Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Duke | 100.0% | 1 | 23 - 3 | 15 - 1 | 27 - 4 | 19 - 1 | +23.5 | +13.2 | 3 | +10.3 | 5 | 64.5 | 279 | +22.0 | 4 | +24.5 | 1 | |||||
22 | Louisville | 98.3% | 7 | 20 - 6 | 13 - 2 | 24 - 7 | 17 - 3 | +15.7 | +8.7 | 18 | +7.0 | 30 | 71.5 | 88 | +15.9 | 23 | +20.1 | 2 | |||||
23 | Clemson | 94.5% | 7 | 21 - 5 | 13 - 2 | 25 - 6 | 17 - 3 | +15.5 | +8.2 | 23 | +7.3 | 28 | 61.7 | 341 | +15.6 | 26 | +19.7 | 3 | |||||
40 | SMU | 37.5% | 19 - 6 | 10 - 4 | 23 - 8 | 14 - 6 | +11.8 | +7.4 | 30 | +4.4 | 63 | 72.2 | 78 | +11.8 | 47 | +12.6 | 5 | ||||||
41 | North Carolina | 26.9% | 15 - 11 | 8 - 6 | 19 - 13 | 12 - 8 | +11.8 | +6.6 | 42 | +5.1 | 56 | 76.2 | 23 | +11.8 | 46 | +11.2 | 6 | ||||||
51 | Wake Forest | 42.9% | 11 | 19 - 7 | 11 - 4 | 22 - 9 | 14 - 6 | +10.6 | +2.9 | 100 | +7.7 | 23 | 67.0 | 212 | +14.8 | 32 | +15.2 | 4 | |||||
54 | Pittsburgh | 20.4% | 15 - 10 | 6 - 8 | 19 - 12 | 10 - 10 | +10.5 | +6.9 | 36 | +3.7 | 74 | 66.1 | 237 | +10.1 | 58 | +7.0 | 9 | ||||||
81 | Florida St. | 0.7% | 15 - 10 | 6 - 8 | 17 - 14 | 8 - 12 | +7.0 | +1.8 | 119 | +5.2 | 53 | 74.3 | 41 | +6.5 | 82 | +5.0 | 11 | ||||||
88 | Stanford | 0.9% | 16 - 10 | 8 - 7 | 18 - 13 | 10 - 10 | +6.4 | +4.2 | 76 | +2.2 | 111 | 67.5 | 198 | +7.8 | 74 | +9.2 | 7 | ||||||
90 | Notre Dame | 0.1% | 11 - 14 | 5 - 9 | 13 - 18 | 7 - 13 | +6.0 | +4.0 | 78 | +1.9 | 118 | 62.6 | 327 | +2.2 | 138 | +2.2 | 15 | ||||||
95 | Virginia | 0.1% | 13 - 13 | 6 - 9 | 15 - 16 | 8 - 12 | +5.3 | +3.1 | 93 | +2.2 | 110 | 55.3 | 363 | +5.7 | 87 | +4.7 | 12 | ||||||
97 | Georgia Tech | 0.1% | 13 - 13 | 7 - 8 | 15 - 16 | 9 - 11 | +5.0 | +1.2 | 133 | +3.8 | 71 | 71.7 | 85 | +4.3 | 104 | +7.8 | 8 | ||||||
98 | North Carolina St. | 0.0% | 10 - 15 | 3 - 11 | 12 - 19 | 5 - 15 | +4.7 | +1.4 | 128 | +3.4 | 82 | 63.4 | 306 | +0.7 | 155 | -0.5 | 16 | ||||||
109 | Syracuse | 0.0% | 11 - 15 | 5 - 10 | 13 - 18 | 7 - 13 | +3.5 | +2.4 | 107 | +1.1 | 143 | 71.1 | 100 | +3.2 | 119 | +3.1 | 13 | ||||||
113 | California | 0.0% | 12 - 14 | 5 - 10 | 14 - 17 | 7 - 13 | +3.2 | +3.9 | 80 | -0.7 | 190 | 68.2 | 181 | +2.9 | 123 | +2.5 | 14 | ||||||
119 | Virginia Tech | 0.0% | 11 - 14 | 6 - 8 | 13 - 18 | 8 - 12 | +2.7 | +2.9 | 97 | -0.2 | 178 | 64.3 | 284 | +2.9 | 122 | +6.1 | 10 | ||||||
150 | Miami (FL) | 0.0% | 6 - 19 | 2 - 12 | 8 - 23 | 4 - 16 | +0.6 | +5.5 | 56 | -4.9 | 317 | 68.2 | 182 | -5.7 | 264 | -3.1 | 18 | ||||||
183 | Boston College | 0.0% | 10 - 15 | 2 - 12 | 11 - 20 | 3 - 17 | -1.3 | +0.4 | 163 | -1.6 | 220 | 67.1 | 208 | 0.0 | 165 | -3.0 | 17 |
Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | 16th | 17th | 18th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 1.0 | 97.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
Louisville | 2.1 | 14.1 | 62.0 | 23.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Clemson | 2.3 | 9.9 | 48.9 | 40.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
SMU | 4.4 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 51.4 | 34.9 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
North Carolina | 5.8 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 22.6 | 60.4 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Wake Forest | 4.3 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 63.8 | 30.3 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Pittsburgh | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 10.8 | 33.7 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
Florida St. | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 10.5 | 18.6 | 21.7 | 18.2 | 12.2 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | ||||||
Stanford | 7.2 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 19.2 | 45.6 | 21.2 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | ||||||||||
Notre Dame | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 13.1 | 16.1 | 17.7 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
