Xavier
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.6 86
Results Rating +6.9 84
Consistency 0.16 257
Pace 74.0 42
Improvement +0.4 177

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 71 B- D+ A D D
Defense C+ 116 C A- C B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 347 B 64% 65 -2.9 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 187 B- 42% 67 +2.3 65
Three Pointers 45% 93 B- 36% 81 +3.8 60
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 310 B +4.2 56
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 82
Second Chance D+ 27.4% 260 C- 1.01 205 D+ 0.28 258
Opponents' Steals A 6.8% 9
Other Turnovers A- 5.3% 14
Turnovers A 12.1% 4
Freethrows D- 0.25 333 C+ 73% 172 D 0.19 317
Total Offense B- +4.6 71

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 63% 14 C- 12.0% 246
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 61 C 5.4% 213
Three Pointers B+ 93% 20 D+ 1.2% 274
Total A- 67% 15 C 5.6% 186

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 113 C 58% 177 +1.6 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 50 C 39% 202 +2.0 326
Three Pointers 33% 354 C 34% 199 -3.7 38
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 100 C +0.2 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 169
Second Chance B 26.1% 43 A- 0.88 16 A- 0.23 20
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 170
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 185
Turnovers C 17.0% 172
Freethrows C+ 0.28 114 B 70% 42 B- 0.20 86
Total Defense C+ +2.0 116

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 344 B- 13.5% 77
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 342 C+ 5.5% 121
Three Pointers C- 86% 248 D+ 0.4% 294
Total D+ 61% 303 B- 7.1% 67

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.3 24 18.0 285
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 31 0.14 89
Consistency 0.12 160 0.10 56
Improvement +3.4 37 -3.0 320

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 99 87 73
Results Rating Rank 109 83 70
Conference Record 5 - 15 6 - 14 8 - 12
Conference Finish 11 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.8
.500 or above 7% 12% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 46% 20% 84%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Georgetown (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 10
Quad 25 - 75 - 16
Quad 34 - 19 - 18
Quad 46 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 183 Marist W 66 - 62 85% +4  55% 1 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 F C B B +4 F B+ A+
 Thu, Nov 6 293 Le Moyne W 74 - 69 94% +4  74% 2 - 0 D+ -6 D -4 B F D+ C -1 F A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 43 Santa Clara L 68 - 87 40% -15  0% 2 - 1 D -10 D- -6 F B B+ C- -3 C F+ C
 Fri, Nov 14 24 @Iowa L 62 - 81 13% -10  9% 2 - 2 C -0 D -5 D- C- A B +5 D A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 240 Old Dominion W 99 - 69 90% +20  92% 3 - 2 A +23 A +14 B A+ B A- +7 B B- B+
 Fri, Nov 21 29 Georgia L 77 - 78 22% -4  23% 3 - 3 B+ +14 C+ +3 C- C+ A+ A +11 A B+ C+
 Sun, Nov 23 57 West Virginia W 78 - 68 38% +3  67% 4 - 3 A +20 A +13 A+ D- A A- +7 A- A C
 Fri, Nov 28 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 88 - 67 86% +12  84% 5 - 3 A- +16 B +7 B- D- A+ A- +7 B+ A F
 Mon, Dec 1 355 St. Francis (PA) W 96 - 74 98% +13  94% 6 - 3 C+ +4 C +1 D D A+ C+ +1 C- B- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 42 Cincinnati W 79 - 74 40% +4  75% 7 - 3 B+ +14 B+ +8 A- F A+ B+ +6 A+ D D-
