Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.1 101
Expected Predictive Rating +2.0 131
Pace 62.1 342
Improvement -1.4 238

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 101 C+ B- C+ D+ B-
Defense C+ 108 C B+ C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 161 B- 61% 102 +1.5 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 259 C+ 40% 116 -1.2 251
Three Pointers 44% 112 C 34% 200 +1.5 129
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 110 C+ +1.2 129
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 117
Second Chance B 35.6% 45 C- 1.01 205 B- 0.36 84
Turnovers C+ 16.5% 158
Freethrows C- 0.29 241 D- 67% 337 D+ 0.19 291
Total Offense C+ +2.8 101

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 84 A- 7.0% 24
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 221 C+ 4.5% 146
Three Pointers D 78% 309 C- 1.2% 263
Total C+ 57% 137 B+ 4.0% 27

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 164 C+ 56% 124 -0.4 160
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 181 C 38% 159 -0.2 174
Three Pointers 40% 197 C 34% 201 +0.0 185
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 180 C+ -0.6 157
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 154
Second Chance B+ 25.5% 29 B 0.93 46 B+ 0.24 25
Turnovers C 17.2% 160
Freethrows B- 0.28 98 F+ 76% 351 C+ 0.21 155
Total Defense C+ +2.2 108

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 87 C+ 12.0% 129
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 109 C+ 5.8% 111
Three Pointers D+ 88% 285 B 1.7% 48
Total C+ 54% 142 C+ 6.6% 101

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 299 18.0 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.17 159
Improvement -1.7 #269 +0.3 #174

