IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.3	#64
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.5	#26

Pace	66.2	#242
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.8	#58

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.5	#77

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.1%	2.3%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	6.1%	6.6%	1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	28.7%	30.4%	12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	27.8%	29.5%	11.4%
Average Seed	8.3	8.2	9.0

.500 or above	64.7%	67.6%	37.5%
.500 or above in Conference	40.8%	42.6%	23.6%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.4%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	7.7%	7.1%	14.0%

First Four	6.3%	6.5%	3.5%
First Round	25.2%	26.8%	9.8%
Second Round	12.7%	13.5%	4.1%
Sweet Sixteen	3.6%	3.9%	0.9%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.2%	0.3%
Final Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 5	8 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 0	18 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	181	Youngstown St.	W	74-59	88%	1 - 0			+10.5	+4.8	+6.7
Nov 07, 2025	212	Longwood	W	80-66	91%
Nov 10, 2025	256	Eastern Michigan	W	78-62	94%
Nov 13, 2025	63	@ West Virginia	L	65-68	39%
Nov 17, 2025	273	Bucknell	W	79-62	94%
Nov 20, 2025	83	Central Florida	W	77-75	57%
Nov 23, 2025	220	Quinnipiac	W	82-67	91%
Nov 28, 2025	26	Ohio St.	L	77-80	40%
Dec 02, 2025	40	Texas A&M	L	69-70	46%
Dec 07, 2025	163	Hofstra	W	71-59	85%
Dec 13, 2025	44	@ Villanova	L	62-69	28%
Dec 17, 2025	338	Binghamton	W	79-57	97%
Dec 21, 2025	99	Penn St.	W	75-71	62%
Dec 30, 2025	54	@ Miami (FL)	L	70-75	34%
Jan 03, 2026	41	Clemson	L	66-67	46%
Jan 10, 2026	58	Syracuse	W	74-72	56%
Jan 14, 2026	102	@ Georgia Tech	W	70-69	55%
Jan 17, 2026	8	Louisville	L	72-79	27%
Jan 21, 2026	114	@ Boston College	W	71-69	58%
Jan 24, 2026	22	North Carolina St.	L	68-71	39%
Jan 27, 2026	67	Wake Forest	W	72-69	61%
Jan 31, 2026	41	@ Clemson	L	63-70	28%
Feb 03, 2026	43	@ Virginia	L	61-68	28%
Feb 07, 2026	47	SMU	L	73-74	50%
Feb 10, 2026	3	Duke	L	65-75	19%
Feb 14, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	70-79	21%
Feb 21, 2026	60	Notre Dame	W	70-68	58%
Feb 25, 2026	90	@ Stanford	L	68-69	49%
Feb 28, 2026	84	@ California	L	71-72	47%
Mar 04, 2026	93	Florida St.	W	76-70	69%
Mar 07, 2026	58	@ Syracuse	L	71-75	36%
Projected Record						17 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.1				2.5	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.1	1.6	0.7	0.0	0.0				3.6	3rd
4th											0.1	1.2	2.2	0.9	0.1						4.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.7	2.4	1.6	0.2							4.9	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	2.2	2.7	0.5	0.0							5.5	6th
7th									0.1	1.5	3.3	1.0	0.0								6.0	7th
8th								0.0	0.6	3.5	2.2	0.2									6.6	8th
9th								0.2	2.5	3.7	0.8	0.0									7.1	9th
10th							0.0	1.0	4.2	1.7	0.1										7.1	10th
11th						0.0	0.3	3.2	3.4	0.3											7.2	11th
12th						0.1	1.7	4.2	1.3	0.0											7.3	12th
13th					0.0	0.7	3.5	2.6	0.3												7.1	13th
14th					0.3	2.5	3.4	0.6	0.0												6.9	14th
15th				0.1	1.5	3.6	1.5	0.1													6.9	15th
16th			0.1	1.1	2.8	2.0	0.2	0.0													6.3	16th
17th		0.1	0.9	2.0	1.8	0.4	0.0														5.2	17th
18th	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.2	0.3	0.0															4.1	18th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.5	4.4	6.9	9.3	10.7	11.9	12.4	11.0	9.3	7.7	5.6	3.4	2.2	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	75.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	45.2%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	14.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0								0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	25.9%	74.1%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	0.5%		100.0%	13.0%	87.0%	3.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	1.0%		100.0%	11.1%	88.9%	4.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-4	2.2%		97.2%	11.2%	86.0%	5.7		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.1		96.9%
13-5	3.4%		95.0%	6.5%	88.6%	6.6			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1						0.2		94.7%
12-6	5.6%		90.3%	3.3%	87.0%	7.9				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.3						0.5		90.0%
11-7	7.7%		77.3%	1.9%	75.3%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.6	1.5	0.5						1.8		76.8%
10-8	9.3%		56.0%	1.1%	54.9%	9.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.9	1.1	0.0					4.1		55.5%
9-9	11.0%		31.2%	0.5%	30.7%	10.0								0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.0					7.6		30.8%
8-10	12.4%		13.3%	0.4%	12.9%	10.4								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.0					10.7		12.9%
7-11	11.9%		3.1%	0.1%	2.9%	10.8										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					11.5		2.9%
6-12	10.7%		0.5%	0.0%	0.4%	11.1											0.0	0.0	0.0					10.7		0.4%
5-13	9.3%																							9.3
4-14	6.9%																							6.9
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.5%																							2.5
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		28.7%	1.3%	27.4%	8.3		0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.6	2.4	3.4	3.8	4.8	6.1	4.3	0.2					71.3		27.8%