Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Virginia | 99.0% | 4 | 17 - 3 | 9 - 2 | 24 - 5 | 16 - 4 | +14.2 | +7.2 | 26 | +7.0 | 22 | 57.5 | 360 | +17.7 | 9 | +15.9 | 1 | |||||
24 | Duke | 91.1% | 7 | 16 - 6 | 7 - 4 | 22 - 9 | 13 - 7 | +13.2 | +6.8 | 31 | +6.5 | 31 | 66.1 | 241 | +12.9 | 29 | +10.5 | 6 | |||||
26 | North Carolina | 79.6% | 9 | 15 - 7 | 7 - 4 | 20 - 11 | 12 - 8 | +12.9 | +7.6 | 22 | +5.3 | 46 | 72.2 | 77 | +11.5 | 39 | +9.7 | 7 | |||||
34 | Miami (FL) | 88.9% | 8 | 17 - 5 | 8 - 4 | 22 - 8 | 13 - 7 | +12.1 | +9.5 | 8 | +2.6 | 101 | 69.5 | 138 | +13.5 | 21 | +11.3 | 5 | |||||
37 | North Carolina St. | 77.9% | 9 | 18 - 5 | 8 - 4 | 23 - 8 | 13 - 7 | +11.5 | +6.9 | 29 | +4.5 | 59 | 73.0 | 63 | +13.5 | 22 | +12.4 | 4 | |||||
49 | Virginia Tech | 26.7% | 13 - 9 | 3 - 8 | 19 - 12 | 9 - 11 | +10.0 | +5.9 | 40 | +4.1 | 71 | 66.1 | 244 | +8.0 | 67 | +4.1 | 12 | ||||||
60 | Clemson | 29.0% | 18 - 5 | 10 - 2 | 22 - 9 | 14 - 6 | +8.9 | +3.7 | 74 | +5.2 | 47 | 69.1 | 150 | +11.3 | 44 | +15.8 | 2 | ||||||
64 | Pittsburgh | 40.3% | 16 - 7 | 9 - 3 | 21 - 10 | 14 - 6 | +8.4 | +4.7 | 62 | +3.7 | 74 | 67.0 | 217 | +11.0 | 47 | +15.4 | 3 | ||||||
67 | Wake Forest | 9.1% | 14 - 9 | 6 - 6 | 19 - 12 | 11 - 9 | +8.3 | +7.2 | 25 | +1.0 | 140 | 73.1 | 60 | +8.2 | 64 | +8.5 | 8 | ||||||
75 | Syracuse | 3.5% | 13 - 10 | 6 - 6 | 17 - 14 | 10 - 10 | +7.0 | +5.1 | 52 | +1.8 | 117 | 68.1 | 181 | +4.8 | 100 | +6.9 | 9 | ||||||
127 | Notre Dame | 0.8% | 10 - 12 | 2 - 9 | 12 - 19 | 4 - 16 | +2.3 | +4.9 | 57 | -2.6 | 252 | 62.8 | 319 | +0.1 | 166 | -6.0 | 13 | ||||||
140 | Florida St. | 0.7% | 7 - 16 | 5 - 7 | 10 - 21 | 8 - 12 | +1.7 | +2.0 | 116 | -0.3 | 184 | 71.1 | 103 | -0.8 | 186 | +5.6 | 11 | ||||||
144 | Boston College | 0.6% | 11 - 12 | 5 - 7 | 13 - 18 | 7 - 13 | +1.6 | -1.7 | 230 | +3.3 | 86 | 65.7 | 259 | +2.9 | 127 | +6.3 | 10 | ||||||
172 | Georgia Tech | 0.4% | 7 - 14 | 1 - 11 | 9 - 20 | 3 - 17 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 226 | +1.5 | 128 | 67.4 | 198 | -0.5 | 177 | -6.3 | 14 | ||||||
248 | Louisville | 0.1% | 3 - 19 | 1 - 10 | 4 - 27 | 2 - 18 | -4.5 | -3.5 | 281 | -1.0 | 208 | 68.3 | 174 | -9.5 | 323 | -6.9 | 15 |
Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 1.5 | 74.1 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||
Duke | 4.8 | 4.6 | 10.0 | 13.9 | 16.0 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
North Carolina | 5.1 | 4.4 | 9.4 | 12.2 | 14.2 | 15.4 | 15.7 | 15.6 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||||
Miami (FL) | 4.1 | 7.0 | 17.2 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
North Carolina St. | 4.7 | 5.0 | 10.6 | 14.4 | 16.7 | 18.3 | 16.4 | 11.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | |||||
Virginia Tech | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 25.2 | 30.3 | 14.9 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||
Clemson | 2.6 | 25.7 | 30.2 | 19.7 | 11.9 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
Pittsburgh | 2.9 | 17.2 | 30.2 | 22.6 | 14.6 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
Wake Forest | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 27.8 | 20.4 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | |||
Syracuse | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 14.5 | 24.7 | 24.4 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | |||
Notre Dame | 13.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 59.8 | 23.1 | 2.8 | |||||||
Florida St. | 10.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 20.6 | 34.6 | 26.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Boston College | 10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 8.5 | 17.2 | 31.8 | 35.1 | 2.9 | 0.1 | ||||
Georgia Tech | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 35.5 | 45.7 | 13.9 | |||||||||
Louisville | 14.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 8.4 | 29.1 | 62.1 |
Team | Avg Record | 0-20 | 1-19 | 2-18 | 3-17 | 4-16 | 5-15 | 6-14 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 9-11 | 10-10 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 15-5 | 16-4 | 17-3 | 18-2 | 19-1 | 20-0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 16 - 4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 11.6 | 23.5 | 30.8 | 22.5 | 7.2 | |||||||||||||
Duke | 13 - 7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.7 | 23.8 | 27.0 | 19.4 | 8.4 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||
North Carolina | 12 - 8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 15.6 | 23.3 | 24.6 | 16.9 | 7.6 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||
Miami (FL) | 13 - 7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 18.9 | 28.3 | 26.3 | 13.9 | 3.2 | |||||||||||||
North Carolina St. | 13 - 7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 12.1 | 23.4 | 28.4 | 21.3 | 8.8 | 1.4 | |||||||||||||
Virginia Tech | 9 - 11 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 10.8 | 21.5 | 27.5 | 22.8 | 10.6 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||
Clemson | 14 - 6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 16.5 | 28.9 | 28.1 | 14.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||
Pittsburgh | 14 - 6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 20.3 | 29.7 | 26.4 | 11.6 | 2.1 | |||||||||||||
Wake Forest | 11 - 9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 15.9 | 27.3 | 27.6 | 16.6 | 5.5 | 0.7 | |||||||||||||
Syracuse | 10 - 10 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 10.9 | 21.1 | 26.8 | 22.2 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||