Virginia | 11.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 10.5 | 15.9 | 17.9 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 10.8 | 4.9 | 0.6 | |||||||
Georgia Tech | 8.5 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 20.4 | 25.9 | 27.2 | 12.7 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||
North Carolina St. | 15.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 11.2 | 16.8 | 42.4 | 10.7 | 2.8 | |||||||
Syracuse | 12.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 8.7 | 12.6 | 15.1 | 16.5 | 18.6 | 15.2 | 7.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||
California | 13.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 10.1 | 15.0 | 17.6 | 21.6 | 20.0 | 5.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | ||||||
Virginia Tech | 10.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 8.5 | 16.2 | 19.5 | 19.3 | 13.2 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.3 | |||||||
Miami (FL) | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 46.0 | 30.2 | |||||||||||
Boston College | 17.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 12.9 | 46.2 | 36.1 |
Team | Avg Record | 0-20 | 1-19 | 2-18 | 3-17 | 4-16 | 5-15 | 6-14 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 9-11 | 10-10 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 15-5 | 16-4 | 17-3 | 18-2 | 19-1 | 20-0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 19 - 1 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 26.6 | 70.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Louisville | 17 - 3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 13.7 | 37.9 | 45.6 | |||||||||||||||||
Clemson | 17 - 3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 20.9 | 43.4 | 30.8 | ||||||||||||||||
SMU | 14 - 6 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 11.4 | 24.7 | 31.2 | 22.4 | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||
North Carolina | 12 - 8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 21.0 | 36.9 | 28.8 | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||
Wake Forest | 14 - 6 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 21.9 | 40.5 | 29.2 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||
Pittsburgh | 10 - 10 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 24.3 | 35.6 | 25.1 | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||
Florida St. | 8 - 12 | 3.5 | 20.1 | 34.7 | 28.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||
Stanford | 10 - 10 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 34.9 | 33.4 | 13.9 | 1.9 | ||||||||||||||||
Notre Dame | 7 - 13 | 3.8 | 16.1 | 31.6 | 28.7 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||
Virginia | 8 - 12 | 13.7 | 33.7 | 33.0 | 15.4 | 3.8 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||
Georgia Tech | 9 - 11 | 2.7 | 16.1 | 33.8 | 33.3 | 12.6 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||
North Carolina St. | 5 - 15 | 6.0 | 20.8 | 30.6 | 25.3 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||
Syracuse | 7 - 13 | 9.0 | 28.7 | 35.7 | 20.9 | 5.3 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
California | 7 - 13 | 9.0 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 16.7 | 3.5 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
Virginia Tech | 8 - 12 | 6.9 | 24.0 | 33.2 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||
Miami (FL) | 4 - 16 | 14.9 | 34.9 | 32.8 | 14.2 | 2.9 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
Boston College | 3 - 17 | 18.9 | 37.2 | 29.1 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 97.9% | 80.7 | 13.2 | 4.1 | ||||||
Louisville | 14.1% | 1.1 | 8.9 | 4.1 | ||||||
Clemson | 9.9% | 0.4 | 5.4 | 4.1 | ||||||
SMU | ||||||||||
North Carolina | ||||||||||
Wake Forest | ||||||||||
Pittsburgh | ||||||||||
Florida St. | ||||||||||
Stanford | ||||||||||
Notre Dame | ||||||||||
Virginia | ||||||||||
Georgia Tech | ||||||||||
North Carolina St. | ||||||||||
