Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.4 78
Expected Predictive Rating +9.0 65
Pace 68.5 184
Improvement -1.3 251

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #82 B- B- B- B- A-
Defense B- #81 B- C+ B D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 30 57% 210 +3.0 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% 350 38% 171 -4.1 350
Three Pointers 46% 87 36% 69 +4.1 51
1st FG Attempt 1.08 91 +3.0 91
Second Chance 35.8% 50 0.98 259 0.35 100
Turnovers 15.3% 83
Freethrows 0.34 85 73% 149 0.25 87
Total Offense +3.9 82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 163 55% 107 +0.5 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 37 36% 118 -1.7 314
Three Pointers 34% 342 32% 85 +4.5 23
1st FG Attempt 0.95 74 +3.3 73
Second Chance 26.7% 56 1.09 276 0.29 110
Turnovers 19.3% 53
Freethrows 0.34 281 75% 320 0.25 299
Total Defense +3.5 81

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.8 12 -0.7 73
Shot Type Accuracy +1.1 132 -2.6 76
Possession Length 17.0 139 17.6 241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 117 0.12 34
Improvement -0.1 #189 -1.2 #261

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 15.4% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.3% 15.4% 5.8%
Average Seed 10.4 10.4 10.6
.500 or above 97.6% 100.0% 94.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 18.2% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.1% 3.2%
First Four6.3% 8.2% 3.7%
First Round7.5% 10.4% 3.4%
Second Round1.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 6
Quad 24 - 48 - 10
Quad 35 - 413 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 141 Portland St. W 89 - 79 81% +6  88% 1 - 0 B +8 B- +5 B B+ D C+ +2 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 168 Montana W 91 - 68 85% +11  99% 2 - 0 A +19 A- +9 B- C A+ A- +9 A D- A+
 Wed, Nov 12 160 Montana St. W 77 - 68 84% +4  81% 3 - 0 B- +6 D -4 D B- C A- +9 C+ B A
 Tue, Nov 18 288 Louisiana W 93 - 66 94% +12  86% 4 - 0 A- +17 A +12 B+ C- A- B- +4 D+ B- B
 Fri, Nov 21 132 Seattle L 69 - 77 79% +2  53% 4 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 D C- A D -6 C+ D B
 Thu, Nov 27 73 Minnesota W 72 - 68 48% +1  62% 5 - 1 B+ +12 B +7 D- A+ A+ B +5 D+ F A
 Fri, Nov 28 25 Saint Louis W 78 - 77 19% -6  15% 6 - 1 A +17 B+ +8 B B- B A- +9 A+ D- C-
 Mon, Dec 1 199 Portland W 94 - 72 88% +14  90% 7 - 1 A- +17 A+ +18 A A+ A+ C -1 D- C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 7 128 UNLV L 74 - 75 78% +2  63% 7 - 2 C- -2 D -6 F A+ F+ B- +4 B B+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 236 @San Jose St. W 86 - 82 80% +8  99% 8 - 2 C+ +3 A- +10 A+ A+ F D- -7 C- F F+
 Wed, Dec 17 170 Texas Arlington W 76 - 60 85% +12  93% 9 - 2 B+ +12 B- +4 A- B- C- A- +9 C A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 70 Colorado W 77 - 68 48% +3  52% 10 - 2 A- +17 C+ +3 D+ B B+ A+ +14 A- B- A+
 Sat, Dec 27 186 Cal St. Northridge W 88 - 80 87% +1  50% 11 - 2 C+ +3 B- +4 A+ F D+ C -1 D+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 84 Notre Dame L 40 - 47 65% -5  14% 11 - 3 0 - 1 C- -4 F -26 F F A A+ +21 A+ B- A