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 22% 9% 38%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 36 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 196 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 83% +3  61% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 D A+ F A +10 C+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 269 Longwood W 78 - 60 90% +5  77% 2 - 0 B +9 C- -1 C C+ D+ A +9 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 243 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 88% +11  91% 3 - 0 C+ +5 C+ +2 C+ C+ A B- +3 A B D-
 Thu, Nov 13 55 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 22% -9  21% 3 - 1 D -9 F -11 C+ F C C -0 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 17 330 Bucknell W 84 - 50 95% +17  86% 4 - 1 A +20 A- +10 A A- D- A+ +13 A+ A+ A
 Thu, Nov 20 52 Central Florida L 67 - 77 30% -5  14% 4 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 D B+ D+ C- -3 B F B
 Sun, Nov 23 192 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 83% -5  9% 4 - 3 D- -13 C+ +2 B+ B F F -15 F C- A
 Fri, Nov 28 34 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 27% +4  73% 5 - 3 B+ +12 C- -1 C F A+ A+ +13 A+ A- A
 Tue, Dec 2 35 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 27% -4  6% 5 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +7 C+ A+ B+ D -5 B+ D C-
 Sun, Dec 7 108 Hofstra L 73 - 80 66% -7  4% 5 - 5 D+ -6 B+ +8 A+ D D+ F -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 31 @Villanova L 61 - 79 12% -6  14% 5 - 6 C -0 B +6 D- A+ C F -10 D- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 359 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  98% 6 - 6 A +21 A+ +16 A+ F+ D- B +4 F A- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 115 Penn St. W 80 - 46 57% +16  99% 7 - 6 A+ +37 A- +10 A- C- A+ A+ +30 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 30 40 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 15% +1  51% 7 - 7 0 - 1 B +9 B- +5 C- A- A+ B- +3 A+ D C-
 Sat, Jan 3 38 Clemson L 68 - 73 30% -2  21% 7 - 8 0 - 2 B- +5 C+ +3 B- B- B B- +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 70 Syracuse L 72 - 83 50% -11  3% 7 - 9 0 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +2 C+ B- C+ F+ -9 F D+ C+
 Wed, Jan 14 141 @Georgia Tech W 89 - 66 54% +15  95% 8 - 9 1 - 3 A+ +27 A+ +20 A+ A+ B+ A- +8 B+ B- A
 Sat, Jan 17 12 Louisville L 59 - 100 15% -27  0% 8 - 10 1 - 4 F -25 D -6 C- C+ B F -22 F F D-
 Wed, Jan 21 134 @Boston College L 62 - 65 52% -1  32% 8 - 11 1 - 5 C +2 C- -1 D A A B- +3 C- B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 24 North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 23% +1  56% 8 - 12 1 - 6 C+ +4 C+ +3 F+ A+ C C +0 B+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 61 Wake Forest W 80 - 76 OT 46% -3  12% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B +10 B- +4 D A A+ B+ +6 B+ A B+
 Sat, Jan 31 38 @Clemson L 52 - 63 14% -10  2% 9 - 13 2 - 7 B- +5 C- -0 C- B+ F B- +3 A- F A
 Tue, Feb 3 22 @Virginia L 47 - 67 9% -10  11% 9 - 14 2 - 8 C +0 F -10 C D+ F A- +7 C+ A- C+
 Sat, Feb 7 32 SMU L 67 - 86 27% -7  26% 9 - 15 2 - 9 D+ -7 D+ -2 F+ B- C+ D -6 F A C-
 Tue, Feb 10 2 Duke L 54 - 70 7% -5  13% 9 - 16 2 - 10 B- +5 D+ -3 B C- C+ B+ +6 D+ B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 30 @North Carolina L 65 - 79 12% -13  0% 9 - 17 2 - 11 C+ +4 C +1 A+ D+ F+ C+ +1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 84 Notre Dame W 70 - 69 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 75 @Stanford L 67 - 73 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 71 @California L 68 - 74 28%
 Wed, Mar 4 85 Florida St. W 76 - 75 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 70 @Syracuse L 69 - 75 29%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 14 +5 C+ +3 A C+ B- C+ +2 C D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B- C+ C C+ 39% 30% 44% B- C+ B C- B- C+ C- D- D+ C+ C+ C C C+ 39% 20% 40% C C B+ B B+ C B- F+ C+
1.13 61% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.05 36% 1.0 .36 16% .29 67% .19 1.05 56% 38% 34% -1 0 1.01 25% 0.9 .24 17% .28 76% .22
Nov
3		 Youngstown St. C C- F C+ D- 45% 21% 33% C+ D A+ B- A+ F A+ A- A+ A F A+ B- B- 29% 8% 63% C C+ A A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46 0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09
Nov
7		 Longwood C- A+ F A C+ 20% 18% 61% F+ C B- C C+ D+ A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ F A F B+
1.11 78% 13% 41% +6 -1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 20% .62 69% .43 0.86 40% 22% 22% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.7 .16 10% .22 86% .19
Nov
10		 Eastern Michigan C+ D A+ F C+ 48% 22% 30% C+ C+ D A C+ A B+ F D B- A B- A- A+ 45% 28% 26% D+ A C+ A- B D- F F F
1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20 0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 0 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30
Nov
13		 West Virginia F B+ B- F B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ D- F F C F F+ F C C C+ B B 40% 17% 43% C B A C A- F D F F+
0.78 63% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 19% 0.0 .00 19% .12 67% .08 1.13 58% 38% 30% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 10% .37 76% .28
Nov
17		 Bucknell A- D- A+ A+ A+ 35% 20% 45% C A A C A- D- D- F F A+ A+ A+ A A+ 37% 17% 46% C A+ C- A+ A+ A F D+ F
1.30 53% 60% 50% +14 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17 0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37
Nov
20		 Central Florida C+ C F F+ D- 36% 9% 56% A- D A+ D B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D+ C- A+ B+ 47% 21% 32% D+ B F F F B B+ A+ A+
1.07 56% 25% 28% -7 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .33 19% .41 86% .35 1.23 64% 40% 27% 0 +1 1.02 50% 1.5 .75 18% .23 58% .14
Nov
23		 Quinnipiac C+ A+ F C- B 39% 9% 52% B B+ A+ D- B F A F B- F C F F F 37% 26% 37% C+ F C+ D C- A F B- F
