Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +7.8 74
Results Rating +9.0 64
Consistency 0.12 38
Pace 68.3 189
Improvement -2.2 272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 93 B- B- B- B- A-
Defense B 63 B C+ B D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 32 C- 57% 197 +3.1 77
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 348 D+ 35% 263 -4.3 356
Three Pointers 45% 85 B- 36% 86 +4.0 55
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- +1.8 12 C+ +0.8 133
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 92
Second Chance B 34.8% 59 C- 1.00 225 B- 0.35 98
Opponents' Steals A- 6.9% 10
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 306
Turnovers B- 15.2% 83
Freethrows B- 0.33 107 C+ 73% 170 B- 0.24 114
Total Offense B- +3.5 93

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 313 B 8.2% 42
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 250 F+ 8.8% 343
Three Pointers D+ 79% 292 C 0.9% 201
Total D+ 52% 258 B- 4.9% 103

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 162 B- 55% 90 -0.8 141
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 37 C+ 37% 135 +1.8 320
Three Pointers 35% 339 B 31% 66 -4.6 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 72 B -3.0 65
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 59
Second Chance B 26.6% 55 C- 1.08 252 C+ 0.29 104
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.8% 38
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 150
Turnovers B 19.2% 52
Freethrows D+ 0.33 274 D- 76% 337 D 0.25 302
Total Defense B +4.2 63

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 19 C+ 12.2% 120
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 33 B 7.2% 57
Three Pointers A- 76% 18 B 1.7% 50
Total A 43% 6 B 7.3% 59

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 141 17.6 249
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 102 0.11 27
Consistency 0.14 293 0.09 7
Improvement -1.9 282 -0.3 208

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 89 76 62
Results Rating Rank 92 68 56
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 14 12 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 6% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3% 6% 1%
Average Seed 10.8 10.7 10.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 3% 9% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 5% 1%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: SMU (Home) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 23 - 48 - 11
Quad 35 - 312 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 159 Portland St. W 89 - 79 85% +6  88% 1 - 0 B- +7 B- +5 B B+ D- C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 193 Montana W 91 - 68 88% +11  99% 2 - 0 A +18 B+ +9 C+ C A+ A- +8 A F+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 153 Montana St. W 77 - 68 84% +4  81% 3 - 0 B- +6 D -4 D C+ C A +10 B- B- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 297 Louisiana W 93 - 66 95% +12  86% 4 - 0 A- +16 A +12 B+ C- A- B +4 D+ B B
 Fri, Nov 21 125 Seattle L 69 - 77 78% +2  53% 4 - 1 D -8 D+ -3 D C A D -5 C+ D B+
 Thu, Nov 27 59 Minnesota W 72 - 68 44% +1  62% 5 - 1 B+ +13 B+ +8 D- A+ A+ B+ +5 D+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 25 Saint Louis W 78 - 77 23% -6  15% 6 - 1 A- +17 B+ +8 B B- B A- +8 A+ D- D+
 Mon, Dec 1 224 Portland W 94 - 72 90% +14  90% 7 - 1 A- +15 A+ +17 A- A+ A+ C -1 D- C A+
 Sun, Dec 7 121 UNLV L 74 - 75 78% +2  63% 7 - 2 C -1 D- -6 F A+ F B+ +5 B B+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 221 @San Jose St. W 86 - 82 78% +8  99% 8 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 A+ A+ F D -5 C F F+