Syracuse | ||||||||||
California | ||||||||||
Virginia Tech | ||||||||||
Miami (FL) | ||||||||||
Boston College |
Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 100.0% | 66.4% | 33.6% | 1 | 64.9 | 31.5 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 100.0% | ||||||||||||||
Louisville | 98.3% | 12.0% | 86.3% | 7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 13.5 | 19.2 | 23.0 | 17.1 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 98.0% | |||||||
Clemson | 94.5% | 12.3% | 82.2% | 7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 17.3 | 20.0 | 18.3 | 8.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 93.7% | ||||||
SMU | 37.5% | 3.1% | 34.4% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 10.1 | 19.8 | 1.6 | 62.5 | 35.5% | ||||||||||
North Carolina | 26.9% | 2.5% | 24.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 15.7 | 1.8 | 73.1 | 25.0% | |||||||||
Wake Forest | 42.9% | 2.1% | 40.8% | 11 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 11.6 | 24.5 | 1.6 | 57.1 | 41.6% | ||||||||||
Pittsburgh | 20.4% | 1.1% | 19.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 13.1 | 1.5 | 79.6 | 19.5% | |||||||||||
Florida St. | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 99.3 | 0.5% | |||||||||||||||
Stanford | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 99.1 | 0.7% | |||||||||||||||
Notre Dame | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||
Virginia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1 | 0.0 | 99.9 | 0.1% | |||||||||||||||||
Georgia Tech | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||
North Carolina St. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
Syracuse | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
California | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
Virginia Tech | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
Miami (FL) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||||||
Boston College | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% |
Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 99.5% | 81.7% | 61.1% | 42.6% | 27.0% | 16.9% |
Louisville | 98.3% | 0.2% | 98.2% | 67.6% | 27.9% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Clemson | 94.5% | 1.4% | 93.9% | 60.5% | 22.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
SMU | 37.5% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
North Carolina | 26.9% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 42.9% | 24.7% | 29.7% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pittsburgh | 20.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Florida St. | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Stanford | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Georgia Tech | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
North Carolina St. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Syracuse | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
California | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia Tech | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Miami (FL) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Boston College | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 4.2 | 0.9 | 19.8 | 43.3 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | ||||||||
1st Round | 100.0% | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.2 | 45.3 | 17.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | ||||||||
2nd Round | 100.0% | 2.6 | 0.1 | 7.8 | 35.8 | 43.6 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||
Sweet Sixteen | 91.7% | 1.4 | 8.3 | 50.0 | 34.8 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |||||||||
Elite Eight | 70.7% | 0.8 | 29.4 | 57.9 | 12.1 | 0.7 | |||||||||||
Final Four | 47.8% | 0.5 | 52.2 | 44.6 | 3.2 | ||||||||||||
Final Game | 29.1% | 0.3 | 70.9 | 28.6 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||
Champion | 17.9% | 0.2 | 82.1 | 17.9 |