Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#232
Pace71.4#139
Improvement+0.2#160

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#242
First Shot+1.2#142
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#350
Layup/Dunks+5.0#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#334
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement+0.2#163

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#237
First Shot+0.5#145
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#318
Layups/Dunks+2.2#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#333
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement+0.0#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 19.5% 29.1% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 28.3% 34.1% 24.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 11.6% 18.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Away) - 43.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 253 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 63%     1 - 0 -3.0 -4.2 +0.8
  Sun, Nov 9 219 @Campbell L 82-91 35%     1 - 1 -9.7 -1.8 -6.8
  Wed, Nov 12 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 60%     2 - 1 +4.6 -1.3 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 16 286 @South Dakota L 78-83 47%     2 - 2 -8.8 +2.6 -11.5
  Thu, Nov 20 20 @Ohio St. L 58-91 3%     2 - 3 -14.8 -9.0 -4.7
  Sun, Nov 23 297 Mount St. Mary's W 83-60 71%     3 - 3 +12.6 +8.1 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 268 @Valparaiso L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Dec 3 314 Southern Indiana W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Dec 6 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 67-72 33%    
  Sun, Dec 14 21 @Iowa L 60-83 2%    
  Sat, Dec 20 228 Buffalo W 77-75 59%    
  Tue, Dec 30 173 @Toledo L 75-81 27%    
  Tue, Jan 6 121 @Miami (OH) L 72-83 17%    
  Sat, Jan 10 209 Eastern Michigan W 73-72 55%    
  Tue, Jan 13 181 Massachusetts L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 @Akron L 73-90 6%    
  Tue, Jan 20 140 Bowling Green L 72-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 Central Michigan W 76-70 71%    
  Tue, Jan 27 280 @Northern Illinois L 75-76 46%    
  Tue, Feb 3 207 @Ohio L 75-80 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 173 Toledo L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 209 @Eastern Michigan L 70-75 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 58 Akron L 76-87 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 305 @Central Michigan W 74-73 51%    
  Tue, Feb 24 140 @Bowling Green L 69-78 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 121 Miami (OH) L 75-80 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 277 Ball St. W 74-69 65%    
  Fri, Mar 6 124 @Kent St. L 75-85 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 3.2 0.8 0.1 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.4 1.3 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.7 2.5 0.1 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 2.4 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.7 13th
Total 0.1 1.0 2.9 5.9 9.0 12.3 13.4 14.2 12.8 10.3 7.9 4.8 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 61.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 34.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.6% 16.8% 16.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.4% 10.7% 10.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 3.0% 6.5% 6.5% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
11-7 4.8% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.7
10-8 7.9% 3.2% 3.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.7
9-9 10.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.1
8-10 12.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
7-11 14.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
5-13 12.3% 12.3
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 98.8 0.0%