SMU
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +14.5 31
Results Rating +13.4 42
Consistency 0.13 92
Pace 72.1 86
Improvement -0.5 209

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 15 A B B C D+
Defense B- 74 B B- B- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 B+ 66% 31 +3.0 78
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 109 A 47% 12 +4.3 23
Three Pointers 36% 283 A 41% 4 +1.3 138
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 279 A+ +9.3 2
1st FG Attempt A 1.19 10
Second Chance B+ 37.0% 26 C+ 1.06 138 B 0.39 45
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 86
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 60
Turnovers B 14.6% 56
Freethrows C 0.30 204 B- 75% 105 C 0.22 171
Total Offense A +10.8 15

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 62% 21 B+ 7.3% 26
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 46 C 5.4% 210
Three Pointers C 84% 188 B- 0.6% 106
Total B 62% 57 B 4.4% 53

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 339 C+ 56% 119 -4.9 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 78 B 34% 56 +0.3 212
Three Pointers 45% 58 B- 32% 104 +1.1 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 45 B- -2.6 73
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 61
Second Chance C+ 29.5% 152 B 0.94 54 B- 0.28 82
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.6% 100
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 125
Turnovers B- 18.3% 85
Freethrows B 0.26 44 B- 71% 85 B 0.18 44
Total Defense B- +3.7 74

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 292 B 14.5% 58
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 356 B- 6.8% 69
Three Pointers D+ 87% 273 C 0.8% 171
Total D- 63% 331 C+ 6.5% 110

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 20 18.7 343
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 44 0.14 66
Consistency 0.11 78 0.11 82
Improvement +1.1 131 -1.5 269

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 41 32 24
Results Rating Rank 50 40 30
Conference Record 8 - 10 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 10 8 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 7
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 5% 7% 1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 86% 91% 78%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86% 91% 78%
Average Seed 8.8 8.5 9.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 95% 100% 86%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four7% 4% 12%
First Round83% 89% 73%
Second Round43% 47% 35%
Sweet Sixteen9% 10% 7%
Elite Eight3% 4% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 11
Quad 36 - 016 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 223 Tarleton St. W 96 - 76 96% +7  94% 1 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +16 A F+ A+ D+ -4 B+ B- B-
 Thu, Nov 6 199 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69 - 58 96% +2  63% 2 - 0 B- +6 D -5 F F A+ A +11 A A- D+
 Tue, Nov 11 122 Murray St. W 102 - 91 91% +9  97% 3 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 B- B+ B+ C -0 D+ C- B
 Sat, Nov 15 75 Butler W 87 - 85 82% -0  41% 4 - 0 B- +7 B +7 A+ B F C -0 F B+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 106 - 60 99% +24  99% 5 - 0 A+ +32 B+ +9 A+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A- A+ B
 Fri, Nov 21 147 Arkansas St. W 100 - 69 93% +15  89% 6 - 0 A+ +29 A- +10 A+ F A A+ +15 A- F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 228 Radford W 89 - 72 97% +11  100% 7 - 0 B +10 C +1 D+ A D- A- +8 A+ D+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 80 @Mississippi St. W 87 - 81 OT 66% -1  33% 8 - 0 A- +16 B +6 C A+ C A +10 A+ A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 16 @Vanderbilt L 69 - 88 24% -9  4% 8 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 C- A+ C C- -3 D A F