 Fri, Jan 2 17 Louisville W 80 - 76 24% +3  73% 12 - 3 1 - 1 A +19 A+ +18 A A+ A- C+ +1 A+ D- B+
 Wed, Jan 7 59 @Virginia Tech W 69 - 68 32% -5  9% 13 - 3 2 - 1 B+ +13 A +11 A- B A+ C+ +2 B A C
 Sat, Jan 10 23 @Virginia L 55 - 70 13% -9  9% 13 - 4 2 - 2 C+ +5 D- -6 C- F D- A- +9 A B+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 27 North Carolina W 95 - 90 30% -5  4% 14 - 4 3 - 2 A +18 A+ +20 A+ F A- C- -2 C- D B
 Sat, Jan 17 3 Duke L 50 - 80 12% -15  0% 14 - 5 3 - 3 D -10 F+ -10 D A F C- -3 B F C
 Sat, Jan 24 72 California L 66 - 78 60% -1  39% 14 - 6 3 - 4 D+ -7 F+ -8 F D- A+ C+ +1 B C+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 42 @Miami (FL) L 70 - 79 22% -1  35% 14 - 7 3 - 5 B- +6 B- +5 B- A- D+ C+ +1 B- B D
 Sat, Jan 31 100 @Florida St. L 80 - 88 47% -7  21% 14 - 8 3 - 6 C +0 A- +9 A- C A F+ -9 F F+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 33 Clemson L 64 - 66 34% -1  26% 14 - 9 3 - 7 B +10 B- +5 B- D+ A+ B +4 B C A-
 Sat, Feb 7 121 Georgia Tech W 95 - 72 77% +7  90% 15 - 9 4 - 7 A +23 A+ +17 A+ A+ C- B +4 A D C
 Wed, Feb 11 127 @Boston College W 70 - 68 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 71 @Wake Forest L 75 - 78 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 72 @California L 72 - 75 38%
 Wed, Feb 25 98 Pittsburgh W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Feb 28 37 SMU L 77 - 81 37%
 Wed, Mar 4 84 @Notre Dame L 71 - 73 42%
 Sat, Mar 7 24 @North Carolina St. L 71 - 83 13%
Totals 18 - 13 7 - 11 +7 B- +4 B- B- B- B- +3 B- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- C B C+ 45% 10% 46% A- B- B C- B- B- B- C+ B- B- C+ C+ B- B- 39% 26% 34% B- B- B D+ C+ B D+ D D
1.14 57% 38% 36% +1 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .35 15% .34 73% .25 1.04 55% 36% 32% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 19% .34 75% .25
Nov
4		 Portland St. B- C- F B B- 58% 8% 34% A+ B C+ A B+ D A+ A- A+ C+ D+ B+ F F 33% 19% 48% B F A A+ A+ A+ B F+ C+
1.11 55% 25% 35% -2 +3 1.04 31% 1.2 .38 21% .57 81% .46 0.98 61% 30% 50% +11 0 1.24 24% 0.0 .00 26% .27 75% .20
Nov
8		 Montana A- D A+ B- C+ 52% 12% 35% A B- B D- C A+ F+ F F A- A- F A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% C- A B+ F D- A+ C- F F+
1.22 53% 50% 35% -1 +2 1.05 34% 0.9 .30 7% .22 60% .13 0.91 50% 50% 26% -6 +1 0.91 18% 1.8 .32 27% .31 94% .29
Nov
12		 Montana St. D C+ F F D 48% 17% 35% B- D D A+ B- C A- C B+ A- B F B- C+ 30% 28% 42% B- C+ A+ F B A B- A+ A
1.03 58% 22% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.4 .36 16% .34 76% .26 0.91 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 17% 1.5 .25 21% .22 54% .12
Nov
18		 Louisiana A A+ D+ C A- 29% 13% 58% D+ B+ C+ D- C- A- A+ A A+ B- D+ F+ A+ C- 48% 34% 18% F+ D+ A D- B- B F+ A+ C-
1.30 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.21 34% 0.9 .31 14% .57 80% .46 0.93 58% 47% 22% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 20% .30 59% .17
Nov
21		 Seattle D+ D- C F F+ 52% 10% 38% A D C C- C- A A+ F+ A- D F+ A+ F C- 39% 31% 31% A C+ B- F D B F F F
0.95 46% 40% 26% -10 +2 0.86 33% 0.9 .28 17% .41 64% .26 1.06 68% 20% 40% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 21% .42 83% .35