 Fri, Dec 12 207 Missouri St. W 75 - 57 87% +7  69% 8 - 3 B+ +12 B- +5 B- D- A+ A +10 B+ A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 17 70 Creighton L 57 - 98 55% -21  5% 8 - 4 0 - 1 F -36 F -21 F+ F D- F -13 F A- B-
 Sat, Dec 20 82 @Georgetown W 80 - 77 37% -2  20% 9 - 4 1 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B+ D D A- +8 B- A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 9 Connecticut L 67 - 90 15% -18  0% 9 - 5 1 - 2 D+ -5 C- -2 B F+ A C- -3 D- B+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 89 @DePaul L 77 - 86 40% -3  5% 9 - 6 1 - 3 C +0 A- +10 B+ C- A+ F -10 D- C+ D
 Wed, Jan 7 83 @Marquette L 65 - 66 37% -5  3% 9 - 7 1 - 4 B +9 D -6 C F D A+ +15 A+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 60 Providence W 97 - 84 52% +11  97% 10 - 7 2 - 4 A +19 B+ +8 A- D A+ A +10 A A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 76 Butler W 89 - 75 57% +11  99% 11 - 7 3 - 4 A +19 A- +11 B- A A A- +8 A D+ A-
 Wed, Jan 21 70 @Creighton L 93 - 94 32% -1  21% 11 - 8 3 - 5 B +10 A+ +18 A+ C A- D- -8 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 21 St. John's L 83 - 88 24% +3  59% 11 - 9 3 - 6 B +9 B+ +9 A+ F A+ C+ +0 C+ B- C-
 Wed, Jan 28 54 @Seton Hall L 68 - 86 27% +2  57% 11 - 10 3 - 7 D+ -5 C+ +2 B+ B D- D- -7 C C D
 Sat, Jan 31 89 DePaul W 68 - 66 63% -7  2% 12 - 10 4 - 7 B- +5 C+ +3 A- F A B- +2 C- B+ C
 Tue, Feb 3 9 @Connecticut L 60 - 92 6% -23  0% 12 - 11 4 - 8 D+ -8 C- -2 C+ D C+ D- -7 F A+ B+
 Mon, Feb 9 21 @St. John's L 82 - 87 OT 11% -0  32% 12 - 12 4 - 9 A- +15 B +6 C+ C+ A+ A +10 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 14 83 Marquette W 96 - 88 60% +11  97% 13 - 12 5 - 9 B+ +12 A+ +20 A B- A+ F+ -8 D+ D D+
 Tue, Feb 17 32 Villanova L 89 - 92 OT 32% -2  20% 13 - 13 5 - 10 B +8 B+ +9 A A C+ C +0 B+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 76 @Butler L 75 - 80 35% -10  0% 13 - 14 5 - 11 B- +6 B- +5 B- D A+ C+ +0 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 60 @Providence L 84 - 94 30% -12  3% 13 - 15 5 - 12 C+ +2 A- +10 B+ C- A+ F+ -8 C- B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 82 Georgetown W 79 - 77 59%
 Tue, Mar 3 54 Seton Hall L 70 - 71 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 32 @Villanova L 70 - 81 15%
Totals 14 - 17 6 - 14 +7 B- +5 C- B D C+ +2 B- C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B B- B- B 31% 37% 45% D B- D+ C- D+ A D- C+ D C+ C C C C 41% 25% 33% B- C B A- A- C C+ B B-
1.15 64% 42% 36% +4 -1 1.08 27% 1.0 .28 12% .25 73% .19 1.06 58% 39% 34% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 17% .28 70% .18
Nov
3		 Marist D+ A F F F 16% 29% 56% F F C+ D+ C B A+ B- A+ B F F+ B- F 31% 44% 26% A+ F C+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ F
0.98 71% 23% 24% -11 -3 0.76 31% 0.9 .28 16% .57 72% .41 0.92 75% 47% 30% +8 -4 1.10 24% 0.8 .20 27% .50 68% .34
Nov
6		 Le Moyne D D F A+ A- 31% 25% 44% D- B D F F D+ D D- D- C F D F F 45% 14% 41% D F B+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19 1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14
Nov
10		 Santa Clara D- C+ F F F 39% 35% 26% F F C A B B+ A+ C+ A+ C- C- F+ B+ C 52% 30% 18% B C C F F+ C D B D+
0.95 61% 13% 8% -18 -2 0.63 30% 1.2 .37 18% .58 74% .43 1.21 62% 53% 30% +6 0 1.13 38% 1.3 .50 15% .28 71% .20
Nov
14		 Iowa D C+ A+ F F+ 28% 11% 60% B- D- F+ A+ C- A F F F B F A B- D- 54% 26% 20% B- D C+ A+ A+ A F B- F
0.88 60% 50% 22% -9 0 0.85 18% 1.3 .23 17% .24 57% .14 1.15 84% 33% 33% +13 0 1.28 32% 0.5 .16 20% .48 74% .36
Nov
