Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#89
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#75
Pace72.7#96
Improvement-0.8#241

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#97
First Shot+1.6#131
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#75
Layup/Dunks+0.7#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#95
Freethrows+1.4#100
Improvement+1.0#100

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#93
First Shot+2.2#99
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#151
Layups/Dunks+1.9#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#70
Freethrows-2.0#305
Improvement-1.8#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 11.5% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.4% 11.2% 4.8%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.8
.500 or above 68.5% 81.8% 59.3%
.500 or above in Conference 21.7% 26.8% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.2% 10.6%
First Four2.8% 3.9% 2.0%
First Round5.9% 9.2% 3.6%
Second Round2.0% 3.2% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Neutral) - 40.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 24 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 311 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 177 Portland St. W 89-79 83%     1 - 0 +5.9 +5.6 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 8 204 Montana W 91-68 87%     2 - 0 +17.2 +8.4 +7.4
  Wed, Nov 12 169 Montana St. W 77-68 82%     3 - 0 +5.2 -1.7 +6.4
  Tue, Nov 18 321 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +14.4 +16.1 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 21 110 Seattle L 69-77 70%     4 - 1 -7.4 -4.0 -3.1
  Thu, Nov 27 97 Minnesota W 72-68 54%     5 - 1 +9.2 +8.7 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 33 Saint Louis W 78-77 25%     6 - 1 +14.3 +9.1 +5.1
  Mon, Dec 1 248 Portland W 94-72 90%     7 - 1 +14.1 +18.8 -4.5
  Sun, Dec 7 140 UNLV L 74-75 77%     7 - 2 -2.7 -2.3 -0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 188 @San Jose St. W 86-82 69%     8 - 2 +5.0 +13.4 -8.3
  Wed, Dec 17 180 Texas Arlington W 76-60 84%     9 - 2 +11.7 +6.4 +5.9
  Sat, Dec 20 66 Colorado L 79-81 41%    
  Sat, Dec 27 219 Cal St. Northridge W 88-75 88%    
  Tue, Dec 30 57 Notre Dame L 72-73 48%    
  Fri, Jan 2 14 Louisville L 77-85 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 65 @Virginia Tech L 75-81 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 25 @Virginia L 71-83 14%    
  Wed, Jan 14 22 North Carolina L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 2 Duke L 69-83 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 75 California W 76-75 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 35 @Miami (FL) L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 119 @Florida St. W 83-82 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 39 Clemson L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 127 Georgia Tech W 79-72 74%    
  Wed, Feb 11 151 @Boston College W 73-71 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 52 @Wake Forest L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 75 @California L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 102 Pittsburgh W 76-72 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 41 SMU L 78-81 40%    
  Wed, Mar 4 57 @Notre Dame L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Mar 7 28 @North Carolina St. L 74-85 16%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.0 0.2 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.4 1.7 0.1 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.0 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 5.6 1.8 0.0 10.0 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 5.5 3.9 0.3 11.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.3 1.0 0.0 11.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.7 2.1 0.1 11.1 15th
16th 0.1 1.8 4.2 2.4 0.3 8.9 16th
17th 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.0 17th
18th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 18th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.0 6.5 10.4 14.0 15.9 15.2 12.4 9.4 6.2 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 52.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 95.9% 5.4% 90.5% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.7%
13-5 0.7% 90.4% 5.7% 84.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 89.8%
12-6 1.8% 72.3% 2.2% 70.1% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 71.7%
11-7 3.2% 53.2% 1.2% 52.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.5 52.6%
10-8 6.2% 30.6% 0.4% 30.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 4.3 30.3%
9-9 9.4% 13.1% 0.1% 12.9% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.0 8.2 13.0%
8-10 12.4% 3.5% 0.1% 3.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.9 3.3%
7-11 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.3%
6-12 15.9% 15.9
5-13 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 14.0
4-14 10.4% 10.4
3-15 6.5% 6.5
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.6% 0.2% 7.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.5 0.0 92.4 7.4%