Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Duke | 97.7% | 2 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 25 - 6 | 16 - 4 | +17.9 | +9.4 | 12 | +8.5 | 10 | 66.7 | 250 | +16.1 | 24 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
12 | North Carolina | 92.4% | 4 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 22 - 9 | 14 - 6 | +15.6 | +9.6 | 11 | +6.0 | 33 | 72.2 | 107 | +14.6 | 29 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
35 | Clemson | 79.7% | 6 | 6 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 22 - 9 | 12 - 8 | +11.8 | +7.1 | 25 | +4.8 | 51 | 69.6 | 177 | +22.8 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
36 | Miami (FL) | 68.5% | 9 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 22 - 9 | 12 - 8 | +11.7 | +9.6 | 10 | +2.1 | 117 | 71.7 | 122 | +17.0 | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
44 | Virginia | 54.6% | 11 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 21 - 10 | 12 - 8 | +10.5 | +2.0 | 114 | +8.5 | 11 | 57.1 | 360 | +14.3 | 31 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
53 | Pittsburgh | 29.4% | 5 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 19 - 12 | 11 - 9 | +9.7 | +5.0 | 54 | +4.7 | 52 | 72.8 | 88 | +3.8 | 121 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
62 | Virginia Tech | 33.6% | 5 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 18 - 13 | 11 - 9 | +8.6 | +6.0 | 41 | +2.6 | 103 | 68.9 | 192 | +10.3 | 56 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
65 | Florida St. | 34.9% | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 19 - 12 | 10 - 10 | +8.1 | +4.5 | 67 | +3.6 | 80 | 74.2 | 57 | +14.9 | 27 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
71 | North Carolina St. | 16.0% | 4 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 17 - 14 | 9 - 11 | +7.3 | +4.3 | 70 | +3.0 | 92 | 72.3 | 105 | +6.1 | 96 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
75 | Syracuse | 16.6% | 4 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 16 - 14 | 9 - 11 | +6.8 | +3.0 | 86 | +3.8 | 76 | 74.7 | 49 | +9.4 | 62 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
78 | Wake Forest | 9.2% | 3 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 16 - 15 | 9 - 11 | +6.7 | +6.3 | 33 | +0.4 | 154 | 71.5 | 128 | +0.3 | 166 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
105 | Boston College | 4.2% | 4 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 15 - 16 | 8 - 12 | +4.1 | +2.1 | 111 | +2.1 | 116 | 69.1 | 185 | +5.1 | 107 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
118 | Georgia Tech | 3.8% | 3 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 12 - 17 | 7 - 13 | +3.3 | +1.1 | 151 | +2.2 | 114 | 70.9 | 146 | +5.3 | 106 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
155 | Louisville | 0.6% | 3 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 11 - 20 | 5 - 15 | +0.5 | +1.8 | 125 | -1.3 | 208 | 67.2 | 232 | -3.8 | 235 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
159 | Notre Dame | 0.6% | 3 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 11 - 20 | 5 - 15 | +0.3 | -0.9 | 198 | +1.2 | 137 | 63.3 | 323 | +1.2 | 156 | 0.0 | 1 |
Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 1.9 | 56.5 | 21.4 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
North Carolina | 3.3 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 16.0 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
Clemson | 5.1 | 8.7 | 13.7 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | |
Miami (FL) | 5.1 | 9.2 | 14.1 | 14.1 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | |
Virginia | 5.2 | 8.8 | 12.7 | 14.2 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | |
Pittsburgh | 6.5 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 9.7 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 8.2 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | |
Virginia Tech | 6.9 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 10.2 | 11.2 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | |
Florida St. | 7.7 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 8.4 | 8.8 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 | |
North Carolina St. | 8.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 8.8 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 | |
Syracuse | 8.6 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 9.5 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | |
Wake Forest | 8.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 2.5 | |
Boston College | 10.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 9.6 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 12.0 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | |
Georgia Tech | 11.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 13.0 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 9.9 | |
Louisville | 12.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 8.2 | 12.0 | 17.1 | 22.3 | 24.0 | |
Notre Dame | 12.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 11.5 | 15.4 | 21.6 | 27.6 |
Team | Avg Record | 0-20 | 1-19 | 2-18 | 3-17 | 4-16 | 5-15 | 6-14 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 9-11 | 10-10 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 15-5 | 16-4 | 17-3 | 18-2 | 19-1 | 20-0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 16 - 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 9.5 | 13.4 | 17.1 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 10.1 | 4.0 | ||||||
North Carolina | 14 - 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 11.5 | 14.0 | 14.8 | 13.2 | 11.0 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | ||||
Clemson | 12 - 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 12.7 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | |
Miami (FL) | 12 - 8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 8.9 | 12.0 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 12.2 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | |||
Virginia | 12 - 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 11.7 | 13.2 | 12.6 | 11.8 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | ||
Pittsburgh | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 10.5 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 12.9 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