Nov
27		 Minnesota B F A+ F F 47% 10% 43% A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ B+ A A B B+ B- F D 33% 15% 51% B- D+ A F F A C D C-
1.12 46% 60% 23% -11 +2 0.84 47% 1.1 .50 12% .32 78% .25 1.06 54% 33% 45% +6 0 1.15 24% 1.8 .44 22% .36 72% .26
Nov
28		 Saint Louis B+ F F A+ C+ 47% 7% 45% A+ B B C B- B A- D+ B A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% C A+ C- F+ D- C- F F F
1.08 31% 0% 48% -6 +2 0.95 30% 0.8 .26 14% .38 71% .27 1.06 44% 20% 26% -13 +2 0.80 34% 1.2 .42 15% .46 93% .42
Dec
1		 Portland A+ C F A+ A- 44% 4% 53% A A B- A+ A+ A+ B- D+ C+ C F+ C+ F F 38% 33% 29% A+ D- B D- C+ A+ F F+ F
1.35 58% 0% 41% +5 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 12% .33 70% .23 1.04 69% 36% 42% +7 -2 1.12 27% 1.3 .35 26% .47 79% .37
Dec
7		 UNLV D F C F F 33% 16% 51% C F A+ A A+ F+ A F B- B- C C- C+ B- 46% 37% 17% A B C+ A B+ B F A+ C-
1.02 38% 38% 24% -14 0 0.73 48% 1.3 .62 22% .48 63% .30 1.04 58% 42% 33% +2 -1 1.02 32% 0.7 .21 19% .46 59% .27
Dec
13		 San Jose St. A- A F A+ A+ 49% 5% 46% A A+ A+ C A+ F A+ D+ A+ D- F C- B D 26% 43% 30% A+ C- C F F F+ D F F
1.24 72% 0% 53% +18 +3 1.43 60% 1.2 .70 29% .59 72% .43 1.19 71% 39% 31% +3 -4 1.00 33% 1.5 .48 12% .33 90% .29
Dec
17		 Texas Arlington B- A- F C- B 57% 14% 30% A+ A- C- A- B- C- A+ A- A+ A- C+ B B- C 46% 22% 32% C+ C A+ A A+ C+ F B F
1.13 68% 17% 31% +1 +2 1.09 27% 1.3 .35 18% .58 78% .45 0.89 53% 33% 31% -5 0 0.93 14% 0.8 .10 21% .54 69% .37
Dec
20		 Colorado C+ F+ A D+ D- 50% 14% 36% A D+ A D B B+ A+ D A+ A+ D- D- A+ A- 41% 27% 33% B A- A+ F B- A+ A F B-
1.09 45% 50% 31% -6 +2 0.93 36% 1.0 .36 13% .67 68% .46 0.97 70% 46% 19% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.3 .30 26% .25 92% .23
Dec
27		 Cal St. Northridge B- C+ D A+ A 39% 7% 54% A A+ D+ F F D+ A+ D A+ C B- B+ F D 44% 21% 35% B D+ A+ A- A+ B F F F
1.17 61% 33% 44% +9 +2 1.24 24% 0.5 .12 17% .61 71% .43 1.06 52% 30% 47% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .13 20% .50 80% .40
Dec
30		 Notre Dame F F F F F 44% 4% 52% A+ F C F F A D- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 21% 30% F+ A+ D- A B- A C+ A+ B+
0.69 43% 0% 16% -22 +2 0.63 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 83% .19 0.81 43% 0% 23% -20 +1 0.63 38% 0.8 .29 21% .30 57% .17
Jan
2		 Louisville A+ C+ C A+ A 36% 27% 36% C+ A A+ B A+ A- A+ D+ A+ C+ D- F A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% A A+ F A- D- B+ F F F
1.25 56% 33% 44% +3 -1 1.07 40% 1.1 .43 14% .57 68% .38 1.19 71% 57% 23% -1 0 1.00 51% 0.8 .43 19% .41 86% .35
Jan
7		 Virginia Tech A C A B B+ 41% 9% 50% A A- C+ A B A+ D- B+ D C+ C- B- C- B- 28% 30% 43% A B F+ A+ A C F D+ F
1.15 58% 50% 35% +2 +2 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 78% .13 1.13 64% 33% 35% +1 -2 1.00 40% 0.6 .26 15% .49 76% .37
Jan
10		 Virginia D- B+ F F D+ 38% 17% 46% A- C- B+ F F D- B A+ A A- F+ C- A+ A 35% 20% 46% A- A B+ C+ B+ C- C F D
0.87 61% 25% 23% -9 0 0.85 32% 0.2 .05 20% .34 82% .28 1.10 69% 44% 24% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 14% .31 82% .26
