Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +5.8 96
Results Rating +3.6 112
Consistency 0.20 354
Pace 62.0 341
Improvement +0.5 167

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 98 B- B- C D+ B-
Defense B- 94 C+ B+ C+ B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 163 C+ 61% 105 +1.4 122
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 270 C+ 39% 134 -1.5 258
Three Pointers 44% 105 C+ 35% 139 +2.3 97
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 101 C+ +1.6 114
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 103
Second Chance B 35.4% 45 C 1.02 201 B- 0.36 77
Opponents' Steals C 9.2% 159
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 223
Turnovers C 16.8% 182
Freethrows C- 0.29 226 D- 67% 330 D+ 0.20 276
Total Offense B- +2.9 98

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 82 B+ 7.8% 32
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 191 B- 3.9% 104
Three Pointers D 79% 294 C- 1.0% 236
Total C+ 58% 119 B+ 4.2% 34


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 149 C+ 57% 147 +0.2 189
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 193 C+ 37% 139 -0.4 157
Three Pointers 40% 202 C+ 33% 141 -0.8 147
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 195 C+ -1.1 135
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 142
Second Chance B 26.0% 41 B 0.93 41 B+ 0.24 29
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.6% 98
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 257
Turnovers C+ 17.3% 141
Freethrows B 0.26 66 D- 76% 340 B- 0.20 101
Total Defense B- +2.9 94

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 91 C 11.7% 143
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 110 C 5.2% 147
Three Pointers D+ 86% 255 B 1.7% 50
Total C+ 53% 134 C+ 6.4% 116

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 306 18.0 283
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 109 0.16 133
Consistency 0.09 11 0.15 347
Improvement -1.1 253 +1.6 99

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 94 83
Results Rating Rank 127 111 96
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 6 - 12
Conference Finish 16 15 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 1%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 11
Quad 22 - 54 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 215 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 87% +3  61% 1 - 0 B +9 C +1 D A+ F A- +8 C+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 254 Longwood W 78 - 60 90% +5  77% 2 - 0 B +10 C- -1 C C+ D+ A +10 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 248 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 89% +11  91% 3 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ C+ A B- +2 A- B D-
 Thu, Nov 13 53 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 23% -9  21% 3 - 1 D -9 F -11 C+ F C C +0 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 17 334 Bucknell W 84 - 50 96% +17  86% 4 - 1 A +19 A- +10 A A- D- A+ +12 A+ A+ A
 Thu, Nov 20 50 Central Florida L 67 - 77 29% -5  14% 4 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 D B D+ C- -2 B+ F B
 Sun, Nov 23 214 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 86% -5  9% 4 - 3 D- -14 C +1 B+ B- F F -15 F C- A
 Fri, Nov 28 30 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 29% +4  73% 5 - 3 B+ +13 C -0 C F A+ A+ +13 A+ A A
 Tue, Dec 2 34 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 31% -4  6% 5 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +8 B- A+ B D -6 B+ D C-
 Sun, Dec 7 103 Hofstra L 73 - 80 67% -7  4% 5 - 5 D+ -6 B+ +8 A+ D- D+ F -15 F A F
