Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#120
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#130
Pace68.6#206
Improvement-0.9#255

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#82
First Shot+4.6#48
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#248
Layup/Dunks+2.9#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#318
Freethrows+4.0#7
Improvement+0.3#130

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-1.3#224
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#132
Layups/Dunks-3.4#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#258
Freethrows+1.1#119
Improvement-1.3#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 4.1% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Average Seed 10.2 9.9 10.5
.500 or above 23.2% 39.0% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 14.4% 20.0% 12.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.1% 14.5% 19.2%
First Four0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round1.6% 3.4% 1.0%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 23 - 65 - 15
Quad 34 - 39 - 18
Quad 45 - 114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 284   Canisius W 77-67 88%     1 - 0 +0.5 -5.3 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2021 65   Central Florida L 89-95 45%     1 - 1 -1.6 +12.9 -14.2
  Nov 16, 2021 221   @ Florida Atlantic W 68-66 60%     2 - 1 +2.5 -5.3 +7.8
  Nov 21, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 86-59 90%     3 - 1 +15.9 +11.5 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2021 113   Dayton L 60-76 48%     3 - 2 -12.4 -9.2 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2021 108   North Texas W 69-63 45%     4 - 2 +10.2 +8.9 +2.0
  Nov 28, 2021 13   Alabama L 64-96 12%     4 - 3 -16.5 -2.8 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 67   @ Penn St. L 63-70 24%    
  Dec 04, 2021 50   Clemson L 67-70 40%    
  Dec 08, 2021 222   Lipscomb W 79-70 79%    
  Dec 12, 2021 246   Fordham W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 20, 2021 268   Stetson W 77-65 86%    
  Dec 29, 2021 64   North Carolina St. L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 01, 2022 81   Wake Forest L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 05, 2022 71   Syracuse L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 08, 2022 5   @ Duke L 66-84 5%    
  Jan 11, 2022 31   @ Florida St. L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 18, 2022 43   North Carolina L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 31   Florida St. L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 26, 2022 27   @ Virginia Tech L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 29, 2022 88   @ Georgia Tech L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 02, 2022 63   Notre Dame L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 40   @ Virginia L 56-67 18%    
  Feb 09, 2022 88   Georgia Tech L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 81   @ Wake Forest L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 16, 2022 36   @ Louisville L 65-76 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 40   Virginia L 59-64 34%    
  Feb 22, 2022 200   @ Pittsburgh W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 26, 2022 27   Virginia Tech L 66-73 26%    
  Mar 02, 2022 125   @ Boston College L 68-71 42%    
  Mar 05, 2022 71   @ Syracuse L 74-81 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 2.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.2 0.3 5.5 8th
9th 0.5 2.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 3.8 1.6 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 4.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 5.5 4.4 0.9 0.0 13.1 12th
13th 0.8 2.9 6.1 5.2 1.6 0.1 16.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.4 4.1 6.3 4.5 1.3 0.1 17.8 14th
15th 0.5 1.8 2.7 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 10.7 15th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.0 8.2 11.1 13.4 13.8 13.5 10.7 8.4 6.1 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 25.6% 0.0    0.0
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 14.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 7.8 0.0 0.1 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 65.0% 65.0% 9.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 65.0%
14-6 0.5% 84.9% 9.8% 75.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 83.3%
13-7 1.1% 28.6% 1.8% 26.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 27.3%
12-8 2.5% 22.4% 1.6% 20.8% 10.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.9 21.2%
11-9 3.8% 6.9% 1.2% 5.7% 11.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 5.8%
10-10 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 1.5%
9-11 8.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.3%
8-12 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
7-13 13.5% 13.5
6-14 13.8% 13.8
5-15 13.4% 13.4
4-16 11.1% 11.1
3-17 8.2% 8.2
2-18 4.0% 4.0
1-19 1.9% 1.9
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.1% 0.3% 1.8% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 97.9 1.8%