 Wed, Dec 17 184 Texas Arlington W 76 - 60 87% +12  93% 9 - 2 B+ +12 B- +5 A- C+ C- A- +7 C A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 66 Colorado W 77 - 68 46% +3  52% 10 - 2 A +18 B- +5 C- B+ A- A+ +13 A- C A+
 Sat, Dec 27 158 Cal St. Northridge W 88 - 80 85% +1  50% 11 - 2 B- +5 B +6 A+ F D+ C -1 D+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 90 Notre Dame L 40 - 47 68% -5  14% 11 - 3 0 - 1 C- -4 F -26 F F A A+ +21 A+ B- A
 Fri, Jan 2 14 Louisville W 80 - 76 22% +3  73% 12 - 3 1 - 1 A +20 A+ +19 A A+ A- C+ +2 A+ D- B+
 Wed, Jan 7 56 @Virginia Tech W 69 - 68 31% -5  9% 13 - 3 2 - 1 B+ +14 A- +11 A- B+ A B- +3 B+ A C
 Sat, Jan 10 20 @Virginia L 55 - 70 11% -9  9% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B- +6 D+ -4 C F F+ A +9 A B C-
 Wed, Jan 14 26 North Carolina W 95 - 90 33% -5  4% 14 - 4 3 - 2 A- +17 A+ +20 A+ F A- D+ -3 C- D- B
 Sat, Jan 17 2 Duke L 50 - 80 9% -15  0% 14 - 5 3 - 3 D+ -7 D- -8 D+ A F C- -3 B F C
 Sat, Jan 24 67 California L 66 - 78 58% -1  39% 14 - 6 3 - 4 D+ -6 D- -8 F F+ A+ C+ +2 B C+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 39 @Miami (FL) L 70 - 79 20% -1  35% 14 - 7 3 - 5 B- +8 B- +5 C+ A D+ C+ +2 C+ A- D
 Sat, Jan 31 81 @Florida St. L 80 - 88 41% -7  21% 14 - 8 3 - 6 C+ +2 A- +10 A- C A- F+ -8 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 41 Clemson L 64 - 66 42% -1  26% 14 - 9 3 - 7 B- +8 B- +4 C+ C- A+ B +4 B C A
 Sat, Feb 7 143 Georgia Tech W 95 - 72 82% +7  90% 15 - 9 4 - 7 A +21 A+ +17 A+ A+ C B +4 A D+ C
 Wed, Feb 11 136 @Boston College W 70 - 64 63% +4  74% 16 - 9 5 - 7 B +10 C+ +2 B+ C- C- A +9 B- B+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 71 @Wake Forest L 63 - 68 37% +3  82% 16 - 10 5 - 8 B- +6 C- -1 B+ F B B+ +7 A B B-
 Sat, Feb 21 67 @California L 66 - 72 35% -8  0% 16 - 11 5 - 9 B- +6 D+ -3 F B+ B A +9 A+ C+ C
 Wed, Feb 25 100 Pittsburgh W 75 - 67 71% -1  35% 17 - 11 6 - 9 B +10 A- +10 B A+ B C+ +1 D B A
 Sat, Feb 28 31 SMU L 77 - 81 37%
 Wed, Mar 4 90 @Notre Dame L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Mar 7 27 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 82 17%
Totals 18 - 13 7 - 11 +8 B- +4 C C+ A- B +4 B- C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- D+ B- C+ 45% 18% 45% A- B- B C- B- B- B- C+ B- B B- C+ B B 39% 26% 35% B- B B C- C+ B D+ D- D
1.14 57% 35% 36% +1 +2 1.07 35% 1.0 .35 15% .33 73% .24 1.03 55% 37% 31% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 19% .33 76% .25
Nov
4		 Portland St. B- C- F B- C+ 58% 8% 34% A+ B C+ A- B+ D- A+ A- A+ C+ D B+ F F 33% 19% 48% B F A A+ A+ A+ B- F+ C+
1.11 55% 25% 35% -2 +3 1.04 31% 1.2 .38 21% .57 81% .46 0.98 61% 30% 50% +11 0 1.24 24% 0.0 .00 26% .27 75% .20
Nov
8		 Montana B+ D- A+ B- C 52% 12% 35% A C+ B D- C A+ F F F A- A- F A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% D+ A B F F+ A+ C- F F
1.22 53% 50% 35% -1 +2 1.05 34% 0.9 .30 7% .22 60% .13 0.91 50% 50% 26% -6 +1 0.91 18% 1.8 .32 27% .31 94% .29
Nov
12		 Montana St. D C+ F F D- 48% 17% 35% B- D D A+ C+ C A- C A- A B F B B- 30% 28% 42% B- B- A+ F B- A+ B A+ A
1.03 58% 22% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.4 .36 16% .34 76% .26 0.91 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 17% 1.5 .25 21% .22 54% .12
Nov
18		 Louisiana A A+ D+ C+ A- 29% 13% 58% C- B+ C+ D- C- A- A+ A- A+ B D+ F A+ C- 48% 34% 18% F+ D+ A+ F+ B B F+ A+ C-
1.30 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.21 34% 0.9 .31 14% .57 80% .46 0.93 58% 47% 22% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 20% .30 59% .17