Virginia Tech | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 8.9 | 11.2 | 13.0 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
Florida St. | 10 - 10 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 8.1 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |
North Carolina St. | 9 - 11 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 10.4 | 10.9 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 10.6 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
Syracuse | 9 - 11 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 5.7 | 8.0 | 11.1 | 12.4 | 13.6 | 11.3 | 10.9 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
Wake Forest | 9 - 11 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 11.0 | 12.9 | 13.2 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Boston College | 8 - 12 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 11.7 | 12.4 | 12.9 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Georgia Tech | 7 - 13 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 10.0 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 13.6 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Louisville | 5 - 15 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 13.7 | 15.3 | 16.0 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
Notre Dame | 5 - 15 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 10.5 | 13.9 | 16.0 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 56.5% | 44.4 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
North Carolina | 25.0% | 16.4 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Clemson | 8.7% | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Miami (FL) | 9.2% | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Virginia | 8.8% | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||
Pittsburgh | 4.3% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
Virginia Tech | 2.8% | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Florida St. | 2.3% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
North Carolina St. | 1.4% | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
Syracuse | 0.8% | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Wake Forest | 1.2% | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Boston College | 0.4% | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
Georgia Tech | 0.2% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
Louisville | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
Notre Dame | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 97.7% | 28.6% | 69.1% | 2 | 20.3 | 21.4 | 14.9 | 12.3 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 96.8% | ||||
North Carolina | 92.4% | 18.4% | 74.0% | 4 | 9.7 | 13.0 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 90.6% | ||
Clemson | 79.7% | 9.3% | 70.4% | 6 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 10.9 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 20.3 | 77.6% | ||
Miami (FL) | 68.5% | 9.5% | 59.1% | 9 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 6.9 | 7.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 6.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.5 | 65.2% | ||
Virginia | 54.6% | 6.6% | 48.0% | 11 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 51.4% | ||
Pittsburgh | 29.4% | 5.8% | 23.6% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 70.6 | 25.1% | |||
Virginia Tech | 33.6% | 4.5% | 29.1% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.4 | 30.5% | |||
Florida St. | 34.9% | 4.5% | 30.4% | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 65.1 | 31.8% | |||
North Carolina St. | 16.0% | 3.2% | 12.8% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 84.0 | 13.3% | |||
Syracuse | 16.6% | 3.1% | 13.5% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 83.4 | 13.9% | |||
Wake Forest | 9.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 90.8 | 6.5% | |||
Boston College | 4.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 95.8 | 2.8% | ||||
Georgia Tech | 3.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 96.2 | 2.8% | ||||||
Louisville | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 99.4 | 0.0% | ||||||||||
Notre Dame | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 99.4 | 0.1% |
Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 97.7% | 1.1% | 97.2% | 84.1% | 56.2% | 33.4% | 18.8% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
North Carolina | 92.4% | 2.7% | 91.1% | 72.8% | 42.1% | 21.8% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
Clemson | 79.7% | 6.0% | 76.2% | 47.4% | 21.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Miami (FL) | 68.5% | 6.9% | 65.0% | 40.6% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Virginia | 54.6% | 8.3% | 50.2% | 28.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Pittsburgh | 29.4% | 5.6% | 26.5% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Virginia Tech | 33.6% | 7.2% | 29.5% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Florida St. | 34.9% | 6.6% | 31.6% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
North Carolina St. | 16.0% | 3.6% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Syracuse | 16.6% | 4.5% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 9.2% | 2.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Boston College | 4.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Georgia Tech | 3.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Louisville | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 5.4 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 15.4 | 35.0 | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
1st Round | 100.0% | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 21.7 | 37.6 | 25.8 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
2nd Round | 99.8% | 3.4 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 17.2 | 36.1 | 30.2 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
Sweet Sixteen | 90.9% | 1.7 | 9.1 | 35.9 | 36.8 | 15.0 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||||||||
Elite Eight | 62.9% | 0.8 | 37.2 | 45.7 | 14.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||
Final Four | 36.1% | 0.4 | 63.9 | 31.9 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
Final Game | 19.2% | 0.2 | 80.8 | 18.5 | 0.7 | ||||||||||||
Champion | 9.9% | 0.1 | 90.1 | 9.9 |