Jan
14		 North Carolina A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 38% 11% 51% A+ A+ F F F A- A+ D- A+ C- C F B- D+ 42% 28% 30% B+ C- A F D B F A- F
1.30 57% 67% 57% +21 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23 1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32
Jan
17		 Duke F+ D- B- F F+ 40% 11% 49% A D A+ B A F C+ F C- C- C+ A+ F+ B 60% 16% 23% C B C- F F C F C+ F
0.79 44% 40% 23% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.8 .30 29% .22 60% .13 1.27 62% 29% 40% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.5 .63 16% .53 71% .38
Jan
24		 California F+ F F F F 44% 6% 50% A F B+ F D- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F B- 24% 29% 47% A- B B- C- C+ C- F+ D+ F+
0.93 39% 0% 23% -19 +2 0.69 33% 0.5 .17 10% .48 77% .37 1.09 58% 21% 43% +2 -2 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 14% .41 80% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Miami (FL) B- F F A+ C+ 41% 16% 43% A- B- A C A- D+ F+ F F C+ C C+ F+ C+ 51% 28% 21% A- B- F A+ B D F A F
1.05 43% 25% 45% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.1 .38 21% .19 50% .09 1.18 63% 38% 40% +4 0 1.11 47% 0.7 .34 13% .54 61% .33
Jan
31		 Florida St. A- B A- A- A 25% 24% 51% D A- B F+ C A F D- F F+ D- F C+ F 48% 11% 41% D F A+ F F+ C- F F+ F
1.16 64% 46% 39% +8 -1 1.15 36% 0.8 .28 16% .16 67% .10 1.27 68% 80% 32% +8 +2 1.22 24% 2.0 .48 13% .48 79% .38
Feb
4		 Clemson B- C- B C- B- 32% 19% 49% B- B- B- F D+ A+ F B F B B A+ F B+ 44% 15% 41% C B A- F C A- F D F
1.03 53% 40% 31% -4 0 0.94 26% 0.7 .18 11% .16 78% .13 1.07 56% 17% 41% 0 +1 1.05 23% 1.3 .31 19% .44 77% .34
Feb
7		 Georgia Tech A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 15% 45% B+ A+ A A+ A+ C- B- A+ A B B+ A- B+ A+ 52% 25% 23% D+ A C+ F D C B- B+ B
1.31 71% 38% 42% +11 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 17% .31 89% .28 0.99 52% 29% 31% -7 0 0.89 31% 1.3 .41 18% .29 65% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.2 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 0.9 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.7 6.3 4.9 0.3 12.2 9th
10th 0.1 5.5 9.9 1.2 16.7 10th
11th 0.0 2.7 13.5 4.2 0.1 20.6 11th
12th 0.3 8.5 7.7 0.4 16.9 12th
13th 2.1 8.9 1.5 0.0 12.5 13th
14th 0.0 4.8 3.1 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.5 3.8 0.3 4.6 15th
16th 1.1 0.8 0.0 1.9 16th
17th 0.7 0.0 0.7 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 18th
Total 2.4 11.7 23.7 28.9 21.4 9.4 2.3 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.2% 92.9% 92.9% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
10-8 2.3% 66.5% 66.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.8 66.5%
9-9 9.4% 46.5% 0.2% 46.4% 10.3 0.1 0.4 1.9 1.9 0.0 5.0 46.4%
8-10 21.4% 18.3% 0.1% 18.2% 10.8 0.1 0.8 3.0 0.1 17.5 18.2%
7-11 28.9% 4.3% 0.1% 4.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.1 27.7 4.3%
6-12 23.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 23.5 0.5%
5-13 11.7% 11.7
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 0.1% 11.3% 10.4 88.6 11.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%