 Sun, Dec 7 34 Texas A&M W 93 - 80 OT 51% +5  73% 9 - 1 A+ +27 B +7 C A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 53 LSU L 77 - 89 65% -7  8% 9 - 2 C -1 A- +11 A B+ C F -14 F F A
 Sun, Dec 21 174 Central Arkansas W 99 - 82 95% +11  98% 10 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +20 A A+ B D- -8 D- F A
 Sun, Dec 28 206 Cal St. Fullerton W 110 - 63 96% +25  99% 11 - 2 A+ +41 A+ +23 A+ A- A- A+ +15 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 3 26 North Carolina W 97 - 83 58% +5  83% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +27 A+ C A C -1 D- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 41 @Clemson L 70 - 74 44% -7  0% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B+ +12 B+ +9 D+ A+ C- B- +2 B+ C C-
 Sat, Jan 10 2 @Duke L 75 - 82 10% -4  21% 12 - 4 1 - 2 A +22 A+ +15 A+ B+ F B+ +7 C A+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 76 76% -0  43% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B- +8 B +6 B C B B- +2 C+ B C
 Sat, Jan 17 20 Virginia L 68 - 72 47% -1  41% 13 - 5 2 - 3 B +11 B+ +9 B- A+ A B- +2 A+ F B
 Tue, Jan 20 71 @Wake Forest W 91 - 79 62% +8  89% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A+ +23 A +13 A+ B+ B- A +9 B A C
 Sat, Jan 24 81 Florida St. W 83 - 80 83% +4  72% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B- +7 A +11 B+ C A+ D+ -4 C+ C D
 Sat, Jan 31 14 @Louisville L 74 - 88 24% +1  56% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 A B- F+ B+ +5 C A D+
 Tue, Feb 3 27 North Carolina St. L 83 - 84 59% +1  55% 15 - 7 4 - 5 B +11 A +12 A+ D- A+ C -1 C+ B D
 Sat, Feb 7 100 @Pittsburgh W 86 - 67 74% +7  66% 16 - 7 5 - 5 A+ +27 A+ +19 A+ B- B+ A +9 A+ B- B-
 Tue, Feb 10 90 Notre Dame W 89 - 81 86% +5  83% 17 - 7 6 - 5 B +11 A+ +16 A+ A+ F D+ -5 F B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 73 @Syracuse L 78 - 79 64% +5  92% 17 - 8 6 - 6 B +10 A +13 F+ A+ A+ D+ -3 D+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 17 14 Louisville W 95 - 85 44% +2  67% 18 - 8 7 - 6 A+ +26 A+ +18 A+ F A A- +7 A+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 136 Boston College W 94 - 70 92% +8  76% 19 - 8 8 - 6 A +22 A+ +27 A+ C A+ D+ -3 A D D+
 Wed, Feb 25 67 @California L 69 - 73 60% -3  13% 19 - 9 8 - 7 B- +8 C -0 B- A F+ A- +8 A- A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 74 @Stanford W 81 - 77 63%
 Wed, Mar 4 39 Miami (FL) W 84 - 80 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 81 @Florida St. W 87 - 83 66%
Totals 21 - 10 10 - 8 +14 A +11 D+ A+ D+ B- +4 A B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B+ A A A+ 38% 44% 36% D+ A B+ C+ B B C B- C B- C+ B B- B- 31% 24% 45% B B C+ B B- B- B B- B
1.24 66% 47% 41% +9 -1 1.19 37% 1.1 .39 15% .30 75% .22 1.03 56% 34% 32% -3 -1 0.95 30% 0.9 .28 18% .26 71% .21
Nov
3		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A+ A A+ 30% 33% 37% F A D F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F A+ D- C+ 22% 43% 35% A+ B+ C B B- B- F F F
1.32 79% 53% 41% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.9 .25 15% .68 79% .53 1.04 80% 15% 38% -3 -4 0.87 30% 0.9 .27 21% .61 83% .50
Nov
6		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D D- F D- F+ 40% 30% 30% D- F C+ F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A B+ A+ C+ A 29% 23% 48% A- A D+ A+ A- D+ B- C C+
1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38 0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21
Nov
11		 Murray St. B+ D B A+ B 40% 35% 25% D- B- A C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C+ D+ 39% 17% 44% C D+ A F C- B D+ C D+
1.25 50% 43% 47% +3 -2 1.05 43% 1.0 .43 14% .43 83% .36 1.12 52% 78% 33% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.6 .39 18% .36 75% .27
Nov
15		 Butler B A- A+ C A 63% 15% 22% A+ A+ A+ F+ B F B B- B C D- A+ F F 35% 17% 48% B+ F F A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B-