 Sat, Dec 13 37 @Villanova L 61 - 79 16% -6  14% 5 - 6 C -1 B +6 D- A+ C F -11 D- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 357 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  98% 6 - 6 A +21 A+ +15 A+ D- F+ B +5 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 109 Penn St. W 80 - 46 58% +16  99% 7 - 6 A+ +38 A- +10 A- C- A+ A+ +30 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 30 35 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 15% +1  51% 7 - 7 0 - 1 B +10 B- +5 D+ A- A+ B +4 A+ C- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 39 Clemson L 68 - 73 33% -2  21% 7 - 8 0 - 2 B- +5 C+ +3 C+ B- B B- +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 75 Syracuse L 72 - 83 54% -11  3% 7 - 9 0 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +2 C+ B- C+ F+ -9 F D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 14 146 @Georgia Tech W 89 - 66 57% +15  95% 8 - 9 1 - 3 A+ +27 A+ +19 A+ A+ B+ A- +8 B+ B- A
 Sat, Jan 17 15 Louisville L 59 - 100 18% -27  0% 8 - 10 1 - 4 F -25 D -6 C- C B F -22 F F F+
 Wed, Jan 21 139 @Boston College L 62 - 65 56% -1  32% 8 - 11 1 - 5 C +1 C- -2 D- A A B- +3 D+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 32 North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 29% +1  56% 8 - 12 1 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +3 F A+ C C -0 B A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 68 Wake Forest W 80 - 76 OT 52% -3  12% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B +9 C+ +3 D A A+ B+ +6 B+ A A-
 Sat, Jan 31 39 @Clemson L 52 - 63 16% -10  2% 9 - 13 2 - 7 B- +5 C- -0 C- B+ F B- +3 A- F A
 Tue, Feb 3 21 @Virginia L 47 - 67 9% -10  11% 9 - 14 2 - 8 C +1 F -10 C D+ F A- +8 B- A- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 38 SMU L 67 - 86 33% -7  26% 9 - 15 2 - 9 D -9 D+ -3 F B- C D- -6 F A C-
 Tue, Feb 10 2 Duke L 54 - 70 6% -5  13% 9 - 16 2 - 10 B- +7 C- -1 B+ C- C B+ +6 D+ B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 25 @North Carolina L 65 - 79 12% -13  0% 9 - 17 2 - 11 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ C- F+ C+ +2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 86 Notre Dame W 73 - 68 58% +3  76% 10 - 17 3 - 11 B +9 B +7 A- B- C- B- +2 B A D-
 Wed, Feb 25 65 @Stanford L 67 - 75 28% +1  57% 10 - 18 3 - 12 C+ +4 B +7 A+ C+ D D+ -4 C- D- C
 Sat, Feb 28 73 @California W 72 - 56 31% +6  98% 11 - 18 4 - 12 A+ +27 B +6 B A D- A+ +22 A B+ A+
 Wed, Mar 4 78 Florida St. W 75 - 74 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 75 @Syracuse L 70 - 75 32%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +6 B- +3 D+ C+ B- B- +3 C+ D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C+ C+ C+ C+ 39% 30% 44% B- B- B C B- C C- D- D+ B- C+ C+ C+ C+ 40% 20% 40% C- C+ B B B+ C+ B D- B-
1.13 61% 39% 35% +2 +1 1.07 35% 1.0 .36 17% .29 67% .20 1.05 57% 37% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.9 .24 17% .26 76% .22
Nov
3		 Youngstown St. C C- F C+ D- 45% 21% 33% C+ D A+ B- A+ F A+ A A+ A- F A+ C+ C+ 29% 8% 63% C C+ A A+ A+ C- A A+ A+
1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46 0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09
Nov
7		 Longwood C- A+ F A C+ 20% 18% 61% F+ C B- C C+ D+ A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ F A+ F A-
1.11 78% 13% 41% +6 -1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 20% .62 69% .43 0.86 40% 22% 22% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.7 .16 10% .22 86% .19
Nov
10		 Eastern Michigan C+ D- A+ F C+ 48% 22% 30% C+ C+ D+ A C+ A A- F D B- A B- A- A 45% 28% 26% D+ A- C+ A B D- F F F
1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20 0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30
Nov
13		 West Virginia F B+ B- F B- 33% 29% 38% D- C+ D- F F C F D- F C C C+ B+ B 40% 17% 43% C+ B A+ C A- F D F F