Nov
21		 Seattle D+ F+ C+ F F+ 52% 10% 38% A D C+ D+ C A A+ F A- D F+ A+ F C- 39% 31% 31% A C+ B- F D B+ F F F
0.95 46% 40% 26% -10 +2 0.86 33% 0.9 .28 17% .41 64% .26 1.06 68% 20% 40% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 21% .42 83% .35
Nov
27		 Minnesota B+ F A+ F F 47% 10% 43% A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ A B+ A+ B+ A- B- F D+ 33% 15% 51% B- D+ A- F F A+ C- D+ D+
1.12 46% 60% 23% -11 +2 0.84 47% 1.1 .50 12% .32 78% .25 1.06 54% 33% 45% +6 0 1.15 24% 1.8 .44 22% .36 72% .26
Nov
28		 Saint Louis B+ F F A+ C+ 47% 7% 45% A+ B B C- B- B A- D+ B+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% C A+ C- F D- D+ F F F
1.08 31% 0% 48% -6 +2 0.95 30% 0.8 .26 14% .38 71% .27 1.06 44% 20% 26% -13 +2 0.80 34% 1.2 .42 15% .46 93% .42
Dec
1		 Portland A+ C F A B+ 44% 4% 53% A A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B- D C+ C F+ C+ F F 38% 33% 29% A+ D- B- D- C A+ F D- F
1.35 58% 0% 41% +5 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 12% .33 70% .23 1.04 69% 36% 42% +7 -2 1.12 27% 1.3 .35 26% .47 79% .37
Dec
7		 UNLV D- F C F F 33% 16% 51% C F A+ A A+ F A+ F B B+ C C B- B- 46% 37% 17% A B C+ A B+ B+ F A+ D+
1.02 38% 38% 24% -14 0 0.73 48% 1.3 .62 22% .48 63% .30 1.04 58% 42% 33% +1 -2 1.02 32% 0.7 .21 19% .46 59% .27
Dec
13		 San Jose St. B+ A- F A+ A+ 49% 5% 46% A A+ A+ C A+ F A+ D+ A+ D F C- B D+ 26% 43% 30% A+ C C F F F+ D F F
1.24 72% 0% 53% +18 +3 1.43 60% 1.2 .70 29% .59 72% .43 1.19 71% 39% 31% +3 -4 1.00 33% 1.5 .48 12% .33 90% .29
Dec
17		 Texas Arlington B- A- F C- B 57% 14% 30% A+ A- C- A- C+ C- A+ A- A+ A- C+ B B- C 46% 22% 32% C C A+ A A+ C F B- F
1.13 68% 17% 31% +1 +2 1.09 27% 1.3 .35 18% .58 78% .45 0.89 53% 33% 31% -5 0 0.93 14% 0.8 .10 21% .54 69% .37
Dec
20		 Colorado B- F A+ D+ D 50% 14% 36% A C- A C- B+ A- A+ D A+ A+ F+ D- A+ A- 41% 27% 33% B A- A+ F C A+ A F B-
1.09 45% 50% 31% -6 +2 0.93 36% 1.0 .36 13% .67 68% .46 0.97 70% 46% 19% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.3 .30 26% .25 92% .23
Dec
27		 Cal St. Northridge B B- D A+ A+ 39% 7% 54% A A+ D+ F F D+ A+ D A+ C B- B+ F D 44% 21% 35% B D+ A+ A A+ B F F F
1.17 61% 33% 44% +9 +2 1.24 24% 0.5 .12 17% .61 71% .43 1.06 52% 30% 47% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .13 20% .50 80% .40
Dec
30		 Notre Dame F F F F F 44% 4% 52% A+ F C F F A D- A D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 21% 30% F+ A+ D- A B- A C+ A+ B+
0.69 43% 0% 16% -22 +3 0.63 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 83% .19 0.81 43% 0% 23% -20 +1 0.63 38% 0.8 .29 21% .30 57% .17
Jan
2		 Louisville A+ C C- A+ A 36% 27% 36% C+ A A+ B A+ A- A+ D+ A+ C+ F+ F A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% A A+ F A D- B+ F F F
1.25 56% 33% 44% +3 -1 1.07 40% 1.1 .43 14% .57 68% .38 1.19 71% 57% 23% -1 0 1.00 51% 0.8 .43 19% .41 86% .35
Jan
7		 Virginia Tech A- C A+ B B+ 41% 9% 50% A A- C+ A B+ A D- A- D B- C- B- C B 28% 30% 43% A+ B+ F A+ A C F D+ F
1.15 58% 50% 35% +2 +2 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 78% .13 1.13 64% 33% 35% +1 -2 1.00 40% 0.6 .26 15% .49 76% .37
Jan
10		 Virginia D+ A- F F C- 38% 17% 46% A- C B+ F F F+ B+ A A A F+ C- A+ A 35% 20% 46% B+ A B C+ B C- C F D
0.87 61% 25% 23% -9 0 0.85 32% 0.2 .05 20% .34 82% .28 1.10 69% 44% 24% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 14% .31 82% .26
Jan
14		 North Carolina A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 38% 11% 51% A+ A+ F F F A- A+ D- A+ D+ C F C+ D+ 42% 28% 30% B+ C- A- F D- B F A- F