18		 Old Dominion A C+ C A B+ 29% 15% 56% C B A+ A A+ B B- D+ C+ A- D- B+ A+ B 37% 31% 31% C+ B C+ B+ B- B+ C- A C+
1.33 63% 38% 39% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.2 .61 12% .37 71% .26 0.93 65% 29% 24% -5 -2 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 19% .30 67% .20
Nov
21		 Georgia C+ D C C- C 25% 29% 45% F+ C- C B+ C+ A+ B D- C+ A F A- A A- 28% 26% 46% A+ A A+ D- B+ C+ B B- B
1.06 50% 38% 32% -4 -2 0.91 31% 1.0 .31 11% .29 63% .19 1.07 75% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 15% .29 72% .21
Nov
23		 West Virginia A D+ F A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F A+ F A+ D- A D A+ B- A- D B A- B 27% 33% 40% A+ A- A+ F+ A C B+ F C+
1.15 50% 18% 63% +12 -3 1.20 13% 1.3 .17 15% .21 100% .21 1.00 64% 35% 29% -3 -2 0.92 21% 1.3 .26 16% .26 80% .21
Nov
28		 TX A&M Corpus Christi B D F A+ B 36% 20% 44% C- B- D+ F D- A+ F+ F F A- B B- A+ B+ 48% 30% 22% B B+ B A+ A F B- A+ A-
1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20 0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 -1 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17
Dec
1		 St. Francis (PA) C B A+ F D- 43% 12% 46% C+ D C F D A+ F D- F C+ C B+ D+ C- 37% 25% 39% C C- A+ F B- C+ B- F C-
1.24 69% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 10% .22 67% .14 0.95 57% 29% 36% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .23 19% .24 80% .19
Dec
5		 Cincinnati B+ A A+ F A 28% 30% 43% D A- F F F A+ A- F C+ B+ A+ A- A A+ 32% 23% 46% B- A+ C+ F D D- F+ A+ B-
1.07 65% 67% 23% +3 -2 1.05 12% 0.8 .10 5% .33 57% .19 1.00 44% 31% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 12% .34 50% .17
Dec
12		 Missouri St. B- D- F A+ C+ 30% 21% 49% B+ B- C+ F D- A+ F F F A C A+ A A- 52% 24% 24% F B+ B- A+ A+ B+ B+ F C-
1.18 56% 27% 46% +6 -1 1.13 33% 0.8 .26 9% .21 58% .12 0.90 63% 9% 27% -7 +1 0.89 29% 0.6 .18 21% .30 80% .24
Dec
17		 Creighton F D B- F D- 24% 34% 41% F+ F+ F+ F F D- F F F F F F F F 37% 12% 52% D F B+ A A- B- A+ A+ A+
0.77 50% 40% 25% -7 -3 0.83 20% 0.7 .13 19% .10 50% .05 1.33 77% 57% 48% +20 +1 1.45 24% 0.8 .20 16% .16 60% .10
Dec
20		 Georgetown B- C A+ C A- 31% 34% 36% D- B+ A- F D D D- A- D+ A- A+ F F B- 48% 29% 23% C B- A- A+ A+ C- F A+ F
1.07 56% 55% 33% +5 -2 1.07 37% 0.6 .24 19% .23 79% .18 1.03 39% 50% 45% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.7 .19 13% .67 58% .39
Dec
31		 Connecticut C- A+ F F B+ 38% 28% 34% D+ B F D+ F+ A B- D C+ C- B- C F F+ 36% 16% 47% B- D- B+ C+ B+ A- A- F+ B
0.92 70% 27% 22% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 15% .36 68% .24 1.24 60% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 32% 1.1 .35 19% .24 79% .19
Jan
3		 DePaul A- C- A+ B+ A- 31% 22% 47% C B+ B+ F C- A+ F C+ F+ F C F C- F+ 32% 19% 49% C+ D- C+ C+ C+ D F F F
1.12 53% 50% 38% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .26 12% .23 71% .16 1.25 60% 67% 35% +7 0 1.15 30% 1.1 .33 15% .53 81% .43
Jan
7		 Marquette D F D+ A+ B- 28% 30% 42% F C D- F F D C- D+ C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ 54% 12% 35% C A+ F B+ D- A+ D+ A+ B+
0.92 43% 33% 43% 0 -2 0.98 26% 0.6 .16 23% .26 71% .18 0.93 50% 33% 22% -11 +2 0.85 44% 0.9 .40 21% .32 50% .16
Jan
10		 Providence B+ C+ B A A- 38% 20% 42% C+ A- F A+ D A+ F B- F+ A F+ D+ A+ A- 33% 22% 44% A- A A+ D+ A+ D- B+ A+ A
1.21 58% 43% 41% +5 0 1.13 15% 1.3 .21 5% .20 73% .14 1.05 71% 43% 25% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.3 .25 11% .30 67% .20
Jan
14		 Butler A- A+ D- D B- 41% 21% 38% C+ B- A+ B- A A D A+ C A- A- F A+ A+ 39% 16% 45% B- A A+ F D+ A- B+ F C+
