IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.2	#77
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.2	#226
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#67

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.0	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.1%	1.2%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	3.2%	3.6%	0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.2%	20.1%	6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.5%	19.3%	6.1%
Average Seed	8.5	8.5	9.1

.500 or above	51.4%	55.4%	25.2%
.500 or above in Conference	31.7%	34.0%	17.2%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.0%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	13.2%	11.7%	22.7%

First Four	4.2%	4.6%	1.9%
First Round	15.8%	17.5%	5.1%
Second Round	7.7%	8.5%	2.0%
Sweet Sixteen	2.0%	2.3%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 86.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 5	7 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 1	10 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	179	Youngstown St.	W	78-66	87%
Nov 07, 2025	204	Longwood	W	79-66	88%
Nov 10, 2025	291	Eastern Michigan	W	80-63	95%
Nov 13, 2025	61	@ West Virginia	L	64-69	32%
Nov 17, 2025	287	Bucknell	W	78-61	94%
Nov 20, 2025	74	Central Florida	L	75-76	48%
Nov 23, 2025	215	Quinnipiac	W	81-68	88%
Nov 28, 2025	27	Ohio St.	L	70-75	34%
Dec 02, 2025	35	Texas A&M	L	68-71	39%
Dec 07, 2025	178	Hofstra	W	70-58	84%
Dec 13, 2025	39	@ Villanova	L	62-71	23%
Dec 17, 2025	331	Binghamton	W	78-58	96%
Dec 21, 2025	90	Penn St.	W	73-72	55%
Dec 30, 2025	56	@ Miami (FL)	L	69-75	32%
Jan 03, 2026	42	Clemson	L	66-68	42%
Jan 10, 2026	64	Syracuse	W	74-73	54%
Jan 14, 2026	83	@ Georgia Tech	L	71-73	42%
Jan 17, 2026	11	Louisville	L	70-78	26%
Jan 21, 2026	100	@ Boston College	L	70-71	47%
Jan 24, 2026	31	North Carolina St.	L	67-71	38%
Jan 27, 2026	67	Wake Forest	W	71-69	55%
Jan 31, 2026	42	@ Clemson	L	63-71	25%
Feb 03, 2026	46	@ Virginia	L	60-68	26%
Feb 07, 2026	44	SMU	L	72-74	44%
Feb 10, 2026	3	Duke	L	64-76	16%
Feb 14, 2026	25	@ North Carolina	L	70-81	18%
Feb 21, 2026	63	Notre Dame	W	68-67	53%
Feb 25, 2026	95	@ Stanford	L	68-69	46%
Feb 28, 2026	91	@ California	L	70-72	45%
Mar 04, 2026	78	Florida St.	W	74-71	59%
Mar 07, 2026	64	@ Syracuse	L	71-76	34%
Projected Record						16 - 15	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0			2.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	0.4	0.0					2.5	3rd
4th											0.1	1.0	1.5	0.5	0.1						3.2	4th
5th										0.0	0.7	1.9	1.1	0.1							3.8	5th
6th									0.0	0.3	1.9	2.0	0.3	0.0							4.5	6th
7th									0.1	1.4	2.7	0.8	0.0								4.9	7th
8th								0.0	0.6	3.0	1.7	0.1									5.3	8th
9th								0.2	2.1	3.1	0.4	0.0									5.9	9th
10th							0.0	1.0	3.7	1.3	0.0										6.0	10th
11th						0.0	0.3	3.0	3.1	0.3	0.0										6.7	11th
12th						0.1	1.6	4.2	1.0	0.0											6.9	12th
13th					0.0	0.8	3.8	2.6	0.2												7.4	13th
14th				0.0	0.4	2.8	4.0	0.8	0.0												7.9	14th
15th				0.2	2.0	4.2	1.7	0.1													8.2	15th
16th			0.2	1.5	3.7	2.6	0.3	0.0													8.3	16th
17th		0.2	1.5	3.2	2.5	0.6	0.0														8.0	17th
18th	0.6	1.9	2.7	1.9	0.5	0.0	0.0														7.6	18th

Total	0.6	2.1	4.3	6.8	9.0	11.1	11.7	11.8	10.8	9.4	7.5	5.9	4.0	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	94.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	79.8%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	37.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	18.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1.7		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	21.1%	78.9%	2.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-2	0.3%		100.0%	18.8%	81.2%	3.7		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0											100.0%
15-3	0.7%		98.9%	11.6%	87.2%	4.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		98.7%
14-4	1.4%		97.9%	8.5%	89.5%	6.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		97.8%
13-5	2.4%		91.8%	6.8%	85.0%	7.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0						0.2		91.2%
12-6	4.0%		83.2%	3.2%	80.0%	8.3			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0					0.7		82.6%
11-7	5.9%		64.4%	1.8%	62.6%	9.1					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.0	1.2	0.5	0.0					2.1		63.8%
10-8	7.5%		41.2%	1.0%	40.2%	9.6						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.2	0.6	0.0					4.4		40.6%
9-9	9.4%		25.2%	0.4%	24.8%	10.1							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	0.8	0.0					7.0		24.9%
8-10	10.8%		7.1%	0.3%	6.8%	10.3							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.4	0.3	0.0					10.1		6.8%
7-11	11.8%		1.6%	0.1%	1.5%	10.7										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					11.6		1.5%
6-12	11.7%		0.2%		0.2%	11.0												0.0						11.7		0.2%
5-13	11.1%		0.0%		0.0%	11.0												0.0						11.1		0.0%
4-14	9.0%																							9.0
3-15	6.8%																							6.8
2-16	4.3%																							4.3
1-17	2.1%																							2.1
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		18.2%	0.8%	17.4%	8.5		0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.3	1.7	2.6	3.4	4.6	2.7	0.1					81.8		17.5%