1.17 68% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.22 42% 0.8 .32 21% .26 73% .19 1.14 67% 22% 48% +10 0 1.23 43% 0.8 .32 23% .40 61% .24
Nov
18		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 46% D+ A+ D- D- F+ C+ C C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A 39% 23% 39% D+ A- C A+ A+ B B- A+ A
1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29 0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16
Nov
21		 Arkansas St. A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 27% 32% C- A+ B- F F A F F F A+ D- F A+ A- 31% 20% 49% B+ A- F C+ F A+ C A- B-
1.25 81% 56% 38% +16 -1 1.33 31% 0.2 .05 10% .22 63% .14 0.86 67% 50% 17% -8 -1 0.86 54% 1.0 .54 40% .33 69% .23
Nov
24		 Radford C C+ F C D+ 37% 16% 47% C- D+ B- A+ A D- A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% C+ A+ A F D+ F+ A F B
1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40 0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22
Nov
28		 Mississippi St. B C- A F C+ 21% 40% 39% F C B A+ A+ C A F B- A B C A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% A- A+ A+ F+ A- F D- F F
1.09 54% 48% 25% -2 -4 0.90 31% 1.6 .49 14% .33 65% .22 1.01 56% 39% 26% -6 -2 0.87 20% 1.2 .24 9% .34 76% .26
Dec
3		 Vanderbilt B- A+ D+ F C+ 33% 41% 25% F C- A+ A A+ C A C A C- F F A+ D- 45% 17% 38% D+ D A+ F+ A F A+ D- A+
1.02 71% 33% 15% -5 -3 0.86 40% 1.2 .48 19% .42 74% .31 1.30 81% 60% 27% +10 +1 1.24 21% 1.3 .29 7% .19 83% .16
Dec
7		 Texas A&M B A- B+ F C+ 34% 31% 34% D- C D A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% A+ A+ C- A+ B+ A- F A+ F
1.10 65% 44% 25% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.9 .44 13% .38 93% .35 0.94 67% 40% 27% -3 0 0.95 36% 0.7 .24 19% .49 65% .32
Dec
13		 LSU A- B- A A+ A+ 41% 27% 33% C- A A+ D B+ C C+ F D+ F C F F F 42% 28% 30% B+ F F F F A A+ F+ A
1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18 1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19
Dec
21		 Central Arkansas A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 36% 12% 53% C+ A A+ A- A+ B F A F+ D- A- C F F 31% 27% 42% A D- F D F A D C- D
1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14 1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22
Dec
28		 Cal St. Fullerton A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 31% 26% 43% F+ A+ A+ F A- A- C- C+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 25% 27% 47% A A+ F A+ C A+ F+ B D
1.44 84% 31% 54% +19 -1 1.38 50% 0.9 .43 14% .29 74% .21 0.83 31% 50% 25% -10 -2 0.78 36% 0.7 .24 25% .38 68% .26
Jan
3		 North Carolina A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% A- A+ D+ B C A B+ C- B C D+ C F F 29% 20% 51% B+ D- A- A+ A+ B- B- C B-
1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18 1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22
Jan
7		 Clemson B+ D F+ C- D+ 34% 27% 39% C D+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ A A 38% 2% 60% F+ B+ C- C+ C C- F B- D-
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49 1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30
Jan
10		 Duke A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C- A+ B- B+ C- A+ F C- 32% 14% 55% A C A+ A A+ B+ F D- F
1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16 1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37
Jan
14		 Virginia Tech B C+ A+ F A- 41% 35% 24% D B C+ D C B A+ C- A+ B- D D+ B B- 36% 20% 44% C C+ B- B+ B C C+ A+ B+
1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27 1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19
Jan
17		 Virginia B+ F A A+ B+ 40% 40% 19% D B- B+ A+ A+ A C- B+ C B- A+ A+ C- A 29% 22% 49% A+ A+ D- F F B A- F B
1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20 1.16 46% 30% 36% -3 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20
Jan
