 Thu, Feb 26 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 84 - 72 92% +11  97% 18 - 9 10 - 7 C- -2 C +0 D A+ C C- -3 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 28 222 Cal Poly W 85 - 77 78%
 Thu, Mar 5 205 @Cal St. Fullerton W 78 - 77 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 73 40%
Totals 20 - 10 12 - 8 +2 C- -1 B- C+ B B- +3 C+ D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ C- C+ C+ 42% 27% 45% B C+ D+ C D+ C+ D+ D D B- B- C B B- 35% 19% 46% C B- B- C C+ C- B- B- B
1.07 60% 36% 34% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .27 16% .27 68% .19 1.05 55% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.0 .30 16% .27 70% .19
Nov
8		 Houston Christian D+ B C A B 36% 16% 48% C- B- D- D F+ C D- B D A D- A C+ C- 34% 22% 44% C+ C- A+ C+ A- A C+ A+ A+
1.12 67% 38% 42% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 17% .23 77% .17 0.86 65% 27% 32% -2 0 0.98 19% 0.9 .16 23% .26 36% .09
Nov
12		 Fresno St. B A+ A+ C- A 27% 10% 63% B- A B+ D B- F C- F F B A- D- C- B- 41% 18% 41% C- C+ F+ A+ B B- F+ C- F+
1.10 86% 60% 30% +6 +1 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 25% .24 46% .11 1.03 50% 44% 35% -2 0 1.00 35% 0.7 .24 20% .37 76% .28
Nov
15		 Idaho D+ B+ F D- C 50% 15% 35% A+ B- F A+ D- C- A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B+ C- A 24% 14% 62% B- A B- D C C- D- B- D
1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37 0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Temple A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 18% 44% C+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F F C C- A- A+ A- 38% 19% 43% D+ B+ B- F F D- F+ B- D
1.33 76% 70% 50% +23 0 1.49 7% 0.5 .04 7% .32 45% .14 1.11 60% 30% 26% -6 0 0.91 26% 1.5 .39 10% .42 73% .31
Nov
25		 Bradley A D- D A- C- 41% 12% 47% A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ A F+ C+ B 31% 14% 55% D B- F F F A+ B+ C+ B+
1.24 50% 33% 39% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.7 .45 13% .51 74% .38 1.10 47% 43% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .55 20% .27 73% .20
Nov
26		 Towson A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D+ A+ D- A+ C+ A C- F F D- C+ B- C C 25% 33% 42% B+ C+ D C- D D D+ F F
1.36 67% 36% 65% +24 -1 1.49 20% 1.4 .28 11% .26 47% .12 1.14 54% 35% 32% -3 -3 0.90 39% 0.9 .34 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
2		 Nevada B D- C+ F F 56% 9% 35% A+ F+ B- A A- A+ F C+ F C D D- B+ C- 46% 20% 35% F+ D+ D- C- D D+ C- A+ A-
1.09 47% 40% 20% -13 +3 0.81 30% 1.4 .42 6% .18 73% .13 1.18 62% 44% 31% +2 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 12% .39 59% .23
Dec
6		 Long Beach St. B B+ D- A+ A 45% 13% 43% B+ A F F F C+ A C+ A C- C- F C D 29% 23% 48% D+ D C+ A B F+ A+ B A+
1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33 1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12
Dec
13		 Tulane B+ B F A- B 53% 5% 42% A+ A- B+ F C- B F C- F+ A+ C C+ A+ A 42% 25% 33% B- A B- A+ A- A- B- A B+
1.19 63% 0% 40% +4 +3 1.17 40% 0.8 .30 15% .24 69% .17 0.86 58% 36% 16% -10 0 0.82 20% 0.9 .17 19% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Loyola Marymount D A- F F C+ 57% 16% 27% A+ B- B+ F+ C F B+ F D- A+ A- F B B+ 24% 20% 57% C B A- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16 0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08
Dec
19		 San Diego B+ B- A+ D C 44% 6% 50% A- C+ D- A+ C+ A D- B- D F B F C B- 38% 15% 47% F+ C+ F F+ F D+ B- F F+
1.26 65% 67% 31% +2 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22 1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22
Jan
1		 Cal Poly F+ F F F F 32% 15% 53% C- F B- B+ B C- D- A+ C- B+ C A+ A A+ 26% 7% 67% B A D- B- D+ F A- A- A
0.98 41% 25% 25% -15 0 0.74 35% 1.2 .42 17% .23 85% .20 1.01 57% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.85 36% 0.9 .33 14% .24 71% .17
Jan
3		 Hawaii A+ D- A+ D+ B 45% 13% 42% B+ B+ B A+ A A D- A+ C D+ C+ F A+ B 46% 9% 46% D- B- A F F+ D C+ F D+
1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22 1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
8		 Cal St. Fullerton D- C D- F F 27% 6% 67% B- F B+ A A F A A+ A+ F F A+ F F 29% 21% 50% B- F A F D F D- A+ C-
1.02 62% 33% 27% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.3 .44 24% .38 90% .34 1.27 73% 9% 50% +10 -1 1.21 18% 1.7 .30 9% .38 63% .24
