Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace74.5#69
Improvement+1.2#88

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#288
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#226
Layup/Dunks-1.6#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#247
Freethrows-1.4#261
Improvement+0.4#142

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot-2.0#242
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks-0.7#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#248
Freethrows+0.9#129
Improvement+0.8#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 20.1% 42.0% 18.5%
.500 or above in Conference 43.6% 60.7% 42.4%
Conference Champion 3.4% 6.4% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.1% 8.2%
First Four1.2% 0.5% 1.3%
First Round3.1% 5.0% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 7.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 65 @Cincinnati L 63-94 6%     0 - 1 -19.5 -6.7 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 8 2 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -15.2 -11.0 -0.8
  Sun, Nov 16 344 Stetson W 76-65 78%     1 - 2 -3.5 -7.5 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 19 218 UNC Asheville W 80-73 51%     2 - 2 +0.4 +9.8 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 22 176 @Lipscomb L 62-83 22%     2 - 3 -19.3 -11.9 -6.1
  Sat, Nov 29 86 @High Point L 71-87 7%    
  Sat, Dec 6 316 @South Carolina Upstate L 76-77 46%    
  Thu, Dec 11 63 @Virginia Tech L 67-85 5%    
  Thu, Dec 18 34 @Georgia L 72-94 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 225 Wofford W 78-77 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 160 @Furman L 68-77 21%    
  Wed, Jan 7 221 @Samford L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 358 @The Citadel W 76-72 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 137 East Tennessee St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 188 Chattanooga L 74-76 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 206 @Mercer L 77-83 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 342 VMI W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Jan 29 137 @East Tennessee St. L 66-77 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 221 Samford W 77-76 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 287 @UNC Greensboro L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 225 @Wofford L 74-80 31%    
  Wed, Feb 11 358 The Citadel W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 @Chattanooga L 71-79 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 287 UNC Greensboro W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 342 @VMI W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Feb 25 206 Mercer L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 160 Furman L 71-74 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 3.8 0.7 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.5 4.3 0.8 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.2 5.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.3 1.4 0.2 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.7 8.6 10.9 13.2 13.2 12.6 10.6 8.1 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 85.6% 0.7    0.5 0.2
14-4 60.9% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.9% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 28.8% 28.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 23.3% 23.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.7% 17.6% 17.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.6% 12.2% 12.2% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.2
12-6 5.9% 10.8% 10.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.2
11-7 8.1% 6.4% 6.4% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 7.6
10-8 10.6% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.1
9-9 12.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.2
8-10 13.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.9
7-11 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.0
6-12 10.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-13 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 96.3 0.0%