Xavier
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#85
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Pace71.2#142
Improvement+4.4#4

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#100
First Shot+1.6#130
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#103
Layup/Dunks-4.9#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#30
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement+2.7#13

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#73
First Shot-2.6#267
After Offensive Rebounds+6.5#1
Layups/Dunks-5.4#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#29
Freethrows+2.2#59
Improvement+1.7#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 10.5% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.7% 9.3% 3.0%
Average Seed 9.5 9.5 9.8
.500 or above 43.0% 45.3% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 27.4% 15.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.2% 17.2% 27.4%
First Four2.9% 3.1% 1.3%
First Round8.1% 8.7% 2.7%
Second Round3.3% 3.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Home) - 90.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 10
Quad 24 - 57 - 15
Quad 34 - 210 - 17
Quad 45 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 154 Marist W 66-62 82%     1 - 0 +0.9 -0.9 +1.9
  Thu, Nov 6 336 Le Moyne W 74-69 96%     2 - 0 -8.7 -6.3 -2.2
  Mon, Nov 10 59 Santa Clara L 68-87 51%     2 - 1 -12.7 -2.8 -9.5
  Fri, Nov 14 21 @Iowa L 62-81 14%     2 - 2 -0.8 -2.8 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 18 216 Old Dominion W 99-69 89%     3 - 2 +23.5 +15.7 +6.0
  Fri, Nov 21 34 Georgia L 77-78 27%     3 - 3 +12.1 +6.9 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 23 71 West Virginia W 78-68 45%     4 - 3 +17.8 +13.2 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 28 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-64 90%    
  Mon, Dec 1 359 St. Francis (PA) W 86-62 99%    
  Fri, Dec 5 65 Cincinnati W 74-73 54%    
  Fri, Dec 12 239 Missouri St. W 75-61 91%    
  Wed, Dec 17 45 Creighton L 73-74 44%    
  Sat, Dec 20 79 @Georgetown L 73-77 38%    
  Wed, Dec 31 8 Connecticut L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 3 109 @DePaul W 74-73 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 73 @Marquette L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 75 Providence W 84-82 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 47 Butler L 76-77 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 45 @Creighton L 70-77 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 15 St. John's L 75-83 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 76 @Seton Hall L 66-70 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 109 DePaul W 76-70 71%    
  Tue, Feb 3 8 @Connecticut L 65-81 8%    
  Mon, Feb 9 15 @St. John's L 72-86 11%    
  Sat, Feb 14 73 Marquette W 78-76 56%    
  Tue, Feb 17 41 Villanova L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 47 @Butler L 73-80 28%    
  Tue, Feb 24 75 @Providence L 81-85 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 79 Georgetown W 76-74 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 76 Seton Hall W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 41 @Villanova L 66-74 23%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.0 0.6 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 5.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.8 3.9 0.8 0.0 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.8 4.2 0.9 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.3 5.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.4 7.3 9.9 12.3 13.1 12.9 11.0 9.4 6.9 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 69.2% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 54.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 98.0% 11.2% 86.7% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.7%
15-5 0.7% 96.6% 14.1% 82.4% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.0%
14-6 1.5% 84.7% 9.1% 75.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 83.2%
13-7 2.6% 74.8% 5.0% 69.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.7 73.4%
12-8 4.7% 48.8% 4.6% 44.2% 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.0 2.4 46.3%
11-9 6.9% 26.5% 3.0% 23.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 5.1 24.3%
10-10 9.4% 9.8% 1.7% 8.1% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 8.5 8.2%
9-11 11.0% 2.9% 0.8% 2.1% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.7 2.1%
8-12 12.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.2%
7-13 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-14 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-15 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 9.9
4-16 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-17 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.8% 1.3% 8.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.8 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.2 8.7%