Jan
10		 UC Riverside C- A+ C F C+ 49% 12% 39% B+ B- C D C- F+ A+ D+ A+ C B- D A+ B+ 27% 24% 49% A A- F+ F F C+ F F F
1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32 1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33
Jan
15		 Cal St. Northridge C D C+ F F+ 38% 17% 45% B- D- D- A+ B- A+ C- C- C- D- B+ F A- B 48% 20% 31% B- B D F F F F C F
1.09 52% 40% 26% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .36 8% .29 74% .21 1.16 50% 45% 29% -5 +1 0.94 36% 1.2 .44 10% .44 66% .29
Jan
17		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ D- F A D+ 43% 14% 43% B- C- F A+ D A+ D- D+ D- A A A- C- B- 29% 29% 43% C- B- C A+ A+ B- F B+ F
1.17 50% 25% 42% 0 +1 1.04 23% 1.4 .33 11% .32 70% .22 0.87 43% 29% 33% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.4 .12 21% .48 70% .34
Jan
22		 UC Davis C A- A+ D- B 45% 8% 47% B+ B B- F D- D- A+ D A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ 38% 16% 47% D A B- B B D- C+ A B
1.08 68% 75% 30% +5 +2 1.16 34% 0.6 .22 22% .46 70% .33 0.99 27% 33% 41% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 15% .33 67% .22
Jan
24		 UC Irvine F C- C- D+ C+ 31% 19% 50% C+ C+ F F F A F D- F A A- C+ A- A- 40% 35% 25% B+ A- A+ D A- F+ A A+ A+
0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10 0.87 45% 37% 29% -8 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12
Jan
29		 UC Santa Barbara F D F B+ F+ 57% 12% 31% A D C- F F F F F F A A+ A D- A 24% 24% 51% A A+ A+ D- A- C D- A- D+
0.73 54% 0% 38% -5 +2 0.98 26% 0.0 .00 29% .26 58% .15 0.95 36% 27% 39% -4 -1 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 18% .37 70% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal St. Northridge F F F D F 43% 16% 41% B F C+ F D B- C- F F C+ C F+ C+ C- 48% 17% 35% C C- F C D- A- F F F
0.85 42% 22% 30% -12 +1 0.80 29% 0.9 .25 15% .28 44% .12 1.08 56% 44% 33% 0 +1 1.04 40% 1.0 .40 21% .39 78% .30
Feb
5		 Long Beach St. D- F C A D 47% 11% 43% A- C- B- F+ C F A+ D+ A+ C+ F B D D 28% 36% 36% B+ D+ A+ F A+ D+ D- F F
1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37 0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27
Feb
7		 Hawaii D C+ C+ D- C+ 38% 18% 45% C C+ F A+ F B- D+ F F+ B+ D- F A+ B+ 42% 8% 50% D B D A B- C D+ A C+
0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16 0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25
Feb
12		 UC Davis F+ B- A+ A A 50% 15% 35% B- A- F C+ F F F B F A+ A A- B A+ 41% 25% 34% C+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
0.97 63% 57% 41% +9 +2 1.23 17% 1.0 .17 30% .18 78% .14 0.73 48% 29% 32% -8 0 0.86 20% 0.2 .04 18% .12 14% .02
Feb
14		 UC Riverside D- B B- F F+ 45% 14% 41% B D- F+ F F+ C+ C- B+ C+ B B+ A+ A- A 36% 13% 51% D A A F+ B- F+ B F C-
1.01 65% 43% 19% -5 +1 0.94 23% 0.8 .18 14% .33 75% .25 0.93 50% 14% 29% -10 +1 0.84 18% 1.0 .18 15% .27 88% .23
Feb
21		 UC Irvine A A F A+ A+ 33% 25% 42% C- A+ C D C- A- D- A+ C- D+ A B F C+ 47% 23% 30% D- C D- C+ D F A+ D A+
1.12 63% 25% 45% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.8 .27 14% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 33% 44% -3 0 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 13% .13 71% .09
Feb
26		 Cal St. Bakersfield C D A D D 39% 18% 43% C D D+ A+ A+ C A+ D A+ C- F F A+ D- 30% 28% 41% C- D- A+ F A+ C- F D+ F
1.18 53% 50% 32% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.8 .61 17% .59 69% .40 1.01 79% 54% 16% -1 -2 0.98 13% 1.3 .17 18% .55 78% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.8 2.9 2nd
3rd 7.0 10.2 17.1 3rd
4th 0.9 29.2 4.8 34.8 4th
5th 13.7 7.2 20.9 5th
6th 0.3 14.7 15.0 6th
7th 2.5 2.5 5.1 7th
8th 3.9 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 6.7 31.8 43.5 18.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 1.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 18.0% 19.0% 19.0% 12.7 0.0 1.1 2.1 0.2 14.6
12-8 43.5% 9.4% 9.4% 13.1 0.5 2.6 1.0 0.0 39.4
11-9 31.8% 7.0% 7.0% 13.4 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.1 29.6
10-10 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 13.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.3
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 13.1 89.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.4% 100.0% 12.7 0.1 33.2 61.3 5.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.0%
Lose Out 2.6%