Notre Dame | 4 - 16 | 7.1 | 20.7 | 28.2 | 23.9 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Florida St. | 8 - 12 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 27.9 | 28.1 | 16.9 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Boston College | 7 - 13 | 5.3 | 20.2 | 29.9 | 25.5 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Georgia Tech | 3 - 17 | 4.2 | 19.0 | 32.3 | 26.7 | 12.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Louisville | 2 - 18 | 28.2 | 39.1 | 23.1 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 74.1% | 51.7 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |||
Duke | 4.6% | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
North Carolina | 4.4% | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
Miami (FL) | 7.0% | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||
North Carolina St. | 5.0% | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||
Virginia Tech | ||||||||||
Clemson | 25.7% | 10.9 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||
Pittsburgh | 17.2% | 5.0 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||
Wake Forest | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Syracuse | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Notre Dame | ||||||||||
Florida St. | ||||||||||
Boston College | ||||||||||
Georgia Tech | ||||||||||
Louisville |
Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 99.0% | 19.1% | 80.0% | 4 | 3.6 | 10.1 | 18.4 | 22.6 | 18.4 | 12.8 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 98.8% | ||||||
Duke | 91.1% | 15.5% | 75.6% | 7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 9.9 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 12.6 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 8.9 | 89.5% | ||||||
North Carolina | 79.6% | 14.6% | 65.0% | 9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 11.2 | 12.4 | 14.3 | 14.6 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.4 | 76.1% | |||
Miami (FL) | 88.9% | 11.9% | 77.1% | 8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 15.5 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 12.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 11.1 | 87.4% | ||||||
North Carolina St. | 77.9% | 10.4% | 67.5% | 9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 12.3 | 15.0 | 17.2 | 10.0 | 0.4 | 22.1 | 75.3% | ||||||
Virginia Tech | 26.7% | 7.3% | 19.4% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 73.3 | 21.0% | |||||
Clemson | 29.0% | 5.5% | 23.5% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 10.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 24.8% | ||||||||
Pittsburgh | 40.3% | 4.9% | 35.4% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 8.3 | 12.4 | 10.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.7 | 37.2% | |||||||
Wake Forest | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 90.9 | 4.3% | |||||||
Syracuse | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 96.5 | 0.2% | |||||||||||
Notre Dame | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 99.2 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||
Florida St. | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.7 | 99.3 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||||
Boston College | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 99.4 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Georgia Tech | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.4 | 99.6 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||||
Louisville | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 99.9 | 0.0% |
Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 99.0% | 0.4% | 98.9% | 77.7% | 42.5% | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Duke | 91.1% | 4.9% | 89.0% | 55.2% | 23.6% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
North Carolina | 79.6% | 9.4% | 75.5% | 44.3% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Miami (FL) | 88.9% | 5.8% | 86.2% | 48.7% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
North Carolina St. | 77.9% | 12.1% | 72.2% | 37.3% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Virginia Tech | 26.7% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Clemson | 29.0% | 9.8% | 23.4% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pittsburgh | 40.3% | 11.4% | 33.6% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 9.1% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Syracuse | 3.5% | 0.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Florida St. | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Boston College | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Georgia Tech | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Louisville | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 13.1 | 36.4 | 35.2 | 12.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | ||||||
1st Round | 100.0% | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 21.0 | 41.2 | 27.1 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | ||||||
2nd Round | 99.3% | 3.0 | 0.7 | 7.2 | 25.0 | 36.5 | 23.2 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
Sweet Sixteen | 78.5% | 1.2 | 21.5 | 42.7 | 27.1 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||
Elite Eight | 44.9% | 0.5 | 55.1 | 36.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
Final Four | 20.7% | 0.2 | 79.3 | 19.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
Final Game | 8.5% | 0.1 | 91.5 | 8.4 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||
Champion | 3.4% | 0.0 | 96.6 | 3.4 |