1.30 57% 67% 57% +20 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23 1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32
Jan
17		 Duke D- D- B F F+ 40% 11% 49% A+ D+ A+ B- A F C+ F C- C- C+ A+ F+ B+ 60% 16% 23% C B C- F F C F C+ F
0.79 44% 40% 23% -14 +1 0.78 35% 0.8 .30 29% .22 60% .13 1.27 62% 29% 40% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.5 .63 16% .53 71% .38
Jan
24		 California D- F F F F 44% 6% 50% A F B F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F B- 24% 29% 47% A- B B- C- C+ C F+ D+ F
0.93 39% 0% 23% -19 +2 0.69 33% 0.5 .17 10% .48 77% .37 1.09 58% 21% 43% +2 -2 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 14% .41 80% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Miami (FL) B- F F A+ C 41% 16% 43% A- C+ A+ C+ A D+ F+ F F C+ C C F C 51% 28% 21% B+ C+ F A+ A- D F A F
1.05 43% 25% 45% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.1 .38 21% .19 50% .09 1.18 63% 38% 40% +4 0 1.11 47% 0.7 .34 13% .54 61% .33
Jan
31		 Florida St. A- B+ A- A- A 25% 24% 51% D+ A- B+ F+ C A- F D- F F+ D- F B- F 48% 11% 41% D F A F F C- F F+ F
1.16 64% 46% 39% +8 -1 1.15 36% 0.8 .28 16% .16 67% .10 1.27 68% 80% 32% +8 +2 1.22 24% 2.0 .48 13% .48 79% .38
Feb
4		 Clemson B- C- B D+ C+ 32% 19% 49% B- C+ B F C- A+ F B- F B B A+ F B+ 44% 15% 41% C B A- F C A F D F
1.03 53% 40% 31% -4 0 0.94 26% 0.7 .18 11% .16 78% .13 1.07 56% 17% 41% 0 +1 1.05 23% 1.3 .31 19% .44 77% .34
Feb
7		 Georgia Tech A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 15% 45% B+ A+ A A+ A+ C B- A+ A B B+ A- B+ A+ 52% 25% 23% D A C+ F D+ C C+ A- B-
1.31 71% 38% 42% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 17% .31 89% .28 0.99 52% 29% 31% -7 0 0.89 31% 1.3 .41 18% .29 65% .18
Feb
11		 Boston College C+ A+ F D+ B+ 40% 11% 49% A- B+ F A+ C- C- F A- F+ A B D A+ B- 38% 33% 29% B B- A+ F B+ B A+ F A+
1.02 71% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.06 16% 1.4 .23 16% .19 73% .14 0.93 52% 44% 25% -4 -2 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 18% .14 75% .11
Feb
14		 Wake Forest C- B F B+ B+ 29% 15% 56% C B+ D- F F B D+ F D- B+ A- F A+ A 34% 24% 41% B+ A A+ F B B- F F F
1.00 64% 29% 37% +3 0 1.08 23% 0.7 .17 17% .27 64% .17 1.08 50% 60% 24% -4 -1 0.93 20% 1.6 .32 16% .60 88% .53
Feb
21		 California D+ F F D- F 41% 8% 51% A- F B- A B+ B A+ C- A+ A A+ A- C+ A+ 26% 30% 43% A- A+ F A+ C+ C D- D- F+
0.95 35% 0% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 1.2 .38 14% .49 62% .30 1.04 43% 31% 35% -6 -2 0.87 37% 0.7 .27 14% .39 83% .32
Feb
25		 Pittsburgh A- C+ F B C+ 59% 8% 33% A+ B A- A+ A+ B F A+ C- C+ B- F F D 41% 9% 50% D- D A- C B A C- C C-
1.22 59% 25% 38% +1 +3 1.10 34% 1.2 .41 15% .19 100% .19 1.09 56% 50% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.0 .30 21% .31 67% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 0.7 8th
9th 0.9 1.5 2.4 9th
10th 0.5 9.3 1.0 10.8 10th
11th 6.7 9.3 0.1 16.1 11th
12th 1.9 24.7 2.5 29.1 12th
13th 18.3 13.0 0.1 31.4 13th
14th 9.4 0.1 9.5 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 29.6 45.0 22.2 3.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 3.2% 31.8% 31.8% 10.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 2.2 31.8%
8-10 22.2% 7.2% 0.1% 7.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.1 20.6 7.1%
7-11 45.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 44.6 0.9%
6-12 29.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 29.5 0.1%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 0.1% 3.0% 10.8 96.9 3.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.2%