0.78 63% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 19% 0.0 .00 19% .12 67% .08 1.13 58% 38% 30% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 10% .37 76% .28
Nov
17		 Bucknell A- D- A+ A+ A 35% 20% 45% C A A C A- D- D- F F A+ A+ A+ A A+ 37% 17% 46% C A+ C- A+ A+ A F D+ F
1.30 53% 60% 50% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17 0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37
Nov
20		 Central Florida C+ C F F+ D- 36% 9% 56% A- D A D- B D+ A+ A+ A+ C- C- C- A+ A- 47% 21% 32% D+ B+ F F F B B+ A+ A+
1.07 56% 25% 28% -7 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .33 19% .41 86% .35 1.23 64% 40% 27% -1 +1 1.02 50% 1.5 .75 18% .23 58% .14
Nov
23		 Quinnipiac C A+ F C- B 39% 9% 52% B+ B+ A+ F+ B- F A F B- F C F F F 37% 26% 37% C+ F C+ D- C- A F B- F
1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22 1.21 56% 55% 63% +19 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30
Nov
28		 Ohio St. C A- F C- C+ 36% 35% 29% C- C A- F F A+ C- F D- A+ C B+ A A+ 36% 17% 47% F+ A+ A- B A A A F B
1.03 65% 26% 31% -3 -2 0.93 36% 0.4 .13 8% .27 63% .17 1.01 65% 38% 27% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 20% .29 87% .25
Dec
2		 Texas A&M B+ B+ D C- B- 33% 18% 49% C+ B- B+ A+ A+ B F F F D C+ F+ B A- 51% 9% 40% D+ B+ F C+ D C- F+ F F
1.13 65% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.3 .47 17% .20 64% .13 1.25 58% 50% 32% 0 +2 1.06 41% 0.9 .38 14% .39 91% .36
Dec
7		 Hofstra B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 23% 51% C- A+ C F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F F 47% 17% 36% F F B- A+ A F D C- D
1.19 45% 60% 45% +11 -1 1.21 31% 0.8 .23 16% .43 86% .37 1.30 64% 50% 47% +12 +1 1.28 31% 0.8 .23 11% .33 78% .26
Dec
13		 Villanova B C- B F F 43% 15% 43% A D- A+ B A+ C B- D C+ F C- A+ F D- 45% 9% 45% F D- A+ D B+ F F D F
1.05 55% 43% 20% -10 +1 0.85 44% 1.1 .47 21% .26 67% .17 1.36 65% 25% 45% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 5% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Binghamton A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 10% 48% B- A+ D F+ D- F+ A F B- B A+ F F F 43% 30% 27% B- F C A+ B+ A+ F D+ F
1.44 67% 60% 67% +29 +2 1.64 28% 0.9 .24 15% .40 63% .25 0.88 38% 55% 60% +7 -1 1.14 19% 0.4 .08 31% .54 78% .42
Dec
21		 Penn St. A- F A+ A+ B+ 43% 12% 45% B+ A- C+ D- C- A+ B- F D+ A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A A+
1.23 41% 67% 52% +8 +1 1.22 30% 1.1 .33 14% .25 57% .14 0.71 53% 40% 20% -10 0 0.82 18% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
30		 Miami (FL) B- B+ B+ F C- 32% 26% 42% C- D+ C- A+ A- A+ B F D+ B D+ D- A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% A A+ D C+ C- C- F F F
1.04 65% 43% 23% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 11% .29 53% .15 1.15 65% 45% 12% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.1 .46 15% .46 77% .36
Jan
3		 Clemson C+ C+ F+ C- C+ 44% 23% 33% B C+ C- A+ B- B A+ D+ A B- F D- D+ F+ 39% 15% 46% C+ D- A+ C+ A+ A+ F C+ F
1.01 57% 27% 31% -4 0 0.94 20% 1.3 .27 16% .39 73% .28 1.09 75% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 21% .47 72% .34
Jan
10		 Syracuse C+ B- A+ F C+ 33% 23% 44% D+ C+ A- D- B- C+ F A+ C- F+ F+ C+ F F 44% 18% 38% C- F B+ F D+ B- C+ F D-
1.08 59% 67% 17% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.0 .39 18% .20 100% .20 1.25 70% 38% 53% +16 +1 1.36 27% 1.3 .36 17% .32 83% .27
Jan
14		 Georgia Tech A+ B- A A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ B A+ A+ B+ F A+ D A- A- A+ C A 49% 16% 35% F B+ F+ A+ B- A C+ B B-
1.31 60% 45% 43% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.5 .50 13% .20 83% .17 0.97 50% 25% 35% -5 +1 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 22% .28 67% .19
