Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#31
Expected Predictive Rating+12.5#47
Pace71.5#129
Improvement-0.3#207

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#30
First Shot+10.0#7
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#130
Freethrows+3.2#31
Improvement+0.8#106

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#43
First Shot+4.0#50
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#97
Layups/Dunks+5.3#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#125
Freethrows-1.3#264
Improvement-1.1#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.8% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 9.4% 14.1% 5.7%
Top 6 Seed 28.0% 37.9% 20.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.4% 84.1% 66.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.0% 83.7% 66.4%
Average Seed 7.2 6.8 7.6
.500 or above 93.3% 97.5% 89.9%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 74.0% 64.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four6.3% 5.0% 7.3%
First Round71.7% 82.0% 63.6%
Second Round44.7% 53.5% 37.7%
Sweet Sixteen16.1% 20.7% 12.5%
Elite Eight5.9% 7.6% 4.5%
Final Four2.1% 2.8% 1.6%
Championship Game0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: North Carolina (Neutral) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 9
Quad 26 - 212 - 12
Quad 33 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 355 IU Indianapolis W 118-102 99%     1 - 0 -1.1 +13.4 -17.5
  Fri, Nov 7 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94-68 96%     2 - 0 +19.6 +13.0 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 11 259 Appalachian St. W 75-53 97%     3 - 0 +13.6 +9.8 +6.9
  Sun, Nov 16 55 Notre Dame W 64-63 75%     4 - 0 +7.6 -2.6 +10.3
  Thu, Nov 20 242 Western Michigan W 91-58 97%     5 - 0 +25.3 +10.5 +13.7
  Tue, Nov 25 296 Mount St. Mary's W 113-60 98%     6 - 0 +42.6 +30.6 +9.6
  Fri, Nov 28 107 @Pittsburgh L 66-67 74%     6 - 1 +5.8 -0.5 +6.3
  Sat, Dec 6 58 @Northwestern W 86-82 55%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +16.3 +15.4 +0.8
  Tue, Dec 9 14 Illinois L 80-88 46%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +6.8 +12.1 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 13 63 West Virginia W 89-88 2OT 69%     8 - 2 +9.6 +7.5 +2.0
  Sat, Dec 20 22 North Carolina L 77-79 44%    
  Tue, Dec 23 284 Grambling St. W 84-61 99%    
  Fri, Jan 2 133 @Rutgers W 79-70 80%    
  Mon, Jan 5 26 Nebraska W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Jan 8 66 @Oregon W 78-76 58%    
  Sun, Jan 11 47 @Washington L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 30 UCLA W 75-72 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 103 Minnesota W 77-65 87%    
  Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 72-88 7%    
  Mon, Jan 26 104 Penn St. W 86-74 87%    
  Sat, Jan 31 40 @Wisconsin L 79-80 45%    
  Thu, Feb 5 94 @Maryland W 80-75 69%    
  Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 75-85 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 34 USC W 83-79 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 25 Virginia L 77-78 46%    
  Tue, Feb 17 40 Wisconsin W 82-77 67%    
  Sun, Feb 22 12 @Michigan St. L 69-76 26%    
  Wed, Feb 25 23 @Iowa L 71-75 34%    
  Sun, Mar 1 7 Purdue L 74-78 36%    
  Wed, Mar 4 104 @Penn St. W 83-77 72%    
  Sat, Mar 7 27 Indiana W 78-76 56%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.4 3.2 4.3 1.2 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.3 2.0 0.2 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.4 3.8 0.4 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 5.5 2.1 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.3 0.2 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.3 8.9 12.3 14.8 15.6 14.1 10.8 7.1 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 53.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 17.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 10.7% 89.3% 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.7% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 3.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.8% 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 4.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.1% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 10.8% 99.5% 2.7% 96.8% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 3.1 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.5%
12-8 14.1% 98.2% 1.3% 96.9% 6.9 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 4.0 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 98.2%
11-9 15.6% 94.3% 1.1% 93.2% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.4 4.3 2.9 1.4 0.3 0.9 94.3%
10-10 14.8% 83.6% 0.4% 83.2% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 3.3 2.6 1.2 0.0 2.4 83.5%
9-11 12.3% 57.0% 0.4% 56.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.4 0.2 5.3 56.8%
8-12 8.9% 23.8% 0.2% 23.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.1 6.8 23.7%
7-13 5.3% 4.9% 0.1% 4.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.0 4.8%
6-14 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 3.0 0.3%
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 74.4% 1.6% 72.8% 7.2 0.3 0.9 2.9 5.3 8.2 10.5 12.3 12.1 9.3 7.1 5.4 0.3 25.6 74.0%