1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22 1.21 56% 55% 63% +19 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30
Nov
28		 Ohio St. C- A- F C- C 36% 35% 29% C- C B+ F F A+ C- F D A+ C B+ A A+ 36% 17% 47% D- A+ A B- A- A A- F B-
1.03 65% 26% 31% -3 -2 0.93 36% 0.4 .13 8% .27 63% .17 1.01 65% 38% 27% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 20% .29 87% .25
Dec
2		 Texas A&M B+ B+ D D+ C+ 33% 18% 49% C+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B+ F F F D C+ F+ B A- 51% 9% 40% D+ B+ F C+ D C- F+ F F
1.13 65% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.3 .47 17% .20 64% .13 1.25 58% 50% 32% 0 +2 1.06 41% 0.9 .38 14% .39 91% .36
Dec
7		 Hofstra B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 23% 51% C- A+ C F D D+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F F 47% 17% 36% F F B A+ A+ F D C- D
1.19 45% 60% 45% +11 -1 1.21 31% 0.8 .23 16% .43 86% .37 1.30 64% 50% 47% +12 +1 1.28 31% 0.8 .23 11% .33 78% .26
Dec
13		 Villanova B C- B F F+ 43% 15% 43% A- D- A+ B+ A+ C B- D+ C+ F C- A+ F D 45% 9% 45% F D- A+ D- B+ F F D F
1.05 55% 43% 20% -9 +1 0.85 44% 1.1 .47 21% .26 67% .17 1.36 65% 25% 45% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 5% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Binghamton A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 10% 48% B- A+ D F+ F+ D- A- F C+ B A+ F F F 43% 30% 27% B- F C A+ A- A+ F D+ F
1.44 67% 60% 67% +29 +2 1.64 28% 0.9 .24 15% .40 63% .25 0.88 38% 55% 60% +7 -1 1.14 19% 0.4 .08 31% .54 78% .42
Dec
21		 Penn St. A- F A+ A+ B+ 43% 12% 45% B+ A- C+ F+ C- A+ B- F D+ A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A A+
1.23 41% 67% 52% +8 +1 1.22 30% 1.1 .33 14% .25 57% .14 0.71 53% 40% 20% -10 0 0.82 18% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
30		 Miami (FL) B- A- B+ F C- 32% 26% 42% C- C- C- A+ A- A+ B F C- B- C- D- A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% A A+ D- C D C- F F F
1.04 65% 43% 23% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 11% .29 53% .15 1.15 65% 45% 12% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.1 .46 15% .46 77% .36
Jan
3		 Clemson C+ C+ F+ C- C+ 44% 23% 33% B B- D+ A+ B- B A+ D+ A B- F F+ D+ F+ 39% 15% 46% C+ D- A+ B- A+ A+ F C+ F
1.01 57% 27% 31% -4 0 0.94 20% 1.3 .27 16% .39 73% .28 1.09 75% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 21% .47 72% .34
Jan
10		 Syracuse C+ B- A+ F B- 33% 23% 44% D+ C+ A- D- B- C+ F A+ C- F+ F+ C+ F F 44% 18% 38% C- F B+ F D+ C+ C+ F D-
1.08 59% 67% 17% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.0 .39 18% .20 100% .20 1.25 70% 38% 53% +16 +1 1.36 27% 1.3 .36 17% .32 83% .27
Jan
14		 Georgia Tech A+ B A A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ B A+ A+ B+ F A+ D A- A- A+ C A 49% 16% 35% F B+ F+ A+ B- A C+ B B-
1.31 60% 45% 43% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.5 .50 13% .20 83% .17 0.97 50% 25% 35% -5 +1 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 22% .28 67% .19
Jan
17		 Louisville D C- D F+ D+ 35% 20% 45% B C- D+ A C+ B C+ F D+ F F+ F F F 42% 8% 51% C F A F F D- B+ F B-
0.90 53% 30% 27% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.1 .24 15% .29 63% .18 1.53 73% 75% 48% +20 +2 1.45 27% 1.8 .50 12% .26 87% .23
Jan
21		 Boston College C- D- F D+ F+ 45% 16% 39% B+ D B+ A A A C+ F F B- B+ F C D 25% 31% 44% A C- A+ F B C- B+ B B+
0.97 48% 13% 30% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.1 .38 11% .30 41% .12 1.02 50% 53% 33% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 14% .24 62% .15
Jan
24		 North Carolina St. C+ F F D+ F 37% 20% 43% C- F+ A+ C- A+ C A+ F C C C- A C- B+ 42% 21% 37% B- B+ A A+ A+ C- F D- F
1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20 1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Wake Forest B- F+ D+ D- D- 36% 10% 53% B D B+ A+ A A+ A D- B+ B+ D- D- A+ B 34% 26% 40% A- B+ A- A A B+ C D+ C-
1.11 48% 33% 29% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 11% .39 68% .27 1.06 67% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 18% .32 79% .25
Jan
31		 Clemson C- A+ F+ F D+ 36% 16% 48% B+ C- A+ F B+ F D+ F D- B- B+ A+ C- A 41% 5% 54% D- A- A F F A F F F
0.92 69% 29% 19% -8 0 0.86 44% 0.7 .31 25% .26 64% .17 1.12 53% 0% 35% -3 +2 1.00 23% 2.2 .50 20% .44 85% .37
Feb
3		 Virginia F A F F C- 35% 23% 43% B C C- D- D+ F C F D- A- B- A+ D- B- 38% 8% 54% D+ C+ B+ B A- C+ A+ A+ A+
0.78 64% 22% 24% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.8 .18 28% .28 58% .16 1.11 56% 25% 38% +2 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 17% .18 44% .08
Feb
7		 SMU D+ C D- F F 28% 20% 52% C+ F+ A- D B- C+ A A A+ D F D+ F F 38% 27% 35% C+ F A B- A C- C C C-
1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28 1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23
Feb
10		 Duke D+ A+ F F+ B- 24% 16% 59% B- B D+ C- C- C+ D F F B+ F C D+ D- 34% 16% 50% A D+ A- C- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 75% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 19% 0.7 .14 20% .16 38% .06 1.14 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 21% .17 63% .10
Feb
14		 North Carolina C B C+ A A 49% 16% 35% A+ A+ D+ D+ D+ F+ D- B+ D+ C+ F+ B- D- D+ 38% 20% 42% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F C+
0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.4 11th
12th 0.5 0.4 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 2.2 0.1 2.3 13th
14th 1.9 3.5 0.0 5.4 14th
15th 0.5 11.2 16.0 1.5 29.2 15th
16th 0.9 15.9 22.1 3.8 0.0 42.7 16th
17th 4.0 8.6 1.3 0.0 13.9 17th
18th 3.6 1.4 0.0 5.1 18th
Total 8.6 26.4 34.6 21.7 7.7 1.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 1.0% 1.0
6-12 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 21.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 21.7
4-14 34.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 34.6
3-15 26.4% 26.4
2-16 8.6% 8.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.6%