Jan
17		 Louisville D C- D F+ D+ 35% 20% 45% B+ C- C- B+ C B C+ F D+ F F+ F F F 42% 8% 51% C F A F F F+ B+ F B-
0.90 53% 30% 27% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.1 .24 15% .29 63% .18 1.53 73% 75% 48% +20 +2 1.45 27% 1.8 .50 12% .26 87% .23
Jan
21		 Boston College C- D- F D F+ 45% 16% 39% B+ D- B+ A+ A A C+ F F B- B+ F C D- 25% 31% 44% A D+ A+ F B C- B B B+
0.97 48% 13% 30% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.1 .38 11% .30 41% .12 1.02 50% 53% 33% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 14% .24 62% .15
Jan
24		 North Carolina St. C+ F F D+ F 37% 20% 43% C- F A+ D+ A+ C A+ F C C C- A C- B 42% 21% 37% B B A A A+ C- F D- F
1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20 1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Wake Forest C+ F+ D D- F+ 36% 10% 53% B D B+ A A A+ A F+ B+ B+ D- D- A+ B 34% 26% 40% A- B+ A- A A A- C- D+ C-
1.11 48% 33% 29% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 11% .39 68% .27 1.06 67% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 18% .32 79% .25
Jan
31		 Clemson C- A F+ F D+ 36% 16% 48% B+ C- A+ F B+ F C- F D- B- B+ A+ C A 41% 5% 54% D- A- A- F F A F F F
0.92 69% 29% 19% -8 0 0.86 44% 0.7 .31 25% .26 64% .17 1.12 53% 0% 35% -3 +2 1.00 23% 2.2 .50 20% .44 85% .37
Feb
3		 Virginia F A F F C- 35% 23% 43% B- C C- D- D+ F C F D- A- B- A+ D- B- 38% 8% 54% D+ B- B B+ A- B- A+ A+ A+
0.78 64% 22% 24% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.8 .18 28% .28 58% .16 1.11 56% 25% 38% +2 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 17% .18 44% .08
Feb
7		 SMU D+ C D- F F 28% 20% 52% C+ F B+ D+ B- C A A A+ D- F D+ F F 38% 27% 35% C+ F A C+ A C- C D+ C-
1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28 1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23
Feb
10		 Duke C- A+ F D- B+ 24% 16% 59% B- B+ C- D+ C- C D F F B+ F C+ C- D- 34% 16% 50% A D+ A- C B+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 75% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 19% 0.7 .14 20% .16 38% .06 1.14 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 21% .17 63% .10
Feb
14		 North Carolina C+ B C+ A+ A 49% 16% 35% A+ A+ D+ C- C- F+ D- B D+ C+ F+ B- D- D+ 38% 20% 42% B- C- A+ A+ A+ F A F B-
0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23
Feb
21		 Notre Dame B B+ F A+ A- 33% 17% 50% B- A- B+ D B- C- A+ F A+ B- F C- A B+ 32% 10% 58% F B D- A+ A D- A- A+ A+
1.16 64% 14% 43% +5 0 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 16% .51 67% .34 1.08 75% 40% 28% 0 +1 1.04 38% 0.6 .21 13% .26 50% .13
Feb
25		 Stanford B C A+ A+ A 41% 9% 50% A A+ B- D+ C+ D D+ F D- D+ C- A D+ C 59% 8% 33% F+ C- C F D- C A+ F A-
1.09 56% 50% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.0 .30 21% .31 67% .21 1.22 59% 25% 38% +1 +3 1.10 34% 1.2 .41 15% .19 100% .19
Feb
28		 California B D A+ C+ B 38% 17% 45% C+ B C+ A+ A D- C A+ B+ A+ F B A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% C A A- B- B+ A+ A+ A- A+
1.08 50% 50% 33% -2 0 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 19% .30 81% .24 0.84 71% 33% 21% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 24% .14 71% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 5.4 5.4 13th
14th 11.7 11.7 14th
15th 5.2 34.6 1.1 40.9 15th
16th 25.3 15.7 41.0 16th
17th 0.9 0.9 17th
18th 18th
Total 31.4 50.3 18.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 18.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 18.2
5-13 50.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 50.3
4-14 31.4% 31.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.3 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 31.4%