1.22 72% 31% 30% +2 0 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 12% .19 83% .16 1.03 50% 50% 26% -7 +1 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .32 79% .25
Jan
21		 Creighton A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 32% 37% D A+ D- A+ C A- F A+ D D- D+ A+ F F 43% 14% 43% D- F A A+ A+ D F B F
1.28 83% 47% 45% +17 -2 1.32 21% 1.3 .28 12% .13 88% .11 1.29 67% 25% 54% +15 +1 1.34 20% 0.7 .13 12% .38 71% .27
Jan
24		 St. John's B+ C B+ A+ A+ 38% 29% 34% D A+ F D- F A+ C+ A+ B+ C+ B F+ D- D+ 40% 32% 28% A+ C+ B+ D B- C- B A A
1.09 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.13 16% 0.8 .13 16% .29 84% .25 1.15 52% 44% 38% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.2 .40 13% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Seton Hall C+ A+ A D- A- 25% 21% 54% D- B+ D+ A+ B D- F A+ F D- A+ F F C+ 64% 18% 18% F C F A+ C D F D F
0.94 69% 45% 29% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 26% .19 80% .15 1.19 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 49% 0.7 .35 14% .45 75% .34
Jan
31		 DePaul C+ A- A+ B A+ 24% 40% 36% F A- F F+ F A B A+ A B- B- F C D 34% 26% 40% B+ C- A D- B+ C A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -4 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 16% .35 84% .30 1.04 56% 57% 33% +4 -1 1.08 23% 1.3 .29 17% .02 0% .00
Feb
3		 Connecticut C- B- F A- B 26% 36% 38% F C+ D+ D- D C+ A+ F A+ D- F D- F F 48% 12% 40% D F F+ A+ A+ B+ C- F+ D
0.88 55% 20% 38% -5 -3 0.86 22% 0.8 .16 19% .51 64% .32 1.34 83% 50% 45% +20 +2 1.46 43% 0.5 .21 19% .32 78% .25
Feb
9		 St. John's B F A+ D+ B- 45% 35% 20% D C+ D- A+ C+ A+ D F F A D- A+ A C+ 57% 22% 20% C C A A+ A+ D+ F B+ F
0.99 40% 52% 31% -4 -1 0.91 22% 1.3 .29 11% .23 53% .12 1.05 65% 25% 27% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.4 .12 12% .56 68% .38
Feb
14		 Marquette A+ F A A+ A+ 27% 24% 49% D- A B- C+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ F+ F B A- D 51% 15% 34% B- D+ C+ F D D+ A+ D A+
1.33 47% 46% 48% +9 -1 1.18 36% 1.0 .36 11% .33 86% .28 1.22 71% 33% 29% +3 +2 1.11 30% 1.3 .38 12% .17 73% .13
Feb
17		 Villanova B+ B A A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% C- A C A+ A C+ D+ A+ C+ C C A+ D B+ 32% 20% 48% B B+ A- B+ A- F C A B-
1.13 62% 47% 42% +8 -1 1.16 30% 1.4 .42 20% .21 85% .18 1.17 62% 23% 38% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .27 8% .30 64% .19
Feb
21		 Butler B- B+ A+ C- B+ 21% 29% 50% F B- D D+ D A+ D A+ C- C+ B- B- B+ B+ 56% 23% 21% C B+ A+ B+ A+ F F D F
1.10 67% 50% 32% +4 -2 1.05 23% 0.9 .20 10% .18 82% .15 1.18 56% 36% 30% -3 +1 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 9% .53 76% .40
Feb
25		 Providence A- A A+ F A- 38% 31% 31% D B+ C D C- A+ D B- D+ F+ A- F F C- 52% 17% 31% D+ C- A+ F B- F D C+ D+
1.21 68% 61% 22% +6 -1 1.10 28% 0.9 .25 7% .23 73% .17 1.35 54% 56% 47% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.5 .39 6% .38 76% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.6 0.6 5th
6th 1.2 2.8 4.0 6th
7th 0.2 12.2 1.6 14.0 7th
8th 6.4 15.6 0.1 22.1 8th
9th 22.9 2.6 25.5 9th
10th 4.1 13.4 0.0 17.6 10th
11th 14.6 1.7 16.3 11th
Total 18.7 44.6 31.7 5.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 5.0
7-13 31.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 31.6
6-14 44.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 44.5
5-15 18.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 18.7
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 11.0%