20		 Wake Forest A D+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 25% 47% F+ A+ B+ B- B+ B- C- C- C- A B B- C B 38% 17% 45% C- B A+ C+ A C B B+ B+
1.20 53% 57% 46% +12 -1 1.24 35% 1.1 .39 19% .29 72% .21 1.05 55% 40% 35% -1 0 1.02 22% 1.1 .24 15% .28 72% .20
Jan
24		 Florida St. A B- A+ C+ B+ 34% 17% 49% B- B+ B D C A+ A+ B- A+ D+ F A+ C C 30% 21% 48% A C+ F A+ C D B+ A- A-
1.22 61% 56% 35% +4 0 1.11 34% 0.8 .29 10% .38 74% .28 1.18 71% 25% 33% +1 -1 1.02 42% 0.9 .37 12% .25 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Louisville C+ A+ A C+ A+ 22% 33% 44% D- A C+ B+ B- F+ F D F B+ F A B C- 35% 11% 54% B C A A- A D+ D A C
0.99 75% 44% 33% +5 -3 1.07 26% 1.1 .29 21% .15 67% .10 1.18 90% 33% 32% +9 +1 1.23 26% 0.9 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
3		 North Carolina St. A C- D+ A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% B A+ B F D- A+ F F F C A B- F C+ 29% 11% 60% C+ C+ A F+ B D C A+ A-
1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12 1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19
Feb
7		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 27% 35% D A+ B- B- B- B+ B- C B- A C+ A- A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% A- A+ C- B+ B- B- D- F F
1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23 1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28
Feb
10		 Notre Dame A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% B A+ A+ A A+ F C C C D+ F B F F 37% 17% 46% D F A+ F+ B+ C+ A- A+ A
1.29 56% 50% 48% +11 0 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 20% .29 75% .22 1.17 74% 33% 46% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.1 .26 17% .25 57% .14
Feb
14		 Syracuse A F C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D- F+ A A+ A+ A+ C- B C D+ A F F D 31% 21% 48% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ D- B- F D+
1.19 40% 35% 24% -12 -2 0.74 40% 1.7 .68 9% .29 76% .22 1.21 50% 55% 44% +8 -1 1.17 31% 0.5 .17 12% .31 78% .24
Feb
17		 Louisville A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 37% 30% D A+ D- F F A F A+ D- A- A+ B+ C+ A+ 35% 14% 51% A- A+ C- F F A+ A- C- B+
1.24 65% 68% 50% +21 -2 1.38 17% 0.4 .07 13% .18 83% .15 1.11 45% 38% 34% -4 +1 0.95 36% 1.6 .56 22% .25 80% .20
Feb
21		 Boston College A+ A+ A- A A+ 42% 18% 40% B A+ A+ F C A+ A+ A- A+ D+ B+ A+ D+ A- 23% 27% 50% B+ A F A- D D+ F+ C D-
1.43 90% 44% 40% +18 +1 1.40 41% 0.6 .24 6% .41 72% .29 1.07 50% 14% 35% -8 -2 0.83 43% 0.9 .37 14% .35 65% .23
Feb
25		 California C D F A+ B 30% 26% 43% D- B- B+ A+ A F+ A+ F C+ A- B F+ B+ A- 23% 26% 51% B+ A- B+ A+ A+ D- A D+ A
0.99 50% 25% 40% -2 -1 0.96 35% 1.2 .43 20% .47 42% .20 1.05 54% 47% 31% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.7 .15 11% .24 80% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.6 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 5.2 5.2 5th
6th 0.8 13.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.1 10.8 9.0 19.9 7th
8th 0.0 6.8 25.0 0.1 31.9 8th
9th 0.8 13.8 6.1 20.8 9th
10th 2.9 3.3 6.2 10th
11th 1.4 0.1 1.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 5.3 24.1 42.8 27.9 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 27.9% 96.2% 3.6% 92.6% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 6.6 7.9 6.0 2.2 0.2 1.1 96.0%
10-8 42.8% 90.4% 1.3% 89.0% 9.0 0.0 0.8 2.9 8.8 12.5 10.9 2.9 4.1 90.2%
9-9 24.1% 75.3% 1.4% 73.9% 9.7 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.3 4.0 0.0 6.0 74.9%
8-10 5.3% 49.1% 0.4% 48.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.0 2.7 48.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 86.2% 1.9% 84.3% 8.8 13.8 85.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 5.3 4.0 13.1 43.4 30.3 9.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.9% 99.5% 6.5 10.1 41.3 38.1 7.9 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.7% 98.6% 7.2 3.2 23.0 37.3 25.1 8.4 1.6
Lose Out 1.5% 28.8% 10.9 2.6 25.5 0.7